Prairie Meadows Picks & Predictions — September 26, 2026

Rebas First Kiss (1) is only a whisker behind the top pick at 84.17 and gives trainer Jason L. Olmstead a dangerous entry with Armando Alvidrez up. The 25% career win rate is modest, but the raw rating says this horse belongs in the thick of the finish. At 5/1, this is a legitimate place value — potentially better than the win odds suggest.

Follies Favorite (6) rounds out the Olmstead trio and checks in with a 71.93 rating and a 7/2 morning line — an intriguing price for a barn entering three runners in the same race. Ryder Olmstead takes the mount, keeping it in the family, and a 18% career win rate in stakes company isn't alarming for a show-ticket inclusion. With the trainer clearly confident in his stable's depth here, Follies Favorite is worth boxing in trifectas.

High Flying Shake Ia (4) holds a 77.63 rating for trainer Lane D. Johnston with Miguel Josue Ramirez up, sitting at 6/1 on the morning line. A 25% career win rate is workmanlike, but the rating gap between this horse and the rest of the field below it is meaningful. At 6/1, the place ticket here is excellent value — if anything beats the favorite, this runner is the most likely candidate.

Reds Lil Runner (9) is a Tony Dean Jones-trained runner with a 77.61 rating — essentially identical to our place pick — and sits at 8/1 morning line with Luis Luna Ramirez. A 16% career win rate is the one soft spot, but the raw rating earns a spot in the exotics. At 8/1, tossing this one into your trifecta costs very little and keeps you live if the top two run one-two.

Jokerface (3) has the single best average speed figure in this field at 55, a tick above most rivals, and carries the 5/2 morning-line chalk for trainer Tanner Tracy with Alex Birzer up. The TrackWiz rating of 57.5 is middle-of-the-pack, but that speed figure advantage in a maiden sprint at six furlongs is a real edge — faster early fractions could carry this one all the way to the wire.

Successful Voting (1) is another Tracy trainee with a 53.33 rating and a 54 average speed figure, landing at 5/1 on the morning line with Kevin Roman aboard. Tracy has two horses in this race and winning-trainer patterns in maiden fields are worth noting — if one beats the other, the barn still cashes. Successful Voting is the natural hedge for anyone playing Jokerface to win.

Stone Man (6) is the natural place anchor at 79.95 rating, a 33% career win rate, and a 56 average speed figure for trainer Kelly R. Von Hemel. Israel Hernandez picks up the mount at 3/1 — second on the morning line — and the speed figure consistency makes this horse a reliable contender to complete the exacta. Back Cash's Pal on top and key Stone Man underneath.

Macho Forty Five (9) rounds out our top three with a 69.91 rating and a 56 average speed figure — matching the top two picks on that metric even if the overall rating lags. Trainer Tanner Tracy sends Ronnie Huckaby at 5/1, and this horse's ability to run speed-figure-consistent with the leaders makes it a legitimate show threat and a trifecta piece worth including.

Sofia's Love (8) is only 3.87 rating points behind the top pick at 84.17 — a razor-thin gap that makes this a legitimate win threat disguised as a place pick. Trainer Kevin Eikleberry deploys Elvin Gonzalez, who rides live on this card, and a 33% career win rate matches the favorite's mark exactly. At 5/1, this is where the real value hides in this race — the exacta combining Three Two Flu and Sofia's Love is the play.

Ladyville (2) brings a remarkable 100% career win rate — unbeaten in her starts — to a stakes field for trainer Christine Hicklin. The 56.67 rating is well below the top two, and the jump in class could explain the 3/1 morning line, but a perfect record demands respect. Ken S. Tohill picks up the mount, and if the class question is answered positively, this filly could sneak onto the board and make trifectas pay.

Lel Ditty (6) is a fascinating place option at 10/1 morning line despite holding a 76.88 rating — tied for fourth on the entire card in route races. Trainer Jennifer Tooley sends Orlando Mojica, and a 20% career win rate at this distance is workable. The price disparity between this horse's rating and its morning-line odds is one of the better value spots on tonight's card — don't overlook it in exactas.

Song Magic (8) posts a 73.59 rating with a 55 average speed figure — among the better figures in this field — for trainer Christine Hicklin with Ken S. Tohill up. A 20% career win rate at 4/1 makes this a logical third-place finisher in a highly competitive route. Use it as your trifecta closer behind Sic' Em' Sis and Lel Ditty.

Jackie Sparrow (2) is only 0.61 rating points behind Kanojo at 86.35, making this the closest top-two rating split on the card. Trainer Kelly R. Von Hemel teams with Alex Birzer, and a 55 average speed figure is the best in the field — if Kanojo stumbles or gets caught in traffic, Jackie Sparrow is right there to capitalize. At 7/2, the place ticket here is a must.

Reuleaux (6) carries a 58.64 rating at a stunning 20/1 morning line — a horse with no career wins but a mid-tier rating that gives it mathematical inclusion in the exotics. Trainer Lynn Chleborad and jockey Walter De La Cruz combine here, and if the pace collapses late in a route race, a fresh closer type could sneak into show position. This is a pure exotics play — don't expect it in the winner's circle, but toss it in your trifecta for the overlay.

Wildatlanticstorm (3) counters with an 84.33 rating and a blistering 41% career win rate for trainer Logan Ashford. Elvin Gonzalez is up at 7/2, and the speed figure of 56 matches the top pick. This horse's win percentage is one of the strongest in tonight's entire Thoroughbred card — at nearly even-money odds relative to the favorite, this is the natural exacta partner.

Wearacap (4) brings an impressive 58% career win rate — the highest in this race — and an 82.53 rating with a 56 speed figure for trainer Tom Wellington. Israel Hernandez guides this one at 3/1, and a horse that wins more than half its races is always dangerous regardless of morning-line positioning. This is a legitimate win threat being handicapped as a show play, and trifecta players should treat it accordingly.

Sipping Firewater (8) answers with an 83.04 rating and a 56 speed figure — matching Sayucan on that metric — with a 31% career win rate for trainer David D. McShane. Ken S. Tohill picks up the mount at 7/2, and this horse's combination of raw speed and rating consistency makes it the natural exacta partner. If Sayucan stumbles or gets compromised in traffic, Sipping Firewater is positioned to pounce.

Hop Away Hottie (2) is the longshot angle in our selections at 12/1, posting a 66.85 rating and a 55 speed figure for trainer Kelli Martinez with Orlando Mojica. A 23% career win rate won't blow anyone away, but the rating gap between Hop Away Hottie and the horses below it in this field is real. At 12/1, tossing this one on the bottom of your trifecta costs very little and could produce a meaningful payoff if the top two run their race.

A. P. Score (7) is our place pick at 5/1 with a 75.98 rating and a 56 average speed figure — only a fraction behind Dial It Down on both key metrics. Trainer Gene Jacquot deploys Walter De La Cruz, and a 33% career win rate is consistent for stakes company at this distance. At 5/1, the exacta pairing of Dial It Down over A. P. Score is a strong play.

Perfect Almost (1) represents our most compelling show-ticket value at 12/1 morning line — a 73.96 rating that ranks third in this field, a 33% career win rate, and a 55 average speed figure. Trainer Nicole Young sends Glenn W. Corbett, and while the odds suggest the market isn't sold, the rating says this horse belongs in the conversation. At 12/1, including Perfect Almost on the bottom of your trifecta is a high-upside, low-cost decision.

Amorosa (2) is only 1.24 rating points behind Jack's Time at 86.35, and a 53% career win rate ensures this is no pusher — this is a genuine win threat being bet as a place selection. Trainer Kevin Eikleberry and Elvin Gonzalez have had multiple live looks on tonight's card, and a 56 average speed figure — actually a tick better than the favorite — adds intrigue. At 7/2, the place ticket here is straightforward.

Tee Off Time (4) is the lone horse in this five-horse field with meaningful separation from the bottom of the field, carrying a 44.79 rating with a 54 speed figure and a 40% career win rate for Kelly R. Von Hemel. Alex Birzer rides, and Von Hemel sending two horses in the same race is a barn-confidence signal. At 5/1, this one earns a trifecta slot simply by being the best of the remaining trio on every available metric.

Crux (3) is a serious contender here with an 86.31 rating, a 60% career win rate, and the best average speed figure in this field at 56. Trainer Tom Wellington and Ken S. Tohill combine at 7/2, and a horse that wins six of ten starts while posting a 56 figure in route company is not a place horse — it's a win horse being used as one. This is a prime exacta-reversal spot for anyone feeling frisky.

Hello Frankie (10) rounds out our selections at 6/1 with a 70.52 rating, a 37% career win rate, and a 53 average speed figure for trainer Christine Hicklin. Alex Birzer gets the mount, and in a ten-horse route where pace can get messy, a horse with this win percentage and a trainer who has shown form tonight deserves trifecta inclusion. At 6/1, the price is right for a show-spot play to close out the card.