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Mountaineer Picks & Predictions — September 28, 2026

September 28, 20268 racesAll Mountaineer picks

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 8-race card at Mountaineer. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 8 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

11:00 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

Overly Dramatic towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win3Overly DramaticML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 1. Career win rate of 23% shows consistency. Ridden by Charle Oliveros, trained by Eric R. Reed. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.97 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 2 of 3 races at 1 mi. 3 wins and placed in 6 of 8 races at Mountaineer. 2 wins and placed in 4 of 5 races on Turf tracks. Has WON 2 races in a row! Horse won last time it raced. 08/30/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place2Lu's RedemptionML 5/2

Rating board at 82.6. Ridden by Norberto Arroyo, Jr.. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races. Has placed in the last 6 races.

show4No NappingML 3/1

Rating board at 70.4 • 28% career wins. Ridden by Brandon Tapara. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.21 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 73% of races.

Race 2

11:25 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi · Turf

Bet-down spot for Completely Elegant — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win3Completely ElegantML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 2. Ridden by Ricardo Barrios, trained by Victoria H. Oliver. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.57 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 47% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races. 1 wins and placed in 2 of 2 races at Mountaineer. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place8Zena CatML 2/1

Rating board at 82.8. Ridden by Bailey Weatherly. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.35 sec/furlong. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races.

show5Gallant RunnerML 8/1

Rating board at 70.1. Ridden by Charle Oliveros. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.42 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races.

Race 3

11:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

Standout on paper: Califragilistic grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win1CalifragilisticML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 3. Career win rate of 25% shows consistency. Ridden by Deshawn L. Parker, trained by J. Michael Baird. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.59 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 4 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 4 of 4 of Sprint races. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 4 races at Mountaineer. Horse won last time it raced. 09/06/2026. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place7Baby DogML 3/1

Rating board at 78.6. Ridden by Luis Alberto Batista. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.91 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 17% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races.

show5Magi Cal NationML 7/2

Rating board at 55.8 • 100% career wins. Ridden by Jose A. Leon. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.52 sec/furlong. Has placed in 1 of the last 1 races.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

12:15 AM EDT

Starter Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

Align is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win6AlignML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 4. Ridden by Brandon Tapara, trained by Jay P. Bernardini. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.53 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 73% of races. 4 wins and placed in 15 of 25 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 6 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 5 of 5 races at 6 fur. 2 wins and placed in 6 of 7 races at Mountaineer. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse won last time it raced. 09/07/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place5Mighty MoML 3/1

Rating board at 81.7 • 21% career wins. Ridden by Luis Negron. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.27 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races.

show4SoupersilverdollarML 5/2

Rating board at 78.4. Ridden by Andrew R. Ramgeet. 7 wins and placed in 17 of 25 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 7 races.

Race 5

12:40 AM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Harlan's Legacy looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win5Harlan's LegacyML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 5. Ridden by Bailey Weatherly, trained by John T. Brown. 5 wins and placed in 17 of 27 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place1Market of StocksML 2/1

Rating board at 78.3. Ridden by Yuri Yaranga. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 13.01 sec/furlong. 3 wins and placed in 9 of 13 races at Mountaineer.

show7Amalfi LadyML 6/1

Rating board at 71.8. Ridden by Luis Negron. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races.

Race 6

1:05 AM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Monterrey towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win5MonterreyML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 6. Ridden by Ricardo Barrios, trained by Michael E. Jones, Jr.. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 13.15 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 47% of races. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 5 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 5 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 4 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 4 of 6 of Medium Distance races. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place9Handsome FoxML 2/1

Rating board at 72.2. Ridden by Brandon Tapara. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.81 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 73% of races.

show3Souper JustifiedML 7/1

Rating board at 67.5. Ridden by Andrew R. Ramgeet. 1 wins and placed in 9 of 15 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races.

Race 7

1:30 AM EDT

Claiming · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt

Bet-down spot for Spatula — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win3SpatulaML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 7. Ridden by Luis Alberto Batista, trained by Eddie Clouston. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.36 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 17% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races. 1 wins and placed in 9 of 15 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Has placed in 6 of 7 races at 4 1/2 fur. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place2Prairie BratML 2/1

Rating board at 74.0. Ridden by Kyle Gilbert. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.65 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 11 of 18 races on Dirt tracks.

show4Holly RollerML 8/1

Rating board at 62.3. Ridden by Charle Oliveros. 4 wins and placed in 20 of 35 races on Dirt tracks. Has 1 wins and placed in 4 of 4 races at 4 1/2 fur.

Race 8

1:55 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Standout on paper: Rosie Ann Rules grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win2Rosie Ann RulesML 4/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 85.6 for Race 8. Ridden by Jose A. Leon, trained by Juan Pablo Silva. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.74 sec/furlong. Placed in 13 of 24 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 5 races. Placed in 4 of 5 races at Mountaineer. Has placed in 6 of 9 races at 6 fur.

place3SylvetteML 5/1

Rating board at 72.1. Ridden by Michael Y. Pagan. Placed in 4 of 8 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races.

show11Blue IceML 5/2

Rating board at 66.2. Ridden by Michael Y. Pagan. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.39 sec/furlong. Placed in 3 of 3 races on Dirt tracks.

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