Daily Picks

Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks & Predictions — July 10, 2026

Friday, July 10, 20269 racesHorseshoe Indianapolis

Happy Friday from Horseshoe Indianapolis, where a nine-race card is set to run under partly cloudy skies and a comfortable 81°F. Conditions look ideal — no rain in the mix, and a fast dirt surface should hold all day for the sprint-heavy card. The turf course is in play for three races, including a pair of stakes in Races 7 and 8 that give this Friday card some real teeth.

Today's card has a nice mix of claiming races to open the afternoon, a stretch of allowance company through the middle, and those two turf stakes closing things out before a 350-yard quarter-horse sprint wraps it all up. Plenty of angles to work, and our TrackWiz ratings are flagging some interesting overlays — including a couple of morning-line outsiders worth a second look.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

One horse towers over this six-furlong claiming opener on paper, but there's genuine intrigue for the exotics with a pair of value runners lurking at big prices.

win1Count the CashML 3/1

Count the Cash earns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 87.08 — a significant gap over the second-ranked horse — and posts a 14% career win rate that holds up well in a claiming context. Alexander Crispin gets the call, and the morning line of 3/1 feels fair given that edge on the numbers. With an average speed figure of 54 matching the field's best, this horse profiles as the class of the race and should be pressing or leading through the stretch.

place2Mi SargentoML 8/1

Mi Sargento is an intriguing place play at 8/1 morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 65.58 — second-best in the field. The modest 4% career win rate is a flag, but in a place context, this horse has enough talent to land in the exacta if Count the Cash handles the top spot. Trainer Terry Vaughn gets a capable rider in Marcelino Pedroza, Jr., a jockey who knows how to rate a horse over six furlongs.

show4SlinkML 5/2

Slink is listed at 5/2 on the morning line — effectively co-second choice — and carries a 59.79 rating from TrackWiz. The 3% career win rate is low, but Luis Contreras is an experienced hand and this horse ties for the field's top average speed figure at 54. If the pace sets up honestly, Slink has the raw speed to be in the mix at the wire for show honors.

Race 2

4:31 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The morning-line favorite isn't the top-rated horse in this 5½-furlong claiming sprint — that disconnect creates real value opportunities and makes this race trickier than it looks on the surface.

win3Lotta LatteML 3/1

Lotta Latte carries the highest TrackWiz rating in this field at 74.31 and owns the best average speed figure at 54 — a tick above most of her rivals. Despite a modest 4% career win rate, the rating gap over the field suggests a form cycle that may be trending up, and trainer Raymond J. Paquette III gets a solid pilot in Samuel E. Bermudez. At 3/1 on the morning line, there's decent value here if Lotta Latte can finally convert that ability into a victory.

place8Liz's LegacyML 7/5

Liz's Legacy is the public choice at 7/5 and her 55 average speed figure is the best in the race — so the crowd isn't wrong to respect her. A 10% career win rate isn't flashy, but Mitchell Murrill is one of the sharper riders in this colony and figures to have this horse in a good spot turning for home. The place price will be short, but she's a reliable exotics anchor.

show1Sassy JuliaML 15/1

Sassy Julia is a sneaky show play at a massive 15/1 morning line despite owning a solid 69.58 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field. That rating-to-odds discrepancy is exactly the kind of overlay TrackWiz analysis is designed to find. Trainer Robert Pompell sends her out with Alexander Bendezu, and at that price, she's a must-use in the trifecta.

Race 3

5:02 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A deep allowance optional claiming field with two heavily backed favorites, but the real story is whether the top-rated horse can hold off a stout morning-line chalk in a speed-figure matchup that's razor-thin at the top.

win4Hot MiddlesML 7/5

Hot Middles carries the race's top TrackWiz rating at 89.42 and is the morning-line second choice at 7/5 — which means there's still some value relative to her actual edge on the numbers. A 35% career win rate is outstanding, and with a 56 average speed figure matching the field's best, Hannah Leahey has plenty of horse underneath her for this six-furlong dirt test. Trainer Tianna Richardville has this one pointing the right way.

place3Flat Out TimeML 8/5

Flat Out Time posts a 75.96 TrackWiz rating and also sports a 56 average speed figure, making her the most likely horse to challenge the top pick down the lane. Mitchell Murrill is in the irons for trainer George Weaver — a serious combination — and the 8/5 morning line suggests the public may actually have this one right as a near-coinflip with the top selection. A pace duel between these two sets up a potentially profitable exacta.

show1Beautiful TwiceML 5/1

Beautiful Twice opens at 5/1 with a 68.88 rating and a standout 37% career win rate — the best winning percentage in this field. Trainer John Alexander Ortiz keeps the horse working through H. Luke Hoskins, and at a distance that suits her profile, she's a legitimate threat to sneak into the trifecta if the top two tire each other out.

We're giving you three races on the house today — Races 1, 2, and 3. Count the Cash opens the card at 3/1 on the morning line with an 87-point TrackWiz rating, making him the strongest-rated free pick of the trio. Hot Middles in Race 3 projects as a sharp favorite at 7/5 with our top free-race score of 89.42 — that kind of number at that price tells you our model sees a dominant effort brewing. Lotta Latte bridges the two in Race 2, a short 5½-furlong dirt sprint where early speed figures to be at a premium.

The common thread across these three openers is pace — all three are dirt sprints where breaking cleanly and controlling the tempo will matter. Keep an eye on how the speed holds up in Races 1 and 2, because it'll tell you a lot about where the bias sits before you get to Hot Middles in Race 3.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

5:33 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Randy Klopp saddles two of the top three rated horses in this 5½-furlong allowance, setting up an interesting trainer-stable dynamic — but the real value may be hiding in the outside post.

win7Q's Got ClassML 9/2

Q's Got Class posts an 84.90 TrackWiz rating — tops in the field — and owns an impressive 33% career win rate that plays well in allowance company. The 9/2 morning line is the overlay of the race given how cleanly she separates from most of this field on our numbers. Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. takes the mount and has the experience to navigate from the outside post, and the 54 average speed figure keeps her in contention at this sprint distance.

place6Oil ManML 9/5

Oil Man sits right behind Q's Got Class at 80.26 on the TrackWiz scale and shares the field's top average speed figure at 56. The 9/5 morning line makes him the public's top choice, and Micah Meeks is a capable pilot for trainer Randy Klopp. Note that Klopp also runs Grey Eclipse — the barn will play to win with both, but Oil Man's raw speed makes him a strong place backup.

show4Grey EclipseML 7/2

Grey Eclipse is a fascinating show play at 7/2 with a 76.56 rating and a jaw-dropping 50% career win rate — by far the highest in this field. That win percentage suggests a horse who converts when he fires, and trainer Randy Klopp knows him inside out. Alberto Burgos gets the ride, and at a fair price, Grey Eclipse is the kind of closer who can pick up pieces if the pace gets honest.

Race 5

6:04 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi · Turf

A sprawling 12-horse turf mile with wide-open pace scenarios and a legitimate top choice, but the big field means exotics can pay handsomely — the key is finding which closers can weave through traffic.

win10Sweet JannaeliseML 3/1

Sweet Jannaelise is the clear TrackWiz top pick at 87.08 — matching the highest rating on today's entire card — and breaks from program number 10 with Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. up for trainer Anthony J. Granitz. A 16% career win rate is respectable in a turf field this size, and the 54 average speed figure is solid for a one-mile grass test. At 3/1 on the morning line, this is the best-priced legitimate top selection on the card.

place9Goody Two SocksML 5/1

Goody Two Socks checks in at 62.24 on our ratings and opens at a very playable 5/1. Fernando De La Cruz is a capable handler for a route scenario, and this horse's 6% career win rate doesn't tell the full story — on the grass at a mile, pace and positioning matter more than raw numbers. The rating and the price make this one a value-oriented place play in what could be a chaotic final turn.

show3Hungry ReggaeML 9/2

Hungry Reggae grades out at 60.21 with the field's top average speed figure at 55 — meaning this horse brings legitimate early or sustained pace to a turf mile. Joseph D. Ramos is a natural fit for a pace-pressing style, and a 16% career win rate for trainer John L. Langemeier shows consistent competitiveness. In a big field, horses who can control the tempo have a built-in edge.

Race 6

6:36 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

The morning-line favorite isn't the top-rated horse in this six-furlong allowance — our numbers point to a different winner at a price, with a genuine battle for the runner-up spots making exactas appealing.

win5A Long Winters NapML 5/1

A Long Winters Nap rates out as the top selection at 84.17 on the TrackWiz scale yet opens at 5/1 on the morning line — that's a meaningful overlay and the kind of situation our analysis is built to find. Rodney A. Prescott takes the mount for trainer Robert E. Dobbs, Jr., who also has Troglodyte in the field, showing the barn's confidence in this horse as the main player. A 14% career win rate is modest, but the 54 average speed figure and strong overall rating suggest a horse capable of firing a big effort today.

place2Rich in FaithML 5/2

Rich in Faith is the public choice at 5/2 and backs it up with an 82.87 TrackWiz rating — so this isn't a false favorite. Joseph D. Ramos gets the mount for trainer Donna Riley, and a 25% career win rate is one of the best in the race. The place price will likely be thin, but she's a reliable exacta key underneath the top pick.

show4Tiz Wine TimeML 6/1

Tiz Wine Time opens at 6/1 with a 57.69 rating and a strong 33% career win rate — that win conversion is hard to ignore in an allowance field. Trainer Anthony J. Granitz also saddles Instilled Zip in this race, giving the barn multiple chances to hit the board. Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. is an experienced handler for the spot, and at the price, Tiz Wine Time represents solid show and trifecta value.

Race 7

7:08 PM EDT

Stakes · 5 fur · Turf

This 13-horse turf stakes sprint is a chaotic puzzle — a huge field at five furlongs on grass means speed and positioning dominate, and the favorite isn't necessarily getting to the front.

win2Big TroubleML 9/5

Big Trouble earns the top TrackWiz rating among our picks at 78.83 and comes in as the 9/5 morning-line favorite — the public and our model are aligned here. Mitchell Murrill pilots for trainer Gregory D. Foley, and a 57 average speed figure is tied for the best in the race, giving this horse the raw tools to compete at the sharp end of a five-furlong turf sprint. The 14% career win rate is the one soft spot, but in stakes company, the class of the performance matters more than raw conversion rate.

place10Paynt Ya LaterML 6/1

Paynt Ya Later opens at 6/1 with a 69.38 TrackWiz rating and an eye-catching 36% career win rate — that's a horse who converts when he fires. Evin A. Roman gets the call for trainer Ed Moger, Jr., and the 56 average speed figure positions this horse as a legitimate contender in the late stages of a short turf sprint. At a double-digit payout range, this is a strong place value in a wide-open stakes.

show4La PumaML 15/1

La Puma is listed at 15/1 on the morning line and rates at 64.58 — a solid number in a 13-horse field — but the standout stat here is a 40% career win rate, the second-highest in the entire field. Trainer Rey Hernandez sends her out with Santo Sanjur, and a 57 average speed figure matches the top tier of this group. At that price, La Puma is exactly the kind of longshot show play that makes trifectas pay well.

Race 8

7:40 PM EDT

Stakes · 5 fur · Turf

Two horses with very similar profiles sit atop the TrackWiz ratings in this turf stakes sprint, setting up a compelling top-two battle — but a third horse at a big price could crash the party.

win5DonchoML 5/2

Doncho tops the TrackWiz ratings in this field at 87.81 — the highest rating of any horse on the card today — and owns a remarkable 54% career win rate that is simply elite for any level of competition. Jaime A. Torres gets the mount for trainer Michelle Lovell, and the 58 average speed figure is tied for best in this stakes field. At 5/2 morning line, Doncho looks like the most complete horse on today's entire card.

place10MondogetsbucketsML 7/2

Mondogetsbuckets checks in at 82.21 on our ratings — just a tick below Doncho — and posts the race's top average speed figure at 58 alongside a solid 26% career win rate. Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. rides for trainer Chris M. Block, and the 7/2 morning line reflects genuine public confidence. If Doncho has a bad trip in a full stakes field, Mondogetsbuckets has the raw ability to grab the top spot — a legitimate place bet at a fair price.

show7Devil's TowerML 10/1

Devil's Tower opens at 10/1 with a 76.88 TrackWiz rating that is third-best in the race, and a 39% career win rate underscores consistent competitiveness. Francisco Arrieta takes the mount for trainer Armando Hernandez, and the 56 average speed figure keeps this horse in range of the speed figures posted by the top two. At double-digit odds in a stakes sprint, Devil's Tower is the kind of show play that turns a trifecta from modest to meaningful.

Race 9

8:10 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

A 14-horse maiden sprint at 350 yards — this is Quarter Horse racing at its most raw and unpredictable, where gate breaks and TrackWiz ratings do most of the talking in the absence of established speed figures.

win4Eos Running RoxieML 9/2

Eos Running Roxie earns the top TrackWiz rating in this sprawling maiden field at 84.90 — a significant edge in a race where separation is hard to find. Trainer Anthony F. Cunningham sends her out with Luz Daniel Martinez aboard, and the 9/2 morning line is a genuine overlay given how sharply she grades above her rivals. In a maiden dash where there's no prior speed figure data to lean on, the rating gap here is about as reliable a signal as handicappers will get.

place7Kissin N MemphisML 2/1

Kissin N Memphis is the morning-line favorite at 2/1, which tells you the connections believe in this one — and a TrackWiz rating of 80.56 backs that confidence up. Trainer Jessica A. Vazquez sends her out with Giovani Vazquez-Gomez, and in a 14-horse dash where fractions of a second decide everything, this horse's profile as one of two clear top-rated runners makes her a must-use in exactas. The public may be right on this one.

show13Vm Girls FlyinhigherML 6/1

Vm Girls Flyinhigher opens at 6/1 with a 78.48 TrackWiz rating — third-best in this 14-horse maiden field and only a narrow gap behind the top two. Trainer Natasha Perez sends her out with Diego Villamil Bocanegra, and in a race this chaotic, that rating-to-odds relationship represents the kind of overlay that sharp bettors look for in maiden sprints. She rounds out the trifecta as the most logical third wheel behind two horses rated significantly above the rest of the field.

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Bottom line: today's card at Horseshoe Indianapolis has legitimate depth, highlighted by a strong top-end trio in the free races and two turf stakes that demand a closer look. Count the Cash and Hot Middles lead our public selections, but the real value may be hiding further down the card. Subscribers get every angle — head to TrackWiz Premium to unlock the full card before the first post.

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