Daily Picks

Lethbridge RMTC Picks & Predictions — June 28, 2026

Sunday, June 28, 20267 racesLethbridge RMTC

Rain is falling at Lethbridge RMTC this Sunday and the dirt is going to be playing very differently than it does on a dry afternoon. With temps sitting around 56°F and moisture working into the track surface throughout the day, pace dynamics and trip handicapping take on extra weight — horses that handle off-tracks and rate kindly near the pace tend to have a significant edge in these conditions.

Seven races are on the board today, ranging from five-furlong sprints all the way out to seven-furlong allowance tests. The claiming ranks dominate the early card, while three allowance bouts headline the back half and give us the most interesting handicapping puzzles of the afternoon.

TrackWiz has analysis on every race. The first three are on us — free for every reader. Races 4 through 7 are part of our full premium breakdown, where the real multi-race angles live.

Best Bets

Race 1

6:15 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

The morning line favorite isn't the TrackWiz top-rated horse in this 5-furlong dirt claimer, creating a juicy overlay situation at the top — expect sharp money to shift before post.

win2Countess CatML 5/1

Countess Cat sits atop our TrackWiz ratings at 84.17, a clear separation from most of this field in a wide-open claimer. She's drawn post 2 with Andre Powell in the irons and carries a 25% career win rate — the best in the field by a meaningful margin. At 5/1 on the morning line, she's priced like a mid-tier contender but rates like the class of the field. That's the kind of overlay that makes for a strong win play.

place3Ready to OrbitML 3/1

Ready to Orbit comes in with a TrackWiz rating of 83.15, virtually neck-and-neck with Countess Cat at the top of the rankings. Blandford Stewart gets the call for trainer Robert Gwilliam, and at 3/1 on the morning line this horse should be well-supported. Even if Countess Cat gets the jump at the front, Ready to Orbit has the numbers to earn a piece.

show5Adam's CreedML 2/1

Adam's Creed is the morning line favorite at 2/1 and posts the only available average speed figure in the field — a 53 — giving bettors at least some concrete velocity data to hang a hat on. Jose O. Rocha rides for trainer Lloyd Weeseekase, and an 18% career win rate puts Adam's Creed in the respectable middle of the pack. We have this horse third in our ratings, making the show spot a reasonable hedge for those building exotics.

Race 2

6:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Street Art looks like a class standout in this 5.5-furlong dirt claimer, but Ekati's Zoom Zoom's 23% career win rate keeps this from being a throwaway race — pace and post position will matter.

win4Street ArtML 5/2

Street Art is the top-rated horse in Race 2 by a wide margin, carrying an 87.81 TrackWiz rating that towers over the rest of this field. Larris Allen picks up the mount for trainer Lyle W. Magnuson, and the 5/2 morning line suggests the public already respects this runner — though our model thinks the edge is even bigger than the odds reflect. A 17% career win rate is solid in this company, and if there's any pace pressure to soften up the other speed, Street Art could draw clear late.

place3Ekati's Zoom ZoomML 3/1

Ekati's Zoom Zoom brings a 23% career win rate that stands out in this field — only one other runner eclipses 20%. Ryan Nelson gets the mount for trainer Nolan Little Bear, and a 70.79 TrackWiz rating gives this horse a clear third-tier edge over the bottom half of the field. At 3/1, the price is fair and the horse belongs on your exotics tickets underneath Street Art.

show2RailsplitterML 2/1

Railsplitter is the morning line choice at 2/1 with Andre Powell aboard for trainer Jim Depew, and posts an average speed figure of 51 — one of only two horses in this field showing any speed number. The 61.39 TrackWiz rating ranks third in the field, and while we don't love the show price given the morning line, Railsplitter's speed data provides a baseline that most rivals here can't match. A solid inclusion for trifecta coverage.

Race 3

7:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Thisismystory looms as the dominant figure in this 5.5-furlong claimer, but four horses are bunched between 60–68 in our ratings — if the favorite stumbles, chaos follows.

win5ThisismystoryML EVN

Thisismystory enters as the TrackWiz top-rated horse at a perfect 90.0 — the highest single-race score we've posted on today's card — and draws even-money on the morning line, confirming the public is very much on the same page. Blandford Stewart gets the mount for trainer Cindy M. Cummins. Even in a field with multiple horses posting speed figures, none of them rate within 22 points of this one, and the even-money price is the market doing its job.

place4Baytown SundanceML 4/1

Baytown Sundance is the most intriguing place horse in this race, holding a 67.52 TrackWiz rating and showing an average speed figure of 55 — the highest of any horse on this card. Orlando Foster pilots the runner for trainer Floyd Buffalo, and a 25% career win rate shows this horse knows how to get to the wire first. If anything disrupts Thisismystory's flow, Baytown Sundance has the raw speed to pounce.

show2Imperial HornetML 3/1

Imperial Hornet brings the most eye-catching career win percentage in today's entire card — 44% — which demands attention regardless of the morning line odds. Andre Powell takes the mount for trainer Jim Depew, a pairing that's represented multiple times today suggesting a stable in form. The 65.88 TrackWiz rating and an average speed figure of 54 make this horse a legitimate exotics piece, especially if the pace scenario sets up favorably from post 2.

Our three free races cover Races 1 through 3 — all claiming sprints run on the wet dirt. Countess Cat opens the card at 5/1 morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 84.17, which makes her an interesting overlay if the crowd underestimates her off-track form. Street Art steps up in distance to 5½ furlongs in Race 2, drawing a solid 87.81 rating at 5/2 — a fair price for a horse we like in muddy conditions. Then Thisismystory closes the free card in Race 3 at even money, posting our highest rating of the free trio at a clean 90.00. Even money is not usually where value hunters look, but a 90 rating on wet dirt is hard to argue with.

One thread worth watching across these early sprints: the moisture will likely favor horses with clean early position. Closers trying to rally through a wet, cuppy surface in a short sprint face a tougher ask. Keep that pace angle in mind as you build your tickets.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

7:30 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Maiden Special Weight over 6 furlongs — no prior wins in the field by definition, but Brookland's rating gap over the field is as wide as any race on the card today.

win2BrooklandML 8/5

Brookland tops the TrackWiz ratings in Race 4 at 89.12 and draws the 8/5 morning line chalk, which is a case where the market and our model are firmly aligned. Anthony J. Allen gets the mount for trainer Clinton Rycroft over 6 furlongs of dirt. In a maiden field where no horse has a career win to their name, the one with the sharpest rating profile and an average speed figure of 52 is well worth trusting.

place5Valhalla VikingML 5/2

Valhalla Viking rates second in this field at 80.02 — a meaningful gap behind Brookland but a comfortable margin over the rest. Trevor Simpson rides for trainer Lloyd Weeseekase, and the 5/2 morning line reflects genuine respect from the oddsmakers. An average speed figure of 53 actually edges out Brookland by a tick, and in a maiden race, raw speed can surface unpredictably — this one can run.

show3Spirit of CharlieML 2/1

Spirit of Charlie comes in at 2/1 on the morning line, which makes the show price unappealing on its own, but the 58.33 TrackWiz rating and the booking of Andre Powell for trainer Chandra Clarke suggest connections are expecting a forward effort. In a five-horse maiden field, three horses landing on the board is a real possibility, and Spirit of Charlie has enough rating support to stay in the mix without embarrassing anyone. A trifecta singling the top two and boxing in Spirit of Charlie is worth a look.

Race 5

7:55 PM EDT

Allowance · 7 fur · Dirt

Forgotten Man dominates the allowance ratings here, but the morning line is tight enough that finding value underneath matters — pace scenario over 7 furlongs could shake things up late.

win2Forgotten ManML 7/5

Forgotten Man leads this allowance field with an 89.42 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark of any horse in today's allowance races — and draws a sharp 7/5 morning line to match. Larris Allen gets the mount for trainer Clinton Rycroft, a pairing that appears multiple times on this card suggesting the stable is well-represented and rolling. A 21% career win rate at the allowance level is a legitimate figure, and with an average speed figure of 51, this horse has the numbers to back up the hype over 7 furlongs.

place4Keep Up the PaceML 9/5

Keep Up the Pace draws a 9/5 morning line despite a TrackWiz rating of 64.69, which makes this horse probably the most public-backed runner relative to our model's assessment. Jose O. Rocha rides for trainer Lloyd Weeseekase, and the 6% career win rate is admittedly modest. That said, the pace scenario over 7 furlongs often produces strong place finishes from horses sitting just off the early speed, and if this horse settles nicely, there's a place check in the picture.

show5Magical Tap InML 6/1

Magical Tap In is the sleeper in the exotics at 6/1 on the morning line — the biggest price among our picks in Race 5. Laurina Bugeaud takes the mount for trainer Tansley Miyashiro, and a 49.78 TrackWiz rating puts this horse squarely in the 'competitive on a good day' category. An 8% career win rate doesn't inspire confidence at the top, but in a race where the pace could get honest over seven furlongs, a closer-type could sneak into the show spot and return solid trifecta value.

Race 6

8:20 PM EDT

Allowance · 7 fur · Dirt

A three-horse battle shapes up at the top of the allowance field here, with Far Western, Bernalinho, and Dominate all posting meaningful credentials — but the ratings gap between 1st and 2nd is sizable.

win2Far WesternML 9/5

Far Western leads the TrackWiz ratings in Race 6 at 88.83 and lands a 9/5 morning line that reflects genuine market confidence. Larris Allen, who is having a productive afternoon in the irons, picks up this mount for trainer Lyle W. Magnuson. A 26% career win rate is the best in the field, and over 7 furlongs of dirt this horse figures to have the class edge. The value isn't enormous, but the profile is clean.

place3BernalinhoML 8/5

Bernalinho is the 8/5 morning line second choice and posts a solid 71.2 TrackWiz rating for trainer Jaqueline Smith — the same barn that also sends out Dominate in the race. Garfield Gordon rides, and a 23% career win rate speaks to a horse that knows how to compete. Importantly, having stablemate Dominate in the race could create interesting pace dynamics, and Bernalinho may benefit from a set-up scenario. Strong place contender.

show1DominateML 3/1

Dominate has the most intriguing profile in the show slot — a 66.96 TrackWiz rating, a 22% career win rate, and an average speed figure of 56 that is the highest posted in Race 6. Orlando Foster is in the irons for trainer Jaqueline Smith, meaning Smith saddles two of the five runners here. That stablemate presence could mean a pace-pressing role for Dominate, setting up the late runners while still hanging around for a board spot at 3/1.

Race 7

8:45 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

Memory McCracken sends out two horses in this 6-furlong allowance — including our top pick — creating an interesting stable dynamic, while Ruthy's Girl's 50% career win rate is the kind of number that stops you mid-handicap.

win1BabylikestorockML 5/2

Babylikestorock leads our TrackWiz ratings in Race 7 at 87.81 and carries a 28% career win rate — both marks the best among today's eight-horse allowance field. Trevor Simpson gets the mount for trainer Memory McCracken, and an average speed figure of 51 gives this horse a known baseline at 6 furlongs. At 5/2, the morning line is fair value for the top-rated horse in the race, and with a stablemate potentially controlling the pace, this one could be sitting prettily turning for home.

place2DarkcloudofsmokeML 9/5

Darkcloudofsmoke is the other half of the McCracken barn entry, drawing 9/5 on the morning line with Orlando Foster aboard. A 79.57 TrackWiz rating ranks second in the field and the stablemate dynamic is worth considering — if McCracken's two runners set up the race for each other, Darkcloudofsmoke could easily grab the place. The 12% career win rate is modest compared to Babylikestorock, but in allowance company, second-best often means a check.

show7Flashing JokerML 6/1

Flashing Joker is a sneaky inclusion at 6/1 on the morning line, posting a 63.52 TrackWiz rating — third in the field and ahead of four other runners in this eight-horse race. Gilberto Santos gets the call for trainer Macynne Packham, and while the 4% career win rate is low, an eight-horse field with pace pressure from the McCracken barn could compress the field late and let a closer sneak into the exotics. Worth including in trifecta wheels.

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Wet dirt, tight claiming fields early, and a trio of allowance bouts to close — Lethbridge has a genuinely interesting card today if you know where to look. Thisismystory stands out as the top-rated free pick, and Forgotten Man leads the premium group with the highest TrackWiz rating on the card at 89.42. Tread carefully with chalk in slop — the off-track is where overlays are born. Full analysis for Races 4 through 7 is available to TrackWiz subscribers. Check /pricing to get access before the first race goes off.

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