Daily Picks

Monmouth Park Picks & Predictions — June 13, 2026

Saturday, June 13, 202610 racesMonmouth Park

It's a beautiful Saturday at the Jersey Shore — clear skies, 81°F, and the kind of firm turf that rewards horses who want to roll. Monmouth Park puts up a deep 10-race card today, and there's plenty to chew on from the opening claimer all the way through a loaded closing allowance on the turf.

Three Stakes races anchor the afternoon — Races 4, 5, and 6 — giving us a Stakes trifecta spanning both surfaces. The turf courses should be lightning fast in these conditions, and pace scenarios on the dirt look equally combustible. Whether you're playing a few win bets or building multi-race exotics, this card has the kind of variety that keeps things interesting deep into the day.

TrackWiz has rated all 10 races and identified top picks across the full card. Three races are open to everyone — Races 1, 2, and 3 — so let's dig in.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A clear top-rated standout heads this one-mile turf claimer, but there's enough mid-pack intrigue to keep the exotics interesting — especially with a pair of 4/1 to 9/2 shots lurking for the secondary spots.

win3FidelightcayutML 6/5

Fidelightcayut is the class of this field by a wide margin, posting a TrackWiz rating of 89.71 — more than 24 points clear of the next closest rival. Paco Lopez takes the call, one of the sharpest turf pilots in the Mid-Atlantic, and that's not a coincidence. A career win rate of 26% gives bettors confidence this horse knows how to close the deal, and at 6/5 on the morning line, the market agrees completely.

place4Leo MonteML 4/1

Leo Monte comes in at 4/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 65, the second-best number in the field, and trainer Kelly J. Breen consistently gets his horses ready to run at Monmouth. With an average speed figure of 54 — edging out most of the field — and a 21% career win rate, this one has the profile of a horse that runs hard even when he can't catch the top pick.

show5Flat Top BoxML 9/2

Flat Top Box projects as a solid exotics anchor at 9/2, carrying the highest average speed figure in the race at 55 and a respectable 20% career win rate. Trainer Jose A. Gallegos puts Wesley Ho up, and at those odds, Flat Top Box gives you real value in trifecta and exacta construction without sacrificing probability.

Race 2

5:20 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

This six-furlong dirt allowance optional claimer features a loaded top tier with four horses rated above 68 — separation at the top is razor thin, which makes pace scenario and post position critical factors.

win3Twelve TreasuresML 2/1

Twelve Treasures sits atop our TrackWiz ratings at 86.69 and posts a career win rate of 28% — among the best in this field. Paco Lopez is once again doing the steering, a pair that looks dangerous at 2/1 on the morning line. The horse's combination of solid average speed (54) and high rating makes this a credible top choice even in a competitive spot.

place4La FrostML 6/1

La Frost is the eye-catcher of the race — a 66% career win rate is extraordinary and demands attention, even at 6/1. Trainer Teresa M. Pompay has two horses in this spot, which can sometimes signal stable confidence, and Rajiv Maragh is a savvy rider who won't be caught flat-footed in a sprint. A TrackWiz rating of 82.71 says she belongs right in the mix.

show5Gianluca Be LuckyML 5/1

Gianluca Be Lucky rates at 79.24 and is one of three horses in this field averaging 55 in speed figures, but it's the 5/1 morning line that makes this a legitimate show-play value. Trainer Juan Carlos Avila sends this one out with Samuel Marin aboard, a capable combo at Monmouth, and a 17% career win rate is workmanlike for this level.

Race 3

5:49 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

She's a Gamer looks like a dominant favorite in this six-furlong dirt allowance optional claimer, but the 2/1 morning line favorite and the rest of the field are separated by a significant ratings gap — the real question is who fills out the exacta.

win4She's a GamerML 2/1

She's a Gamer is the standout here with a TrackWiz rating of 88.54 and the highest average speed figure in the race at 57 — a meaningful edge in a sprint. Her 27% career win rate confirms she converts when pointed at the right spot, and Paco Lopez aboard for trainer Kelly J. Breen is one of the more dependable pairings at this meet. The 2/1 morning line is short but justified by the data.

place6GridlockML 7/2

Gridlock checks in at 63.25 on the TrackWiz scale and matches several rivals with a 55 average speed figure, but it's the 7/2 morning line and Sonny Leon's aggressive front-running style that make this one interesting. Trainer Michael V. Simone has this gelding placed well, and with a 19% career win rate, Gridlock has shown he can compete — making him a logical place ticket underneath the chalk.

show3TavinML 9/2

Tavin offers some intrigue at 9/2 with a 61.18 TrackWiz rating — the third-best in the field — and Angel Cruz is comfortable navigating these mid-pack sprint scenarios. Trainer Pompeyo Gomez has him well-spotted, and while the 15% career win rate is modest, Tavin's figures suggest he regularly puts in competitive efforts, making him a reasonable show-play inclusion in exotics.

Today's three free races paint an interesting early-card picture. On the turf mile in Race 1, Fidelightcayut grades out as our top-rated pick at 89.71 — the highest TrackWiz rating among the free selections — and at 6/5 on the morning line, the market agrees. Firm turf suits closers and pace-pressers alike, so watch how the early speed holds up. Races 2 and 3 both go 6 furlongs on the dirt, and Twelve Treasures (2/1 ML, 86.69 rating) and She's a Gamer (2/1 ML, 88.54 rating) headline each respectively. Two sprints, similar morning line prices, but She's a Gamer's slightly higher rating gives her a narrow TrackWiz edge if you're playing the early pick-3 opener.

The common thread across these three races: both surfaces should be playing true and fast today. No weather excuses, no biases to manufacture — it comes down to ability and pace setup. A clean, fair track is where our ratings tend to shine, and we like all three free selections as confident plays.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:20 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

This turf stakes at 1 1/16 miles is headlined by a three-horse cluster all rated within three points of each other — Gimme a Nother, Grayosh, and Whiskey Decision are separated by razor-thin margins, setting up a potential battle of the top tier.

win1Gimme a NotherML 2/1

Gimme a Nother earns the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.86, narrowly edging stablemate-rivals from the Chad Brown barn. Jorge Ruiz gets the mount for trainer H. Graham Motion, a trainer with an excellent reputation for getting turf horses primed at exactly the right moment. A 20% career win rate and consistent profile at a mile-plus on grass make this one a credible 2/1 morning line favorite.

place6GrayoshML 3/1

Grayosh is a fascinating play at 3/1 — Tyler Gaffalione takes the call for the Chad C. Brown barn, which is about as strong a trainer-jockey signal as you'll find in the Mid-Atlantic. His TrackWiz rating of 87.08 is essentially tied with the top pick, and a 23% career win rate shows he's competitive at this level. If anything goes sideways for Gimme a Nother, Grayosh is right there.

show7Whiskey DecisionML 8/5

Whiskey Decision is another Chad Brown runner, and at 8/5 on the morning line, the public clearly respects this one — but a TrackWiz rating of 85.72 and a 33% career win rate actually support the case for spot-playing this horse in show exotics. Flavien Prat's presence in the irons is never an accident, and in a race where the top three are clustered this tightly, all three deserve a slot in your tickets.

Race 5

6:52 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Schoolyardsuperman is the morning-line favorite in this dirt stakes at 1 1/16 miles, but Baby Vino's superior TrackWiz rating makes this a classic case of a potentially undervalued top choice going off at generous odds.

win6Baby VinoML 9/2

Baby Vino tops the TrackWiz ratings in this six-horse field at 84.90 despite sitting at 9/2 on the morning line — a clear disconnect that creates value. Paco Lopez is a natural fit aboard this Lindsay Schultz-trained runner, and while the 20% career win rate is unspectacular, the figures say this horse is running at a higher level than the odds suggest. In stakes company at a route distance on dirt, you want the horse with the best number — and that's Baby Vino.

place4SchoolyardsupermanML 8/5

Schoolyardsuperman is the 8/5 morning line chalk for Chad Brown with Flavien Prat up, and a TrackWiz rating of 75.62 makes the public case. His 20% career win rate fits the level, and Brown's operation is built for spots exactly like this. Even if Baby Vino is the TrackWiz top choice, Schoolyardsuperman belongs in every exacta combination — he'll hit the board more often than not.

show5Ponder and DreamML 8/1

Ponder and Dream at 8/1 is an intriguing show play with a 68.09 TrackWiz rating and a 28% career win rate — that's a solid historical converter that the morning line is underestimating. Trainer Robert E. Reid, Jr. has this one pointed correctly, and a 54 average speed figure matches the top contenders. At 8/1, the show overlay here is real.

Race 6

7:24 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/8 mi · Turf

Program Trading towers over this 1 1/8-mile turf stakes field with a 3/2 morning line and a TrackWiz rating that laps the competition — the action here is really about who fills out the exotics against a near-prohibitive favorite.

win4Program TradingML 3/2

Program Trading is the most dominant single-race rating we've seen all day at 89.27, and the 3/2 morning line reflects how the market feels about this one. Flavien Prat — one of the best turf riders in the country — takes the call for Chad C. Brown, a combination that's essentially printing money on grass. With a 38% career win rate, this horse gets the job done at a higher clip than almost anyone in this field.

place8NebrasML 3/1

Nebras is an interesting inclusion at 3/1 — also from the Chad Brown barn and piloted by Tyler Gaffalione, giving the stable an inside-outside control of the pace narrative. The 56.67 TrackWiz rating is respectable given the limited data, and in a race where Program Trading is likely to draw significant chalk money, Nebras at 3/1 in the place pool could be a mild overlay.

show2RidariML 4/1

Ridari at 4/1 from the Miguel Clement barn is a reasonable show anchor with a TrackWiz rating of 55. Samuel Marin is a smart booking for a horse that figures to be running somewhere in the middle of the pack, and at a 1 1/8-mile turf route, trip and position can matter as much as raw figures. A price of 4/1 gives trifecta builders a solid third option.

Race 7

7:58 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A wide-open allowance optional claimer at a mile and 70 yards on dirt, where the morning line favorite Happy Offering is actually NOT the top-rated horse — Doin This leads the TrackWiz ratings at 5/1, making this a compelling value spot.

win7Doin ThisML 5/1

Doin This lands atop the TrackWiz ratings at 84.17 despite going off at 5/1 — that kind of gap between the ratings and the odds is exactly the value scenario TrackWiz analysis is designed to surface. Trainer Rory K. Huston sends Charlie Marquez aboard, and while the 8% career win rate looks modest, the speed figures and overall rating tell a different story about this horse's recent form. At a route distance in a competitive field, give me the highest-rated horse at a price every time.

place10Happy OfferingML 2/1

Happy Offering is the 2/1 morning line choice for trainer Chuck Spina with Paco Lopez doing the driving — that jockey booking alone gets attention in a race like this. A TrackWiz rating of 79.97 is strong, and even if this one doesn't hit the front, a 54 average speed figure and solid ratings profile make Happy Offering a near-lock to hit the board.

show1Kaz Sweet HeistML 6/1

Kaz Sweet Heist sits just behind the top two at a 75.21 TrackWiz rating and offers real show value at 6/1. Trainer Michael V. Pino puts Samuel Marin up, and a 20% career win rate in a 10-horse field at a mile-plus is exactly the kind of workmanlike profile that regularly shows up in the trifecta. Don't leave this one off your tickets.

Race 8

8:30 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

Maiden claiming on the turf at a mile — a wide-open race where every horse in the field is still looking for that first win, making our TrackWiz ratings the most important tool in separating legitimate contenders from pretenders.

win4Mind BogglingML 8/1

Mind Boggling earns the top TrackWiz rating in this maiden field at 79.79 while sitting at 8/1 on the morning line — a significant value overlay given how clearly the numbers separate this horse from the pack. Samuel Marin takes the call for trainer Silvino Ramirez, and a 54 average speed figure matches up well against the turf mile distance. In a race where nobody has won yet, the horse with the best figures deserves top billing.

place5EnjoyingML 3/2

Enjoying is the 3/2 morning line chalk from the H. Graham Motion barn with Paco Lopez up — that combination is built for turf routes and the market knows it. A TrackWiz rating of 75.99 supports the favoritism, and at a 54 average speed figure, this one has the profile of a horse that runs well at this distance. Even as a place pick, the security of a top barn and top jock on a turf mile is worth noting.

show10Tiz AwesomeML 10/1

Tiz Awesome at 10/1 is the longshot angle worth including in your exotic tickets — a TrackWiz rating of 73.52 that is third-best in the field while sitting at double-digit odds is a classic maiden overlay situation. Trainer Rory K. Huston puts Charlie Marquez up, and in a wide-open maiden field on the turf, things can get messy, making value plays at 10/1 very much worth a look in trifectas.

Race 9

9:01 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 mi · Dirt

Bishops Bay looms as the class of this dirt stakes mile field, but Point Dume at 6/1 has the figures to make this more competitive than the morning line suggests — there's real money to be made in the exotics here.

win6Bishops BayML 9/5

Bishops Bay is the standout of the card's late races, posting an 88.83 TrackWiz rating and a jaw-dropping 61% career win rate — that number says this horse doesn't just compete, he wins. Flavien Prat gets the assignment for Brad H. Cox, one of the premier trainer-jockey relationships in the sport at any level. At 9/5 on the morning line, the price is tight but the credentials are legitimate.

place3Point DumeML 6/1

Point Dume at 6/1 is the value play of this race, carrying a solid 76.54 TrackWiz rating and a 34% career win rate that ranks among the best in the field. Angel Cruz steers for trainer Timothy C. Kreiser, and a 55 average speed figure matches the top horses. With Bishops Bay likely drawing heavy chalk money, Point Dume's place price could be a meaningful overlay — make sure this horse is in your exacta.

show4Grand Mo the FirstML 9/2

Grand Mo the First at 9/2 has a 36% career win rate that quietly stands out in a nine-horse field, and trainer Victor Barboza, Jr. has this one positioned correctly with Paco Lopez doing the navigating. A TrackWiz rating of 61.47 places him mid-field in the ratings, but his historical conversion rate says he finds ways to be competitive. A solid show-play option to anchor trifecta combinations.

Race 10

9:33 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

The closer on the card is a full field of 12 in a 1 1/16-mile turf allowance — Debt Limit is the class play with the top TrackWiz rating, but two Chad Brown runners give the barn multiple threats in a race where pace and positioning will be everything.

win10Debt LimitML 5/2

Debt Limit checks in with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the top mark in a 12-horse field — and backs it up with a 40% career win rate, which is exceptional at any level. Flavien Prat gets the mount for Chad C. Brown, and at 5/2 on the morning line, the value isn't screaming but the credentials absolutely are. In a large field on the turf, a horse that wins 40% of the time and earns the top speed figures is exactly what you want underneath.

place5Golden ChannelML 4/1

Golden Channel at 4/1 is the logical place-ticket anchor for this race, rated 75.15 by TrackWiz with a 54 average speed figure that matches the top contenders. George Weaver sends this one out with Samuel Marin aboard — a sharp booking in a turf route — and a 14% career win rate in this size of field is workmanlike without being alarming. At 4/1, there's genuine value here in the place pool.

show1TifosiML 8/1

Tifosi opens at 8/1 and brings a 73.63 TrackWiz rating with a 33% career win rate — a historical converter sitting at a price that suggests the morning line may not fully respect his figures. Trainer Juan Carlos Avila puts Paco Lopez up, a combination that has shown up all day at this meet, and a 53 average speed figure is consistent with the surface demands at 1 1/16 miles on turf. In a 12-horse field, trifecta builders need a reliable third option, and Tifosi fits that role well.

Premium Content

Get the Full Card Analysis

Unlock expert picks for every race, detailed speed figures, trainer angles, and our SmartBet recommendations.

View Plans Sign In

Bottom line: Monmouth is set up beautifully today — firm turf, fast dirt, and a card loaded with legitimate wagering opportunities. Start with the free picks on Fidelightcayut, Twelve Treasures, and She's a Gamer in Races 1–3, then let TrackWiz subscribers dig into the Stakes action and longshot angles across the back half of the card. Good luck out there — let's make it a profitable afternoon at the Shore.

← Back to all picks

Best Bets

Race 1↗

Race 2↗

Race 3↗

Full Card Analysis

Get the Full Card Analysis

Race 1

Race 2

Race 3