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Remington Park Picks & Predictions — October 22, 2026

October 22, 20269 racesAll Remington Park picks

It's a perfect fall afternoon at Remington Park — clear skies, 76 degrees, and a 9-race card that gives us plenty to dig into. Conditions couldn't be more cooperative for fast times, and a dry, sealed surface should reward horses with early foot throughout the day.

The card mixes claiming races, maiden events, and an allowance spot, plus a pair of turf routes that get interesting with the grass firm and true in this weather. There's enough variety here to build multi-race sequences all afternoon, and our TrackWiz ratings have surfaced some horses worth watching at generous morning-line prices.

Three races are fully unlocked for every reader today — Races 1, 2, and 3. The remaining six are part of our full premium card breakdown. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

11:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A clear top-two standout situation in this 5½-furlong dirt claimer — Order of Merit and Good Lovin separate themselves from the field on ratings, but the battle for win honors should be competitive.

win3Order of MeritML 3/1

Order of Merit sits atop our TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 and brings a 32% career win percentage into this spot — the best strike rate in the field by a comfortable margin. David Cabrera gets the call, and the combination of elite figures with a horse that wins at this level regularly makes the 3/1 morning line feel workable. At 5½ furlongs on dirt, his average speed figure of 58 is the highest in the field, giving him a clear edge in raw pace numbers. If he breaks cleanly, he's the one to beat.

place6Good LovinML 4/1

Good Lovin is the logical alternative to the top pick, posting a 36% career win rate — actually the best in the entire field — paired with a TrackWiz rating of 82.25. Floyd Wethey Jr. takes the mount, and this horse's consistent history at the windows makes him a strong place anchor in exactas and quinellas. The 4/1 morning line offers fair value for a horse with this level of reliability.

show2Seeking SawyerML 5/1

Seeking Sawyer at 5/1 on the morning line represents the best ratings value among the second tier, checking in at 59.98 on our model with a solid 28% career win percentage. Tyler W. Bacon is a capable hand and this horse figures to be in the mix at the top of the stretch in a pace scenario that suits closers. Round him out in your trifecta tickets as a live show contender.

Race 2

11:58 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Maiden claimers at 5½ furlongs are always a puzzle, but Banchero draws the chalk and carries a significant ratings advantage — the question is who shows up to fill out the exotics.

win3BancheroML 2/1

Banchero tops our TrackWiz ratings at 88.54 in this maiden claiming sprint and draws the 2/1 morning line as the clear public choice. David Cabrera — one of the busiest and most effective pilots in the Remington Park jock colony — pilots this C.R. Trout trainee, and that's a pairing worth respecting. At an average speed figure of 53, he's in line with the field pace-wise, but his overall rating separates him from the pack. In a maiden field this competitive at the claiming level, a top-rated horse with a top-tier jockey is exactly what you lean on.

place2Sagebrush RunnerML 4/1

Sagebrush Runner checks in second on our ratings at 72.06 and posts the best average speed figure in the field at 53 — tied with several others, but he's doing it more consistently according to our model. Francisco Bravo sends this one out at 4/1, and Iram Vargas Diego takes the mount. He's a solid exacta underneath and worth using as the primary backup in trifecta plays.

show7Twoshai S G AML 3/1

Twoshai S G A lands at 3/1 on the morning line despite a ratings number of 50.71 that trails both of our top picks. What makes him interesting for show tickets is an average speed figure of 54 — the highest in the field — suggesting he can keep up early and may benefit if the pace collapses. Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez handles the riding duties for Jory Ferrell, and at those odds, he's worth including in the bottom of trifecta combinations.

Race 3

12:26 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Steven M. Asmussen doubles up in this maiden special weight route, and his 8/5 morning line standout Skyforge looks hard to beat — but Free Drop Nana at 7/2 and Aransas Pass at 5/1 make the exotics worth constructing carefully.

win5SkyforgeML 8/5

Skyforge carries a commanding 89.12 TrackWiz rating into this MSW route — the top mark in the field by a significant margin — and draws the heavy 8/5 morning line chalk. The Steven M. Asmussen and Erik Asmussen trainer-jockey connection is a family combo that carries real weight at this meet, and a barn of that caliber doesn't bring a horse to the table this short without confidence. At 1 1/16 miles on dirt, the extended distance should play right into his profile. He's a deserving favorite and the linchpin of any structured ticket.

place3Free Drop NanaML 7/2

Free Drop Nana is our place pick at 7/2, rating out at 72.46 — second-best in the field — for trainer Joseph Petalino with David Cabrera up. Her average speed figure of 54 matches the favorite's, and in a race where Skyforge will command attention on the front end, Free Drop Nana could be tracking in a prime spot to secure the place spot. She's the most logical exacta partner with the chalk.

show4Aransas PassML 5/1

Aransas Pass at 5/1 is the third piece of this puzzle, representing the other Asmussen-trained entrant in the field with Stewart Elliott aboard. A rating of 62.08 puts him solidly in third among these and his 53 average speed figure is competitive at this distance. When a barn like Asmussen's doubles up, it often means one is a pacemaker and one is the main event — both are worth using in your trifecta exotics.

Our three free races cover the opening stretch of the card, and they set the tone nicely. Order of Merit kicks things off in Race 1 — a 5½-furlong dirt claimer where our rating of 87.08 puts him at the top of the field despite a 3/1 morning line that suggests the public isn't fully sold yet. In Race 2, Banchero is our top-rated horse on the card at this level (88.54) and draws a Maiden Claiming sprint that looks tailor-made for a wire-to-wire performance. Then Race 3 brings the most intriguing free look of the day: Skyforge in a Maiden Special Weight route at 1 1/16 miles, where our top rating of 89.12 and a 8/5 morning line suggest the market already respects this one — rightfully so.

One thread connecting these early picks: all three are on the main dirt track, and with conditions this clean, speed figures should translate cleanly. Horses that have shown the ability to rate and finish will have a real advantage over horses that need a soft pace to succeed.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

12:54 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Two heavy hitters — Photoshopped and Metric Man — dominate the ratings in this 7-furlong dirt claimer, setting up a fascinating duel between the 5/2 and the 9/5 morning lines with little margin separating them.

win4PhotoshoppedML 5/2

Photoshopped earns the nod at 87.81 on our TrackWiz model, and with Stewart Elliott in the irons for the powerful Steven M. Asmussen operation, this horse brings the full package. A 20% career win rate is solid for a claimer, and his average speed figure of 54 matches the best in the field. At 5/2 on the morning line, he's priced slightly longer than our second pick despite a fractionally higher rating — that gap is meaningful and offers a touch of value for win wagerers.

place6Metric ManML 9/5

Metric Man is the 9/5 morning line favorite and rates right at Photoshopped's heels at 87.36, making this essentially a coin flip on paper. Floyd Wethey Jr. takes the mount for Francisco Bravo, and a 16% career win rate in claiming company is respectable. The pace shape over 7 furlongs on dirt could determine who gets the upper hand — if Metric Man sets or stalks the tempo, he's well-positioned to be right there at the wire.

show2Code MandaloreML 4/1

Code Mandalore at 4/1 is a sneaky show play in this race, rated 69.4 by our model for the Asmussen barn with Erik Asmussen riding. A 5% career win rate is admittedly thin, but the class of the connections and a decent average speed figure of 53 keep him alive as a third finisher. In a race dominated by two heavyweights, a live Asmussen second entry at this price is worth stacking in trifectas.

Race 5

1:22 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Turf

Wide-open maiden special weight on the turf with a full field of ten — Aloha Tracy stands out on our ratings, but the 9/2 morning line and a big competitive field make the exotics especially attractive here.

win7Aloha TracyML 9/2

Aloha Tracy is our top selection at a TrackWiz rating of 84.90 — the clear top mark in this maiden turf field — and Geovanni Franco takes the mount for Robertino Diodoro, a sharp turf trainer who knows how to spot horses in the right spot. At 9/2 on the morning line, there's genuine value here relative to the ratings gap between this filly and the rest of the field. In maiden turf routes, a patient stalking trip often wins the day, and this profile fits.

place2Mogold FormeML 10/1

Mogold Forme is an intriguing place play at 10/1 on the morning line — and that's not a typo. A 33% career win rate is remarkable for a horse going off at double-digits and stands out immediately in a field where every other entrant is listed at zero career wins. Sarah Nicole Davidson's trainee with Mario Fuentes aboard figures to be overlooked at the windows, making this a prime exacta underneath at a price.

show5Lead by ExampleML 5/2

Lead by Example comes in at 5/2 as the second choice on the morning line for Asmussen with Stewart Elliott, rating at 57.50 on our model. The public will likely back this one heavily given the barn affiliation, but our ratings suggest a slight overlay on the favorite's end and an underlay here relative to our top pick. Still, he's a reasonable show selection in trifectas given the connections, and you don't want to leave him off tickets entirely.

Race 6

1:50 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Princess Kaiulani carries the class edge in this 6-furlong dirt claiming sprint, but the 5/2 morning line chalk Crystal Claire and several other win-experienced contenders keep this from being a foregone conclusion.

win6Princess KaiulaniML 9/2

Princess Kaiulani tops our TrackWiz ratings at 84.90 — well clear of the field — despite going off at 9/2 on the morning line, which is technically an overlay relative to her model score. Iram Vargas Diego gets the mount for Shon M. Dunlap, and a 12% career win rate in claiming sprints with an average speed figure of 55 gives her the tools to outrun her odds. The fact that the public has the 5/2 Crystal Claire at a shorter price than our top-rated horse is exactly the kind of discrepancy that creates value plays.

place3Super EnticingML 7/2

Super Enticing checks in at 65.15 on our ratings — third in the field — but carries a 15% career win rate and the backing of the Oscar Flores barn with Tyler W. Bacon up. At 7/2 on the morning line, she's fairly priced and fits naturally as a place piece in exactas behind our top pick. Her average speed figure of 54 keeps her pace-competitive in this sprint.

show4Avalon GirlML 6/1

Avalon Girl at 6/1 lands at 59.78 on our model and brings a respectable 16% career win rate with Stewart Elliott in the irons for Kari Craddock. In a claiming sprint where pace can be unforgiving, she rates as a reliable third-place candidate — the kind of consistent performer that shows up in the money more often than her odds suggest. Use her on the bottom of trifecta tickets as a value hedge.

Race 7

2:18 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A deep nine-horse claiming field at 7 furlongs with no runaway favorite — the morning line spans from 5/2 to 15/1, and three horses within a single rating point of each other at the top makes this one of the trickiest races on the card.

win7Bailey SiouxML 7/2

Bailey Sioux earns our top rating in Race 7 at 77.44 for trainer Mark C. Lee with Iram Vargas Diego aboard, and at 7/2 on the morning line, the price is fair for the best-rated horse in the field. A 9% career win rate is modest, but the average speed figure of 54 matches the pace setters in this group and her overall model score suggests she's been running better than that strike rate implies. In a deep field like this, leaning on the highest-rated horse with a capable jock is the right framework.

place9Gift of GraceML 5/2

Gift of Grace is a fascinating play at 5/2 — the morning line second choice — for C.R. Trout with Luis S. Quinonez up. Her TrackWiz rating of 70.83 is essentially tied with our show pick, and while an 8% career win rate is low for a public choice at this price, her average speed figure of 53 keeps her in the pace mix. She's a solid place anchor in exactas if you're willing to use Bailey Sioux on top at the longer price.

show5West Code LadyML 6/1

West Code Lady at 6/1 checks in at 70.82 — just a hair below Gift of Grace — and carries a standout 25% career win rate, best of the three top-rated horses in our picks. Erik Asmussen rides for Steven M. Asmussen, and that barn's presence at 6/1 is a number worth attacking. Her average speed of 54 is right in the mix and the win-rate history suggests she closes out races more often than her odds might indicate.

Race 8

2:46 AM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

This 6-furlong allowance is headlined by a battle between the consistent Papa Ken and the public's 2/1 choice It's All Right, but our ratings flip that script — making the 5/1 morning line on Papa Ken one of the better value plays of the night.

win3Papa KenML 5/1

Papa Ken is our top pick at 84.17 on the TrackWiz model and represents genuine value at 5/1 on the morning line in a race where the public has installed a lower-rated horse as the favorite. A 33% career win rate is elite for the allowance ranks, and an average speed figure of 56 — tied for the top in the field — gives him the raw material to get the job done. Erik Asmussen rides for the powerful Steven M. Asmussen stable, and this barn at 5/1 in an allowance is a situation TrackWiz readers should pounce on.

place2Berry MischievousML 9/2

Berry Mischievous comes in at 76.40 on our ratings for J.R. Caldwell with Rene Diaz in the irons, and a 29% career win rate makes him one of the more reliable horses in the field. His average speed of 56 ties the top figures in this race, and at 9/2 on the morning line, he's a natural exacta play underneath Papa Ken. If the pace scenario allows him to run his race, don't be surprised if he's the one grabbing the place spot.

show4Brilliant PlanML 5/2

Brilliant Plan at 5/2 draws the second-shortest morning line odds and carries an extraordinary 57% career win rate — the standout number on the entire race card. Karen E. Jacks trains with Stewart Elliott up, and while her TrackWiz rating of 75.81 comes in slightly below both our win and place picks, the win-rate history alone demands respect. She's a must-use in all trifecta constructions and a credible show play for conservative bettors.

Race 9

3:14 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

The turf closer on the card goes 7½ furlongs on the grass, and Little Trouble stands out at 3/1 with a dominant rating and a 43% career win percentage that dwarfs everything else in this ten-horse field.

win6Little TroubleML 3/1

Little Trouble is the standout in Race 9, posting an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and an eye-popping 43% career win rate — the highest of any horse on tonight's entire card. Belen Quinonez takes the mount for trainer Isaiah Ortiz, and at 3/1 on the morning line, this is a legitimate value play on a horse our model loves on the Remington turf. A consistent average speed figure of 54 over 7½ furlongs on grass suggests she handles the configuration well, and the career record backs it up emphatically.

place8Marcus GiftML 6/1

Marcus Gift draws our attention at 6/1 — a price worth attacking — posting an 82.30 rating second in the field and a standout average speed figure of 57, the highest in this race by a clear margin. Ramon A. Vazquez rides for Austin Gustafson, and a 20% career win rate in claiming turf company is solid. That speed figure advantage matters on a course where ground-saving tactical speed can pay dividends in the stretch, and 6/1 is far too generous for a horse with this profile.

show10Don'task Don'ttellML 4/1

Don'task Don'ttell rounds out our picks at 4/1 for Scott Corderman with Iram Vargas Diego up, rating 71.59 on our model. A 31% career win rate is the second-best in the field and suggests this is a horse that knows how to finish — important on a 7½-furlong turf route where stamina and tactical position matter. He's a logical third in trifectas and a solid show play if you want something at a fair price to close out a strong card.

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Bottom line: today's Remington card is approachable and competitive, with Skyforge in Race 3 standing out as our highest-rated horse on the card and a legitimate best bet. Order of Merit and Banchero in the opener and Race 2 round out a solid free-play sequence to start the afternoon. For the full 9-race breakdown — including pace scenarios, exotic strategies, and our value plays in the turf closers — subscribe to TrackWiz and make the most of a beautiful day at the track. Good luck out there.

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