Daily Picks

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Picks & Predictions — June 27, 2026

Saturday, June 27, 20269 racesLos Alamitos Thoroughbred

It's a beautiful Saturday at Los Alamitos — clear skies, 74°F, and a fast dirt surface that should have horses running true all afternoon. Perfect conditions for a nine-race card that mixes sprint battles, maiden fields, and a Stakes finale worth circling on your program.

The card opens with a pair of Claiming sprints and a Maiden Special Weight before things get progressively more interesting heading into Race 9 — a 1 1/8-mile Stakes that gives us our marquee matchup of the day. Fionello sits at 7/2 on the morning line, and our TrackWiz rating backs up the case for him being a serious factor going long.

Three races are open to everyone today. The full nine-race breakdown, including pace projections and exotic plays, is available to TrackWiz subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

8:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A claiming sprint at 5½ furlongs where TrackWiz ratings reveal a clear two-horse separation at the top — but the morning line suggests the market hasn't fully caught up yet.

win1Blessed AngelML 7/2

Blessed Angel tops our ratings at 86.35 — a significant gap over the rest of this field — and a 31% career win rate is elite for the claiming ranks, meaning this horse converts when conditions are right. Edgar Payeras gets the call and the 7/2 morning line feels like a gift given how far ahead the TrackWiz number sits. At 5½ furlongs on dirt, pace will be key, and Blessed Angel's profile suggests enough early speed to get a favorable trip. This is our strongest play in the opener.

place3My KatML 3/1

My Kat posts a solid 77.94 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field — and a 25% career win percentage keeps this one honest as a place contender. Trainer George Papaprodromou runs a respectable barn and the 3/1 morning line makes My Kat a reasonable exacta partner beneath Blessed Angel.

show6EltonsingsanotherML 7/2

Eltonsingsanother checks in at 72.29 on our ratings and brings a respectable average speed figure of 55, matching the pace level you'd expect in this spot. The 7/2 morning line offers enough overlay potential to make this horse a useful piece in trifecta tickets, even if the 11% career win rate suggests you don't want to rely on a solo wager.

Race 2

8:30 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 fur · Dirt

A first-level maiden sprint on the dirt with an all-rookie field — nearly everyone is winless and workout-dependent, making trainer and jockey connections the real handicapping edge here.

win6VonntasticML 2/1

Vonntastic owns the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 58.33 and draws the backing of trainer Peter Miller, one of the sharpest conditioners on the Southern California circuit. The 2/1 morning line suggests the market agrees this is a first-out threat worth respecting. In a field where no one has a career win to their name, pedigree preparation and trainer intent matter most — and Miller rarely sends first-timers out without having them ready.

place1Princess LunaML 3/1

Princess Luna rates second in our model at 56.67 and gets the services of trainer Craig Dollase, another experienced hand who knows how to prep a maiden debut. At 3/1 on the morning line, there's a case to be made that the market is underrating her slightly given the trainer connection.

show3ShemakesmemadML 5/1

Shemakesmemad is the only horse in this field who shows an average speed figure of 53 in our data, giving her a tangible workout-based edge over the other first-timers who lack that number entirely. Trainer Steven Miyadi doubles up in this race — which adds an interesting dynamic — and at 5/1, there's show value here for exotic players building trifecta combinations.

Race 3

9:04 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A fascinating one-mile claiming affair where the two highest-rated horses are going off at opposite ends of the board — the chalk and the overlay are locked in a battle our model finds very close at the top.

win6Fix It QuickML 9/5

Fix It Quick earns the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.53 and is the morning line favorite at 9/5, so the public and our model are in alignment here. Ricardo Gonzalez rides for trainer Isidro Tamayo, and the 54 average speed figure holds up competitively in this spot. At a mile on dirt, pace scenario matters, and Fix It Quick's profile suggests a horse that can settle and close — a style that tends to sit well at Los Alamitos.

place3Millbo BagginsML 4/1

Millbo Baggins is nearly identical to our top pick on ratings at 85.62, yet goes off at 4/1 on the morning line — that's a potential overlay worth exploiting in exactas. Trainer Aggie Ordonez puts Armando Ayuso aboard, and a 16% career win rate in a field like this is more than serviceable. Don't be surprised if Millbo Baggins flips the result.

show4PacerML 5/2

Pacer is a fascinating show-ticket option with a 50% career win percentage — by far the highest in this field — suggesting a horse that wins when it fires. Trainer John W. Sadler is a Hall of Fame conditioner, and the 5/2 morning line reflects connections the market trusts. The TrackWiz rating of 57.5 is notably lower than the top two, but class and connections could make up the gap.

Our three free best bets span a nice range of conditions. Blessed Angel (Race 1, 7/2 ML) is our highest-rated free pick at 86.35 and opens the card in a 5½-furlong Claiming sprint — the kind of short, sharp dirt race where Los Alamitos speed figures translate cleanly. Fix It Quick in Race 3 is the one we're most confident in of the free trio, drawing the morning line favorite role at 9/5 in a one-mile Claiming test and posting the top rating among the free picks at 87.53. Vonntastic rounds out the free card in Race 2's Maiden Special Weight — a five-furlong debut-type sprint where pace and post position will matter. Keep an eye on how the speed shakes out early in that field.

The clear weather and firm surface favor horses that can get to the front or sit just off a contested pace — a theme that runs through all three free picks today. No surprises expected from the track itself; conditions look as clean as they get at Los Alamitos.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

9:36 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Blue-blooded connections dominate this 6½-furlong maiden special weight — Bob Baffert and Richard Mandella both saddle multiple runners, setting up a barn-vs.-barn battle in a race that could produce a future stakes horse.

win6FaranML 2/1

Faran leads our TrackWiz ratings at 58.33 and carries the Bob Baffert barn tag alongside one of the best jockeys available in Umberto Rispoli. The 2/1 morning line makes this the public's choice, and it's hard to argue — Baffert's first-out juveniles historically arrive fit and freshened. No career wins to reference given maiden status, but in a debut, that's expected; what matters is the trainer's conversion rate with this profile.

place5Noble TestamentML 5/2

Noble Testament rates just behind at 57.5 with Hall of Fame trainer Richard Mandella conditions and the legendary Mike E. Smith in the saddle — a jockey-trainer combo that doesn't show up at the track without a live horse. The 5/2 morning line is fair, and at 53 on average speed, this one has shown something in the mornings worth tracking.

show4SudeikisML 9/2

Sudeikis rates at 54.17 and gives you a second Baffert runner to key against, which makes the show spot interesting — if Faran breaks through, Baffert's barn clearly had it right and Sudeikis could easily be running them down for third. The 9/2 morning line offers legitimate show value in a deep, competitive maiden field.

Race 5

10:09 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

Summer Haze comes in as a TrackWiz standout in what looks like a speed-heavy five-furlong claiming sprint — the pace scenario could get hot early and set things up for whoever can handle the pressure.

win1Summer HazeML 3/1

Summer Haze sits atop our ratings at 87.08 — the highest mark in this field by a wide margin — and a 40% career win rate is simply exceptional for the claiming game, suggesting this horse doesn't miss often when the conditions set up right. Edgar Payeras picks up the mount for trainer Sheldon W. Paldanius, and at 3/1 on the morning line, there's still some value attached. Five furlongs on dirt is a distance where sharp, high-speed horses can wire the field, and Summer Haze fits that mold.

place4Westport CaptainML 9/2

Westport Captain rates second in our model at 76.03 with an average speed of 54 and draws the Vann Belvoir barn — a trainer who knows this track well. The 9/2 morning line is fair for a horse this profile, and an 11% career win rate in the claiming ranks tells you this one can find the board consistently.

show5CulturalML 2/1

Cultural posts a 66.04 TrackWiz rating and owns a 20% career win percentage, putting it firmly in the mix as a legitimate show contender at 2/1 on the morning line — interestingly, the public likes Cultural more than our model does, which is worth noting. The 53 average speed figure is competitive in this five-furlong spot, and trainer Sergio Morfin keeps horses fit at this level.

Race 6

10:42 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Two horses separate themselves significantly from the rest of this maiden claiming field at 6½ furlongs — Springline and Queen Kimbe are both rated well above the pack, and their matchup shapes the entire race.

win6SpringlineML 3/1

Springline earns our top TrackWiz rating at 87.08 — tied for the highest mark on the card in non-stakes company — and carries the added credibility of a 9% career win percentage, which means this horse has been to the wire before in maiden company and knows how to compete. Trainer Ryan Hanson puts Adrian Escobedo aboard, and the 3/1 morning line offers real value given how dominant the rating edge is here. At 53 average speed, the raw numbers are solid for this level of maiden claiming.

place1Queen KimbeML 7/2

Queen Kimbe is right there at 84.5 on our ratings with a 54 average speed and trainer Craig Dollase sending her out — Dollase has a strong reputation for placing horses correctly. At 7/2 on the morning line, Queen Kimbe is essentially a co-favorite in our model and makes perfect sense as the place leg in exactas beneath Springline.

show5Sugar LovinML 5/2

Sugar Lovin checks in at 57.5 on ratings with an average speed of 55 — actually the highest speed number in this field — and trainer Michael W. McCarthy is a proven winner in Southern California. The 5/2 morning line reflects a horse the market respects, and in a race where the top two are very close, Sugar Lovin could easily swoop in for third.

Race 7

11:14 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Dragon Kat stands out as a clear TrackWiz standout in this six-furlong maiden claiming affair, but a supporting cast with legitimate upside makes the exacta and trifecta more interesting than the win pool.

win2Dragon KatML 2/1

Dragon Kat leads all comers with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark of any horse on tonight's card — and trainer George Papaprodromou puts Cesar Belmont aboard, a jockey who knows how to get the best out of horses at Los Alamitos. The 2/1 morning line is short but arguably justified given the rating dominance. At a 53 average speed, the raw number is competitive, and the overall profile here screams top selection in maiden claiming company.

place6Smokem Hot GirlML 5/1

Smokem Hot Girl rates second in the field at 79.67, a significant jump above the rest of the supporting cast, and Pedro Flores takes the mount for trainer Felix L. Gonzalez. The 5/1 morning line is interesting — our model has this one rated much closer to Dragon Kat than the odds suggest, which makes the place spot in exactas a potential overlay worth attacking.

show8Dame It DaniML 3/1

Dame It Dani posts a 71.64 TrackWiz rating and draws the services of Tiago Josue Pereira — a solid pick-up — for trainer Alfredo P. Marquez at 3/1 on the morning line. The 53 average speed figure is consistent with what you'd expect from a competitive maiden claimer, and at that price, Dame It Dani is a natural show anchor for trifecta plays.

Race 8

11:45 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

She's Back emerges as the clear TrackWiz selection in this six-furlong maiden claimer, but Courtsdream offers an intriguing overlay angle that could reshape the exacta landscape for bettors willing to look past the favorite.

win3She's BackML 3/1

She's Back tops our ratings at 76.02 in a field where most horses are clustered in the 40s and 50s, giving trainer Jamey R. Thomas's filly a meaningful edge in our model. Jeremy Laprida takes the mount and the 3/1 morning line is fair — this horse shows a 53 average speed and has shown enough in her past work to suggest a competitive effort in maiden claiming company. When one horse rates this far above the pack, the win bet deserves serious consideration.

place5CourtsdreamML 6/1

Courtsdream is a fascinating overlay at 6/1 on the morning line despite rating second in the field at 70.91 for trainer Sheldon W. Paldanius. Edgar Payeras climbs aboard, and the combination of a strong TrackWiz number with a price that suggests the public is underestimating this filly makes the place wager a compelling value angle — especially in exacta combinations beneath She's Back.

show6Just MendelssohnML 5/2

Just Mendelssohn rates at 57.5 with an average speed of 55 — the highest raw speed number in this field — and trainer Brendan W. Galvin sends this one out at 5/2, meaning the public is not ignoring this horse at all. Armando Aguilar rides, and while the TrackWiz rating trails the top two, the speed figure edge makes Just Mendelssohn worth including on the show end of trifectas.

Race 9

12:16 AM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/8 mi · Dirt

The night's marquee event is a five-horse stakes at 1⅛ miles where TrackWiz ratings paint a very different picture than the morning line — our top pick goes off at 7/2 while the betting favorite is rated considerably lower, setting up a potential upset scenario.

win4FionelloML 7/2

Fionello earns the top TrackWiz rating at 86.35 despite going off at 7/2 — giving you genuine overlay value in the stakes feature. Trainer Steve R. Knapp puts Tiago Josue Pereira aboard, and an 18% career win percentage speaks to a horse that holds its own at this level consistently. The 54 average speed is competitive at 1⅛ miles, and in a short field of five, pace scenarios tend to sort out cleanly — Fionello's profile is built for the distance.

place3Start the RideML EVN

Start the Ride is right behind at 83.8 on our ratings with a 33% career win rate — the highest in the field — and goes off at even money on the morning line, suggesting the public sees this as the race to beat. Trainer Dan Blacker keeps this one sharp, and Armando Ayuso is a capable pilot. The gap between our rating and Fionello's is small enough that the place position makes perfect sense if you're looking to structure your wager.

show2Sabino CanyonML 8/5

Sabino Canyon is the 8/5 morning line favorite under the Bob Baffert barn with Ricardo Gonzalez riding, so clearly the market respects the connections even if our model has the rating at 59 — notably lower than the top two. A 0% career win rate in stakes company is worth noting, but Baffert horses frequently improve sharply with experience, and the show price could be compressed. Treat as a show hedge rather than a primary win investment based on our numbers.

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A clean, fast Los Alamitos card with a Stakes finale at the top — it's a solid day to be at the windows. Our free best bets are Blessed Angel (R1), Vonntastic (R2), and Fix It Quick (R3), with Fix It Quick standing out as the most confident play of the three. For the full card — including Dragon Kat, Fionello, pace maps, and exotic tickets — subscribe to TrackWiz Premium and get every angle before first post.

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