Daily Picks

Mountaineer Picks & Predictions — May 11, 2026

Monday, May 11, 20268 racesMountaineer

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 8-race card at Mountaineer. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 8 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

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Race 1

2026-05-11T23:00:00

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Souper Justified looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win3Souper JustifiedML 4/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 85.6 for Race 1. Ridden by Andrew R. Ramgeet, trained by Tina Ramgeet. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 13.32 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has not raced in 161 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place5How About ItML 5/2

Rating board at 84.6. Ridden by Luis Tapara. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.76 sec/furlong. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

⚡ Longshot1National PunchlineML 20/1

Rating board at 29.2. Ridden by Alejandro Gomez. Has not raced in 116 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 12.10 sec/furlong.

Race 2

2026-05-11T23:25:00

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Siljim looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win7SiljimML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 2. Ridden by Bailey Weatherly, trained by Donald T. Blankenship. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.78 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Placed in 2 of 2 races at Mountaineer. Has placed in 3 of 4 races at 6 fur. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

⚡ Longshot6My Angel DoesML 10/1

Rating board at 46.1. Ridden by Jairo H. Hernandez.

Race 3

2026-05-11T23:50:00

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Princess Azara looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win4Princess AzaraML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 3. Ridden by Brandon Whitacre, trained by Jay P. Bernardini. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 13.08 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. Placed in 5 of 9 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place6GordaML 4/1

Rating board at 63.1. Ridden by Charle Oliveros. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 13.01 sec/furlong.

⚡ Longshot2She's a RockML 15/1

Rating board at 50.0. Ridden by Yuri Yaranga. Placed in 2 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — High Rolling Dude looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win3High Rolling DudeML 5/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.2 for Race 4. Career win rate of 22% shows consistency. Ridden by Brandon Whitacre, trained by Crystal Richison. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.60 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. 19 wins and placed in 47 of 77 races on Dirt tracks. Has not raced in 126 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 12.50 sec/furlong. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

Race 5

Claiming · 2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Cash Customer looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win4Cash CustomerML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 5. Career win rate of 25% shows consistency. Ridden by Ricardo Barrios, trained by Danny R. Bird. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.88 sec/furlong. 8 wins and placed in 21 of 27 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Has 4 wins and placed in 6 of 8 races at 2 fur. 7 wins and placed in 18 of 25 races at Mountaineer. Jockey & Horse combo has a 15% win rate and finished in the money in 48% of races. Averaging 0.4 per race recently, but today is a 0.3 mile race. Has WON 2 races in a row! More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse won last time it raced. 04/20/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place8Miss NuckolsML 7/2

Rating board at 79.9 • 31% career wins. Ridden by Yuri Yaranga. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.28 sec/furlong. 11 wins and placed in 21 of 31 races on Dirt tracks.

show5Kool KathmanduML 12/1

Rating board at 63.5 • 29% career wins. Ridden by Brandon Whitacre. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. 7 wins and placed in 13 of 25 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 6

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — The Groom's Jul looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win8The Groom's JulML 12/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 67.8 for Race 6. Ridden by Agustin Bracho, trained by Devan Ewell, Sr.. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 13.18 sec/furlong.

⚡ Longshot3Junito's BoyML 20/1

Rating board at 17.3. Ridden by Renzo Diaz.

Race 7

Allowance · 1 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Stomping Moon looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win3Stomping MoonML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 7. Ridden by Rocco Bowen, trained by Jay P. Bernardini. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.28 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races. 8 wins and placed in 27 of 42 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 5 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Horse won last time it raced. 04/26/2026. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

⚡ Longshot4Defiant GiantML 12/1

Rating board at 61.7. Ridden by Joe Stokes. 5 wins and placed in 13 of 26 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races.

Race 8

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Cold Plunge looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win7Cold PlungeML 12/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 74.0 for Race 8. Ridden by Brandon Whitacre, trained by John T. Brown. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. Has placed in 2 of 3 at Sprint races. Has not raced in 176 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Claiming Price Decreased from $4000 to $3200. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place3Joe PhillipsML 10/1

Rating board at 70.1. Ridden by Norberto Arroyo, Jr.. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.56 sec/furlong. Claiming Price Decreased from $4000 to $3200.

show1Remys GunsmokeML 10/1

Rating board at 59.6. Ridden by Yuri Yaranga. Claiming Price Decreased from $4000 to $3200.

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