Daily Picks

Prairie Meadows Picks & Predictions — July 24, 2026

Friday, July 24, 202610 racesPrairie Meadows

Prairie Meadows is rolling out a full 10-race card on Friday, July 24, and the cloudy skies and mild 74°F temps should make for ideal racing conditions — no heat stress, no weather excuses. The dirt is expected to play fair, which means speed figures and class should sort things out cleanly today.

The card is a nice mix of Quarter Horse sprints and Thoroughbred routes, with four short-track trials and allowance sprints bookending a solid stretch of claiming and maiden races. Whether you're here for the quick-twitch Quarter Horse action or grinding out the longer Thoroughbred sprints, there's something to work with from Race 1 all the way through Race 10.

A few names jumped off the page when we ran our numbers this morning — Kiss Is On My List in the Race 3 trial and Desperate Man in Race 7 both earned TrackWiz ratings in the high 80s to 90, which puts them at the top of today's class. We'll get into the details below.

Best Bets

Race 1

10:00 PM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

Jason L. Olmstead saddles three of the seven runners in this 350-yard allowance, giving him an obvious stable advantage — but the question is whether his top choice can fend off a pair of live threats from outside his barn.

win5Flying BandidaML 8/5

Flying Bandida is the class of this field by a wide margin, posting a TrackWiz rating of 89.12 that towers over the competition. The morning line favorite at 8/5 reflects what the market already knows. Ramiro Haro Garcia picks up the mount for the Olmstead barn, and having the trainer also control two other runners in the race only adds to the tactical advantage. At a short sprint like 350 yards, the margin for error is zero — and this one's profile says she belongs at the front.

place7Nothin Like YouML 5/1

Nothin Like You is the most logical runner-up threat in the race, carrying a 68.67 TrackWiz rating and a solid 31% career win percentage that speaks to consistent competitiveness. Trainer John D. Hammes sends this one out at 5/1 on the morning line, which feels like fair value for a horse whose numbers say top-three is a realistic outcome. Miguel Josue Ramirez is in the irons, and if Flying Bandida edges clear, Nothin Like You has the profile to hold second.

show3Presido PeteML 6/1

Presido Pete draws the third spot in our analysis at 6/1 morning line, backed by a 60.21 rating and a 29% career win percentage that makes the horse credible in this spot. Trainer Haley N. Hobbs keeps the connections simple, and Fernando Fonseca-Soto is up in a race where gate speed is everything over 350 yards. If the Olmstead trio jostles for position early, Pete could be the beneficiary sneaking into the exotics.

Race 2

10:25 PM EDT

Claiming · 330 yd · Dirt

Trainer Alex Wessels loads in two of the top-rated horses in this 330-yard claimer, setting up an intra-barn battle at the top — while a few mid-range runners look for chaos.

win5Paint Me FlyingML 7/2

Paint Me Flying sits atop our TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 and brings a career win percentage of 33% — the best in the field — into this 330-yard sprint. At 7/2 on the morning line, there's some value here given the numbers. Miguel Josue Ramirez has the call for the Wessels barn, and in a race this short, having a confident jockey-trainer relationship matters. This horse is the top play of the race.

place2Talk About Me LaterML 2/1

Talk About Me Later is barely a tick behind the win pick with an 83.49 TrackWiz rating, and the 2/1 morning line suggests the public is zeroing in here as well. Angel O. Ramirez pilots this one for Alex Wessels, making it an interesting intra-stable dynamic. The 27% career win percentage is solid, and if the two stablemates split the advantage, Talk About Me Later has plenty of ability to land in the exacta.

show3Fanze BoyML 8/1

Fanze Boy at 8/1 represents genuine value at the show position, posting a 62.34 TrackWiz rating that puts him a clear cut above the bottom half of this field. Hugo Ontiveros trains the horse, and Ramiro Haro Garcia gets the mount in a race where 330 yards punishes anyone who isn't ready from the gate. If the Wessels duo handles the top two spots, Fanze Boy has the class to close out the trifecta.

Race 3

10:50 PM EDT

Trial · 350 yd · Dirt

This 350-yard trial is loaded with first-out youngsters where past performance lines are thin — making trainer pedigree and raw ratings the primary handicapping tools.

win5Kiss Is On My ListML 4/5

Kiss Is On My List is the standout of the trial at a dominant 90.0 TrackWiz rating, and the morning line has already priced this one at 4/5 — reflecting strong barn confidence. Edward Ross Hardy sends this one out with Erik N. Esqueda in the irons, a clean and purposeful booking. In a field of debut-level runners where raw ability is the biggest separator, a rating that high signals this horse simply has more to offer than the competition.

place6Ts Thats FamousML 7/2

Ts Thats Famous checks in at 55.83 on the TrackWiz scale and is the second choice in the morning line at 7/2, suggesting Tony Dean Jones has this one ready. Cody Rodger Smith gets the mount, and in a trial format where the goal is advancing rather than winning at all costs, finishing second is a real outcome worth targeting. This one has enough separation from the bottom of the field to warrant place support.

show2Ts I Fly AwayML 6/1

Ts I Fly Away sits at 51.67 in our ratings and catches the eye at 6/1 for trainer Alex Wessels, who also has Real Kisses in here — but this one grades out higher. Miguel Josue Ramirez has the call, and while the field is evenly clustered in the middle ratings, Ts I Fly Away has the slight edge that can mean a nose in a trial sprint. Worth a spot in trifecta coverage at the overlay price.

Our three free previews cover Races 1, 2, and 3 — all short Quarter Horse sprints at 330–350 yards, and they set the tone for the afternoon perfectly. Flying Bandida opens things up in Race 1 at 8/5 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 89, and Paint Me Flying follows in Race 2 as an intriguing 7/2 shot in a 330-yard claimer where pace advantage off the break is everything.

The headliner of the free card is Kiss Is On My List in Race 3 — a 4/5 morning line favorite carrying a 90.0 TrackWiz rating, which is the highest mark on the entire card. In short-distance trials like this, consistency and reaction time at the gate are crucial, and our analysis loves what we see here. These three free races alone give you a strong foundation to build a Pick 3 ticket with real teeth.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

11:15 PM EDT

Trial · 350 yd · Dirt

A tightly bunched 350-yard trial where two horses at the top have actual win experience — a rare edge in a field full of winless runners that makes the top of this card more readable than most trials.

win5Ts Gray N FamousML 8/5

Ts Gray N Famous tops our TrackWiz ratings at 59.0 and carries a 50% career win percentage — a remarkable strike rate that immediately separates this horse from the unraced majority in the field. At 8/5 on the morning line, Fernando Ivan Manriquez and Cristian R. Esqueda form a sharp tandem, and when you have a horse with that kind of conversion rate in a trial setting, backing off rarely makes sense. The numbers say this is the most reliable runner in the gate.

place2Devins DreamML 2/1

Devins Dream brings the field's most eye-catching record — a perfect 100% career win percentage — though trainer Sharlene Reuer's 2/1 morning line suggests the connections are measured about the expectation. Cristian Alvarado takes the mount, and a horse that has won every time it's been asked has to be respected in the place spot even if the small sample gives pause. If Ts Gray N Famous clears, Devins Dream has shown the ability to finish the job.

show6Trs Jessa DeelightML 6/1

Trs Jessa Deelight at 6/1 brings a 51.67 TrackWiz rating and the backing of Alex Wessels, a trainer who clearly knows this circuit well given multiple starters today. Angel O. Ramirez is aboard, and in a trial where the top pair are closely matched, having a reliable third option matters for trifecta players. This one grades above the bottom half of the field and offers overlay value for exotic bettors.

Race 5

11:41 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A three-horse battle shapes up at the top of this six-furlong claimer, with a genuine pace scenario developing — the morning-line favorite may not be the best bet once the TrackWiz numbers tell the full story.

win1My JuliaML 6/1

My Julia is our top pick at 6/1 morning line, carrying the highest TrackWiz rating in the race at 82.71 and a 27% career win percentage that matches the favorite for consistency. Salvador Arceo sends this one out with Alex Birzer up — a jockey who has multiple mounts today across the card, showing he's well-connected in this meet. With an average speed figure of 55, My Julia runs back to a number that should be competitive in this spot, and the overlay price makes this the most attractive play on the card.

place3Singing EmmaML 4/5

Singing Emma is the 4/5 morning-line chalk, and a 81.0 TrackWiz rating confirms the ability is there — but that price compresses the value significantly for a horse who wins only 14% of the time. Trainer F. Dewaine Loy has Walter De La Cruz in the irons, and the average speed figure of 55 is consistent with the top of this field. Worth including in exotics as a likely finisher, but fading as a solo win bet at those odds.

show2ShemeansbiznessML 5/1

Shemeansbizness at 5/1 gives us a 78.17 TrackWiz rating and a 25% career win percentage, placing the horse firmly in contention for a share of the prize. Jon G. Arnett conditions this one, and Alfredo Triana Jr. rides — both familiar names throughout today's card. The average speed of 55 is on par with the top runners, making this a logical show-position safety net for players building trifectas.

Race 6

12:07 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Maiden Special Weight debut runners fill this 5.5-furlong dirt sprint, and with no career wins to analyze, it comes down to which barns show up best and which horses flashed something in the mornings.

win5IncreaseML 2/1

Increase grabs the top spot in our TrackWiz ratings at 58.33 and draws the 2/1 morning-line favoritism, meaning both the market and our model are aligned. Logan Ashford trains this one and gets Alfredo Triana Jr., who has been one of the busier jockeys on today's card — a sign of confidence from multiple barns. The presence of an average speed figure of 54 gives Increase a workouts-backed edge over several rivals who lack that data entirely, making this the most substantiated choice in the field.

place1Fly Dilly FlyML 5/2

Fly Dilly Fly sits just behind at 57.5 on the TrackWiz scale and opens at 5/2 on the morning line — nearly matching the favorite's market share. Kevin Eikleberry trains this one with Elvin Gonzalez up, and with no career record to lean on, the high rating and fair odds make this a strong place alternative. If the top two runners are separated by a narrow margin in the stretch, Fly Dilly Fly has the profile to hang on for second.

show3SpecialcharlatanML 9/2

Specialcharlatan is the other Logan Ashford entry in the race at 54.17 and 9/2 morning line, giving the barn a solid one-two punch with Increase. Alex Birzer gets the mount here, and having the same trainer from multiple angles creates intriguing pace and tactical options. For exotic players building trifecta tickets, having both Ashford runners — especially at these prices — is a sensible structure.

Race 7

12:33 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Desperate Man has the look of a class standout in this six-furlong claimer, but at 2/1 the value story belongs to a double-digit price runner with sneaky-good TrackWiz numbers lurking underneath.

win5Desperate ManML 2/1

Desperate Man is the clear top selection, posting the field's highest TrackWiz rating at 88.54 and a 30% career win percentage that speaks to genuine competitiveness at this level. The average speed figure of 57 is the best in the race by a full point — a meaningful edge when the difference between winning and placing can be a single length. Alex Birzer is up for Jashua Robinson, and at 2/1, the market has correctly identified this horse as the one to beat.

place6Govenor HankML 10/1

Govenor Hank at 10/1 is where the value story gets interesting for this race. A 76.3 TrackWiz rating puts this horse well clear of the bottom half of the field, and the 23% career win percentage is respectable. Steve Manley sends Walter De La Cruz out on a horse whose morning-line price feels generous — the gap between Govenor Hank's rating and Where's the Loot (66.34 at 7/5) suggests the market may be undervaluing this one. A strong play for the place spot in exotics.

show3I Got No MunnyML 6/1

I Got No Munny at 6/1 offers a 70.59 TrackWiz rating and a 20% career win percentage — both strong enough to justify a show spot in what is, at the top, a two-horse race. Jon G. Arnett's horse gets Alfredo Triana Jr., who has been active throughout today's card. In a race where the favorite should lead most of the way, the show pool is where the value concentrates, and I Got No Munny has the numbers to collect.

Race 8

12:59 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A ten-horse maiden claimer with a wide spread in TrackWiz ratings — two horses from the Kelli Martinez barn sit at the top, setting up an intriguing intra-stable dynamic in a winless field.

win4MubarezML 7/2

Mubarez leads our TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 and opens at 7/2 on the morning line, representing the best value-to-ability ratio at the top of this race. Trainer Kelli Martinez sends Walter De La Cruz to the irons — a reliable combination today — and the average speed figure of 55 is among the highest in the field. In a maiden claimer where most runners are searching for their first win, a horse whose model profile is this strong deserves top billing.

place8Dress GoodML 5/2

Dress Good is the other Martinez runner in the field, posting an 82.2 TrackWiz rating at 5/2 morning line with Alberto Pusac up. The horse trails only Mubarez in our ratings and shows an average speed of 54 — competitive with the top tier. If these two stablemates occupy the top two spots, exotic bettors with both boxed have an excellent chance to cash, and Dress Good's price makes the place position very attractive on its own.

show1PeppapeteML 6/1

Peppapete at 6/1 brings a 71.11 TrackWiz rating — well clear of the mid-pack — and an average speed of 54 that supports the model's confidence. William N. Martin trains this one with Elvin Gonzalez up, and in a large maiden claimer field where the favorites often get tangled, having a 71-rated horse at 6/1 in the show spot is a strong play. Peppapete gives trifecta players a legitimate and price-friendly third option.

Race 9

1:25 AM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The top three in our TrackWiz ratings are separated by only four points in this allowance optional claimer — an unusually tight top of card that makes the pace scenario and jockey choices critical differentiators.

win3MeroneyML 6/1

Meroney is our top pick despite opening at 6/1 on the morning line — a genuine overlay given the 82.71 TrackWiz rating that leads the field. Trainer Tyrone Gleason sends Ken S. Tohill out on a horse with a 33% career win percentage and an average speed of 55, both consistent with winning at this level. The public may be distracted by the shorter-priced favorites, but our model says Meroney has the edge, and the value at the window is real.

place1Dark VintageML 7/5

Dark Vintage is the 7/5 morning-line favorite and holds a 78.64 TrackWiz rating with a 33% career win percentage to match. Trainer Scott Becker sends Alfredo Triana Jr. — a jockey who has been in demand all night at Prairie Meadows — which adds confidence to the booking. The average speed figure of 58 is the best in the race, and while our model places Dark Vintage second, there's no fading a horse showing that kind of raw speed at the place position.

show2Casa LimonML 7/2

Casa Limon at 7/2 morning line brings a 78.11 TrackWiz rating and the field's highest career win percentage at 50% — a small-sample but impressive strike rate. Trainer Tanner Tracy hands the reins to Elvin Gonzalez, and with an average speed of 56, this horse runs back to a figure capable of earning a check. In a race where the top three are nearly indistinguishable by rating, Casa Limon at this price is a smart show-position anchor for exotic players.

Race 10

1:51 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A deep ten-horse maiden claimer at 5.5 furlongs where the field is largely winless and speed figures separate the contenders — Wagon Power emerges as a class above, but underneath is far from settled.

win8Wagon PowerML 9/2

Wagon Power tops our TrackWiz ratings at 84.9 in a field where most horses are bunched in the 50s and 60s — that kind of separation is significant in a maiden claimer. Tanner Tracy conditions this one with Elvin Gonzalez up, and an average speed figure of 54 is right on par with the competitive top tier. At 9/2 on the morning line, the price is better than it should be given the numerical edge, making this the best value play among today's longer races.

place4Rub of the GreenML 4/1

Rub of the Green at 4/1 is the second-highest-rated horse in the field at 78.7 and shows an average speed of 54 — matching the top horses in this group. Ken S. Tohill rides for trainer David D. McShane, and in a field with this much parity in the middle, having the second-best model number at a fair price is a strong place play. This one should be on every trifecta ticket.

show7Cause I'm RollinML 5/2

Cause I'm Rollin opens at 5/2 — the shortest morning line in the field outside of Wagon Power — and carries a 73.97 TrackWiz rating with an average speed of 54. Jarred Journet gets the mount for Henry Guillory Jr., and the public clearly respects this horse's chances. For exotic bettors, the 5/2 price at the show position might not be thrilling, but the underlying numbers support the confidence, and Cause I'm Rollin should be a fixture in multirace tickets.

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Today's card at Prairie Meadows has genuine top-to-bottom playability. Kiss Is On My List is the marquee name to know, Desperate Man is our top Thoroughbred pick, and My Julia is the value play we'll be watching closely in the mid-card. The free races give you a strong start — but for pace projections, exotic structures, and the full 10-race breakdown, the complete analysis is waiting for TrackWiz subscribers. Good luck out there, and as always, bet within your means.

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