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Los Alamitos Quarter Horse Picks & Predictions — September 12, 2026

8 racesAll Los Alamitos Quarter Horse picks

It's a clean, sun-baked Saturday at Los Alamitos — 80°F, clear skies, and a fast dirt surface that should put a premium on raw speed and early kick. Eight races are on the board today, spanning distances from the lightning-quick 220 yards all the way out to 400 yards in the nightcap Handicap Stakes.

Quarter horse racing is its own beast. We're talking about contests decided in under 20 seconds, where gate speed and draw position can matter as much as class or connections. On a day like today — dry, firm, zero moisture to slow the ground — expect track-record territory in the sprints and horses that can explode out of the gate to dominate.

The card is a nice mix of maiden dashes, an allowance test, a claiming opener, and a Handicap Stakes to close things out. TrackWiz has you covered on all eight races, with three free previews to get you started and full premium analysis for the complete card.

Best Bets

Race 1

Claiming · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt

One horse towers over this 4.5-furlong claiming field on our ratings, but the morning line has installed a short-priced favorite that the TrackWiz model significantly disagrees with — making this a race to watch for overlay value.

win3Westport CaptainML 9/5

Westport Captain is the clear top selection here and it's not particularly close — an 88.83 TrackWiz rating is more than 27 points clear of the next closest horse. Edgar Payeras gets the call, and trainer Vann Belvoir puts him in at 9/5 on the morning line. The average speed figure of 56 is also the best in the field, and over a short sprint distance like 4.5 furlongs, early pop matters — this horse figures to be a factor from the start.

place1Careful ColinML 3/1

Careful Colin is the most experienced winner in the race with a 28% career win rate — comfortably the best winning percentage in the field. Ricardo S. Ramirez rides for trainer Monty R. Meier, and the 61.01 TrackWiz rating puts him solidly in second. He's a logical inclusion underneath in exactas at 3/1.

show2Thirsty GamblerML 5/1

Thirsty Gambler comes in at 5/1 on the morning line, which could represent fair value for a horse sitting third in our ratings at 58.45. The 6% career win rate is thin, but in a small field where anything can happen in a sprint, including him in trifecta coverage makes sense as a budget hedge.

Race 2

Maiden · 220 yd · Dirt

Wide-open maiden sprint over 220 yards with an all-first-out field — no career stats to lean on, so this comes down entirely to TrackWiz ratings and trainer/jockey reads.

win5Aj Crowned MajestyML 5/2

Aj Crowned Majesty draws our top rating at 57.5 despite going off at 5/2, making this a near-chalk play that the model supports. Irving Lara takes the mount for trainer Jose Antonio Flores, who also saddles Skinnyy Joe — Flores clearly believes in this barn's top representative in the race. In a field of first-time starters with no speed figures available, our model's edge over the field is the clearest signal we have.

place3Liberty TellML 7/2

Liberty Tell comes in second on our ratings at 55.83 and is priced at 7/2 on the morning line — almost identical value to the top pick. Trainer Lindolfo Diaz puts Armando Viramontes up, and in a maiden sprint where nothing is proven, the second-highest rated horse landing underneath is a natural exacta play.

show6Interest FreeML 6/1

Interest Free at 6/1 is the sneaky inclusion here — a 51.67 rating from trainer Paul C. Jones with Gabriel Angel Gomez Lara aboard. Jones knows this circuit well, and at that price, including Interest Free in trifectas gives you coverage at a meaningful overlay if the field scrambles.

Race 3

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

A nine-horse allowance field at 300 yards with two horses boasting a perfect 100% career win rate, but TrackWiz's ratings tell a more nuanced story — the real standout is sitting at 7/2 with the highest model score in the field.

win2Sixes CandyML 7/2

Sixes Candy tops our TrackWiz ratings at 86.35, and at 7/2 on the morning line, that's genuine value relative to how dominant the model sees this horse. Ricardo S. Ramirez rides for trainer Jose Antonio Flores — a barn that also has Fly to Da Moon in this race — suggesting Flores thinks well enough of both, but the numbers clearly favor Sixes Candy. A 20% career win rate in an allowance field at 300 yards is respectable, and when the model rating puts you 12 points clear of the third-ranked horse, that's a meaningful edge.

place4Apollitical Eye MrlML 6/1

Apollitical Eye Mrl checks in at 74.91 on our ratings and draws a fair 6/1 morning line — this is a legitimate value play underneath. Trainer Jaime H. Gomez sends out this horse with Gabriel Angel Gomez Lara in the irons, and a 20% career win rate in an allowance setting is nothing to dismiss. If Sixes Candy leads the way, Apollitical Eye Mrl figures to be in the mix for the place spot.

show7Fly to Da MoonML 5/2

Fly to Da Moon carries a 100% career win rate and a 5/2 morning line, which makes it the public's second choice, but our model slots it third at 57.5 — a notable gap below Sixes Candy. Irving Lara rides for the Flores barn, and while the unbeaten record is appealing, the TrackWiz gap suggests limited experience inflating that number. Still worth including in trifectas given the connections.

Our three free races today hit the early part of the card and offer some genuinely interesting angles. Race 1 — a 4 1/2-furlong claiming sprint — is the longest race on the card by a mile (pun intended), giving us a slightly larger analytical sample to work with. Westport Captain tops our ratings at 88.83 and opens at 9/5 on the morning line, a number that feels fair rather than inflated. Race 2 is a 220-yard maiden dash, the purest expression of Quarter Horse speed you'll find — Aj Crowned Majesty lands on top at 5/2, though maiden sprints at this distance carry inherent volatility. Race 3 steps up to 300 yards in an allowance condition where Sixes Candy (7/2) profiles as a live overlay if the morning line holds or drifts.

The connecting thread across these free picks? All three benefit from today's firm, fast surface. Horses that generate immediate thrust out of the gate — rather than those who need a few strides to find their stride — are the profile to target on a dry 80°F afternoon at Los Alamitos. Keep that bias in mind as you build your tickets.

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Bottom line: Los Alamitos is playing fast, the weather is ideal, and there's legitimate value scattered across all eight races today. Westport Captain (Race 1), Aj Crowned Majesty (Race 2), and Sixes Candy (Race 3) are your free best bets — solid starting points for any ticket you're building. For the full card including pace maps, exotic strategies, and our Handicap Stakes deep dive, TrackWiz Premium has everything you need. Good luck out there — may your horses break clean.