Prairie Meadows Picks & Predictions — August 7, 2026

Kiss Your Own Hocks carries a 58.67 TrackWiz rating and is morning-line co-favorite at 9/5, making her the clear second choice in public opinion. Trainer Alex Wessels sends her out with Angel O. Ramirez, a jockey who has multiple mounts on this card and knows the track. She profiles as the logical spot underneath Tricked Out Wagon in exacta combinations.

Gold Flys Higher posts a 57.5 rating — nearly identical to Kiss Your Own Hocks — making the 5/2 morning-line price a slight overlay relative to her standing in the field. Trainer Tony Dean Jones has three runners in this race, and Gold Flys Higher is the one he's entrusted to Cristian R. Esqueda, suggesting she may be the barn's primary hope among that trio.

I Told You Im Good grades out at 69.48 on the TrackWiz scale, which puts her third in the field, and trainer John D. Hammes has Miguel Josue Ramirez up at 5/1 on the morning line. There's a small gap between her and the top two, but in a field this open she's a natural play underneath Dulcified in the exacta. First-time starters can surprise in both directions, and she has enough rating to warrant inclusion.

Z Rexx is the value angle in this race — a TrackWiz rating of 67.33 actually puts her second in the field, yet the morning line has her at a generous 12/1. Trainer Haley N. Hobbs has Fernando Fonseca-Soto up, and there's no obvious reason for the wide-open price other than the public not yet warming to this one. If you're building trifectas, Z Rexx is a must-use at that price.

Reuleaux posts the second-highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.36 and holds a slight edge in average speed figures at 55 — the best of any runner in this race. Trainer Lynn Chleborad sends out Alex Birzer at 5/2, and Chleborad actually has three horses in this race, which tells you she's comfortable with the spot. Reuleaux profiles as the closest challenger and a strong place bet.

Pretty Irene is available at 6/1 on the morning line while posting a 77.76 TrackWiz rating — the third-best mark in the field. Trainer Brandi Jo Fett has Glenn W. Corbett up, and the average speed of 53 is consistent with what the other contenders have shown. There's real value here if Berta and Reuleaux occupy the top two spots but you want insurance in the show hole.

I Like It Black is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 — meaning the oddsmaker respects this one more than the rating might suggest at a 77.07 mark. Trainer Tom Wellington has Elvin Gonzalez up, and the average speed of 55 over six furlongs is actually the best number in the field. This is a horse who may be in the midst of a bounce-back spot that our model hasn't fully priced in, making him a strong place play.

Mischievous Al posts a 59.29 TrackWiz rating and a 20% career win rate, providing a solid third option at 3/1 with Alfredo Triana, Jr. in the saddle. Trainer McLean Robertson keeps this horse competitive, and the average speed of 54 fits right in with the top half of this field. At 3/1, there's reasonable value if you want a third leg for exacta and trifecta coverage.

Mighty Koa profiles as the natural second choice with a 69.63 TrackWiz rating and a solid 20% career win rate — much more reassuring than the top pick's win percentage. Trainer Jon G. Arnett sends Ramon A. Vazquez out from post 6 at 7/2 on the morning line. His average speed of 54 keeps him honest against the field, and he's the horse most likely to challenge Razor Wire's lead.

Madethedean'slist lands at 4/1 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 64.95, and while the 2% career win rate raises eyebrows, trainer Lynn Chleborad clearly believes in the spot. Israel Hernandez has the mount and averages 54 in speed, fitting comfortably in the competitive tier. In a wide-open ten-horse claiming race, she rounds out the show play nicely at a reasonable price.

Lonely Woman is the morning-line favorite at 6/5 and posts a strong 83.47 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field. Trainer Oscar Flores has Ramon A. Vazquez in the irons, and the 11% career win rate with an average speed of 54 paints a consistent picture. Even at a short price, she's a natural part of any exotic combination given how close she grades to the top pick.

Train Station checks in with a 71.11 TrackWiz rating and an 8% career win rate for trainer CC Perkinson, who sends Orlando Mojica out from post 3 at 5/1. The average speed of 53 is workmanlike, and while this isn't a star, she's the clear third-best horse by our ratings. She rounds out the trifecta picture and the 5/1 price provides reasonable value for the show slot.

Triple Up is the morning-line favorite at 2/1, which means the public likes this horse more than our model does — but at 71.5 on the TrackWiz scale and a 20% career win rate, the credentials are genuine. Trainer Casey Schleis has Alberto Pusac up, and the average speed of 55 matches Outmatch stride for stride on paper. He's a sound place play, and the market clearly agrees.

Crooked as Can Be is the value play of the ticket at 15/1 on the morning line while posting a 66.86 TrackWiz rating — good enough for third in this field. Trainer David D. McShane has Ken S. Tohill aboard, and a 14% career win rate over routes is respectable for a horse the market has largely dismissed. If you're building trifectas, getting the third-rated horse at double-digit odds is exactly the kind of overlay that pays off over time.

Sic' Em' Sis is the exact kind of stablemate angle sharp bettors target — same barn as the favorite, but at 8/1 on the morning line with a 44% career win rate that would make her a heavy favorite in most other fields. Trainer Kevin Eikleberry runs both horses and Alberto Pusac gets the mount, suggesting the connections are giving this one every chance. At 8/1 in a stakes spot, she's the best value play on the card — the barn clearly has two legitimate guns loaded.

Somavia closes out our pick at a generous 15/1 on the morning line, carrying a TrackWiz rating of 61.74 and a 28% career win rate for trainer Lynn Chleborad. Alfredo Triana, Jr. takes the mount, and with an average speed of 55 — the best in the race among non-top-picks — there's physical evidence she can compete. In a six-horse stakes field with a clear chalky top two, the show price on a 15/1 shot with real talent could be a nice ticketing angle.

Absaroka sits just below Club Mesquite at a 82.73 TrackWiz rating and carries a much more reassuring 22% career win rate — the best among the top-rated horses in this field. Trainer Oscar Flores has Ramon A. Vazquez in the irons from post 2 at 3/1, making this the morning-line second choice. He's a strong place candidate and the 3/1 price is fair for a horse with the second-best rating and the highest win percentage among contenders.

Midnight Rules rounds out the show spot with a 63.84 TrackWiz rating and a 13% career win rate for trainer Nicole Young, who sends Orlando Mojica out from post 5 at 5/1. The average speed of 52 is slightly below the leaders, but in a claiming mile with pace pressure throughout, a closer with enough rating can pick up pieces late. She's a solid third in the field by our model and worth including in trifecta and superfecta tickets.