Daily Picks

Prairie Meadows Picks & Predictions — July 13, 2026

Monday, July 13, 202610 racesPrairie Meadows

It's a scorcher at Prairie Meadows today — clear skies and 89°F on the thermometer, which typically means a lightning-fast dirt strip and front-runners loving every step of it. Ten races are on the board, mixing Quarter Horse sprints in the early going with traditional Thoroughbred routes later in the card, giving you plenty of angles to work regardless of what your bankroll looks like.

The card opens with a pair of free-to-view Quarter Horse contests before the Thoroughbred action really gets rolling in the middle and late races. Whether you're here for a quick two-team parlay or building out a full-card pick-4 ticket, there's something worth targeting in every block of races today.

Best Bets

Race 1

9:00 PM EDT

Optional Claiming · 870 yd · Dirt

A clear class standout tops this optional claiming sprint at 870 yards, but a pair of live longshots could make the exotics interesting if the favorite stumbles.

win5Fly Over EagleML 7/5

Fly Over Eagle lands at 7/5 on the morning line and carries a TrackWiz rating of 89.42 — the highest in the field by a comfortable margin. Trainer Tony Dean Jones saddles this one with jockey Angel O. Ramirez aboard, and the 25% career win rate shows this horse knows how to get to the wire first. In an optional claiming format where competitors can drop in class for easier opportunities, Fly Over Eagle looks like the clear class of the field. Straightforward win play.

place4Runnin MannML 3/1

Runnin Mann (3/1) posts a solid 78.51 rating — second best in the race — and trainer Robert Don Johnson sends out Kody Kellenberger, a capable pairing at this level. A 13% career win rate is respectable, and with the favorite drawing attention, Runnin Mann profiles as a logical place finisher who can grind out a spot on the board.

show2FeatherinmycapiML 8/1

Featherinmycapi is the most interesting horse in this race at 8/1, carrying a 71.22 TrackWiz rating and a remarkable 42% career win percentage — far and away the best win rate in the field. That historical strike rate suggests this horse has won when conditions align, and the price makes it a nice show ticket or exotic inclusion for bettors looking for value underneath the top two.

Race 2

9:25 PM EDT

Maiden · 400 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden dash at 400 yards with three horses clustered near the top of our ratings and none of them having ever broken their maiden — anyone's race off the gate.

win7Monday DisasturML 6/1

Monday Disastur earns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 82.71 while sitting at a generous 6/1 on the morning line — a real disconnect that makes this horse both a best bet and a value play. Trainer William S. Harris and jockey Cristian R. Esqueda team up here, and in a field where every horse is looking for their first win, having the highest-rated horse at a double-digit morning line price is exactly the spot to take a swing. The name may be questionable, the form is not.

place4Z RexxML 5/2

Z Rexx holds the second-highest rating at 78.64 and opens as the 5/2 second choice, pairing trainer Haley N. Hobbs with jockey Fernando Fonseca-Soto. Given that Hobbs also saddles Brother Tommy in Race 1, she's clearly active on the card, and Z Rexx figures to be pointed sharp. A logical place finisher with above-average ratings in a bunch.

show2First Midnight MoonML 3/1

First Midnight Moon comes in at 3/1 with a 77.47 rating and gets the call from trainer Jason L. Olmstead with Armando Alvidrez riding. The rating is close enough to Z Rexx that a pace meltdown in this short dash could easily shuffle the order — First Midnight Moon represents solid show value and a natural exotic inclusion in a race where the top three are separated by just over five points.

Race 3

9:50 PM EDT

Maiden · 330 yd · Dirt

Tony Dean Jones dominates this maiden 330-yard dash with three runners in the field, setting up a fascinating intra-stable dynamic that could muddy the pace picture right out of the gates.

win1Coronas HeartlandML 2/1

Coronas Heartland opens as the 2/1 morning-line favorite and holds the top TrackWiz rating at 58.33 in a field where scores are genuinely bunched. Trainer Edward Ross Hardy sends this one out with Angel O. Ramirez, who also has the mount on the favorite in Race 1 — a busy and confident book. In a 330-yard blast, gate speed and reaction time are everything, and the top rating combined with morning-line favoritism suggests the connections expect a sharp effort.

place6Ts a Fast DivaML 5/2

Ts a Fast Diva (5/2) is trained by Tony Dean Jones — who also runs Reds Lil Runner and Kan I Get an Amen in this same race — and rates at 57.50, just a hair below the top pick. When a trainer saddles three horses and one of them is the second choice on the morning line, that's usually the stable's main hope. Giovany Estrada takes the mount and this one looks like the Tony Dean Jones horse to use.

show5Reds Lil RunnerML 3/1

Reds Lil Runner rounds out our ticket at 3/1 with a 56.67 rating — the third-best mark in the field and another Jones runner. In a sprint this short, it's hard to overcome post position and gate issues, but having three horses in the race gives the barn a real shot at sweeping the board. At 3/1, Reds Lil Runner offers solid show value if you're playing exactas or trifectas underneath.

Our three free races cover a nice cross-section of today's action. In Race 1 — an Optional Claiming sprint at 870 yards — Fly Over Eagle (morning line 7/5, TrackWiz rating 89.42) looks like the class of the field and earns our top mark for the early card. Race 2 flips to the classic 400-yard maiden distance, and our TrackWiz model finds real value in Monday Disastur at 6/1 on the morning line — that kind of price for an 82-point rating in a maiden field is the kind of overlay we love to flag. Race 3 is a tight 330-yard dash, and while Coronas Heartland draws the top spot at 2/1, the 58-point rating suggests a genuinely wide-open race — tread carefully with your bankroll here.

The hot, dry conditions favor horses with early foot today, and in short-distance Quarter Horse sprints that edge is amplified even further. Keep that pace bias in mind as you build your tickets.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

10:15 PM EDT

Maiden · 250 yd · Dirt

Bad N Bougie 123 dominates the ratings in this maiden 250-yard dash and comes in as a heavy 8/5 favorite — the question is whether anyone can close the gap in the shortest sprint on the card.

win3Bad N Bougie 123ML 8/5

Bad N Bougie 123 posts an 89.12 TrackWiz rating — nearly 23 points clear of the next-best horse in the field — and is the overwhelming 8/5 morning-line choice in this maiden 250-yard event. Trainer Fernando Ivan Manriquez teams up with Miguel Josue Ramirez, who is active throughout this card. In a race this short, raw ability often wins out, and Bad N Bougie 123 looks like it has that in spades. This is a race where the favorite is worthy of straight win play.

place6Kissing JuniperML 9/2

Kissing Juniper holds a 66.41 rating — the second-best figure in the field by a meaningful margin — and opens at 9/2 with Cody Rodger Smith riding for trainer Tyler Stein. Stein also has One Lone Eagle in the race, but Kissing Juniper's notably higher rating suggests this is the barn's main play. A solid place bet behind the heavy favorite.

show1Hesa Scat KatML 4/1

Hesa Scat Kat sits third in the ratings at 55.00 and draws the inside post with jockey Luis Luna Ramirez for trainer Jose Ibarra. Post position 1 can be an advantage in ultra-short dashes, and the 4/1 morning line puts this one in range as an exotic piece. If Bad N Bougie 123 and Kissing Juniper fight it out up front, Hesa Scat Kat could be there to collect.

Race 5

10:41 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Crimson Tapestry towers over this maiden claiming field at 6 furlongs and figures to be tested only by the pace setup — if she breaks clean, this could be a wire-to-wire affair.

win4Crimson TapestryML 6/5

Crimson Tapestry is the standout in this maiden claiming event, carrying an 89.71 TrackWiz rating — the highest figure in the field — while posting an average speed of 53 and opening as the 6/5 morning-line hammer. Trainer Kelli Martinez and jockey Walter De La Cruz form a capable team, and at 6 furlongs on dirt, Crimson Tapestry's figures give her a clear edge. Among a field of first-time and light-experience maidens, this is the kind of race where the top-rated horse is worth playing to win, not just underneath.

place5Post HasteML 3/1

Post Haste (3/1) sits second in our ratings at 55.21 with an average speed of 53 — matching Crimson Tapestry's figure — and Alfredo Triana, Jr. rides for trainer Lane D. Johnston. If there's any pace pressure early that takes something out of the favorite, Post Haste looks like the most likely beneficiary. A sensible place selection at a fair price.

show6Belfast GirlML 6/1

Belfast Girl opens at 6/1 with a 51.67 rating and an average speed of 51, which trails the top two but keeps her competitive in this maiden claiming level. Glenn W. Corbett gets the call for trainer David Tibbitts, and at 6/1 there's legitimate show value here for exotic players. In a field where no horse has ever won, anything can happen and Belfast Girl represents a reasonable hedge.

Race 6

11:07 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Sensible Choice arrives as a legitimate class threat in this dirt claiming mile, but Red Eleanor's superior average speed and solid career win rate make the race more competitive than the morning line might suggest.

win3Sensible ChoiceML 5/2

Sensible Choice carries an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the best in this claiming field — and trainer Bonnie Birzer also has Ellll E entered, making this a two-pronged stable attack. Alex Birzer takes the mount, which is the trainer's own family connection — jockey-trainer combos like this often signal a barn that is serious about winning. A 10% career win rate in what has been competitive company, combined with an average speed of 53 across the board, makes Sensible Choice our top selection at 5/2.

place1Red EleanorML 3/1

Red Eleanor is the most interesting horse underneath at 3/1, posting a career win rate of 15% and the highest average speed in the field at 54. Trainer Schuyler Condon sends her out with Israel Hernandez up, and the speed figure edge over most rivals here is real. The 79.14 rating is second-best in the race and the combination of solid speed and a decent win rate makes Red Eleanor a logical place pick — and honestly, a horse that could outrun her odds.

show4Ellll EML 5/1

Ellll E (5/1) is the second Bonnie Birzer entry and has a career win rate of 25% — the third-highest in this field behind C'Mon Lucky and Grand Prairie Gal. Alfredo Triana, Jr. rides, and with a 55.71 rating and an average speed of 53, this one holds her own against these. The stable's win chances increase significantly with two live horses, and Ellll E is a solid show ticket and trifecta inclusion.

Race 7

11:33 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

High Class Lady dominates the morning line and the ratings in this maiden claiming route, but Mythical Journey's top average speed figure creates at least one legitimate speed threat to keep in the mix.

win7High Class LadyML 7/5

High Class Lady tops our TrackWiz ratings at 89.42 and opens as the 7/5 favorite, with Walter De La Cruz aboard for trainer Kelli Martinez — who also has a strong presence on today's overall card. An average speed of 54 is impressive in this maiden claiming company, and the significant rating gap over the field (nearly 20 points over the next-best horse) suggests this is a legitimate standout. Martinez has shown she knows how to get horses ready, and High Class Lady looks like a prime winning candidate.

place4Hurrikane WarningML 8/1

Hurrikane Warning at 8/1 is genuinely interesting — a 69.96 rating is well ahead of most of the field, and the average speed of 53 is competitive. Trainer Brandi Jo Fett sends this one out with Alex Birzer up, a pairing worth noting, and the morning line price of 8/1 looks generous for a horse with the second-best figure in the race. If High Class Lady faces any trouble, Hurrikane Warning is well-positioned to grab second.

show6Mythical JourneyML 9/5

Mythical Journey sits third in our ratings at 53.37 but actually has the BEST average speed figure in the race at 55 — faster than even the favorite. Trainer Tristan Ashford sends this one out with Elvin Gonzalez up at 9/5 on the morning line. The speed figure is genuinely eye-catching and suggests Mythical Journey may have shown real ability in works or previous efforts. Worth including in trifectas as a live show contender.

Race 8

11:59 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open claiming sprint where our top-rated horse opens at double-digit odds — the pace setup and figure analysis point in an unexpected direction that the morning line hasn't fully accounted for.

win4MidshakinML 10/1

Midshakin is our top pick at a juicy 10/1 morning line despite carrying a 76.88 TrackWiz rating — the best in this 5½-furlong claiming field. Trainer Kelli Martinez doubles up with True Jedi in the race, but it's Midshakin who holds the superior figures and a solid 18% career win rate. Walter De La Cruz gets the call, and with an average speed of 55 and a 10/1 price tag, this is one of the better value plays on the entire card. The morning line has significantly underpriced this horse's chances.

place1Copper EchoML 6/1

Copper Echo (6/1) brings the second-best TrackWiz rating in the field at 72.48 and an average speed of 55 — matching the top horses on that metric. Trainer Jon G. Arnett sends this one out with Orlando Mojica up, and a 9% career win rate isn't flashy but is consistent at this level. At 6/1, Copper Echo is a solid place selection and a natural exotic inclusion in a field where the morning line is all over the place.

show7Seeking SawyerML 5/2

Seeking Sawyer (5/2) has the best career win rate in this field at 27% and the top average speed figure at 56 — two legitimate reasons to be involved in the exotics. Trainer Oscar Flores and jockey Ramon A. Vazquez combine for a competitive entry at a fair price. The 63.27 rating trails our top two selections, but that 27% win rate tells you this horse has competed and won at a respectable clip — don't leave it out of your trifectas.

Race 9

12:25 AM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Sprint Out Pass enters this allowance optional claiming field as a significant class and rating edge while drawing a field where the pace scenario looks relatively straightforward over 6 furlongs.

win3Sprint Out PassML 3/1

Sprint Out Pass carries an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — the highest in the field by roughly 30 points — and opens at 3/1, which represents real value for a horse this clearly superior on our figures. Trainer Kelli Martinez has been one of the more active and productive conditioners on today's card, and Walter De La Cruz gets the mount. An average speed of 55 is competitive, and in allowance optional claiming company, a horse with this kind of rating advantage is rare. Circle this one.

place1Golden LunaML 2/1

Golden Luna (2/1) is the morning-line favorite despite being second-best in our ratings — a 57.86 mark and an average speed of 56 make her legitimate, and Elvin Gonzalez rides for Todd James Jordan. A 15% career win rate adds credibility, and the 2/1 price suggests the public may know something about this filly's recent works or condition. A logical place selection whether you agree with the public or prefer Sprint Out Pass on top.

show2ValeML 5/2

Vale (5/2) profiles as a solid show ticket with a 55.09 rating and the same average speed of 56 as Golden Luna and J.P. Race. Trainer F. Dewaine Loy sends this one out with Glenn W. Corbett, and a 12% career win rate keeps Vale competitive in this group. The clustering of average speeds at 56 for several horses here makes the pace scenario potentially hot early, which could set up Vale as a steady closer who picks up the pieces for third.

Race 10

12:51 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Prince and Penny heads this maiden special weight finale with a dominant rating, but Galvanizer lurks as a major threat, and Vino Vida's presence makes the trifecta genuinely interesting at a price.

win4Prince and PennyML 2/1

Prince and Penny lands as the 2/1 morning-line favorite with a stellar 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the top figure in this maiden special weight field. Trainer Tanner Tracy deploys Orlando Mojica, who has been quietly active on the night card, and an average speed of 55 is right in line with the best horses in this race. In maiden special weight events, which typically feature the most talented unraced horses, a rating this decisive is meaningful and Prince and Penny deserves top billing in your wagering.

place8GalvanizerML 5/2

Galvanizer (5/2) is no slouch — an 80.95 rating is the second-best figure in the field, and trainer Brandi Jo Fett puts Glenn W. Corbett up with an average speed of 55. Fett also has King George in this race, but Galvanizer's significantly higher rating makes this the stable's main play. The 5/2 price is fair but not generous for a horse this close to the favorite on our ratings — solid place bet.

show7Vino VidaML 6/1

Vino Vida opens at 6/1 with a 74.32 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field — and Walter De La Cruz gets the mount for trainer Pam Schutz. The average speed of 55 matches the top horses, and in a maiden special weight race where the top two horses are both legitimate, Vino Vida at a double-digit implied probability is a very reasonable show play and a strong trifecta inclusion. Don't overlook the price here.

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Prairie Meadows is cooking today — literally. Fast dirt, short fields, and a handful of horses priced wrong by the morning line add up to a card with real opportunity. Fly Over Eagle and Monday Disastur are our standout free plays, but the real meat of the card is in the premium races. Get the full analysis, pace projections, and exotic strategies by subscribing at TrackWiz Premium — and good luck at the windows.

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