Daily Picks

Keeneland Picks & Predictions — April 24, 2026

Friday, April 24, 202610 racesKeeneland

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 10-race card at Keeneland. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 10 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

2026-04-24T17:01:51

Maiden Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Backside looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win3BacksideML 9/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.8 for Race 1. Ridden by Irad Ortiz, Jr., trained by Brad H. Cox. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.91 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. Placed in 2 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 2 of 3 races at 1 1/16 mi. Claiming Price Decreased from $30000 to $20000. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place7Admiral HallML 4/1

Rating board at 55.0. Ridden by Gerardo Corrales. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 54% of races. Has not raced in 700 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up.

⚡ Longshot2Punkin BoyML 20/1

Rating board at 44.4. Ridden by Axel Concepcion. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.66 sec/furlong. Has not raced in 333 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up.

Race 2

2026-04-24T17:37:32

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Shining Moment looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win5Shining MomentML 7/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 59.3 for Race 2. Ridden by Irad Ortiz, Jr., trained by Wesley A. Ward. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 27% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 11.93 sec/furlong.

place8ExtravaganzooML 7/2

Rating board at 55.8. Ridden by Tyler Gaffalione. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races.

⚡ Longshot1More ChampagneML 12/1

Rating board at 41.7. Ridden by John R. Velazquez. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 48% of races.

Race 3

2026-04-24T18:09:21

Maiden Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Speed Skater looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2Speed SkaterML 6/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.7 for Race 3. Ridden by Flavien Prat, trained by Brad H. Cox. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.61 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 33% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 2 of the last 3 races. Has placed in 2 of 3 at Medium Distance races. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 12.15 sec/furlong. Claiming Price Decreased from $30000 to $20000. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Compressed looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win6CompressedML 15/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 69.6 for Race 4. Ridden by Jose L. Ortiz, trained by Steven M. Asmussen. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.23 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 53% of races. 1 wins and placed in 5 of 6 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 5 of 7 of Sprint races. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 11.95 sec/furlong.

place2Damascus SteelML 5/2

Rating board at 57.5. Ridden by Irad Ortiz, Jr.. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.30 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races.

⚡ Longshot7Stolen PowerML 8/1

Rating board at 53.0. Ridden by Luan Machado. Placed in 2 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races.

Race 5

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — City of Life looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win7City of LifeML 10/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 61.4 for Race 5. Ridden by William Antongeorgi III, trained by Troy S. Wismer. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.55 sec/furlong. Placed in 3 of 6 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 3 of 4 races at 6 fur.

place6My Lucky PennyML 8/1

Rating board at 48.3. Ridden by Luan Machado. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 49% of races.

show2Easy DialML 8/1

Rating board at 48.3. Ridden by Danny Sheehy. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.18 sec/furlong. Has placed in 1 of the last 1 races.

Race 6

Allowance · 7 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Sassy Princess looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win1Sassy PrincessML 9/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.9 for Race 6. Career win rate of 21% shows consistency. Ridden by Tyler Gaffalione, trained by David Jacobson. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.72 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 27% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. 2 wins and placed in 5 of 8 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races.

place5Tesouro de PirataML 6/1

Rating board at 51.7. Ridden by Gabriel Saez. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.79 sec/furlong. Has placed in 1 of the last 1 races.

show6Expecto PatronumML 12/1

Rating board at 29.0. Ridden by Luis Saez. Horse won last time it raced. 04/08/2026.

Race 7

Starter Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Show Time looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2Show TimeML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 7. Career win rate of 26% shows consistency. Ridden by Jose L. Ortiz, trained by Joe Sharp. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.92 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 50% of races. 6 wins and placed in 17 of 23 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 7 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 6 of 7 races at 6 fur. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance.

place4Freeze the FireML 5/2

Rating board at 68.5 • 25% career wins. Ridden by Irad Ortiz, Jr.. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races. 9 wins and placed in 18 of 32 races on Dirt tracks.

show6Funny UncleML 9/2

Rating board at 62.4. Ridden by Tyler Gaffalione. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.05 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races.

Race 8

Stakes · 1 1/2 mi · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Speed Shopper looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win9Speed ShopperML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 8. Career win rate of 33% shows consistency. Ridden by John R. Velazquez, trained by William Walden. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.23 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 48% of races. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Has 3 wins and placed in 7 of 10 of Medium Distance races. 2 wins and placed in 5 of 7 races on Turf tracks. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place2Virgin ColadaML 12/1

Rating board at 71.5 • 22% career wins. Ridden by Flavien Prat. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.32 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races.

show6Mrs. AstorML 4/1

Rating board at 68.8 • 30% career wins. Ridden by Jose L. Ortiz. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. Has placed in the last 7 races.

Race 9

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — National Charter looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win7National CharterML 4/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 55.0 for Race 9. Ridden by Luis Saez, trained by George R. Arnold II. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 49% of races. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 11.95 sec/furlong.

place3HovlandML 5/1

Rating board at 53.3. Ridden by Irad Ortiz, Jr.. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.35 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races.

⚡ Longshot1Island TownML 8/1

Rating board at 48.3. Ridden by Jose L. Ortiz. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.30 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races.

Race 10

Allowance · 1 1/8 mi · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Pretty Picture looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win6Pretty PictureML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 10. Career win rate of 66% shows consistency. Ridden by Flavien Prat, trained by Chad C. Brown. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.14 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 4 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 4 of 4 of Medium Distance races. Has not raced in 146 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 3 races on Turf tracks. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

⚡ Longshot3EquitasML 30/1

Rating board at 41.9 • 40% career wins. Ridden by John McKee. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 52% of races. Has placed in the last 4 races.

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