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Remington Park Picks & Predictions — September 19, 2026

September 19, 202610 racesAll Remington Park picks

It's a hot one at Remington Park today — 95 degrees under partly cloudy skies with 10 races on tap across a mainly dirt card. Heat like this can tire horses out in the stretch, so pace scenario matters more than usual. Keep an eye on how early speed holds up as the afternoon wears on.

The card runs the full spectrum from maiden claimers getting their first real test all the way up to an allowance feature that closes out the night. There's also a turf mile in Race 8 breaking up the dirt-fest, and with conditions firm underfoot, grass runners with tactical speed could be in for a nice spot.

Three races are fully free for all TrackWiz users, including our top-rated pick of the day in Race 3. The rest of the card is unlocked for subscribers — and on a full 10-race Saturday-style card like this, the multi-race wager opportunities are real.

Best Bets

Race 1

11:30 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A maiden claiming opener where experience is thin across the board, but a clear rating gap separates the chalk from the field — Steven Asmussen's barn holds the edge.

win7Botox and CoffeeML 2/1

Botox and Coffee is the top-rated horse in this field at 58.33 and posts the best average speed figure we see (53) among horses with recorded workouts. Trained by Steven M. Asmussen — one of the most accomplished conditioners in the game — and ridden by Erik Asmussen, this is a barn that knows how to debut horses competitively. At 2/1 on the morning line, the market agrees, but the TrackWiz rating justifies the favoritism. In a maiden field full of question marks, the combination of speed and trainer edge makes this a confident top selection.

place1Squeaky QueenML 7/2

Squeaky Queen draws the rail and carries a solid 55.83 TrackWiz rating, second-best in the field, behind only the top pick. Trained by Danny Pish, who also saddles Texas Two Step in this race — having two entries suggests he knows this conditions suits his runners well. An average speed figure of 51 is modest, but in maiden company at 5½ furlongs, she should have enough gate speed to stay involved throughout.

show4Next Big ThingML 9/2

Next Big Thing comes in without a recorded average speed figure, which adds uncertainty, but a rating of 54.17 still ranks third in this field and puts the Ronnie Cravens III trainee firmly in the exotic conversation. At 9/2 on the morning line, there's a touch of value if this one fires first off the maiden label. Mario Fuentes picks up the mount, and at this level, hidden upside from an unrevealed form cycle is exactly what you're looking for in a show ticket.

Race 2

11:58 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Crime Scene comes in with a rating that towers over this maiden claiming field, but Brielle lurks as a legitimate second threat that could make this more competitive than the morning line suggests.

win3Crime SceneML 3/1

Crime Scene's TrackWiz rating of 87.08 is in a class entirely by itself in this field — the next-best is Brielle at 79.09, a gap of nearly 8 points. Trained by M. Brent Davidson and handled by Deshawn L. Parker, this runner also posts a 53 average speed figure, matching the field's upper tier. At 3/1, the morning line actually offers fair value given the rating dominance, and at 6½ furlongs on dirt, this is a trip that should suit a horse that projects to rate just off any early pace.

place6BrielleML 5/1

Brielle is the clear second choice in our analysis with a 79.09 rating, and trainer Jesse Oberlander fields two horses in this race — which often signals a confident barn. David Cabrera, one of Remington's sharper pilots, picks up the mount here. Her 52 average speed figure is a tick below the leaders, but in maiden company that gap can close quickly, and her profile screams 'place horse' in an exacta.

show2Olympic StarML 2/1

Olympic Star is the morning-line favorite at 2/1, trained by the deep-pocketed Asmussen barn and ridden by Erik Asmussen. Her 59.40 rating slots in third on the TrackWiz board, and a 53 average speed figure matches Crime Scene's output. The market will likely drive her price down further, which limits the upside, but she's a safe show anchor if the top two run to their numbers.

Race 3

12:26 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Maiden Special Weight action gets a clear class standout in Mystic Mate, but the pace scenario in a six-furlong sprint could set up a contested early duel that opens doors for closers.

win4Mystic MateML 8/5

Mystic Mate is the most dominant-rated horse on today's entire card at 89.12, running in a Maiden Special Weight field where the next-best rating is Potentiator at 57.5 — a gap of over 30 points. Trainer Robertino Diodoro is a nationally recognized conditioner with a deep resume in maiden races, and Geovanni Franco is a steady hand in the irons. An average speed figure of 56 leads this field outright, and the 8/5 morning line tells you the public already knows — but the numbers support the favoritism completely.

place2PotentiatorML 5/2

Potentiator is the Asmussen barn's representative here, rated 57.5 and posting a 54 average speed figure that ranks second in the race. Erik Asmussen rides, and that trainer-jockey combination has juice at Remington. While Mystic Mate looks like the class of the field, Potentiator's profile fits a horse that could grab the place spot — especially if the favorite draws attention early and leaves the fractions contested.

show5SudeikisML 9/2

Sudeikis checks in at a 54.17 rating with a 55 average speed figure, which actually ties for the second-best speed number in the race alongside The Ritz. Trainer Justin R. Evans isn't the loudest name on the card, but the TrackWiz number suggests this one is in striking distance. At 9/2, Sudeikis offers a bit of value as a show option in what is otherwise a chalky exotic structure.

The free portion of today's card covers Races 1 through 3, and honestly, it's a strong sample. Mystic Mate opens as the 8/5 morning-line favorite in the Race 3 Maiden Special Weight going six furlongs and carries our highest rating of the free races at 89.12 — that's about as confident as our model gets in a maiden field. In Race 2, Crime Scene draws our eye at 3/1 in a 6.5-furlong maiden claimer with an 87.08 rating, making that race a legitimate best-bet candidate rather than a throwaway opener.

Race 1 is the murkiest of the three — Botox and Coffee opens at 2/1 but the 58.33 rating signals a genuinely wide-open field where the chalk could easily get beat. If you're playing Race 1, don't put all your chips on the favorite. The fast track and heat today could compress the pack early, so pace-pressing types may have an edge in the shorter sprints.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

12:54 AM EDT

Starter Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Marquee Lady enters a Starter Allowance field carrying a massive rating advantage and a career win percentage that makes every other entrant look like a supporting cast member.

win5Marquee LadyML 2/1

Marquee Lady's 88.54 TrackWiz rating leads this field by over 20 points, and her 36% career win rate is extraordinary — no other horse in this field comes within 16 percentage points of that mark. Trained by Justin R. Evans and ridden by David Cabrera, who has been active across the Remington card today, this is a horse that wins consistently and does it against horses who've run for tags. At 2/1, the price is short, but the credentials back it up — this is as close to a top-line play as you'll find in the Starter Allowance ranks.

place6La MorenaML 7/2

La Morena rates second in this field at 68.47, and her 55 average speed figure ties Marquee Lady for the best in the race — which means the raw speed is there even if the overall rating lags. Trainer Ronnie Cravens III runs a competitive operation at Remington, and at 7/2, there's solid value on this one to hit the board. If Marquee Lady gets into any trouble or gets shuffled, La Morena is the most likely heir to the top spot.

show4Lottery TicketML 3/1

Lottery Ticket sits third in our ratings at 66.31 with the best average speed figure in the field at 55 — tied with La Morena — and a 20% career win rate that's respectable. Trainer Gwendolyn K. Crosser puts Leandro D. Goncalves up at 3/1, and this runner has enough raw ability to hit the board in a race where the pace scenario could set up late runners. In exotic tickets, pairing Lottery Ticket underneath the top two makes sense on price.

Race 5

1:22 AM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A full claiming mile with two high-rated contenders pulling away from the field — Straightaway and Tyler's Turn shape up as the class duo, with the pace scenario at a mile likely to separate them in the stretch.

win8StraightawayML 3/1

Straightaway tops our ratings at 87.08 and carries an 18% career win rate — respectable but not overwhelming — in a field where only Tyler's Turn comes close on the TrackWiz board. Trained by Jaime Castellanos and ridden by Jose L. Alvarez, this runner posts a 52 average speed figure that is on par with the mid-pack. At 3/1 on the morning line, the value is reasonable for the top-rated horse at the mile distance, and at a claiming level where form can be streaky, the rating edge often tells the story.

place2Tyler's TurnML 2/1

Tyler's Turn is the morning-line favorite at 2/1, with a 81.42 rating and 53 average speed figure that puts him narrowly behind Straightaway on both fronts. The Danny Pish barn is always worth noting at Remington, and Deshawn L. Parker is one of the more capable pilots in the colony. At the mile, Tyler's Turn projects as a pace presser who could be dangerous if Straightaway falters late — making him an ideal place piece in exactas.

show7Pat Can't CountML 5/1

Pat Can't Count rates third in this field at 68.95 and gets the services of David Cabrera, one of Remington's busiest jockeys today. A 7% career win rate is modest, but Justin R. Evans trains, and a 53 average speed figure keeps this runner competitive with the upper tier on pure pace. At 5/1 morning line, including Pat Can't Count on a show ticket or in a trifecta gives your ticket some useful spread without breaking the bank.

Race 6

1:50 AM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A legitimate three-horse battle shapes up in this 5½-furlong claimer, with In Bond We Trust coming off a standout rating despite a modest win percentage — the value play of the afternoon is hiding in plain sight here.

win6In Bond We TrustML 6/1

In Bond We Trust tops the TrackWiz board at 82.71 despite going off at 6/1 on the morning line — that gap between price and rating is exactly the kind of value spot TrackWiz analysis is designed to find. Trained by M. Brent Davidson and ridden by Stewart Elliott, this runner's 11% career win rate doesn't scream dominant, but at 5½ furlongs in a claiming field, a well-placed performance can produce an upset. The 54 average speed figure is the lone blemish compared to rivals posting 55-56, so this horse will need a favorable pace setup, but the rating says the talent is there.

place4Paynt BallML 5/2

Paynt Ball sits just behind at 81.45 with a 56 average speed figure — the best in this field — and a 18% career win rate that outpaces the win pick on consistency metrics. David Cabrera gets the mount for trainer C.R. Trout, and at 5/2 morning line, the market respects this one. If Paynt Ball fires to his top speed number, he's a genuine threat to win outright, but pairing him underneath In Bond We Trust in exactas takes advantage of the price discrepancy.

show1YougotthisjrML 5/1

Yougotthisjr has a 9% career win rate, but the 55 average speed figure and a 69.98 TrackWiz rating put this runner in the thick of the contention group. Trained by Scott E. Young, who also runs Empire Ranch on today's card, and ridden by Floyd Wethey Jr., this gelding knows how to compete at Remington. At 5/1, sliding Yougotthisjr into your show or trifecta positions is a defensible move in what looks like a three-horse race.

Race 7

2:18 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A nine-horse claiming field at six furlongs where the top two — Slades Tank and Cajun Stoops — separate clearly from the pack on ratings, but the morning line has them flipped, creating a live overlay opportunity.

win5Slades TankML 4/1

Slades Tank leads the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 with a 33% career win rate — easily the best winning percentage in this nine-horse field. Trained by Miguel Angel Silva and ridden by Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez, this is a horse that converts when the conditions fit, and a 56 average speed figure ties for the field's best. At 4/1 on the morning line, the price is generous for a runner with this kind of win rate — that's the overlay we're looking for in a claiming race.

place7Cajun StoopsML 5/2

Cajun Stoops rates second at 82.95 and posts a 27% career win rate that makes him a genuine threat to be the best horse in here on any given day. Jose L. Alvarez rides for trainer Joe S. Offolter, and at 5/2, the public has this one as the favorite. A 55 average speed figure keeps him competitive on the pace scenario, and his consistency rate suggests he'll be hitting the board even if Slades Tank runs him down late.

show1West of TownML 5/1

West of Town carries a 77.27 rating, third-best in the field, with a 20% career win rate and the best average speed figure in the entire race at 56 — tied with Slades Tank and Big Kitty. Weston Hamilton picks up the mount for trainer Mark C. Lee, and this horse looks like a closer who could find the show spot if the two top selections duke it out. At 5/1 morning line, West of Town is the kind of horse that makes trifecta tickets click.

Race 8

2:46 AM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

The lone turf race on the card sees Moneyline enter with a massive rating advantage over a field that projects tightly grouped from second through seventh — this could be a wire-to-wire score on the grass.

win3MoneylineML 3/1

Moneyline's 87.08 TrackWiz rating stands 24 points clear of the next-best grass runner in this field, which is a staggering margin at the claiming level. Trained by Shawn H. Davis and handled by David Cabrera — who's had a busy day in the irons at Remington — this horse posts a 54 average speed figure and carries an 8% career win rate that, while modest, may undersell how often this runner competes well on the grass. At 3/1, the public is onto this one, and we have no reason to argue.

place7RangoML 7/2

Rango edges out the rest of the secondary group with a 62.84 rating and a 12% career win rate, trained by Mindy J. Willis and ridden by Stewart Elliott, who's had multiple calls today. A 54 average speed figure matches Moneyline's output, meaning if the top pick gets into any traffic or the turf comes up in a way that doesn't favor him, Rango has the raw numbers to sneak into the exacta. The 7/2 morning line price is fair.

show5Empire RanchML 12/1

Empire Ranch is an eyecatching show play at 12/1 despite a 62.76 TrackWiz rating that ranks virtually identical to Rango's 62.84 — the market is underrating this one. Trainer Scott E. Young and jockey Floyd Wethey Jr. are a familiar combination, and the 20% career win rate is actually the best among the secondary group. A 51 average speed figure lags behind the leaders, but on turf at a mile, tactical pace can make up for a tick of raw speed — worth a flier on the show end.

Race 9

3:14 AM EDT

Allowance · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A fascinating allowance spot where the morning-line favorite at 6/5 doesn't match up with the top TrackWiz rating — She's Candified represents a genuine overlay if she fires to her best number.

win2She's CandifiedML 8/1

She's Candified carries a 79.79 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this field — while going off at 8/1 on the morning line, creating one of the clearest overlay situations on today's card. Trained by Scott E. Young and ridden by Floyd Wethey Jr., this mare posts a 54 average speed figure and an 18% career win rate. At 1 1/16 miles, horses that rate off pace often have an advantage, and if the Asmussen barn's Crimsonite and Countess press each other early, She's Candified could be poised to pounce late.

place7CrimsoniteML 6/5

Crimsonite goes as the heavy 6/5 morning-line chalk, trained and ridden by the Asmussen family operation — Erik Asmussen up for Steven M. Asmussen — which commands respect at any level. A 75.08 rating and 53 average speed figure back up the market confidence. The concern is value: at 6/5, you're not getting paid to be right, and TrackWiz rates her second in this field. She's a solid place component in exactas but not a prime win investment at this price.

show1ImamidnightspecialML 9/2

Imamidnightspecial draws the rail and brings a 23% career win rate — tied with Jewlz for best in the field — along with a 69.15 TrackWiz rating that slots in third. Trainer Tristan Ashford sends this one out at 9/2, and Iram Vargas Diego gets the call. In an allowance race at 1 1/16 miles where the pace is likely to be honest, a rail draw with a legitimate win rate is a meaningful asset — this one slots naturally into trifecta positions and show plays.

Race 10

3:42 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The finale is a wide-bodied ten-horse claiming field at six furlongs where That Was Easy carries the top rating but goes off at a price — and Momacya lurks as a morning-line favorite who figures to get the chalk money.

win7That Was EasyML 9/2

That Was Easy leads the TrackWiz board at 84.9 and gets Stewart Elliott — one of the more experienced riders on this card — from the barn of Mindy J. Willis. A 12% career win rate mirrors Momacya's, but the rating edge is significant at nearly 4.5 points. With a 53 average speed figure that's competitive at this level, and a 9/2 morning line that implies genuine value over the 5/2 chalk, this is the kind of 'best bet' spot where the numbers and the price align nicely.

place6MomacyaML 5/2

Momacya carries an 80.37 TrackWiz rating and the best average speed figure in the field at 54, making her the second-most dangerous horse in here by our math even as she goes as the morning-line favorite at 5/2. Jose L. Alvarez is up for trainer Mark W. Buehrer, and a 9% career win rate is a touch low for a public choice — which is part of why That Was Easy is our top selection. Still, Momacya belongs in exactas and should hit the board if her speed figure holds up at six furlongs.

show3Soy La MadrinaML 6/1

Soy La Madrina rates third in the field at 60.04 with a standout 33% career win rate — best in this race and among the best on the entire card today. Trainer Marti L. Rodriguez and jockey David Cabrera team up, and a 52 average speed figure, while a tick below the leaders, is adequate for a claiming sprint. The 6/1 morning line offers legit value for a horse with this kind of win consistency, and she slots in as a logical show play or trifecta anchor.

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Today's Remington card has real teeth — Mystic Mate is the standout free play, Crime Scene offers genuine value at 3/1, and the premium card is loaded with pace angles and exotic opportunities. She's Candified at 8/1 in the Race 9 allowance is the kind of longshot that keeps the late Pick 4 interesting. Full analysis on all 10 races is waiting for subscribers at /pricing. Good luck out there — and watch those fractions in the heat.

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