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Prairie Meadows Picks & Predictions — June 28, 2026

June 28, 20269 racesAll Prairie Meadows picks

This card ran on June 28, 2026.

Best bets at Prairie Meadows, June 28, 2026

Race 12Painted IvoryML 7/55:00 PM EDT

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It's a scorcher out at Prairie Meadows today — clear skies and 90°F heat with nine races on tap, mixing quick-burst quarter-horse sprints with longer thoroughbred routes on a dirt surface that figures to play fast all afternoon.

The card has a little of everything: short-format maiden claimers to kick things off, a couple of distance tests stretching past the mile marker, and a starter allowance late in the day that could produce some serious fireworks. Heat like this can sap energy late in a race, so watch how those longer routes unfold in the afternoon sun.

TrackWiz has combed through the full nine-race card and found plays at multiple price points — including a few spots where the morning line looks a bit generous. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

5:00 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claiming sprint at 250 yards where TrackWiz ratings separate the field clearly — the morning line favorite also tops our numbers, but there's legitimate depth in the middle of the pack.

win2Painted IvoryML 7/5

Painted Ivory tops the TrackWiz ratings at 59.33 and is the morning line favorite at 7/5, and in a short sprint like this those two factors aligning is meaningful. Trainer Fernando Ivan Manriquez sends her out with jockey Mauro Jesus Rodriguez, a pairing worth noting in what is a maiden field with zero career wins across the board. At 250 yards, speed out of the gate is everything, and our analysis gives Painted Ivory the biggest edge in this department.

place6Da HoochML 7/2

Da Hooch comes in second in the TrackWiz ratings at 55.83 and is posted at 7/2 on the morning line — solid value for a place ticket in a wide-open maiden field. Trainer Tyler Stein has Cristian R. Esqueda up, and in a race this short, post position and break quality matter enormously, so keep an eye on how she loads.

show4Lil Special WagonML 5/1

Lil Special Wagon checks in with a 53.33 TrackWiz rating and 5/1 morning line odds, making her a reasonable exotic inclusion. Trainer Alex Wessels also saddles Eagles Little Diva in this race, which shows barn confidence in the race — and Lil Special Wagon is clearly the preferred of the two based on both the morning line and our ratings.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

5:25 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

One horse stands dramatically apart from the rest of this maiden field — Surely Not Me's TrackWiz rating towers over the competition, making this look like a near single in race-2 exotics.

win5Surely Not MeML 2/1

Surely Not Me carries a 88.54 TrackWiz rating — a full 32 points above the second-ranked horse in this field — and that kind of separation in a maiden 300-yard dash is hard to ignore. Trainer Jason L. Olmstead also handles Race 3's top pick, suggesting a barn that is sharp and rolling right now. Jockey Ryder Olmstead gets the call, keeping this a tight family operation, and at 2/1 the price is fair for what our analysis says is the class of this field.

place7Redneck GirlML 7/2

Redneck Girl slots in at 55.83 on the TrackWiz scale and is posted at 7/2 on the morning line, making her the logical place horse behind the standout. Trainer Fernando Ivan Manriquez teams up again with Mauro Jesus Rodriguez — the same combination we're backing in Race 1 — and that dual-race presence from a single trainer suggests good form in the barn.

show4High Flying Shake IaML 4/1

High Flying Shake Ia rates at 55.00 and goes off at 4/1, sitting right in the middle of the pack behind our top two. Trainer Alex Wessels also has entries in Race 1, showing a strong book of horses on the card today, and at 4/1 this one offers enough value to round out an exacta or trifecta ticket in what should be a race dominated by Surely Not Me.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

The first three races on today's card are fully unlocked for every TrackWiz reader. Painted Ivory opens things up in the 250-yard maiden claimer carrying a 7/5 morning line — short price, but our rating of 59.33 tells you this one comes with a question mark worth watching. In Race 2, Surely Not Me earns one of the stronger free-race ratings on the card at 88.54 going 300 yards, and at 2/1 on the morning line there's at least some value to work with if the horse breaks cleanly from the gate.

The early standout among the free picks is Holliewood in Race 3 — an allowance sprint at 300 yards where a 7/2 morning line against a rating of 86.35 looks like a spot the market may be underestimating. Quarter-horse sprints are all about reaction time and early burst, and the pace scenario here sets up cleanly. These three races give you a solid foundation for early multi-race wagers, with Surely Not Me and Holliewood as the anchors to build around.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

5:50 PM EDT

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

This 300-yard allowance features real class within the field — multiple horses carrying double-digit career win percentages — and a pair of high-rated TrackWiz horses at overlaid morning line prices.

win2HolliewoodML 7/2

Holliewood is the standout here with a 86.35 TrackWiz rating and an eye-catching 50% career win percentage — meaning she wins half her starts, which is elite for any level. Trainer Jason L. Olmstead saddles both Holliewood and the morning line favorite Jess a Frenchy Girl in this race, and the 7/2 odds on Holliewood look like a gift given the win percentage and ratings edge. Armando Alvidrez gets the ride and figures to be live from a good post.

place6RebelutionaryML 6/1

Rebelutionary rates at 75.05 and carries a 30% career win percentage, which makes her a legitimate threat in what is a competitive allowance field. Trainer Manuel Mojica Campos sends her out with Alfredo Triana, Jr. in the irons, and at 6/1 on the morning line, she's a genuine overlay if the pari-mutuel board confirms that price — a strong place and exotic play.

show5Cowboy 123ML 4/1

Cowboy 123 posts a 73.79 TrackWiz rating alongside a 33% career win percentage, making him statistically one of the more accomplished runners in the field. Trainer Alex Wessels fields entries across multiple races today, and the 4/1 morning line on Cowboy 123 represents decent value for show tickets and trifecta coverage behind our top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

6:16 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

A maiden special weight sprint at six furlongs where one horse separates himself sharply from a closely bunched mid-pack — a potential singles race in the middle of the card.

win6GalvanizerML 7/5

Galvanizer is the standout with a 89.42 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this field by a considerable margin — and draws the 7/5 morning line favorite tab, so the crowd agrees. Trainer Brandi Jo Fett hands the reins to Glenn W. Corbett, and with an average speed figure of 55, Galvanizer matches the top speed figures in this field. In a maiden special weight sprint, class and preparation are paramount, and our analysis says this horse has both.

place3Added TimeML 3/1

Added Time rates at 56.67 — the second-best mark in the field — and is posted at 3/1 on the morning line with Orlando Mojica up for trainer Tom Wellington. An average speed of 55 puts him right in line with the bulk of the field, and if Galvanizer encounters any traffic trouble at the break, Added Time is the most logical beneficiary.

show5SailormanML 4/1

Sailorman checks in at a 55.00 TrackWiz rating with an average speed of 55, and the 4/1 morning line from trainer Tyrone Gleason suggests the barn believes he's ready. Ken S. Tohill is a capable jockey at Prairie Meadows, and Sailorman's ability to match the field on raw speed figures makes him a logical show bet and trifecta anchor.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

6:42 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

The pace scenario here is fascinating — the morning line favorite is not our top-rated horse, which sets up a genuine value angle at better than 5/1 in an allowance optional claiming route.

win3CybertownML 5/1

Cybertown tops our TrackWiz ratings at 84.17 — well clear of the field — yet opens at 5/1 on the morning line while the crowd leans toward Conquering Cat at 6/5. That kind of disconnect between our numbers and the morning line is exactly the spot we look for. Trainer Casey Schleis has Glenn W. Corbett up, and with an average speed of 55 over a mile-plus trip, Cybertown's stamina looks solid. At 5/1, this is the best value play on the card for the route races.

place1ZataraML 3/1

Zatara rates at 57.08 with an 18% career win rate and draws the services of Orlando Mojica for trainer Jon G. Arnett. The 3/1 morning line is fair, and while Zatara isn't the class of the field, the ability to run over a mile and the consistent career win percentage suggest he'll be in the hunt late — a logical place horse if Cybertown gets the job done up front.

show4Happy StrikeML 2/1

Happy Strike carries a 27% career win percentage — the highest in this field — and is posted at 2/1 on the morning line, reflecting legitimate public support. Trainer F. Dewaine Loy also fields Brahms Image, but Happy Strike is clearly the stable's main hope with Alfredo Triana, Jr. riding. His average speed of 54 is just a tick off the leaders, and he makes sense as a show bet or trifecta piece given the win percentage.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 6

7:08 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A deep eight-horse claiming field at 5½ furlongs where pace is likely to be contested — and two overlaid horses in our top three make for a compelling exotics race.

win8Morning CupML 5/2

Morning Cup leads our TrackWiz ratings at 81.61 with a 21% career win percentage and an average speed figure of 55, posting at 5/2 on the morning line with Alex Birzer in the irons for trainer Jon G. Arnett. In a claiming sprint, raw speed and class consistency are the keys, and Morning Cup grades out best in this field on both counts. Birzer is a reliable hand at Prairie Meadows and should put this horse in a good spot early.

place2BiyomboML 8/1

Biyombo is the value angle here — an 8/1 morning line price despite a 79.79 TrackWiz rating that is second-best in the field, and an average speed figure of 57 that is the highest of any horse in this race. Trainer Kevin Eikleberry has Elvin Gonzalez up, and if Biyombo breaks cleanly and gets into a good rhythm, the 8/1 tag on a horse with those raw numbers is a significant overlay worth attacking in exactas.

show4Chun MoneyML 2/1

Chun Money rates at 75.35 with a 17% career win percentage and draws 2/1 on the morning line — clear public respect — with Walter De La Cruz for trainer William N. Martin. The average speed of 55 keeps him competitive on figures, and at a price that the crowd trusts, he's a solid show option and trifecta leg for a race we see going to Morning Cup.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 7

7:34 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The morning line tells one story in this maiden claiming sprint — Street Twirl opens at 3/5 — but our TrackWiz ratings tell a different one, with Miss Bowring sitting at the top of the numbers despite going off at 8/1.

win1Miss BowringML 8/1

Miss Bowring tops the TrackWiz ratings at 79.79 and opens at 8/1 on the morning line — the biggest gap between our numbers and the public price on today's card. Trainer Jose Ibarra has Alberto Pusac up, and with an average speed figure of 54 that matches Street Twirl's figure, the class edge in our model is what separates her. This is the kind of bet TrackWiz analysis is built for — a top-rated horse at a generous morning line price.

place3Avery CountyML 5/1

Avery County rates at 78.71 — just a hair behind Miss Bowring — and is posted at 5/1 with Elvin Gonzalez riding for trainer Kevin Eikleberry. The one concern is her average speed figure of 52, which is the lowest among the horses who have figures in this field, but the overall rating suggests she compensates in other areas. At 5/1, she's a strong place candidate and a key trifecta component.

show2Street TwirlML 3/5

Street Twirl is the morning line favorite at 3/5 and carries a 76.36 TrackWiz rating — third in the field — with Alex Birzer up for trainer Logan Ashford. She's not our top pick, but at short odds she'll likely be heavily bet, and an average speed figure of 54 keeps her in contention on raw performance. We have her third in our analysis, but she's a legitimate threat to win outright if the crowd's money is right.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

8:00 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

Trainer Kelli Martinez runs three horses in this starter allowance sprint, creating an interesting barn dynamic — and our top pick carries both the highest rating and a competitive career win percentage.

win1Night BirdieML 3/1

Night Birdie leads the TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 with a 21% career win percentage and an average speed figure of 54, going off at 3/1 on the morning line with Elvin Gonzalez riding for trainer Kelli Martinez. What stands out here is that Martinez also runs Lady Riley and My Maybelenne in this race — and Night Birdie is the one our model grades highest among the three, suggesting Gonzalez has the barn's best shot. At 3/1 with the top figure, this is a strong best bet.

place2Lady RileyML 7/2

Lady Riley posts a 74.30 TrackWiz rating alongside a 38% career win percentage — the highest win rate in this field by a significant margin. Trainer Kelli Martinez sends out Alberto Pusac on this one, and that 38% career win figure is genuinely elite; horses who win at that rate tend to find their way to the board consistently. At 7/2, she's a fair price for a place ticket and a natural exacta partner with Night Birdie.

show3My JuliaML 5/1

My Julia rates at 63.27 with a 29% career win percentage and posts at 5/1 on the morning line with Alfredo Triana, Jr. for trainer Salvador Arceo. The 29% career win rate is legitimate, and Triana is one of the stronger jockeys on this card overall. At 5/1 with solid underlying numbers, My Julia rounds out a logical trifecta combination behind the Martinez barn runners.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 9

8:26 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

The finale is a mile-and-70-yard claiming route with two horses who rate significantly above the field — but the morning line and our top pick happen to be the same horse, making the closer look at value horses essential for exotic plays.

win8AbsarokaML 2/1

Absaroka tops the TrackWiz ratings at 88.54 and opens as the 2/1 morning line favorite with Alfredo Triana, Jr. aboard for trainer Oscar Flores. A 23% career win percentage in a claiming route is respectable, and the average speed figure of 53 fits the distance profile well. Triana has been busy all card and figures to put Absaroka in a good striking position around the far turn.

place4Battle CruiserML 5/2

Battle Cruiser rates at 79.19 — second in this field — and is posted at 5/2 with Ken S. Tohill for trainer CC Perkinson. The average speed figure of 55 is actually the highest of the top three rated horses in this race, which suggests Battle Cruiser can match strides on raw speed even if the overall model favors Absaroka. At 5/2, the place price won't be rich, but he belongs on the ticket.

show5Mr. ThunderstruckML 7/2

Mr. Thunderstruck checks in at 75.85 with a 10% career win percentage and draws 7/2 on the morning line with Elvin Gonzalez up for trainer Kelli Martinez — the same barn that runs two horses in Race 8. The career win rate is modest, but Gonzalez has been riding live horses all card, and the average speed figure of 53 over a route trip makes Mr. Thunderstruck a reasonable show ticket and trifecta piece in what should be a competitive finish behind our top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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Nine races, fast dirt, and serious heat — Prairie Meadows is serving up a full menu today. Holliewood and Surely Not Me are the free-play anchors early, while Cybertown and Miss Bowring represent the kind of price plays that can turn a good day into a great one. Subscribers have the full road map. Good luck out there — and as always, bet smart.

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