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Laurel Park Picks & Predictions — November 13, 2026

November 13, 202610 racesAll Laurel Park picks

Best bets at Laurel Park today

Race 111Horsing AroundML 5/212:00 PM EST

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Last 30 days at Laurel Park: our top pick won 16 of 67 races (24%) and finished in the money in 46.

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Horsing Around is our best bet among today's free races — posting the second-fastest recent speed figure in Race 1 at 11.62 sec/furlong while backed by a jockey who's won 30% of rides and hit the board 65% of the time over the past year. At a 5/2 morning line, this is a horse worth circling before the first post.

It's a cool, crisp Friday at Laurel Park — 45°F under partly cloudy skies — and the turf is in play across a solid 10-race card. Three races head to the grass, including Race 1, and there's a healthy mix of claiming, allowance, and optional claiming company top to bottom. Not a blockbuster stakes card, but the kind of day where sharp handicapping pays off.

Our TrackWiz simulations have flagged some real value spots buried in the middle of the card — including a few horses outrunning their morning lines on the dirt. More on those below for subscribers.

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Race 1

12:00 PM EST

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

A wide-open 16-horse turf sprint where nearly every runner is 'unproven' in terms of run style, making pace projection murky — but the top two TrackWiz-rated horses carry a significant edge over the rest of a sprawling field.

win11Horsing AroundML 5/2

Horsing Around earns the top TrackWiz rating in the race at 87.81 and brings a formidable connections angle to the table: jockey Sheldon Russell has won 30% of his starts over the past year and hit the board 65% of the time, while the Russell-Russell combo (jockey and trainer Brittany T. Russell) posts a remarkable 37% win rate together. The speed figures back it up too — she's ranked 2nd in recent race speed at 11.62 sec/furlong, well ahead of the field average. With a 55% in-the-money rate across her career and our sims giving her a 21% win share, she's the class of this field on paper.

place2Dandy VandyML 2/1

Dandy Vandy is the other half of the Jamie Ness barn one-two punch, sharing that elite 29% jockey-trainer combo win rate with Martin Chuan. What separates her as the place pick is her recent consistency — she's hit the board in four straight races, the kind of form cycle that keeps her competitive even without being the top-rated runner. At 2/1 on the morning line she's likely the lukewarm favorite, but four straight in-the-money efforts on a 61% career ITM rate is hard to dismiss.

show16EachpeachpearplumML 6/1

Eachpeachpearplum at 6/1 makes for an interesting exotic play, rated 3rd in the field at 73.0 and having placed in four of her last six starts. She's 1-for-3 at the 5½-furlong distance specifically, so the conditions are familiar, and jockey Angel Cruz has a solid 19% win rate and 55% ITM rate over the past year. At morning-line odds, she offers enough value to include in trifecta coverage.

We ran Race 1 10,000 times. Most wins:

11Horsing Around21%
2Dandy Vandy21%
16Eachpeachpearplum9.6%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 16 runners

Race 1 is your free look today, and Horsing Around makes a compelling case. Running over 5½ furlongs on the turf, this horse's recent speed — ranked second in the field at 11.62 sec/furlong — translates well to a short turf sprint where maintaining pace is everything. The jockey angle is hard to ignore: 30% wins and 65% in-the-money over the past year is elite-level production, and that rider-horse pairing earns a TrackWiz rating of 87.81. Our sim gives Horsing Around a 21.23% win probability against a 5/2 morning line — that's a touch of overlay if the market doesn't adjust at post time.

With the turf card likely playing fair on a dry, cool afternoon, pace will matter. Keep an eye on how the early fractions develop — turf sprints at Laurel can compact quickly, and horses with strong recent speed tend to hold their edges when the tempo is honest.

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

12:28 PM EST

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A short, competitive 8-horse dirt sprint where two horses — Railroad Inn and Zio Lino — stand well above the rest on TrackWiz ratings, setting up what looks like a two-horse race with the rest fighting for the show spot.

win8Railroad InnML 3/1

Railroad Inn tops this field with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and the most compelling recent speed profile in the race — fastest recent figure at 12.28 sec/furlong, backed by an impressive dirt record of 1 win and 12 placements from 18 starts on the surface. Jockey Jeiron Barbosa is one of the sharper riders on the grounds with a 23% win rate and 59% ITM over the past year, and our simulations have Railroad Inn winning 28% of the time — by far the highest of any horse in this field. This one figures to be the horse to beat.

place4Zio LinoML 9/2

Zio Lino slots in second in the ratings at 84.38 and brings a strong dirt profile of his own — 1 win and 8 placements from 11 dirt starts, showing he consistently runs his race on this surface. Carlos Eduardo Lopez has a 20% win rate over the past year and 53% ITM, giving the horse a capable pilot. He's listed at 9/2 on the morning line, which could represent a bit of value if Railroad Inn draws heavy action.

show1King PuckML 5/1

King Puck ranks 3rd in the field at 60.89 and owns the top workout of the month at an eye-catching 12.00 sec/furlong — suggesting he's training well heading into this. His recent race speed is second-best in the field at 12.38 sec/furlong, and Martin Chuan's 22% win rate over the past year is a plus. The concern is he's placed in just one of his last five starts and runs without Lasix while seven rivals use it, so the show slot feels like his ceiling here.

We ran Race 2 10,000 times. Most wins:

8Railroad Inn28%
4Zio Lino23%
1King Puck14%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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Race 3

12:56 PM EST

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Turf

A wide-open maiden turf mile where the top-rated horse is separated from the pack but no runner in this 16-horse field has yet broken their maiden — making form reading tricky and creating real value opportunities beneath the favorites.

win7Daddy MoneybagsML 6/1

Daddy Moneybags leads the TrackWiz ratings at 82.71 in a field where the next tier drops off noticeably, and his recent form is the clearest in the race — he's placed in three of his last four starts, including three consecutive in-the-money efforts coming in. Trainer Andrew Simoff has an A- grade and jockey Julio Hernandez hits the board 58% of the time over the past year. At 6/1 morning line, our sims give him a 14% win share — solid for a maiden event — and he's the most consistent form horse in an otherwise raw field.

place14Sound CheckML 5/1

Sound Check is the second-rated horse at 73.49 and brings the strongest recent form cycle among the closers in this group — he's placed in two straight and three of his last five starts. Trainer Michael Gorham earns a B grade and jockey Jatniel Ramos carries an A- with a strong 60% in-the-money clip. For a maiden race, back-to-back placings tells a story of a horse that's close to breaking through, making him a strong candidate to hit the board again.

show11AlohaglowML 3/1

Alohaglow is rated 3rd at 56.67 and posts the fastest recent race speed figure in the entire field at 12.44 sec/furlong — a big deal when you're sorting through maidens. Jockey Mychel Sanchez runs a 26% win rate and 60% ITM over the past year, making him one of the stronger riders in the race. The knock is she hasn't placed in her last start, but speed figures that rank first in the field suggest she belongs here, and at 3/1 morning line she's attractively priced to land in the exotics.

We ran Race 3 10,000 times. Most wins:

7Daddy Moneybags14%
14Sound Check13%
11Alohaglow11%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 16 runners

Race 4

1:26 PM EST

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

An intriguing Starter Optional Claiming mile on dirt where the top-rated Master Schemer carries a significant ratings edge, but a pair of Jamie Ness runners coupled as 1 and 1A create a tricky wagering dynamic in an otherwise competitive eight-horse field.

win7Master SchemerML 7/2

Master Schemer sits atop the TrackWiz ratings at 84.0 and backs it up with the fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.23 sec/furlong. His dirt record is excellent — 3 wins and 10 placements from 15 starts on the surface — and he's placed in four of his last six races, showing consistent current form. Our sims give him a 22% win share, highest in the field, and while trainer Daniel McKenzie earns a C grade, the numbers on the horse himself are hard to argue with. At 7/2, he represents fair value in a spot where his figures clearly set him apart.

place4EdelweissML 8/1

Edelweiss warrants serious consideration at 8/1 morning line — she's the second-rated horse at 79.79 and her dirt record (2 wins, 13 placements from 21 starts) speaks to consistent competitiveness. Her recent race speed ranks 3rd in the field at 12.56 sec/furlong, and jockey Emanuel Rosario posts an 18% win rate and 47% ITM over the past year. The only flag is a claiming price bump, but her form metrics suggest she can handle this level.

show2Divine ChildML 8/1

Divine Child rates 3rd in this field at 53.88 and comes in with two consecutive in-the-money efforts — a nice form arrow pointing up. Jockey Mychel Sanchez is one of the sharper riders on the grounds with a 26% win rate over the past year, giving this one a capable pilot. The concern is she hasn't placed in any of her three starts at the one-mile distance specifically, so the show spot feels like a reasonable expectation rather than an outright win scenario. Throw her in your trifectas at 8/1.

We ran Race 4 10,000 times. Most wins:

7Master Schemer22%
4Edelweiss14%
1Beale Street Boy13%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

1:53 PM EST

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A tightly bunched seven-furlong dirt claimer where the top three TrackWiz-rated horses are separated by just five points, setting up a genuine three-way battle — and creating a situation where the morning-line favorite may be an underlier while real value could lurk at longer odds.

win1VenetoML 8/1

Veneto tops the TrackWiz ratings at 79.79 — a bit of a surprise at 8/1 on the morning line — and his profile is legitimately strong: 3 wins and 12 placements from 17 dirt starts, a 70% in-the-money rate across his career, and the second-fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.36 sec/furlong. The main flag is a claiming price increase from $7,500 to $12,500, so we're asking if he can step up. Our sims give him a 16% win share, and if he can handle the class hike, that 8/1 price looks like real value.

place4Fan ClubML 9/5

Fan Club is the morning-line favorite at 9/5 and his dirt record is simply massive — 8 wins from 36 starts on the surface, with 21 total placements, and he's placed in three straight coming in. Jockey Carlos Eduardo Lopez pairs nicely with the horse's connections and brings a 20% win rate over the past year. The concerns are real though: he's 8 years old which is typically past a horse's peak, and he's facing a slight class bump. The form says he competes; age says manage expectations.

show7Penny LoaferML 3/1

Penny Loafer sits third in the ratings at 74.81 and owns a strong career dirt record with 5 wins and 11 placements from 16 dirt starts. The Barbosa-Farrior combo is one to watch — that pairing has posted a 31% win rate and 65% ITM over the past year. The concerns are a 7th-ranked recent speed figure and the horse being flagged as past its prime at 6 years old, but a 61% career ITM rate and that elite jockey-trainer connection make Penny Loafer worth including in your exotics at 3/1.

We ran Race 5 10,000 times. Most wins:

4Fan Club24%
7Penny Loafer20%
1Veneto16%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

2:21 PM EST

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A deep 12-horse allowance optional claiming mile on the turf where the top-rated Dynacito holds a meaningful edge, but several horses in this field are dealing with age concerns — creating opportunities for the sharper form horses to outrun their odds.

win4DynacitoML 7/2

Dynacito leads the field with a 77.76 TrackWiz rating and arguably the strongest connections in the race — jockey Sheldon Russell has won 30% of his starts over the past year, and the Russell-Russell combo (Brittany T. Russell training) hits a staggering 37% win rate together and 75% ITM. He's placed in three of his last four starts and our sims give him nearly a 20% win share. At 7/2, this is a horse whose trainer-jockey combination alone makes him worth backing.

place7El de LarryML 15/1

El de Larry is a fascinating overlay at 15/1 morning line — he's rated second in this field at 69.58 and comes in having placed in two straight and four of his last six starts. Jockey Mychel Sanchez brings a 26% win rate and 60% ITM over the past year, one of the sharper rides in this race. The odds suggest the market is underrating him relative to his current form, making him a strong candidate for the place position and excellent exotic value.

show2Market MavenML 6/1

Market Maven rates third at 69.56 and brings the Jamie Ness/Martin Chuan combination — that pairing has combined for a 29% win rate and 79% ITM over the past year, which is an extraordinary number. He's placed in his last two starts showing current fitness, and at 6/1, he's a reasonable third-piece add to any exotics. The flags are a short rest cycle (19 days when he prefers 30+) and being 8 years old, so manage your expectations on the win end.

We ran Race 6 10,000 times. Most wins:

4Dynacito20%
9Write Off Jerry18%
2Market Maven13%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 7

2:50 PM EST

Rating Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

A competitive turf sprint at 5½ furlongs where two horses — Cactus and Normandy Hero — are separated from a 14-horse field on the TrackWiz ratings, setting up what looks like a likely two-horse exotics key situation with solid longshot candidates lurking underneath.

win2CactusML 3/1

Cactus tops the field at an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — tied for the top figure on today's entire card — and backs it up with four consecutive in-the-money finishes. His recent race speed ranks 3rd in the field at 11.63 sec/furlong, and his overall form at this distance is consistent. Jockey Jorge Ruiz hits the board 50% of the time over the past year. The one flag is Cactus being 6 years old, which is noted as past typical peak, but current form trends say he's still competitive. Our sims give him a 23% win share, highest in the race.

place7Normandy HeroML 2/1

Normandy Hero is the most compelling distance specialist in this race — his record at 5½ furlongs is an eye-opening 3 wins and 7 placements from just 7 starts, meaning he's hit the board every single time he's run this distance. He's also placed in four of his last six starts showing solid current form. The Jamie Ness barn's 23% win rate with jockey Jaime Rodriguez is a steady angle, and at 2/1 morning line, he could easily be the actual favorite by post time.

show9War HumorML 8/1

War Humor rounds out the top three with a solid turf profile — 4 wins and 11 placements from 16 turf starts — and has placed in four of his last six races. Jockey Jevian Toledo posts a 19% win rate and 52% ITM over the past year. The concern is his recent speed figure ranks 11th in the field, suggesting he may need a pace setup to close into, but his overall turf record is too strong to ignore in a race like this at 8/1 morning line.

We ran Race 7 10,000 times. Most wins:

7Normandy Hero24%
2Cactus23%
10Where's Ray10%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 14 runners

Race 8

3:20 PM EST

Rating Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A solid Rating Optional Claiming sprint on dirt where Cybertime and Do It for Michael are separated from the rest of the field on ratings, but Easy Action's perfect Laurel Park record makes this a three-horse exotics puzzle worth solving.

win1CybertimeML 5/2

Cybertime carries the top TrackWiz rating in this race at 87.81 — matching the highest figure on today's card — and the stats are genuinely impressive: a 56% career win rate, 75% in-the-money, and the fastest recent race speed in this field at 12.04 sec/furlong. The Barbosa-Farrior combination has posted a 31% win rate and 65% ITM over the past year, one of the more reliable pairings at this meet. Our sims give Cybertime a 27% win share. The only note is a 6-year-old age flag, but his current figures don't suggest any falloff.

place8Do It for MichaelML 3/1

Do It for Michael sits second in the ratings at 83.37 and brings a strong dirt pedigree — 5 wins and 11 placements from 16 dirt starts. His recent race speed ranks 3rd in the field, and the Perez-Robb combination has combined for a 22% win rate and 57% ITM over the past year. At 3/1 on the morning line, he's well-priced to hit the board in a race where the top two horses on ratings are clearly superior to the rest of the field.

show7Easy ActionML 4/1

Easy Action is the third-rated horse at 62.33 and owns a perfect Laurel Park record — 3 placements from 3 starts at this exact track. His career dirt profile shows 11 wins and 23 placements from 36 starts, which is a monster number. Jockey Mychel Sanchez brings a 26% win rate over the past year, and Easy Action's 29% career win rate is among the highest in this field. The concerns are a 6-year-old age flag and a relatively slow recent workout, but his Laurel Park form alone makes him a must-include in trifectas.

We ran Race 8 10,000 times. Most wins:

1Cybertime27%
8Do It for Michael23%
7Easy Action14%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 9

3:51 PM EST

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A short but deep allowance optional claiming route on dirt where Jamie Ness saddles two horses — Assume Nothing and Worcester — that rank first and second on TrackWiz ratings, making this effectively a barn-driven race with the rest of the field racing for the show spot.

win5Assume NothingML 5/2

Assume Nothing earns the top TrackWiz rating in the race at 87.81 and owns a career dirt record that's hard to argue with — 6 wins and 20 placements from 25 dirt starts, an 80% ITM rate on the surface. His recent race speed ranks 2nd in the field at 12.46 sec/furlong, and the Ness barn's 23% win rate with jockey Jaime Rodriguez is a consistent angle. Our sims give Assume Nothing a 30% win share, the highest of any horse on today's card. The age flag (6 years old) and a middling recent workout are the only minor concerns in an otherwise strong profile.

place2WorcesterML 5/2

Worcester slots in at second on the TrackWiz ratings at 77.31 and brings an equally strong dirt resume — 6 wins and 16 placements from 22 starts on the surface. The Martin Chuan-Jamie Ness combination is the strongest jockey-trainer pairing at this meet, posting a 29% win rate and 79% ITM over the past year — extraordinary numbers. At 5/2 morning line, he may end up co-favored with his stablemate, but his form says he deserves to be near the top of the exacta regardless.

show3Just a Fair ShakeML 4/1

Just a Fair Shake fills the third position at 51.88 on the ratings and brings a sharp Laurel Park record — 2 wins and 4 placements from just 5 starts at this oval. His recent race speed is fastest in the field at 12.38 sec/furlong, which is a meaningful figure in a route race. Jockey Jeiron Barbosa has a 23% win rate over the past year. The concern is he hasn't placed in three straight, so he may need things to set up right, but his Laurel-specific form and pace figures make him worth including in exotic plays.

We ran Race 9 10,000 times. Most wins:

5Assume Nothing30%
2Worcester28%
1Energize15%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 10

4:19 PM EST

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

The finale is a 10-horse turf sprint where Fortune Hill holds the top rating but Life Boat — dropping significantly in class off a win — creates the most compelling storyline, with Hoppetosse adding a solid third wheel to what shapes up as a competitive closer-friendly race.

win2Fortune HillML 9/2

Fortune Hill earns the top TrackWiz rating at 84.9 and comes in rolling — she's placed in four of her last five starts, including four consecutive in-the-money efforts. Her recent race speed ranks 2nd in the field at 11.81 sec/furlong, and jockey Joseph Rocco Jr. carries an A- grade with a strong overall record. Our sims give her a 23% win share. At 9/2 on the morning line, she's attractively priced for the top-rated horse in the race with the clearest current form trend.

place4Life BoatML EVN

Life Boat is the most interesting horse in this race — she drops from a $35,000 claiming level all the way down to $16,000, and she won her last start on October 25th. That combination of a sharp class drop and a fresh win is a classic overlay angle. Jockey Jeiron Barbosa has a 23% win rate over the past year and handles her confidently. Our sims give her a 27% win share — actually the highest in the field — and the morning-line price of even money reflects the market's respect for her form.

show7HoppetosseML 8/1

Hoppetosse rounds out the ticket at 69.48 on the TrackWiz ratings and is in excellent current form — she's placed in five of her last six starts and hit the board in two straight. Her recent race speed ranks 3rd in the field at 11.83 sec/furlong, keeping her competitive on pace. Trainer John Robb earns an A grade and jockey Jatniel Ramos has an A- clip. At 8/1 morning line, she's a solid value add to any exotics in what looks like it could be a profitable race to structure.

We ran Race 10 10,000 times. Most wins:

4Life Boat27%
2Fortune Hill23%
7Hoppetosse14%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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Bottom line: Horsing Around is the free play of the day in Race 1 — solid speed, elite jockey stats, and a slight overlay at 5/2. For the full 10-race card, pace projections, and exotic strategies, the complete TrackWiz analysis is waiting for subscribers. Good luck at the windows today — and as always, bet smart.

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