Daily Picks

Parx Racing Picks & Predictions — July 13, 2026

Monday, July 13, 20269 racesParx Racing

It's a warm Monday afternoon at Parx Racing — 83°F under partly-cloudy skies — and the Bensalem oval is serving up a full 9-race card on the dirt. Conditions look favorable for fast early fractions, so pace is going to be a major storyline from the jump today.

The card is a mix of claiming and starter optional claiming sprints and routes, which means class positioning and trip notes are critical. When you've got multiple races at similar price tags, small edges in recent form and speed figures get amplified — the kind of spots TrackWiz analysis is built to identify.

Three races are open to all readers today, with our top picks in those fields available right now. The remaining six races — including some intriguing spots for multi-race wager builders — are unlocked for TrackWiz subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Two horses share the top TrackWiz rating at 82.71 and go off at identical 6/1 morning-line odds, making this opener a tight battle at the top with real value potential on both sides.

win4David's KittenML 6/1

David's Kitten (No. 4) co-leads the field with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating and owns the best average speed figure in the race at 52. Trainer Elliott Soto-Martinez has this one pointing at a route for a reason, and the 1 1/16-mile dirt trip suits a horse with this profile. At 6/1 on the morning line, Francisco Martinez gets the call and this one represents genuine overlay potential given where our numbers land.

place6Winning SongML 6/1

Winning Song (No. 6) shares that 82.71 rating with the top pick, and trainer Jacinto Solis saddles both the 1 and 6 horses today — a double-barrel stable that suggests connections like what they see in this spot. Dexter Haddock takes the mount and while the 4% career win rate tells you this horse rarely fires, when it does fire, it tends to hit the board. A solid piece for your exacta underneath.

show2It's AuthenticML 7/2

It's Authentic (No. 2) at 7/2 morning line comes in with a 77.95 TrackWiz rating, the third-best in the field, and Jorge A. Vargas Jr. gives this one a competent pilot. The 5% career win rate is modest, but a show finish at a juicy price makes this an interesting exotics inclusion — especially if the top two set things up for a closer to swoop late over this 1 1/16-mile dirt route.

Race 2

5:07 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A six-furlong Starter Optional Claiming sprint where the top two horses in our ratings are separated by less than three points — but one of them has a 50% career win rate that absolutely demands your attention.

win7AllenhurstML 5/2

Allenhurst (No. 7) tops the field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating and draws the rail-busting outside post in a seven-horse sprint. Trainer Angel Castillo Jr. sends out the horse with his own son, jockey Angel Castillo, in the irons — a family barn working in sync. At 5/2 on the morning line, this isn't a screaming overlay, but the numbers back the chalk and the connections have every incentive to fire today.

place4Take Charge BooML 7/2

Take Charge Boo (No. 4) has a 50% career win rate — let that sink in for a second. Half of this horse's career starts have ended in a winner's circle visit, and at 7/2 morning line, trainer Michelle Castillo has a live one under Frankie Pennington. The 85.02 rating and a 55 average speed figure are both among the field's best, and it wouldn't be a shock at all if this one reverses the order with the top pick.

show1Panama LimitedML 5/1

Panama Limited (No. 1) is a 20% career winner trained by the prolific Scott A. Lake, one of the most active conditioners on the Parx circuit. The 68.17 rating and 53 average speed figure suggest a horse capable of hitting the board in a competitive spot like this. At 5/1, Melvis Gonzalez gets the call and the inside post in a sprint is never a bad thing.

Race 3

5:34 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A five-and-a-half furlong maiden claiming sprint where every horse in the field is looking for their first win — making the TrackWiz ratings the primary separator in a wide-open, unpredictable affair.

win4NotamistakeML 2/1

Notamistake (No. 4) heads into this maiden claimer with the field's highest TrackWiz rating at 88.54 and draws the pivotal middle post under Bryan L. Torres for trainer Kathleen A. Demasi. Demasi is a name to respect at Parx in these maiden spots, and the 2/1 morning line confirms the market sees this one the same way our numbers do. In a race where none of these horses have won, going with the best-rated runner is the disciplined play.

place5FirstflashofmoonML 4/1

Firstflashofmoon (No. 5) earns a 64.68 TrackWiz rating and posts the second-best average speed figure in the race at 53, tied with the top pick. Trainer Miguel Penaloza sends this one out with Jean Aguilar up, and the 4/1 morning line makes it a fair price in a field this unsettled. For exotic plays, this one makes a lot of sense directly underneath the top choice.

show3Matzoball MuhammetML 3/1

Matzoball Muhammet (No. 3) sits at 3/1 on the morning line with a 63.81 rating and Francisco Martinez in the saddle for trainer Tony Perez Flores. The rating clusters tightly with Firstflashofmoon, making these two interchangeable as secondary pieces in your trifecta. Use both underneath Notamistake if you want to cover your bases in this unpredictable maiden field.

Today's three free races give you a nice cross-section of the card. Race 1 is a claiming route going 1 1/16 miles, and David's Kitten at 6/1 morning line is the kind of price that makes your ears perk up — our ratings have that horse at 82.71, quietly strong for this field. In Race 2, Allenhurst draws plenty of attention in a 6-furlong starter optional claiming sprint, posting the highest TrackWiz rating of the free picks at 87.81 against a morning line of 5/2. And in Race 3, Notamistake — our top-rated free pick at 88.54 — comes in as the 2/1 morning line chalk in a 5½-furlong maiden claiming sprint. That rating is the highest of any free-race pick on today's card, so don't overlook Race 3 as an anchor in your early pick sequences.

With the track playing fast under dry conditions, speed figures from recent dirt routes and sprints deserve extra weight today. Horses that have shown the ability to get to the lead or sit close without burning energy early will have a distinct advantage when they turn for home.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:01 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

This maiden claiming route at a mile and 70 yards features three horses bunched tightly at the top of our ratings, with the morning-line favorite actually ranking fourth — a classic setup where the public money and our numbers point in different directions.

win7Rosie OutlookML 9/2

Rosie Outlook (No. 7) leads all comers with a 84.90 TrackWiz rating and connects with Francisco Martinez, one of the more reliable pilots at this meet. Trainer Felix L. Flores-Coba has this one priced at 9/2 on the morning line — offering genuine value given she grades out on top of our model. The 51 average speed figure is modest, but in a maiden field where none of these horses have broken their maiden, the rating edge matters most.

place2Blame EveML 5/2

Blame Eve (No. 2) is just a whisker behind at 84.24 and goes as the 5/2 morning-line second choice for trainer Juan Carlos Guerrero. Ruben Silvera gets the mount, and with a 52 average speed figure matching several rivals, the edge here is consistency — this one profiles as a horse that won't beat herself. If Rosie Outlook gets compromised in traffic, Blame Eve figures to be right there at the wire.

show1Anita GlassofwineML 5/1

Anita Glassofwine (No. 1) completes the top trio at 79.88 and gets trainer Irving Rodriguez sending her out with Dexter Haddock in the saddle. The rail post in a route can be a double-edged sword, but at 5/1 she's the third-best rated filly/mare in the field and rounds out a trifecta nicely. Three horses rated 79 or better in a maiden claimer makes the 1-2-7 exacta box worth a look.

Race 5

6:28 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Eight older horses line up in a one-mile-and-70-yard claiming dirt route with a clear top-rated horse, but the pace scenario gets interesting with multiple closers in the mix — the fractions will tell the story here.

win3Amity RoadML 9/2

Amity Road (No. 3) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 84.90 and has a 20% career win rate to back the model's confidence. Luis M. Ocasio takes the call for trainer Michael V. Pino in what shapes up as a race with contested early pace — exactly the scenario that can set up a well-rated closer. The 9/2 morning line is workable value for a horse our numbers clearly separate from the rest of this field.

place1RerallyML 5/1

Rerally (No. 1) brings a 22% career win rate — tied for the highest in this field — along with a solid 75.17 TrackWiz rating. Trainer Miguel Penaloza sends Jean Aguilar out from the rail, and a horse that wins nearly a quarter of its starts is dangerous at any level. At 5/1, this one is a serious place contender and a legitimate threat to upset if the pace sets up perfectly.

show5Fast BobML 6/1

Fast Bob (No. 5) checks in at 73.71 on the TrackWiz scale and owns the best average speed figure among our top three picks at 53. Trainer Elliott Soto-Martinez has Francisco Martinez up, and a 14% career win rate in a competitive claiming field suggests this one finds the board more often than it finds the winner's circle. At 6/1, Fast Bob is a nice value inclusion in multi-horse exotics and a logical show bet.

Race 6

6:55 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A six-furlong Starter Optional Claiming sprint on dirt where the top two horses in our ratings are separated by barely one point — but the morning-line favorite isn't either of them, making this a prime overlay situation.

win5MamarshaML 5/2

Mamarsha (No. 5) leads the field with an 85.24 TrackWiz rating and posts the best average speed figure in the race at 54. Trainer Ernesto Padilla-Preciado sends her out at 5/2 morning line with Ruben Silvera in the irons, and a 9% career win rate actually understates the form here — the model sees something sharper in the recent lines. Speed figures win six-furlong sprints, and Mamarsha has the best ones in the race.

place2TiptopML 5/1

Tiptop (No. 2) is just one point off the top at 84.17 and draws a favorable inside post for trainer Kathleen A. Demasi with Silvestre Gonzalez up. A 10% career win rate in claiming company is respectable, and at 5/1 there's real value on a horse this close to the top of the ratings. If Mamarsha gets any traffic or pace trouble, Tiptop is right there to pounce.

show6Cara's DreamweaverML 7/2

Cara's Dreamweaver (No. 6) rates at 69.00 for the powerful Jamie Ness barn, which fields two horses in this race. Ness has a strong record at Parx, and when he doubles up in a race it often means the connections like both runners' chances. At 7/2 morning line, Martin Chuan gets the mount and this one is a logical exotics piece — especially in trifecta construction underneath the two top picks.

Race 7

7:22 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

The Jamie Ness barn throws two runners at this one-mile Starter Optional Claiming dirt route, but our ratings suggest one of them is significantly better than the other — and neither is the morning-line favorite.

win2ImpressivenessML 9/2

Impressiveness (No. 2) tops the field at 84.90 and sports a 25% career win rate — by far the best win percentage among horses our model grades highly in this race. Trainer Jamie Ness sends him out with Emanuel Rosario, a solid combination on the Parx circuit. At 9/2, this is a legitimate overlay situation — a horse winning a quarter of its career starts rarely should go off at this price in a Starter Optional Claiming field.

place1Point BarrowML 6/1

Point Barrow (No. 1) brings a 65.60 TrackWiz rating and the top average speed figure among the non-Impressiveness crowd at 54. Trainer Jack Abrams puts Francisco Martinez up from the rail, and in a one-mile dirt route, getting away cleanly from the inside gate matters. At 6/1 morning line, this one is a value play for exacta construction — pair it underneath Impressiveness and you've got a strong ticket.

show7Coach RudyML 8/1

Coach Rudy (No. 7) slots in at 63.95 on the TrackWiz scale and rounds out our top three at 8/1 morning line for trainer Jaime Bravo-Estrada with Silvestre Gonzalez up. An 8% career win rate is modest, but in a race where pace is likely to be contested, a closer with a solid rating can sneak into third. At double-digit morning-line territory, Coach Rudy is a trifecta live longshot worth a small investment.

Race 8

7:49 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

The top-rated horse here also has a 26% career win rate AND gets the Jamie Ness/Martin Chuan combination — when the numbers and the connections align this cleanly, it's hard to look away.

win7Kick StartnessML 7/2

Kick Startness (No. 7) leads the entire race with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating and a 26% career win rate that backs the model's confidence comprehensively. The Ness barn has been sharp at Parx, and Martin Chuan has a comfortable working relationship with the stable. The 53 average speed figure is respectable in this field, and at 7/2 morning line, this looks like one of the more solid plays on the card.

place5YoubetterbejokingML 3/1

Youbetterbejoking (No. 5) sits at 71.82 on the ratings scale with a 24% career win rate — one of the better win percentages in the field. Trainer Michael V. Pino sends Luis M. Ocasio out at 3/1 morning line, making this the public second choice, and for good reason. A 24% winner at any level commands respect, and this one figures to be dangerous if the pace scenario sets up for a closer over a one-mile dirt route.

show6TwentyeighttothreeML 10/1

Twentyeighttothree (No. 6) is the sneaky value piece in this race — a 69.24 TrackWiz rating combined with a 55 average speed figure that is the best in the entire field by a clear margin. Trainer Howard R. Brown Jr. has Francisco Martinez up, and at 10/1 morning line, the horse has serious speed that could steal soft early fractions and hang on for a piece. Trifecta players, write this number down.

Race 9

8:16 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The finale is a six-furlong claiming sprint on dirt where the top-rated horse goes off at 6/1 while two horses rated in the low-to-mid 60s grab shorter prices — that's a classic value setup to close out the card.

win8Fussy GirlML 6/1

Fussy Girl (No. 8) owns the field's best TrackWiz rating at 82.71 and brings a 21% career win rate into the gate for trainer Miguel Penaloza with Jean Aguilar up. At 6/1 morning line, this is the clearest overlay on the closing race card — a horse rated roughly 20 points clear of most rivals going off at three times the price of other contenders. Six furlongs on dirt suits a sharp sprinter, and the numbers say Fussy Girl is that horse today.

place3Cruise MissileML 7/2

Cruise Missile (No. 3) rates at 64.08 under trainer Michael M. Moore with Andy Hernandez taking the mount at 7/2 morning line. An 11% career win rate is modest but the rating slots in solidly behind our top pick, and in a sprint where pace can be chaotic, a horse rated in the mid-60s has legitimate board chances. Pair Cruise Missile underneath Fussy Girl in your exacta for a return worth chasing.

show4Moor StrengthML 9/2

Moor Strength (No. 4) comes in at 63.51 — nearly identical to Cruise Missile — and goes at 9/2 morning line for trainer Irving Rodriguez with Sebastian Orellana aboard. A 12% career win rate and 53 average speed figure that matches several rivals suggests a horse that finds the board at a reasonable clip. At 9/2, the show price on this one could be worth a straight show bet if you want a low-risk return on the final race.

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Bottom line: Parx is putting up a clean, playable card today. Notamistake is our strongest-rated free pick and a horse to build around early. Allenhurst in Race 2 offers legitimate value at 5/2, and David's Kitten is a 6/1 price worth a look in Race 1. For the full 9-race breakdown — including pace maps, exotic ticket structures, and our premium picks — subscribers have everything they need waiting inside TrackWiz. Good luck out there today, and as always, bet smart.

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