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Louisiana Downs Picks & Predictions — May 16, 2026

Saturday, May 16, 20267 racesLouisiana Downs

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 7-race card at Louisiana Downs. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 7 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

2026-05-16T21:05:00

Maiden Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Jawdropper looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2JawdropperML EVN

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 90.0 for Race 1. Ridden by Carlos Lozada, trained by Ronnie E. Cravens III. Placed in 3 of 6 races on Dirt tracks. Claiming Price Decreased from $7500 to $5000. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

⚡ Longshot1U DoML 10/1

Rating board at 45.0. Ridden by Jonuelle Pena. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 12.30 sec/furlong.

Race 2

2026-05-16T21:33:00

Maiden Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Last Pick looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2Last PickML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 2. Ridden by Carlos Lozada, trained by Ronnie E. Cravens III. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.85 sec/furlong.

place5Surely the OneML 8/5

Rating board at 83.4. Ridden by Rey Williams. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 13.08 sec/furlong. Claiming Price Decreased from $16000 to $10000.

⚡ Longshot1The Lady Bulls EyeML 20/1

Rating board at 39.5. Ridden by Jose Nava-Marin. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races. Has not raced in 155 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up.

Race 3

2026-05-16T22:01:00

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Chou Chou d'Aven looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win3Chou Chou d'AvenML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 3. Ridden by Alexander Castillo, trained by Jonas Gibson. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.48 sec/furlong. Has not raced in 203 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. 2 wins and placed in 2 of 4 races on Turf tracks. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance.

⚡ Longshot2Little WarriorML 8/1

Rating board at 49.8. Ridden by Jose Nava-Marin. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 12.35 sec/furlong.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Havemercionus looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win4HavemercionusML 6/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 59.7 for Race 4. Ridden by Alexander Castillo, trained by Jonas Gibson. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 12.04 sec/furlong.

place1Lone MysticML 5/2

Rating board at 57.5. Ridden by Emanuel Nieves. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 12.07 sec/furlong.

show3Brown's HarmonyML 7/2

Rating board at 55.8. Ridden by Erica M. Murray. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 13.44 sec/furlong.

Race 5

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Arco Thunder looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2Arco ThunderML 3/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.3 for Race 5. Ridden by Carlos Lozada, trained by Tim Dixon. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.60 sec/furlong. Little success at sprint races - giving an endurance race a go. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place5HidalgoML 8/5

Rating board at 87.3. Ridden by Alexander Castillo. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 13.07 sec/furlong.

show4Dulce LoreficheML 6/1

Rating board at 54.6. Ridden by Jose Nava-Marin. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races.

Race 6

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Runnin Munnin looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2Runnin MunninML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 6. Ridden by Emanuel Nieves, trained by Jonathan Wong. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.38 sec/furlong. 4 wins and placed in 13 of 21 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Placed in 4 of 6 races at Louisiana Downs. Has placed in 3 of 4 races at 6 fur. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 12.26 sec/furlong. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

⚡ Longshot1CastilleML 20/1

Rating board at 17.3. Ridden by Jonuelle Pena. Has not raced in 105 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 11.85 sec/furlong.

Race 7

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Marks Promise looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win4Marks PromiseML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 7. Ridden by Alexander Castillo, trained by Sarah Martinez. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.33 sec/furlong. 5 wins and placed in 14 of 27 races on Dirt tracks.

⚡ Longshot1Lost Da VinciML 15/1

Rating board at 53.5 • 23% career wins. Ridden by Jonuelle Pena. 1 wins and placed in 2 of 3 races at Louisiana Downs.

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Good luck at Louisiana Downs today! Remember to check back for live odds updates and follow us for real-time picks throughout the card. Subscribe to TrackWiz for full access to every race at every track.

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