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Remington Park Picks & Predictions — November 12, 2026

November 12, 20268 racesAll Remington Park picks

Best bets at Remington Park today

Race 16I Rest My CaseML 5/27:30 PM EST

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I Rest My Case is our best bet on the free card tonight — Race 1, a mile on the turf, where this runner's recent pace figures (12.18 sec/furlong, ranked 2nd in the field) and three consecutive in-the-money finishes make it the most compelling play available to every TrackWiz reader. That's your starting point for the evening.

Conditions at Remington Park tonight are as good as it gets for late-autumn racing in Oklahoma — clear skies, 58°F, and turf that should be playing true. Eight races are on the slate, mixing claiming action with a pair of allowance tests and a maiden special weight on the grass in Race 4. Plenty of angles to attack across the card.

What stands out tonight is the turf emphasis — three of the eight races go on the green, which is worth noting as you build your plays. Our simulations flagged some real value spots, including a 10/1 morning line longshot in Race 8 that our model is watching closely. More on that for subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

7:30 PM EST

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

The top two TrackWiz ratings are separated by less than four points in this mile turf claimer, making it a tight battle at the top — but the field is wide open beneath them, with six horses bunched in a narrow rating band and no clear pace shape to sort things out.

win6I Rest My CaseML 5/2

I Rest My Case tops the TrackWiz ratings at 84.57 and leads our 10,000-race simulations with a 22.46% win share — the strongest number in the field. The form profile backs that up: three in-the-money finishes in the last five starts, and recent race speed ranked second in this field at 12.18 sec/furlong. The claiming price bump from $20,000 to $30,000 is worth noting, but the horse is stepping up with the form to justify it.

place1Love That WitchML 7/2

Love That Witch rates second in the field at 80.79 and brings a quietly consistent form cycle — four placings in the last six races and two consecutive in-the-money finishes heading in. Trainer Wade Rarick earns a B- grade, but the jockey angle is real: Jose Alvarez has posted a 20% win rate and 53% in-the-money rate over the past year, and the workout line (12.64 sec/furlong, fourth-best in the field) says the horse is ticking over.

show8Rumpus in ParadiseML 12/1

Rumpus in Paradise is the exotic value here at a morning line of 12/1. The horse has hit the board in five of the last six starts — that's the best recent consistency figure in this field — and ranks third in TrackWiz ratings at 73.96. Jockey Geovanni Franco has quietly posted a 25% win rate and 54% in-the-money mark over the past year, which is elite company for this level. At those odds, tossing Rumpus into your trifecta is a no-brainer.

We ran Race 1 10,000 times. Most wins:

6I Rest My Case22%
1Love That Witch21%
3Blackwing13%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

I Rest My Case (Race 1, 5/2 ML) is the free play tonight and it's not a reluctant pick. A TrackWiz rating of 84.57, back-to-back-to-back placing efforts, and speed figures that rank near the top of this claiming field on turf — the data lines up. Our simulation gives it a 22.46% win probability against a morning line that implies roughly 28%, so it's not a screaming overlay, but the consistency angle is real. On a clear night with turf playing fast, horses with reliable form tend to deliver.

For casual bettors focusing on the free race, a win bet at 5/2 is straightforward. If you want to get a little creative, using I Rest My Case as a key in an exacta with the second or third choice in the field is a reasonable low-risk structure for the opener.

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

7:58 PM EST

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

This mile dirt claimer features the two highest-rated horses separated by just 0.18 points — Inca Empire and Send the Boss are essentially deadlocked at the top — setting up a potential battle of class and connections that should make for a competitive stretch run.

win6Inca EmpireML 5/2

Inca Empire tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.26 and owns the most compelling dirt record in this field: 11 wins and 23 placings from 44 starts on the brown stuff. The jockey-trainer combo of Tyler Bacon and Oscar Flores has connected at 18% wins and 65% in-the-money over the past year — that ITM rate is exceptional. Our simulations gave Inca Empire the highest win share in the field at 23.86%, and the horse's 22% career win rate adds to the confidence. The age concern (seven years old) is real, but the form says this horse still belongs.

place4Send the BossML 3/1

Send the Boss is virtually co-rated here at 87.08 and posted the top recent race speed figure in the field at 12.64 sec/furlong — sharp for a one-mile dirt route. The Asmussen barn (trainer grade A) is always live at this level, and the Erik Asmussen–Steven Asmussen combo has combined for a 24% win rate and 62% in-the-money rate over the past year. The age flag (six years old) is a minor concern, but with that horsepower behind him, Send the Boss should be right there at the wire.

show2Code JorgieML 7/2

Code Jorgie at 7/2 morning line offers a touch of value for the exotics. The horse holds a strong dirt record — 3 wins and 13 placings from 19 starts on the surface — and the workout line is the best in this field at 12.23 sec/furlong. Jose Alvarez (20% wins, 53% ITM over the past year) gives the horse a capable rider. The main concern is age at six years old, and the rating (79.69, third in the field) leaves some daylight to the top two, but the surface affinity and conditioning make Code Jorgie a reasonable third piece.

We ran Race 2 10,000 times. Most wins:

6Inca Empire24%
4Send the Boss22%
2Code Jorgie20%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

8:26 PM EST

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Brass Nucks sets up as a clear class standout in this 6.5-furlong dirt claimer, but the morning-line favorite is Knick the Quick at 2/1 — an interesting divergence that hints at real contention, particularly with the Asmussen connections getting heavy public support despite a sketchy recent form cycle.

win5Brass NucksML 3/1

Brass Nucks is the top TrackWiz-rated horse in this field at 86.33 and led our 10,000 simulations with a 25.29% win share — the clearest separation at the top of any race today. The horse posted the fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.43 sec/furlong, and the Wethey–Young combo has connected at a 22% win rate and 58% in-the-money rate over the past year. The only flag worth mentioning is a short 13-day turnaround when this horse prefers 30-plus days of rest — keep an eye on that, but the talent level here is hard to argue with.

place3Gypsy J TML 8/1

Gypsy J T is the value proposition in the exacta at 8/1 morning line. The horse rates second in the field at 79.79, owns a 60% career in-the-money rate, and has placed in 3 of 5 starts on dirt. The Rene Diaz–J.R. Caldwell combo has fired at a 22% win rate and 51% ITM over the past year. The concern is age — running a bit older than the field average — but experience often plays well in routes and mid-distance sprints like this 6.5-furlong test.

show1Fly Red Bird FlyML 6/1

Fly Red Bird Fly is an interesting show piece at 6/1. The horse has a solid Remington Park record — 1 win and 5 placings from 7 starts at this oval — and ranks second in recent race speed at 12.48 sec/furlong. The 50% career in-the-money rate is quietly impressive. The red flag is the jockey: Javier Padron-Barcenas has posted just a 4% win rate and 15% in-the-money figure over the past year, which is a real concern. Use Fly Red Bird Fly as a third piece in trifectas rather than relying on it.

We ran Race 3 10,000 times. Most wins:

5Brass Nucks25%
7Knick the Quick19%
3Gypsy J T17%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 4

8:54 PM EST

Maiden Special Weight · 5 fur · Turf

A ten-horse maiden special weight on the turf sprint sets up with genuine intrigue — Yes Julia leads the TrackWiz ratings by a clear margin at 84.17, but a 5/1 morning line in a field full of winless runners means the public sees opportunity elsewhere, and Vinalia's 19.44% sim win share at 5/2 makes this no foregone conclusion.

win2Yes JuliaML 5/1

Yes Julia holds the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 84.17 and brings two strong workout markers: second-fastest recent race speed at 12.15 sec/furlong and second-best workout over the last month at 11.85 sec/furlong. For a maiden on the turf, those preparation signals matter. The 50% in-the-money career rate — solid for a horse that hasn't broken through yet — and a TrackWiz sim win share of 17.12% support the top billing. This is a horse whose workout pattern suggests she's been pointing to this spot.

place5It's Time for ZimaML 7/2

It's Time for Zima enters with momentum — two consecutive in-the-money finishes and a perfect 2-for-2 record at Remington Park. That local affinity is a real edge in a maiden field that may include horses still finding their footing on this circuit. The concern is a step down in distance: the horse has been averaging around 1.0 miles per race and today's 5-furlong turf sprint is notably shorter. If the speed translates, that Remington record is a compelling angle at 7/2.

show10VinaliaML 5/2

Vinalia at 5/2 is actually the third pick, and at that short price you need to know what you're getting. The horse owns the second-highest average speed figure in the field at 55 and brings the third-best workout over the past month at 12.06 sec/furlong. Jose Alvarez (20% wins, 53% ITM) is a solid hand, and a 103-day layoff suggests the connections have been patient with this one. The concern: just 1 placing in 5 sprint starts. At 5/2, the value is modest — but the talent indicators say she should be in the mix.

We ran Race 4 10,000 times. Most wins:

10Vinalia19%
5It's Time for Zima18%
2Yes Julia17%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 5

9:22 PM EST

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Da Chief looms as the class of this six-furlong dirt claimer with the top rating and fastest recent speed figure, but Waylon's Guitar lurks as a live overlay that's quietly been posting strong numbers — this one could develop into a two-horse show if the short rest doesn't cost the top pick.

win8Da ChiefML 4/1

Da Chief tops the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 and ran away with the fastest recent race speed figure in this field at 11.81 sec/furlong — that's a significant gap over the second-fastest. Tyler Bacon and Oscar Flores have teamed up at an 18% win rate and 65% in-the-money mark over the past year, and Da Chief has three consecutive in-the-money finishes coming in. Our simulations gave Da Chief the highest win share in the field at 24.15%. The concern is a 15-day turnaround when the horse prefers 30-plus days of rest — it's worth monitoring at the windows.

place7Waylon's GuitarML 6/1

Waylon's Guitar at 6/1 is the exacta play that makes this race interesting. The horse rates second in the field at 82.12, owns the second-fastest recent race speed at 12.12 sec/furlong, and has placed in 13 of 18 dirt starts — a 72% in-the-money rate on the surface that is frankly outstanding. The Vargas Diego–Ashford combo has connected at 22% wins and 56% ITM over the past year. The only flag is a claiming price bump from $5,000 to $10,000, so connections believe in this horse. At 6/1, Waylon's Guitar is a genuine value target.

show2Storms LastML 5/2

Storms Last is the logical third piece in exotics at 5/2. The horse has cashed in 4 of the last 6 races and owns a solid Remington Park record — 2 wins and 9 placings from 13 starts at this oval. For a 7-year-old, the form has held up well, and a 68.27 TrackWiz rating puts it solidly in the mix. The age concern is noted, but with that level of track familiarity, Storms Last should be near the board again.

We ran Race 5 10,000 times. Most wins:

8Da Chief24%
7Waylon's Guitar19%
2Storms Last17%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 6

9:50 PM EST

Allowance · 1 mi · Turf

Miss Code West is a standout at this level — a 72% career win rate and an 88.54 TrackWiz rating make her the clear class of this mile turf allowance — but La Fantastica at 9/5 morning line will attract plenty of money for the Asmussen barn, setting up a fascinating exotics structure around a potential 2-1 chalk.

win2Miss Code WestML 2/1

Miss Code West is simply the best horse in this field — full stop. A 72% career win rate and 86% in-the-money rate are numbers you almost never see at this level, and the TrackWiz rating of 88.54 leads the field by a meaningful margin. The horse posted the fastest recent race speed at 11.85 sec/furlong and has two consecutive in-the-money finishes coming in. Floyd Wethey Jr. (20% wins, 57% ITM) keeps the ride, and our simulations back this up with a 30.40% win share — nearly double the next rival. The only concern is Lasix: six horses in this field are on it and Miss Code West is not.

place1TizawizML 8/1

Tizawiz at 8/1 is the value bet in the exacta behind Miss Code West. The horse rates second in the field at 79.79 with a 35% career win rate and an elite 78% in-the-money mark — this horse nearly always runs well. The recent race speed figure was second-best in the field at 11.93 sec/furlong, and the Calhoun barn has connected with Alvarez at a 25% win rate and 64% ITM over the past year. At 8/1 on the morning line with numbers this strong, Tizawiz is offering real value.

show4La FantasticaML 9/5

La Fantastica at 9/5 will be the betting favorite for many, and the credentials are legit — 24% win rate and 62% ITM for the Erik Asmussen/Steven Asmussen combo over the past year, with a third-best recent race speed at 12.06 sec/furlong. The 78.25 rating puts it third in this field, and the 24.12% sim win share confirms she's a genuine contender. We have her third behind Miss Code West's clear class edge and Tizawiz's value, but La Fantastica absolutely belongs in your exotics.

We ran Race 6 10,000 times. Most wins:

2Miss Code West30%
4La Fantastica24%
1Tizawiz16%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

10:18 PM EST

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Mi Amiga and Golly Holly represent a clear 1-2 punch at the top of this 5.5-furlong dirt allowance — both horses post elite recent speed figures, both come from top barns, and the rating gap between second and third place is substantial enough to make this look like a two-horse race with an exacta overlay opportunity.

win6Mi AmigaML 5/2

Mi Amiga leads the TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 and is tied with Golly Holly for the fastest recent race speed figure in the field at 11.99 sec/furlong. The Erik Asmussen–Steven Asmussen combo is firing on all cylinders — 24% win rate and 62% in-the-money over the past year — and Mi Amiga's own numbers are strong: 28% career win rate and 57% in-the-money. Our simulations gave Mi Amiga the highest win share in the field at 27.39%. With that combination of raw talent and connections, this is about as confident a top selection as you'll see on this card.

place4Golly HollyML 3/1

Golly Holly at 3/1 is the natural exacta partner. The horse rates second in the field at 82.65, matches Mi Amiga with the top recent race speed at 11.99 sec/furlong, and owns a solid 68% in-the-money career rate. The Asmussen barn is rolling here too — trainer grade A — and Stewart Elliott has posted a 19% win rate and 54% ITM over the past year. At 3/1, Golly Holly is a fair price and arguably deserves to be closer to the top in the win column given the speed figure parity.

show1BlingsterML 4/1

Blingster at 4/1 gives you a sensible third piece for the trifecta. Four consecutive in-the-money finishes tell you this horse is in excellent form, and 4 wins and 9 placings from 13 dirt starts backs that up. The Rene Diaz–J.R. Caldwell combo has connected at a 22% win rate and 51% ITM over the past year. The TrackWiz rating of 65.34 puts Blingster meaningfully below the top two, but four straight ITM finishes is hard to toss out, especially at a price.

We ran Race 7 10,000 times. Most wins:

6Mi Amiga27%
4Golly Holly24%
1Blingster16%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

10:46 PM EST

Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

A twelve-horse turf sprint at 7.5 furlongs creates genuine chaos — the top three TrackWiz ratings are separated by just 2.5 points across horses posted at 10/1, 6/1, and 7/2, suggesting the public and the model are seeing this very differently and creating a wide-open exotic structure.

win2TrajectML 10/1

Traject tops the TrackWiz ratings at 76.88 and owns the fastest recent race speed figure in this field at 11.79 sec/furlong — that's the strongest single data point in this race. At 10/1 on the morning line, the public clearly hasn't caught up to what the numbers show. The main concern is a 26-day turnaround when the horse prefers 30-plus days of rest, and an in-the-money rate of just 22% over the career is modest. But that speed figure is elite, and TrackWiz simulations gave Traject a 12.38% win share — making it a genuine overlay at double-digit odds.

place5Shari's MagicML 6/1

Shari's Magic at 6/1 rates second in the field at 74.97 and comes from the Wethey–Young combination that has posted a 22% win rate and 58% ITM over the past year. The workout line is solid — third-best in the field over the last month at 12.28 sec/furlong — suggesting the horse is sharp right now. The red flag is a rough Remington Park record: zero placings from 3 starts at this oval and no in-the-money finishes in the last three races. The local struggles are a real concern, but the connections and prep numbers justify a spot in the exotics.

show1LookatthatgirlrunML 7/2

Lookatthatgirlrun rounds out the picks at 7/2 and brings a turf-specific record worth respecting: 1 win and 4 placings from 7 turf starts, and a claiming price drop from $30,000 to $20,000 that signals the connections want to find the winner's circle. With a TrackWiz rating of 74.74 and a 57% career in-the-money rate, this is a horse that consistently runs in the mix. At 7/2, the price won't excite you, but the turf form and class drop make Lookatthatgirlrun a reliable trifecta anchor.

We ran Race 8 10,000 times. Most wins:

1Lookatthatgirlrun17%
12Pronunciation15%
5Shari's Magic14%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

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Bottom line: I Rest My Case in Race 1 is your free play tonight — consistent, well-placed, and running on a turf course that should suit. Beyond that, the allowance pair in Races 6 and 7 look like the premium highlights, and a longshot in Race 8 has our attention. Full card analysis, pace projections, and exotic ticket builds are all waiting for subscribers — check out TrackWiz's plans at /pricing and get the complete picture before first post. Good luck tonight.

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