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Parx Racing Picks & Predictions — September 14, 2026

September 14, 20269 racesAll Parx Racing picks

It's a beautiful Monday at Parx Racing — clear skies, 74°F, and a fast dirt strip that should reward front-runners and closers alike. Nine races are on the board today, spanning maiden claimers, allowance company, and a pair of Starter Optional Claiming routes that could get interesting late.

The card leans heavily on the dirt, with distances ranging from a snappy six furlongs up to a mile and 70 yards in Race 6. That variety means pace scenarios will shift dramatically throughout the afternoon, and reading those setups correctly is where the real edge lives.

Our TrackWiz models processed the full field and came away with strong opinions on several races — including a couple of plays at prices that could make your afternoon very profitable. Let's break it down.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:40 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

A maiden claiming opener where one horse stands well above the rest on TrackWiz ratings — but the morning line tells a different story, making the top pick a potential overlay.

win8Anita GlassofwineML 2/1

Anita Glassofwine is the clear standout here, posting a TrackWiz rating of 88.54 that dwarfs the rest of this maiden claiming field. Roberto J. Rosado conditions her, and Dexter Haddock gets the call from the saddle. She's the morning line favorite at 2/1, and with an average speed figure of 52, she's right in the mix on that front as well. In a field full of first-time winless runners, that rating gap is hard to ignore.

place4Cocoa NimbusML 4/1

Cocoa Nimbus checks in with the second-highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 65.94 and the top average speed figure of 53 among the contenders. Trainer Jacinto Solis — who also saddles the #1 — has a good feel for this level, and Luis M. Ocasio is a capable hand. At 4/1 on the morning line, she represents solid place value if Anita Glassofwine handles the spotlight.

show1Sand QueenML 9/2

Sand Queen comes in with a 65.68 TrackWiz rating, nearly matching stablemate Cocoa Nimbus, and Jacinto Solis having two horses in the race is worth noting — trainers don't double up without confidence in both. Francisco Martinez rides, and the 9/2 morning line offers some cushion in exotic tickets. She's a reasonable show anchor in what figures to be a chalk-heavy pool.

Race 2

5:07 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Two horses are separated from the pack by a significant ratings margin, setting up a likely two-horse show — but the morning line favorite isn't our top pick, which creates some interesting value.

win3Buff GaryML 7/2

Buff Gary leads our TrackWiz analysis with an 83.31 rating and the field's top average speed figure of 53, yet the morning line has him at a generous 7/2. Trainer James F. Noble sends him out with Silvestre Gonzalez in the irons, and in a maiden claiming sprint, that combination of raw speed output and analytical edge makes him our top selection. When the ratings say one thing and the odds say another, that's a value window worth stepping through.

place5Matzoball MuhammetML 6/1

Matzoball Muhammet is only a whisker behind Buff Gary with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating and also clocks an average speed figure of 53 — this is a legitimate pace scenario waiting to develop. At 6/1 on the morning line, Kleiner A. Mejias gets a live ride here with Tony Perez Flores training. If Buff Gary gets any pressure early, Matzoball Muhammet has the numbers to capitalize and hit the board.

show2Irish MambaML 8/5

Irish Mamba is the morning line favorite at 8/5, trained by respected conditioner John C. Servis and showing a 72.1 TrackWiz rating — notably lower than our top two, which is part of why we slide him to show. Magglio Sanchez rides, and Servis's familiarity with winning at this level is a real factor. He's a reasonable exotic anchor, just not the best value at the top of the ticket.

Race 3

5:34 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

This claiming sprint features a pair of high-rated contenders going head-to-head in what looks like a true pace duel — with a vulnerable morning line favorite sitting between them.

win1SmallchangegeepML 9/2

Smallchangegeep tops the field with an 84.90 TrackWiz rating and carries a 16% career win rate — respectable numbers for this claiming level. Bryan L. Torres gets the mount for trainer Ilias Tapsas, and at 9/2 on the morning line, the odds suggest some bettors are looking past him. His average speed figure of 52 is serviceable over 7 furlongs, and if he gets a good trip from the rail, he can control or sit close to a potentially hot pace.

place3Wicked MelodyML 3/1

Wicked Melody is a near-match at 83.17 on the TrackWiz scale and brings a 12% career win rate into the equation. Reylu Gutierrez rides for Ernesto Padilla-Preciado, a barn that knows how to get horses ready on the dirt sprint. She's the 3/1 morning line choice, meaning she's short, but the place pool could still offer value if the top two finishers include our win pick.

show5NotturnoML 5/2

Notturno comes in at 5/2 on the morning line — the co-favorite — with a 65.31 TrackWiz rating and a solid 16% career win rate under trainer Ruperto A. Perez, who also runs Reverse the Curse. Eliseo Ruiz pilots, and while the rating gap versus the top two is meaningful, Notturno's odds make him a logical show anchor for exotic plays. He won't sneak up on anyone, but he's consistent enough to hit the board.

We're opening the card with three free looks, and they cover the first three races — all on the dirt, all at sprint distances of 6½ furlongs or 7 furlongs. Anita Glassofwine (Race 1, morning line 2/1) tops our model at an 88.54 TrackWiz rating, the highest mark among today's free picks, and she looks well-positioned in what shapes up as a manageable maiden claiming opener. Buff Gary (Race 2, 7/2 ML) is the most interesting price of the free trio — that morning line suggests the market isn't fully sold, but our 83.31 rating says there's a case to be made. Smallchangegeep rounds out the free card in Race 3's claiming sprint at 9/2, a price worth respecting in a field where class edges can be meaningful.

With the dirt playing fast under ideal conditions, watch for horses that can get to the front or sit just off the pace in these early sprints — the surface today should be friendly to that style all afternoon.

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Race 4

6:01 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

A Maiden Special Weight sprint that's locked between two horses with near-identical TrackWiz ratings — the real question is whether the morning line chalks or our slight top pick can edge it out.

win1ThisgirlsgotchillML 5/2

Thisgirlsgotchill earns the top rating in our analysis at 87.81 despite going off at 5/2 on the morning line — second choice to Slash Alley. Trained by Kathleen A. Demasi and ridden by Mychel J. Sanchez, she shows an average speed figure of 53 over the 6-furlong distance. In an MSW sprint where talent often surfaces quickly, that rating edge — even if slim — is the deciding factor in our selection.

place6Slash AlleyML 8/5

Slash Alley is essentially a dead heat with our top pick at an 85.79 TrackWiz rating and is the morning line favorite at 8/5, trained by Louis C. Linder, Jr. and handled by the always-dangerous Paco Lopez. Lopez has a knack for getting the most out of horses in short sprints, and the combination of a top-tier rider and strong rating makes her an obvious place pick. The short price hurts the win value, but she belongs on all tickets.

show3Catch Me a CatchML 9/2

Catch Me a Catch rates third in the field at 58.23 on the TrackWiz scale and connects with Luis M. Ocasio for the Linder barn — yes, same trainer as Slash Alley, which is notable. When a trainer runs two horses in a maiden race, both deserve respect. At 9/2, there's enough price on Catch Me a Catch to make her a show play or a key in tri boxes if you think the barn has this race well mapped out.

Race 5

6:28 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Wide-open MSW sprint with a legitimate pace battle brewing — the morning line favorite isn't our top pick, and there's a real value opportunity lurking in the middle of the program.

win3WholelotoftroubleML 3/1

Wholelotoftrouble tops our TrackWiz model at 87.08 and goes at 3/1 morning line — better odds than the short-priced chalk. Carlos E. Caban trains, and Luis M. Ocasio gets the mount in a race where pace figures to be honest. The average speed figure of 53 is solid, and the rating gap over the rest of the field — except Highway Patrol — is meaningful enough to trust in a first-level sprint.

place2Highway PatrolML 4/1

Highway Patrol brings the field's best average speed figure at 55, a number that genuinely stands out in this spot. Trained by Robert Mosco and ridden by Jorge A. Vargas, Jr., he rates second on our model at 74.11. The 4/1 morning line offers fair value, and a horse with that kind of raw speed output in a 6-furlong dash should at minimum be fighting for a piece of the purse.

show5Lasting QualityML 10/1

Lasting Quality is a quiet 10/1 on the morning line but ranks third in TrackWiz ratings at 59.08 — not a world-beater, but better than his price suggests. Dexter Haddock rides for Miguel A. Rodriguez, and an average speed figure of 54 puts him right in the pace conversation. If the favorites beat each other up, Lasting Quality has the numbers to sneak into the show spot at a price that rewards the risk.

Race 6

6:55 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A Starter Optional Claiming route where one horse owns a class-defining edge in both career win percentage and TrackWiz rating — but the pace scenario over a mile and 70 yards could get complicated.

win6TranscendentalML 5/2

Transcendental is a standout here with a TrackWiz rating of 87.81 — well clear of the field — and a career win rate of 29%, the highest in the race. Jorge A. Vargas, Jr. gets the mount for trainer Esteban Padilla, a strong jockey-trainer connection. Over a route of ground, that 29% win rate isn't an accident, and an average speed figure of 53 keeps him competitive on the time sheet. At 5/2 on the morning line, this is one of the more confident top picks on the card.

place3We ReadyML 3/1

We Ready rates second in our model at 64.02 and goes at 3/1 — the morning line's second choice — for trainer Bernard G. Dunham with Andrew Wolfsont riding. A 10% career win rate in this company is workable, and his average speed figure of 53 matches the top picks. In a route race where pace can get messy, a horse with steady numbers and fair odds is a reliable place play.

show5DenyingML 2/1

Denying is the morning line favorite at 2/1 despite ranking third in our TrackWiz ratings at 62.67, which is an interesting disconnect. Paco Lopez — one of the sharpest riders at Parx — takes the mount for Wayne Potts, and that booking alone keeps Denying in the conversation. A 11% career win rate is modest, but Lopez has a way of manufacturing wins from average positions, making Denying a sensible show anchor.

Race 7

7:22 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

A deep MSW sprint with legitimate top-end talent spread across three horses — the morning line underestimates our top pick, and two Jacinto Solis runners add an interesting trainer angle.

win2Haunting EchoesML 7/2

Haunting Echoes leads the field with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating and also boasts the top average speed figure in the race at 54. Trained by Louis C. Linder, Jr. and with Andrew Wolfsont aboard, she's got the raw ability to control this maiden race from the front or close from just off it. At 7/2 on the morning line, the odds aren't outrageous but represent value relative to the rating, making her our top pick in what could be a tricky MSW affair.

place6AncientML 9/2

Ancient rates a strong 80.50 on the TrackWiz scale and goes at 9/2 for the Jacinto Solis barn — the same trainer who also runs Nanzig in this field. Francisco Martinez rides, and Solis doesn't double up in a race without feeling good about both. At a price that offers real upside in the exotic pools, Ancient is a natural place selection and a horse who could easily outrun his position in the wagering.

show3Yo PhillyML 5/1

Yo Philly comes in third on our model at 71.32 and goes at 5/1 for trainer Ernesto Padilla-Preciado, a barn that shows up ready at Parx. Ruben Silvera handles the riding duties, and an average speed figure of 53 is in line with the top contenders. If the race sets up with early speed dueling up front, Yo Philly's profile as a potential closer makes him a smart show play and worth including in exacta and trifecta exotics.

Race 8

7:49 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

A compact but talented Allowance Optional Claiming field where the morning line favorite may be overbet — our top pick comes in at 6/1 and owns a slight edge on the model, setting up a genuine value scenario.

win2LassoML 6/1

Lasso tops our TrackWiz model at 82.71 and goes at a very attractive 6/1 morning line, giving this pick strong overlay potential. Philip T. Aristone trains, and Andrew Wolfsont handles the riding — a workmanlike combination that knows how to navigate sprint distances. His average speed figure of 55 is competitive at the top of this field, and a 25% career win rate is nothing to dismiss in allowance company. When the numbers favor a horse who's priced like a longshot, that's where value lives.

place1Souper TuscanML 2/1

Souper Tuscan is the buzz horse in this field — a 50% career win rate is extraordinary, and Paco Lopez riding for Saffie A. Joseph, Jr. is one of the stronger trainer-jockey combos you'll find at Parx. His TrackWiz rating of 81.34 is just a tick behind Lasso, and his average speed figure of 56 leads the entire field. The 2/1 morning line makes him a tough win bet for value seekers, but place is a very reasonable spot.

show3DurationML 9/2

Duration checks in third on our model at 80.10 and represents solid bottom-line depth in what is a very closely matched top three. Mychel J. Sanchez pilots for Michael V. Pino, and a 21% career win rate in this kind of allowance spot speaks to class. At 9/2 on the morning line, Duration gives exotic players a reasonably priced anchor in trifecta and superfecta tickets where the top three horses are bunched tightly.

Race 9

8:16 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A sprawling 10-horse Starter Optional Claiming mile with a clear top tier separated from the rest — two closely matched horses dominate the model, while a value play lurks at a much bigger price.

win5Cara's DreamweaverML 2/1

Cara's Dreamweaver leads the field with an 80.17 TrackWiz rating and is appropriately installed as the 2/1 morning line favorite. Martin Chuan rides for the respected Jamie Ness barn, a trainer who consistently fires horses fit and ready in route spots. An average speed figure of 53 is consistent throughout the field, so the edge here is on the model side — and in a 10-horse field where many runners are in the 30-45 rating range, that separation is meaningful.

place6Blame EveML 8/1

Blame Eve is essentially a dead heat with the top pick at a 79.79 TrackWiz rating, yet goes off at 8/1 on the morning line — a significant value gap. Mychel J. Sanchez handles the riding for Michael V. Pino, and while an 11% career win rate is modest, the model rating says she belongs in the same conversation as Cara's Dreamweaver. This is the kind of horse TrackWiz analysis was built to find: top-tier numbers at a bottom-tier price.

show7RelevateML 5/1

Relevate slots in third on our model at 75.28 and adds Francisco Martinez in the irons for trainer Robert Mosco over a one-mile route. A 54 average speed figure is one of the best in the race, and an 11% career win rate at this level keeps him honest. At 5/1 on the morning line, Relevate is a comfortable show anchor and a logical exacta partner with either of our top two picks.

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Bottom line: Parx has a clean, fast track today and a card with real depth. Anita Glassofwine is our top-rated pick of the day, but the best value opportunities are baked into the premium races — particularly in the routes and the allowance sprint. Free picks are live for Races 1–3, and subscribers can access the complete 9-race breakdown, pace maps, and exotic tickets at /pricing. Good luck out there — let's make some money.

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