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Los Alamitos Quarter Horse Picks & Predictions — July 26, 2026

July 26, 20268 racesAll Los Alamitos Quarter Horse picks

It's a clear, warm Sunday at Los Alamitos — 82°F, fast dirt, and eight races of quarter horse action on tap. Conditions are about as clean as you'll get in Southern California this time of year, which means speed figures should translate well and there's no weather excuse for underperformers today.

The card is loaded top to bottom with stakes-level competition, including a Derby, a Futurity, and three Handicap Stakes that give us some serious betting angles to dig into. Whether you're here for the short-field sprint sprints or looking to build a multi-race ticket, today's card has something for every style of player.

Three races are open to all TrackWiz readers today, and we like what we see in the free-preview trio. The back half of the card — where the Derby and Futurity live — is where subscribers will want to focus their attention.

Best Bets

Race 1

2:25 AM EDT

Stakes · 350 yd · Dirt

The morning line favors Blackk Maggic, but TrackWiz ratings tell a different story — A Mere Andrea and Mp Jess Rockin rate well above the public's choice in this 350-yard Stakes opener.

win4A Mere AndreaML 4/1

A Mere Andrea tops the TrackWiz ratings in this field at 85.62, making her the analytical standout despite going off at 4/1 on the morning line. Trainer Jesus Nunez sends her with Jesus Rios Ayala in the irons — a barn-jockey combination worth tracking throughout the card. She's carved out a 33% career win rate, which is solid in a competitive stakes field, and our ratings suggest she's undervalued relative to her morning line.

place2Mp Jess RockinML 7/2

Mp Jess Rockin posts the second-highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 83.21 and figures to be right there at 350 yards. Trainer Sergio Morfin has him ready, and Ricardo S. Ramirez takes the call. At 7/2 on the morning line, he's a natural place coverage underneath A Mere Andrea.

show1Call Me CandelaML 5/2

Call Me Candela brings the most eye-catching win percentage in the field — 60% career — which is elite for any level of quarter horse racing. Jose Rosario Alcala pilots for trainer Jose Antonio Flores, and despite a TrackWiz rating of 77.35, that win percentage screams a horse that knows how to finish. At 5/2, she's no overlay, but she's legitimate show insurance in trifecta tickets.

Race 2

2:51 AM EDT

Stakes · 400 yd · Dirt

Scott Willoughby saddles three of the six horses in this 400-yard Stakes, creating an interesting barn dynamics angle — but it's stablemate Warmly who separates herself from the pack on ratings.

win6WarmlyML 7/2

Warmly is the clear class of this field by TrackWiz ratings at 86.35, and she's doing it from post 6 with Gabriel Angel Gomez Lara up. What makes her stand out isn't just the top rating — it's the gap between her and the next-best horse. More of It clocks in at 64.69, a 21-point gulf that's hard to overlook. Scott Willoughby runs three horses today but Warmly is the one the numbers say to beat.

place3More of ItML 5/2

More of It is the second-best rated horse in the field at 64.69 and drew the inside-ish post 3 with Irving Lara. At 5/2 on the morning line, she's not exactly a value play, but she's clearly the second horse in this race on merit and makes sense in exacta spots underneath Warmly.

show4Go NorthML 6/1

Go North rates third in the field at 55.42 and comes in at a generous 6/1 morning line, which gives him some overlay potential in exotic wagering. He's another Willoughby runner, so the barn has a deep presence here — if traffic gets messy, connections know where everyone is. A show ticket on Go North at those odds has appeal in a multi-horse stable entry scenario.

Race 3

3:15 AM EDT

Claiming Stakes · 300 yd · Dirt

Eight horses load into the gate for this Claiming Stakes at 300 yards — the shortest sprint on today's card — and the top of the ratings sheet is tight at the top with Fyrestorm and Echicera separated by just a point and a half.

win4FyrestormML 5/1

Fyrestorm leads our ratings at 84.17 and brings a 26% career win percentage into a claiming stakes field — respectable numbers at this level. Irving Lara gets the call for trainer Sergio Morfin, and at 5/1 on the morning line, there's genuine value here compared to what the ratings suggest. At 300 yards, gate speed is everything, and Fyrestorm's profile fits the distance perfectly.

place3EchiceraML 9/2

Echicera runs second on the TrackWiz ratings at 82.65, just a whisker behind Fyrestorm, and comes in at 9/2 for trainer Jesus Nunez with Jesus Rios Ayala aboard — the same trainer-jockey combo we flagged in Race 1. Her 16% career win rate is modest, but at this class level in a claiming stakes, the ratings say she belongs right in the thick of it at the wire.

show5Shes Diggin ItML 8/1

Shes Diggin It is our show pick at 8/1 on the morning line — that's a price worth circling in trifecta construction. She rates 56.54 on the TrackWiz scale and posts a 20% career win percentage, which is middling, but trainer Michael V. Casselman is one of the most active barns on today's card and clearly comfortable at Los Alamitos. The 8/1 morning line creates real trifecta value if the top two run true.

Our three free races span 300 to 400 yards and cover Stakes and Claiming Stakes conditions, giving us a nice cross-section of the card to work with. A Mere Andrea (4/1 morning line, Race 1) kicks things off over 350 yards and carries an 85.62 TrackWiz rating — a solid number for an opener. In Race 2, Warmly steps up to 400 yards as one of our stronger free-preview ratings at 86.35, and that morning line of 7/2 offers real value if the public doesn't catch up. Race 3 brings Fyrestorm into a Claiming Stakes sprint at just 300 yards — the shortest run on the card — where a quick gate and clean break can be the whole ballgame.

On a fast, dry Los Alamitos strip, early speed is king. All three free-preview picks profile as horses who can get out of the gate cleanly, and that's exactly what you want to see when the track is playing this quick. Keep an eye on post position in the sprint distances — bias data from similar conditions at this track favors horses who don't have to fight for position in those critical first strides.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

3:39 AM EDT

Handicap Stakes · 350 yd · Dirt

This Handicap Stakes at 350 yards features a compelling ratings cluster at the top — three horses within six points of each other — but Deluxe Cartel's number edges out a pair of live threats in what should be a fast and tight finish.

win5Deluxe CartelML 5/2

Deluxe Cartel tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 and carries a 21% career win rate for trainer Valentin A. Zamudio with Ruben Lozano in the irons. At 5/2 on the morning line, the public has him right, but the ratings back up that confidence — he's got the highest score of any horse in today's Race 4 field. In a handicap stakes where weight assignments try to level the field, having the top-rated horse is a meaningful edge.

place6MumbalML 5/2

Mumbal is fascinating here — a 42% career win percentage is one of the best marks you'll see anywhere on today's card, and she rates 81.76 on the TrackWiz scale. Trainer Jesus Nunez sends her out with Jesus Rios Ayala, the same combo that's been active all afternoon. At 5/2 morning line, she's co-favorited with Deluxe Cartel, and frankly, that win percentage makes her a legitimate win threat, not just a place play.

show4Quick She IsML 2/1

Quick She Is draws post 4 at 2/1 — the shortest price on the board — and rates 81.73 on the TrackWiz scale, essentially a dead heat with Mumbal in the ratings. Trainer Scott Willoughby taps Gabriel Angel Gomez Lara for the mount. Her 13% career win rate is the knock, but in a tight handicap field like this, she figures to be on the board at a price that won't give you much back to win.

Race 5

4:03 AM EDT

Handicap Stakes · 350 yd · Dirt

You Are the Best enters as the odds-on morning line choice in this Handicap Stakes at 350 yards, and TrackWiz ratings back that status — but Went to London looms as a real threat off an intriguing second-best rating.

win4You Are the BestML 9/5

You Are the Best posts the highest TrackWiz rating on the entire card through five races at 88.83, and the morning line rightly installs her at 9/5. Trainer Paul C. Jones sends her out with Irving Lara, who's been one of the busier jockeys today. Her 20% career win percentage won't wow anyone, but the sheer separation between her rating and the rest of the field — second-best is Went to London at 68.41 — is a 20-point gap that's hard to argue against in a 350-yard sprint.

place1Went to LondonML 2/1

Went to London draws the rail at post 1 with Gabriel Angel Gomez Lara for Scott Willoughby and carries a 2/1 morning line that makes her the second public choice. She rates 68.41 on the TrackWiz scale — a meaningful step below You Are the Best, but comfortably clear of the rest of the field. A 12% career win rate is something to note, but in a six-horse field with a dominant top horse, the place spot figures to be a battle she can win.

show3In the LeadML 9/2

In the Lead checks in at 61.61 on the TrackWiz scale and a 20% career win percentage for trainer Michael V. Casselman — one of the most reliable barns in the barn area today. Justine Klaiber pilots, and the 9/2 morning line offers fair value in the show hole. She's not threatening the top two on ratings, but she's a tier above the bottom half of this field and a natural third-place finisher in trifecta tickets.

Race 6

4:29 AM EDT

Handicap Stakes · 400 yd · Dirt

The public is locked onto Cattail Cove at 7/5, but TrackWiz ratings install Cheater as the top horse in this eight-horse Handicap Stakes at 400 yards — creating a genuine value opportunity against the morning line favorite.

win2CheaterML 9/2

Cheater rates 84.90 on the TrackWiz scale — the highest mark in this race — and yet goes off at 9/2 on the morning line, well behind Cattail Cove's 7/5. That four-and-a-half point rating edge over the public choice is exactly the kind of discrepancy TrackWiz analysis is built to find. Ricardo S. Ramirez picks up the mount for Scott Willoughby, and at 400 yards, a horse with this ratings profile at this price is worth staking confidently.

place3Cattail CoveML 7/5

Cattail Cove is the morning line favorite at 7/5 and rates a solid 80.12 for trainer Juan G. Aleman with Martin Arriaga aboard. Her 22% career win percentage is steady for this level, and the public clearly respects her form. If Cheater outpaces her to the wire, Cattail Cove's profile suggests she'll be right there for second money.

show8Epic WindML 6/1

Epic Wind is our show pick at 6/1 morning line, which gives him real trifecta value in an eight-horse field. He rates 75.86 on the TrackWiz scale — third best in the race — and posts a 27% career win percentage for Paul C. Jones with Henry Reynoso Lopez. The price is right for a horse who rates above most of this field, and he's a strong consideration in any multi-horse exotic underneath the top two.

Race 7

4:53 AM EDT

Derby · 400 yd · Dirt

Ten horses load for the Derby at 400 yards, and Doodah Cartel enters as a heavy morning line favorite — but with a field this deep and a horse like Brother Ray lurking at 5/2, there's real money to be structured around the top.

win9Doodah CartelML 6/5

Doodah Cartel is the standout of this entire ten-horse Derby field with a TrackWiz rating of 89.71 — the highest single-race rating on today's card — and an eye-popping 50% career win percentage. Henry Reynoso Lopez rides for trainer Paul C. Jones, and the 6/5 morning line reflects just how clearly the public sees this horse as the class of the field. In a race this deep, having the top-rated horse at that win percentage is about as comfortable as it gets in quarter horse handicapping.

place4Brother RayML 5/2

Brother Ray is our place pick at 5/2 with an 80.25 TrackWiz rating and a 40% career win percentage — the second-best win rate in this field. Irving Lara rides for trainer Jose Antonio Flores, and in a sprawling ten-horse field, a horse with that kind of win percentage in his past races figures to be competitive late. He's a logical underneath play in exactas with Doodah Cartel.

show1Mayor HumdingerML 6/1

Mayor Humdinger brings an exceptional 60% career win percentage to this Derby — the best win rate in the entire field — and rates 69.03 on the TrackWiz scale. Martin Arriaga rides for Michael V. Casselman, who has been one of the most active trainers on today's card. The 6/1 morning line creates genuine trifecta value for a horse whose win percentage says he knows how to finish at the business end.

Race 8

5:17 AM EDT

Futurity · 350 yd · Dirt

The Futurity closes out the card at 350 yards with a tight ratings cluster at the top — four horses within nine points of each other — setting up a wide-open finale where the right ticket structure could pay handsomely.

win7Terrific FavoriteML 5/2

Terrific Favorite edges the field on TrackWiz ratings at 85.77 and carries a 33% career win percentage for trainer Lindolfo Diaz with Armando Viramontes in the irons. At 5/2 on the morning line, the public has found this horse, but the ratings justify the price — he's the top-rated runner and has demonstrated the ability to win at a meaningful rate. In a Futurity field with several unknowns, that combination of top rating and solid win percentage is a reliable anchor.

place5ContentiousML 4/1

Contentious is essentially tied with Terrific Favorite on ratings at 85.62 — just a 0.15 differential — and posts a 50% career win percentage that stands out in this group. Trainer Paul C. Jones sends him out with Eduardo Nicasio, and at 4/1 morning line, he's slightly overlaid relative to what the numbers suggest. This is a genuine win threat dressed up as a place pick.

show3Still StandingML 7/2

Still Standing posts a 79.20 TrackWiz rating and brings an outstanding 66% career win percentage — the best in this Futurity field — with trainer James W. Glenn, Jr. and Oscar M. Peinado in the saddle. The 7/2 morning line is fair for a horse with that kind of career success rate, and in a Futurity where young horses can be unpredictable, Still Standing's win percentage provides real confidence as a show selection and a live exotic threat.

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Bottom line: Los Alamitos is serving up a legitimate stakes-heavy card today with clean conditions and fast footing. A Mere Andrea, Warmly, and Fyrestorm headline our free previews, and they all fit the profile of horses who can thrive on a quick-playing Los Al strip. For the Derby, the Futurity, and everything in between, the full TrackWiz breakdown — including exotic ticket structures and pace projections — is waiting for subscribers at /pricing. Good luck out there today.

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