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Parx Racing Picks & Predictions — July 6, 2026

July 6, 20269 racesAll Parx Racing picks

This card ran on July 6, 2026.

Best bets at Parx Racing, July 6, 2026

Race 13BalantyneML 4/112:40 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 7 races are for members.

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Last 30 days at Parx Racing: our top pick won 26 of 81 races (32%) and finished in the money in 52.

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It's a rainy Monday at Parx Racing, and if you've spent any time at the track, you know that changes everything. With temperatures sitting at 80°F and rain falling throughout the day, the Parx dirt is playing wet — and that means pace scenarios, running styles, and even morning-line favorites need a second look before you fire any tickets.

We've got a full 9-race card on the slate today, and TrackWiz analysis has been through every corner of it. Three races are fully unlocked for all readers, giving you a head start on the early card. If you want the complete picture — Races 4 through 9 — that's where the premium breakdown comes in.

Bottom line: wet-track days are volatile, but they're also where sharp handicapping pays off most. Let's break it down.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Three horses are separated by barely two points at the top of the TrackWiz ratings, making this one-mile dirt claimer a genuine photo finish on paper — but post position and pace shape could be the tiebreakers.

win3BalantyneML 4/1

Balantyne tops the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 and carries a solid 21% career win rate into this spot, which is respectable in the claiming ranks. Kleiner A. Mejias gets the call, and he's been active at Parx, giving this horse a live rider angle. The average speed figure of 52 matches the field's upper tier, and at 4/1 on the morning line, there's legitimate value if Balantyne can get a clean trip around the turn in this slightly extended one-mile-plus route.

place4B D SaintsML 9/2

B D Saints (84.44 rating) sits just a hair behind Balantyne and comes in at 9/2, which makes the place spot compelling if the win price gets bet down. The 14% career win rate is modest, but in a tight field like this one, hitting the board is the realistic outcome — Yan Rodriguez gives the horse a capable pilot who knows the Parx oval.

show1RerallyML 7/2

Rerally lands the show position with the morning-line favorite's number attached — 7/2 — and a TrackWiz rating of 83.6 that keeps it right in the hunt. The 23% career win rate is the best in the field, suggesting this horse finds ways to fire consistently, and Dexter Haddock has been a reliable presence in the Parx jockey colony. Use Rerally in exotics to cover the chalk in the top three.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

1:07 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

An all-maiden field going a flat mile on dirt means first-time and lightly-raced horses are an unknown quantity, but one runner's TrackWiz rating blows the competition out of the water.

win5Off the DeckML 8/5

Off the Deck is the clear standout here with a 89.12 TrackWiz rating — nearly 22 points clear of the next-best horse — and Paco Lopez in the irons is an immediate upgrade in confidence. Lopez is one of the sharpest riders in the mid-Atlantic region, and when he picks up a heavy favorite in a maiden claimer, it's usually for good reason. The 8/5 morning line will likely get bet down further, but the rating gap justifies the short price in this spot.

place4Standard DeductionML 4/1

Standard Deduction posts the second-best rating in the field at 67.23 and flashes the best average speed figure of any horse in this race at 54 — a full tick above Off the Deck and the rest of the field. Trainer Phillip Capuano has a steady presence at Parx, and with Mychel J. Sanchez up, the connections look serious. At 4/1, this horse offers real place value if Off the Deck stumbles.

show3Tongue TiedML 5/1

Tongue Tied at 5/1 with a 54.43 rating gives exotics players a price alternative in the show slot. Trainer Howard R. Brown Jr. and jockey Francisco Martinez represent a workmanlike pairing, and the average speed figure of 52 keeps this horse competitive in the speed department. In a wide-open maiden field where anything can happen, Tongue Tied at fair odds deserves a spot in your trifecta coverage.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

The first three races give us a solid cross-section of today's card — a pair of claiming routes and a 5½-furlong sprint, all on a rain-affected dirt surface. That's your first thread connecting these free picks: on a wet Parx oval, horses that can rate early and finish strong tend to have the edge over pure front-runners who can get leg-weary in the slop. Keep that in mind when you look at Balantyne in Race 1 (our top-rated pick at 85.62 over a mile and 70 yards) and Off the Deck in Race 2, who checks in at 89.12 in the maiden claiming mile — the highest free-race rating on the card.

Race 3's 5½-furlong sprint brings Bootleg Runner into the picture at an 89.71 TrackWiz rating and a tight 6/5 morning line, making them the highest-rated pick of the free trio. Short sprints on wet dirt can get chaotic, but a horse this highly rated at a short price is telling you something. All three of these horses are worth a close look — full individual race breakdowns are available below.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:34 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A short 5.5-furlong sprint on dirt sets up for an early pace battle, but one horse's dominant TrackWiz rating suggests this could be over quickly if the favorite breaks cleanly.

win4Bootleg RunnerML 6/5

Bootleg Runner is the class of this field and it isn't particularly close — an 89.71 TrackWiz rating with an average speed figure of 53 that matches the top tier. At 6/5 on the morning line, the public agrees, and Mychel J. Sanchez climbing aboard only strengthens the case. In a short sprint, early position is everything, and this one figures to be forwardly placed and tough to catch.

place2We Miss NeilML 6/1

We Miss Neil at 6/1 is an intriguing place play with a 63.17 rating and matching average speed of 53 — same as the favorite. The 3% career win rate is low, but the jump from 6/1 to the place pool could produce solid value if this horse runs up to its figure potential. Kleiner A. Mejias has the mount, and the outside draw in a short sprint could set up a sweeping trip for a closer.

show7Raging CajunML 6/1

Raging Cajun rounds out the TrackWiz selections at 60.8 and 6/1, with Paco Lopez piloting from post 7. Lopez rarely takes throwaway mounts, and in a sprint where pace can string out the field, a horse finishing late with that jockey is a natural show bet. Use in trifectas underneath Bootleg Runner as a pace collapse insurer.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

2:01 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

This 6.5-furlong dirt claimer features a tight mid-pack of horses that are hard to separate on ratings alone — value is hiding in this field, and the morning line doesn't fully reflect the competitive depth.

win5Nicole's KingML 4/1

Nicole's King leads all horses with an 85.62 TrackWiz rating and comes in at 4/1 — that's a tasty price for the top-rated horse in the field. Dexter Haddock gets the mount, and the 21% career win rate suggests this horse is comfortable finding the winner's circle. The average speed figure of 54 is tied for second-best, and at 6.5 furlongs, there's enough ground to let a tactical horse find its stride.

place1DucaleML 6/1

Ducale (74.71 rating) at 6/1 morning line looks like a sneaky place play — a 20% career win rate and the best average speed figure in the field at 54 tell you this horse can run. Emanuel Rosario has the call, and the fact that the morning line undervalues Ducale relative to its speed numbers makes this an appealing spot in the exacta. The class edge of posting a 74-plus rating while going off at 6/1 deserves attention.

show2Frost MountainML 9/2

Frost Mountain sits third in our ratings at 71.9 and brings a 21% career win rate to the table, which is among the best in this field. Jorge A. Vargas Jr. is aboard for trainer Ernesto Padilla-Preciado, and the average speed figure of 55 — tops in the race — gives you reason to believe Frost Mountain can be dangerous if the pace scenario sets up favorably. A 9/2 show price is reasonable coverage.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

2:28 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

The seven-furlong distance filters out the pure sprinters, and while the morning-line favorite carries a commanding rating, a couple of double-digit prices are worth a second look for value hunters.

win1Essentially FastML 2/1

Essentially Fast is the clear top choice here at an 88.54 TrackWiz rating, and while the 2/1 morning line makes this the chalk, the 10% career win rate gives you slight pause. Angel Castillo picks up the mount from post 1, which in a two-turn-ish seven-furlong layout can mean pressing pace from the start. The average speed figure of 53 is competitive, and the rating advantage over the field is substantial enough that Essentially Fast deserves to be your banker in any ticket.

place8Week's StrongML 6/1

Week's Strong at 6/1 is the TrackWiz value play in this race — a 72.32 rating that ranks second in the field is surprisingly strong for a horse going off at morning-line double digits. Jesus M. Rios gets the call for trainer Trevor Gallimore, and the average speed of 51 is workable at seven furlongs where the race is less about pure early speed. This is a legitimate place bet at fair odds.

show5Will's MusicML 12/1

Will's Music jumps off the page at 12/1 for the show position — the rating of 60.11 isn't gaudy, but it's ahead of three other runners in this field. What's interesting is that the career win rate sits at 10%, identical to the favorite, suggesting a horse capable of competitive efforts. Joezer Rangel takes the mount for trainer Jennifer B. Shaw, and at double-digit odds, even a small show bet or trifecta inclusion pays well if Will's Music fires.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

2:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Four horses with TrackWiz ratings within two points of each other make this six-furlong dirt claimer one of the most competitive races on the card — this is a pace duel waiting to happen.

win1Ortho StarML 5/1

Ortho Star leads the TrackWiz ratings at 84.17 despite going off at 5/1, which signals real overlay value in the win pool. Kendry Rivera takes the mount for trainer Eli Betancourt, and the 19% career win rate is consistent with a horse that knows how to hit the board. An average speed figure of 54 puts Ortho Star right in the middle of the field's upper tier, and in a race where the top four are virtually inseparable on paper, the value makes this the play.

place3Get SetML 3/1

Get Set (83.29 rating) is the 3/1 morning-line second choice and makes for a natural place bet with a 20% career win rate and a 54 average speed figure. Silvestre Gonzalez rides for trainer Ernesto Padilla-Preciado, who also saddles Veeson in this race — dual-entry trainer connections sometimes indicate a barn feeling good about a race. Get Set's rating and consistency numbers make it a safe choice to land in the top two.

show4Miles AheadML 5/2

Miles Ahead enters as the 5/2 morning-line second favorite with an 82.93 rating — third-best in the field — and a 38% career win rate that absolutely stands out. Paco Lopez has the mount for the high-percentage Jamie Ness barn, and the average speed of 55 is the best in the race. The win pool may underbet this horse's true chances, making the show position a smart coverage play.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 7

3:22 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A starter optional claimer at seven furlongs features a fascinating dynamic — the morning-line favorite doesn't have the top TrackWiz rating, and the real top horse is going off at a price.

win2Paco the Taco ManML 5/2

Paco the Taco Man is our top selection at 87.81 — a full 4.5 points clear of Lucky Dude — yet the morning line has it at 5/2 while Lucky Dude is posted at 2/1. That's a clear value discrepancy. Mychel J. Sanchez gets the mount for the consistently sharp Jamie Ness barn, and a 30% career win rate is elite for this level. The average speed figure of 55 ties for best in the field, and seven furlongs suits a horse that can rate off the pace and fire late.

place5Lucky DudeML 2/1

Lucky Dude (83.29 rating, 2/1 morning line) is the public choice but ranks second on TrackWiz, not first. Frankie Pennington rides for trainer John T. Kirby, and a 19% career win rate is solid. This horse looks like a natural second or third best to our top pick, and at 2/1, the place price should be reasonable — use Lucky Dude underneath in exactas.

show4DowntownchalybrownML 4/1

Downtownchalybrown at 4/1 with a 77.38 rating and a 22% career win rate makes for a logical third piece in exotics. Jorge A. Vargas Jr. rides for Scott A. Lake, a trainer who keeps horses sharp and competitive at Parx. The average speed figure of 55 is tied for tops in the race, suggesting Downtownchalybrown can keep pace with the leaders — a third-place finish is a realistic outcome.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 8

3:49 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Another starter optional claimer going six furlongs, this time with a top-rated horse at a fair price — but a cluster of 77-rated horses makes the trifecta a genuine puzzle.

win5If I Can DreamML 5/2

If I Can Dream tops this field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating, matching the highest marks we've seen all card, and gets a boost with Mychel J. Sanchez in the irons — arguably the best rider on this program. The 5/2 morning line is fair for a horse of this rating in a competitive spot, and trainer Michael V. Pino has a sharp eye for placing horses in spots where they can fire. The average speed of 54 keeps this horse squarely in contention from the jump.

place3PassionforgloryML 5/1

Passionforglory (77.71 rating) sits just above Numbers Game and brings a 20% career win rate that speaks to a horse who consistently hits the board. Andrew Wolfsont rides for trainer Kathleen A. Demasi, and the 5/1 morning line feels like a slight overlay given the horse's rating position. If If I Can Dream gets all the attention, Passionforglory can sneak into the exacta at a nice number.

show1Numbers GameML 3/1

Numbers Game at 3/1 completes the TrackWiz top three at 76.94 — remarkably tight with Passionforglory — and brings a 16% career win rate for trainer Michael M. Moore. Eliseo Ruiz gets the mount, and an average speed figure of 54 keeps Numbers Game competitive with the top tier. At 3/1, the show position here is essentially "free money" coverage if you're playing trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 9

4:16 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The card closes with a six-furlong dirt claimer that has a clear top-rated horse flying slightly under the radar at 7/2 — and a wide-open undercard that makes exactas and trifectas interesting.

win7Change Your NameML 7/2

Change Your Name leads the field with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating and goes off at a reasonable 7/2 — that's a legitimate overlay for the top-rated horse in the field. Mychel J. Sanchez rides for trainer Ilias Tapsas, a sharp pairing that suggests this horse is ready to run its best. The average speed figure of 53 is competitive, and with only a 8% career win rate, the TrackWiz model is seeing something in the recent form that the win percentage doesn't reflect — likely a horse on the rise.

place4CoalvilleML 9/2

Coalville at 9/2 posts a 68.53 rating — second-best in the field — and Francisco Martinez handles the riding duties for trainer Jack Abrams. The 6% career win rate is modest, but the rating suggests Coalville is running competitively without necessarily closing the deal, which is exactly the profile of a reliable place horse. The average speed of 52 is workable in this field's context, and 9/2 offers solid place value.

show1Sergeant SinatraML 6/1

Sergeant Sinatra at 6/1 completes the TrackWiz selections with a 67.51 rating, and while the 7% career win rate is modest, the average speed figure of 54 is tied for best in the race. Ruben Silvera gets the mount for trainer Ernesto Ochoa, and at 6/1, this is a genuine price play for the show position. In a race with multiple horses bunched in the 60s ratings-wise, Sergeant Sinatra's speed figure advantage could be the edge that keeps it in contention late.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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A wet Monday at Parx is exactly the kind of card that rewards preparation over guesswork. Balantyne, Off the Deck, and Bootleg Runner headline the free plays — all three backed by strong TrackWiz ratings on a surface that demands respect today. For the full 9-race breakdown, pace maps, and exotic strategies through the closing sequence, it's all waiting for subscribers. Good luck out there, and stay sharp.

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