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Remington Park Picks & Predictions — October 1, 2026

October 1, 20269 racesAll Remington Park picks

Happy October, and welcome to Remington Park for what looks like a genuinely fun Thursday card to kick off the new month. Nine races on the slate today, mixing claiming action, allowance bouts, and a pair of turf tests that should play right into the conditions. Skies are partly cloudy and a comfortable 79°F — about as close to a perfect fall racing afternoon as you're going to get in Oklahoma.

The surface mix is worth noting right away. Three of today's nine races are contested on the turf, including the opener and the nightcap, and that's where some of the most interesting pace scenarios shape up. The dirt routes in the middle of the card — particularly Races 4 and 7 — look like the meat of the program, featuring higher-class Starter Allowance and Allowance conditions where the TrackWiz ratings start climbing north of 86.

Three races are fully free for every TrackWiz reader, and six are unlocked for subscribers. Whether you're dipping in for a few plays or building a full-card ticket, there's plenty here to dig into.

Best Bets

Race 1

11:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

A short 5-furlong turf sprint with a clear class standout at the top of the TrackWiz ratings, but the morning line favorite isn't our top pick — giving this card an interesting overlay angle right out of the gate.

win5Bad Beat BrianML 5/2

Bad Beat Brian sits head and shoulders above this field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating, and at 5/2 on the morning line, that's fair value for the top-rated horse in the race. Erik Asmussen gets the call for trainer Steven M. Asmussen, and that's a barn that consistently delivers when the horse is ready — this pair knows how to win. The 15% career win rate looks modest, but factor in Asmussen's knack for placing horses in spots they can handle, and the form lines point to a live contender. At 5 furlongs on the turf, speed figures and trip efficiency matter, and Bad Beat Brian's profile checks those boxes.

place3Stayed in for HalfML 3/1

Stayed in for Half enters as the morning line favorite at 3/1 with a solid 74.41 rating and a 20% career win rate — the kind of horse that keeps showing up at the finish line. Trainer Karen E. Jacks has her horse positioned well in a race where the public money will likely compress the price, making the place slot the smart way to use her in exotics. Jockey Iram Vargas Diego adds a competent hand for a short turf sprint.

show4GuapoML 7/2

Guapo (No. 4) brings a 25% career win rate — the best in the field — and Scott E. Young's barn has proven it can get horses competitive at Remington. At 7/2 on the morning line with a 60.37 rating, Guapo is the type that could easily beat out a few underperformers for third money, making him a logical show play and a solid piece in trifecta tickets.

Race 2

11:58 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open 5½-furlong dirt claimer where three horses are bunched within two points at the top of the TrackWiz ratings — expect a pace battle that could set up a closer.

win7Den's DazzlerML 5/2

Den's Dazzler (No. 7) tops this field at 87.81 and lands on the 5/2 morning line, which lines up with what our analysis sees as the class of the field. Trainer Mark W. Buehrer puts Floyd Wethey Jr. in the irons — a jockey who knows this track well. A 25% career win rate gives you confidence that this horse has been there and done it before, and the dirt sprint format suits a horse with his speed profile. In a race where the top ratings are clustered, Den's Dazzler's edge is narrow but clear.

place6OuttaherwayML 9/2

Outtaherway (No. 6) is rated 75.25 — third-best in the field — and is priced attractively at 9/2 on the morning line despite being one of the more capable runners. Ramon A. Vazquez picks up the mount for trainer Austin Gustafson, and while the 16% career win rate won't blow you away, this horse figures to be in the mix at the top of the stretch in what should be a competitive pace scenario. A great candidate for exacta wheels underneath the top pick.

show4West Code MischiefML 7/2

West Code Mischief (No. 4) posts a 75.10 rating for trainer Joe S. Offolter — the same barn that saddles Ship Her West — which suggests Offolter is double-dipping and likes his chances here. At 7/2, the morning line underestimates how close this horse is to the top pair in terms of overall rating, and Geovanni Franco is a capable pilot in a short sprint. Slot him in your trifecta as a safe show investment.

Race 3

12:26 AM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Myth Conception and The Kween's King are separated by a razor-thin 0.02 points in TrackWiz ratings, setting up a fascinating duel — but the value play here may be hiding at a bigger price in the form of Downpour.

win6Myth ConceptionML 4/1

Myth Conception (No. 6) edges out The Kween's King by the slimmest of margins at 84.92 versus 84.90, and the 4/1 morning line makes this a genuine value play for the top-rated horse in the field. The 28% career win rate is strong — one of the best in this field — and trainer Mark W. Buehrer puts Jose L. Alvarez up, a straightforward dirt sprint assignment. In a race this tight at the top, that career win rate is what tips our hand: Myth Conception has a track record of closing the deal.

place3The Kween's KingML 9/2

The Kween's King (No. 3) is essentially co-favorite with our top pick in terms of raw rating, and at 9/2 on the morning line, the morning-line oddsmaker is sleeping on this horse. Trainer Scott Corderman runs both The Kween's King and Downpour in this race, a dual-entry that signals confidence in the barn's chances. David Cabrera gets the call, and with a 55 average speed — the highest in the field — there's legitimate upside at a price.

show5DownpourML 6/1

Downpour (No. 5) is the most intriguing value in the race at 6/1, carrying a 33% career win rate — the best in this field by a wide margin. Trainer Scott Corderman is running two horses here, and Downpour's one-in-three winning record says this is a horse that shows up. At that morning line price with the top career win percentage and a 77.79 rating that's firmly in the mix, Downpour makes a lot of sense in show and trifecta positions.

Our three free best-bet races — the opener on turf, Race 2 on the dirt sprint, and Race 3 — give you a solid foundation to start the card. Bad Beat Brian (5/2 morning line, TrackWiz rating 87.81) tops the turf opener and carries the highest rating among our free selections. On a day with firm footing and good visibility, grass sprints at five furlongs tend to go to horses that can secure position early, and that's a key pace angle to keep in mind for Race 1. Over in Race 2, Den's Dazzler matches that 87.81 rating and gets a dirt sprint at 5½ furlongs — a distance that puts a premium on early speed and clean breaks. Race 3 brings Myth Conception into the picture at a generous 4/1 on the morning line, and at a rating of 84.92, there's legitimate upside there if the pace sets up right.

The common thread across these three claiming races? Clean trips and pace shape are everything. In short dirt and turf sprints like these, a horse caught wide or stuck in traffic rarely recovers. Watch the early fractions closely — if the pace melts down, closer types get a gift. If it's slow and controlled, the on-pace horses draw clear.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

12:54 AM EDT

Starter Allowance · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

This starter allowance features a heavy morning line favorite with the highest rating in the field, but a couple of live alternatives make the exotics interesting — particularly the horse with the field's best career win percentage.

win9AxtonML 8/5

Axton (No. 9) is the clear horse in this race — 89.12 TrackWiz rating, 8/5 morning line, 46% career win rate, and a 56 average speed that matches the top figures in the field. Trainer Dick Cappellucci teams with Floyd Wethey Jr., and Cappellucci's horses tend to run their race when they're good enough. A 46% career win rate at this level is borderline elite — nearly one in two starts results in a win. The 6½-furlong dirt route gives closers and pressers room to operate, and Axton looks like the class of the field.

place1Little TroubleML 4/1

Little Trouble (No. 1) boasts a 45% career win rate — the second-best in the field and remarkable for a horse with a 4/1 morning line. Trainer Isaiah Ortiz sends Geovanni Franco out from the rail, and the inside post in a 6½-furlong sprint can be navigated cleanly with a smart break. That win percentage says this horse is a consistent performer, and if Axton hits any trouble, Little Trouble is the one most likely to pick up the pieces.

show2City of CloudsML 5/1

City of Clouds (No. 2) checks in at a 72.15 rating with a 55 average speed — competitive for this level — and offers some value at 5/1 on the morning line. Trainer Miguel Angel Silva has Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez aboard, and the 17% career win rate is serviceable in what is admittedly a tough spot against Axton. At that price, City of Clouds is worth a spot in your trifecta for the place-show payoff potential.

Race 5

1:22 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

An all-maiden turf route at 7½ furlongs — where zero career wins is the great equalizer — but TrackWiz ratings still separate the contenders, and the 3/1 pick is a legitimate value given the field's spread.

win6Epic SelloffML 3/1

Epic Selloff (No. 6) leads the TrackWiz ratings in this maiden field at 78.28 and is priced at 3/1 on the morning line, a fair ticket for the top horse in a turf route where surface experience matters. Ramon A. Vazquez takes the mount for trainer William E. Morey, and while every horse here is still chasing that first win, Epic Selloff's profile suggests the tools are there — particularly for a route distance on the turf where pace setters can get caught. This is a best bet in a race where form is hard to read.

place10Free Drop NanaML 8/1

Free Drop Nana (No. 10) is our value play in the place spot — an 8/1 morning line horse with a 73.21 rating that's the second-best in this field. Trainer Joseph Petalino sends Jose L. Alvarez out from post 10, and while the wide post can be tricky, a 7½-furlong turf route gives a horse time to settle and find position. At those odds, Free Drop Nana makes for an excellent exacta partner and a legitimate contender.

show2Bella EllaML 4/1

Bella Ella (No. 2) posts a 70.81 rating — third-best in the field — and is trained by Hall of Famer Donnie K. Von Hemel, whose maiden horses at Remington always deserve respect. David Cabrera picks up the mount, and the 55 average speed is the highest among our top-three picks. At 4/1 on the morning line in a maiden race where pace dynamics can shake things up unexpectedly, Bella Ella is a logical third wheel in trifectas.

Race 6

1:50 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Two horses in the mid-80s TrackWiz ratings tower over the rest of this 7-furlong dirt claimer, but the race is priced upside-down — the better-rated horse has the higher morning line number, creating immediate overlay value.

win2Bishop CreekML 9/2

Bishop Creek (No. 2) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 84.90 and yet is priced at 9/2 — longer than the 5/2 Sand Creek, who rates just below him at 83.91. That's a value spot our analysis loves. Trainer Dick Cappellucci saddles Floyd Wethey Jr., the same combo we like in Race 4 today, underscoring Cappellucci's strong day. A 9% career win rate won't jump off the page, but ratings and pace figures point to Bishop Creek as the top selection in what should be a competitive stretch run.

place5Sand CreekML 5/2

Sand Creek (No. 5) is the morning-line favorite at 5/2 despite rating 0.99 points below Bishop Creek — a tight margin, but the public money will make him harder to beat for pure value. Erik Asmussen goes to post for trainer Steven M. Asmussen, and that's a combination that fires at a high clip at Remington. The 14% career win rate is decent for a dirt claimer, and Sand Creek's 55 average speed matches Bishop Creek's — this is a genuine photo-finish battle for the top two spots.

show7StoningtonML 4/1

Stonington (No. 7) is rated 71.81 — a clear third in this field — and comes in at 4/1 on the morning line with Tyler W. Bacon in the irons for trainer Alex T. Hartman. The 9% career win rate mirrors Bishop Creek's, which means Stonington has the kind of profile that can sit mid-pack in a pace duel and pick up pieces when the frontrunners tire over 7 furlongs. A solid third piece in exactas and trifectas.

Race 7

2:18 AM EDT

Allowance · 7 fur · Dirt

A full-field allowance at 7 furlongs where the top three TrackWiz ratings are clustered between 80 and 87, setting up a three-horse battle that could leave the rest of this field watching from behind.

win1PeriscopeML 7/2

Periscope (No. 1) leads all comers with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating and comes with the best career win percentage among the contenders at 33% — one in three starts, which is a standout mark at the allowance level. David Cabrera rides for Francisco Bravo, and Bravo's 33% career win rate on this horse signals a tight trainer-horse connection. The 7/2 morning line is honest value for the top-rated horse in the field, and on a 7-furlong dirt layout, Periscope has the tools to press the pace and kick clear.

place2Mr OklahomaML 9/2

Mr Oklahoma (No. 2) rates second in the field at 84.15 for the powerful Steven M. Asmussen barn, with Erik Asmussen aboard — always a respected combination at Remington. The 15% career win rate is lower than Periscope's, but the 9/2 morning line provides slight value in the place position, and Asmussen trains horses that tend to run consistently competitive efforts. In a race where the top two are separated by just two points, Mr Oklahoma is a natural exacta partner.

show6Easy as PieML 5/2

Easy as Pie (No. 6) catches the eye with a 50% career win rate — the highest in this field — for trainer Michael E. Biehler, with Weston Hamilton getting the call. The 5/2 morning line makes Easy as Pie the public's favorite, but our analysis has her third on ratings at 80.54. That gap from the top is real but not insurmountable, and a horse that wins half its starts can always find a way to the board. Great show inclusion for conservative tickets.

Race 8

2:46 AM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

A competitive 6-furlong dirt allowance where From the Top Rope owns the top rating but faces a field loaded with high career win percentages — including a 50% winner who will be tough to dismiss.

win2From the Top RopeML 4/1

From the Top Rope (No. 2) checks in at a 85.62 TrackWiz rating and enters at 4/1 on the morning line — that's a fair overlay for the best horse in the race. Trainer Scott E. Young puts Floyd Wethey Jr. in the irons, and a 37% career win rate says this horse closes the deal with regularity. The 54 average speed is solid for a 6-furlong sprint, and Young has the horses ready when they run. This is our best bet in Race 8.

place5Lady BelleML 4/1

Lady Belle (No. 5) brings a 40% career win rate and a 72.36 rating for trainer Danny Pish — a legitimate contender who won't get the credit her numbers deserve at 4/1 on the morning line. Luis A. Huaman rides, and the combination of a high win rate with a strong rating in a field this competitive makes Lady Belle the logical place horse. She's the type who runs her race every time out, which is exactly what you want in a place slot.

show3Secret VintageML 10/1

Secret Vintage (No. 3) is a show price sleeper at 10/1 on the morning line with a 50% career win rate — the best in this field — and a 56 average speed that's the fastest figure among any horse in the race. Trainer Isaiah Ortiz sends David Cabrera out, and while the 62.66 rating puts her third in our rankings, horses that win half their starts don't usually stay at 10/1 for long. She's a real threat to steal a piece of this race, making her an essential trifecta inclusion.

Race 9

3:14 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

The closing race of the card is a 7½-furlong turf claimer with a standout top horse and a wide field that should produce solid exotic payoffs — especially with a handful of double-digit longshots who could scramble the trifecta.

win5Galactic CoreML 7/2

Galactic Core (No. 5) is the clear TrackWiz top selection at 86.35 — a full 8 points ahead of the second-rated horse — and is priced at 7/2 on the morning line. Trainer Robert L. Esqueda sends Luis S. Quinonez to post in a 10-horse turf route, where pace setup and position matter enormously over 7½ furlongs. The 55 average speed ranks among the best in the field, and while the 10% career win rate is modest, the rating gap between Galactic Core and the rest of the field speaks louder than a win percentage in a wide-open claimer.

place7Summer HelpML 5/2

Summer Help (No. 7) rates second at 78.17 and is the morning line co-favorite at 5/2 — tighter than Galactic Core, which tells you the public sees something here too. Trainer Juan Padilla and jockey Jose L. Alvarez team up in the place spot, and Summer Help's 55 average speed matches Galactic Core's, meaning this horse can put pressure on the pace or sit just off it on the turf. A reliable second wheel in exactas.

show9RangoML 5/1

Rango (No. 9) enters at 5/1 on the morning line with a 68.10 rating — third in the field — and a 11% career win rate that's competitive in a 10-horse turf claimer at this level. Trainer Mindy J. Willis puts veteran jockey Stewart Elliott aboard, which is a combination that knows how to get a horse into position around a turf course. At that price with a clear third-best rating, Rango is a smart show bet and a natural trifecta piece to close out the card.

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Nine races, two surfaces, and a handful of horses worth getting excited about — Remington Park is serving up a solid Thursday card to open October. Bad Beat Brian is the headliner among the free plays, while Axton is the horse to build around in the premium half of the card. Unlock the full analysis, pace projections, and exotic tickets at /pricing — and as always, good luck out there today.

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