Daily Picks

Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks & Predictions — June 25, 2026

Thursday, June 25, 202612 racesHorseshoe Indianapolis

We're heading to Horseshoe Indianapolis on Thursday, June 25 for a full 12-race card that mixes Thoroughbred dirt sprints, a pair of turf routes, and a quartet of Quarter Horse trials to close out the afternoon. Cloudy skies and a comfortable 79°F should keep conditions stable — no weather excuses today, just horses doing their thing.

The card has some real texture to it. You've got maiden fields on both dirt and turf, a couple of allowance spots where class sorting matters, and those 350-yard trials at the end of the card that Quarter Horse fans live for. Plenty of angles to work, and TrackWiz analysis has flagged some genuinely interesting prices across the board.

Best Bets

Race 1

6:10 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A six-furlong claiming opener with a clear TrackWiz rating standout at the top, but the morning line tells a different story — value hunters will find plenty to work with in this competitive field.

win6MictlanML 5/2

Mictlan (No. 6) is the class of this field according to TrackWiz ratings, posting an 87.81 — a full ten points clear of the next competitor. Trainer Miguel Angel Silva sends him out at 5/2 on the morning line, and his 22% career win rate is the second-best in the field among horses with meaningful starts. Matching the field's best average speed figure at 54, Mictlan looks built for this six-furlong dirt sprint and should get a clean trip from post six with Micah Meeks in the irons.

place2Tap BonnetML 7/2

Tap Bonnet (No. 2) carries the second-highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 77.83 and lands at a juicy 7/2 morning line with Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. in the saddle. His 12% career win rate is modest, but his overall profile suggests he hits the board consistently — making him a strong place play in the exacta.

show5What About NowML 3/1

What About Now (No. 5) checks in with a 70.03 TrackWiz rating and draws the morning line favoritism at 3/1, which makes him an intriguing show anchor. Trainer Tim Eggleston saddles him with Fernando De La Cruz, and while a 9% career win rate isn't flashy, he's the kind of horse who finishes and should be live for third at minimum.

Race 2

6:48 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 fur · Dirt

A maiden sprint for first-time starters makes this one of the toughest races to handicap on the card — no win percentages to lean on, so TrackWiz ratings and workout-based speed figures do the heavy lifting.

win6Looks Like LaineyML 8/5

Looks Like Lainey (No. 6) tops the TrackWiz ratings in this maiden field at 59.00 and draws the morning line chalk at 8/5, which is well-deserved. She's one of only two horses in the field with an average speed figure on record (54), giving her a measurable edge over several blank-slate rivals. Trainer Genaro Garcia also saddles the second pick, suggesting a barn in good form, and Amir Mendoza takes the call — a confident booking for the morning-line favorite.

place1Forever ReleaseML 4/1

Forever Release (No. 1) is the other Garcia-trained runner in the field, rated 55.00 by TrackWiz and posting an average speed figure of 54 — matching the top pick on raw speed. At 4/1 on the morning line with Pedroza Jr. up, she represents genuine value in the exacta and could easily reverse the order if Looks Like Lainey hits any traffic from the rail.

show9BigtimejusticeML 5/1

Bigtimejustice (No. 9) sneaks in with a 53.33 TrackWiz rating and a 5/1 morning line, making him one of the better-priced runners with any legitimate figure behind him. Trainer Aaron M. West also conditions Firedupjustice in this same race, so the barn has multiple shots, and Oscar Villarreal takes the mount — worth including in tri combinations at a fair price.

Race 3

7:21 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

One horse jumps off the page on the ratings in this turf mile allowance optional claimer, but the morning line price makes the value case for several others — this could be a race where the overlay beats the chalk.

win5CalamityML 6/1

Calamity (No. 5) is the TrackWiz top selection at 82.71 — more than 18 points clear of the next-rated horse — and goes at 6/1 on the morning line, which looks like a generous price for a horse this highly rated. Trainer Brendan P. Walsh is a significant class indicator at any level, and Alberto Burgos gets the call. The 7% career win rate is the lone concern, but in a class-elevated race like this, a Walsh-trained runner with this kind of rating profile deserves respect.

place2Reining FlowersML 5/1

Reining Flowers (No. 2) owns the highest average speed figure in the field at 59 — a notable edge in a race where most horses are clustered in the 52-54 range. Alex Achard takes the mount for trainer John Alexander Ortiz, and a 15% career win rate on a 64.41 TrackWiz rating makes her a legitimate place threat on the one-mile turf course.

show3Queen SiennaML 5/2

Queen Sienna (No. 3) brings the strongest career win percentage in this field at 33%, which is a hard number to ignore in an optional claiming spot where class matters. Trainer Paulo H. Lobo and jockey Irving Moncada team up at 5/2 morning line, and her 64.21 TrackWiz rating essentially ties her with Reining Flowers — making this a photo finish for third in the exacta/trifecta.

Three races are unlocked for every reader today, and they form a nice cross-section of the card. In Race 1 (Claiming, 6 furlongs on dirt), Mictlan at 5/2 morning line grades out as our top-rated horse on the entire card with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — a number that commands respect in a claiming sprint. Race 2 is a short 5-furlong maiden on dirt where Looks Like Lainey opens as the 8/5 favorite, and while maiden races always carry uncertainty, the morning line reflects real confidence from the connections. Then in Race 3, the Allowance Optional Claiming at a mile on turf, Calamity jumps off the page — an 82.71 rating at 6/1 on the morning line is exactly the kind of overlay TrackWiz is built to find. Route turf races tend to reward pace scenario analysis, and Calamity's profile fits the trip nicely on a calm, dry day.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

7:51 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden sprint where several first-time starters lack any speed figures, making the few horses with measurable form stand out sharply — post position could matter in a short five-furlong dash.

win1Classic VetteML 5/2

Classic Vette (No. 1) leads all comers with a 57.50 TrackWiz rating in this maiden field and draws the morning-line favoritism at 5/2 with Fernando De La Cruz in the irons. Trainer Aaron M. West is an active barn at this meet, and while no average speed figure is on record, the ratings model gives Classic Vette a clear edge over most of this field. Breaking from the rail in a five-furlong sprint means he needs to fire cleanly out of the gate, but De La Cruz is experienced enough to get him into position early.

place4Tricked YouML 7/2

Tricked You (No. 4) is the only horse in the field besides Skepticism with a recorded average speed figure, clocking a 52 — and his 55.83 TrackWiz rating is second in the field. Trainer Michael E. Lauer puts Mitchell Murrill up at 7/2 morning line, and this is a horse who has shown enough in past works to earn a serious look for the exacta.

show3FirequickML 5/1

Firequick (No. 3) rates third in the field at 53.33 and comes in at a fair 5/1 morning line with Angel Serpa aboard for trainer Kara Lin McGuire. No speed figure on record adds uncertainty, but the ratings edge over the bottom half of this field is real — he's a reasonable show play in trifecta combinations at a price that offers some return.

Race 5

8:21 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Turf

A full field of maiden turf milers brings plenty of chaos, but one horse sticks out like a sore thumb on the TrackWiz ratings — the question is whether the price reflects the edge or offers any value.

win11Forget About YouML 9/2

Forget About You (No. 11) is the standout in this 13-horse maiden field with a dominant 84.90 TrackWiz rating — a full 20 points above the second pick. Trainer Brendan P. Walsh, one of the sharpest conditioners when it comes to turf maidens, sends her out at 9/2 morning line with Alberto Burgos in the irons. Her average speed figure of 54 is in line with the better horses in this field, and a Walsh/turf/maiden combination is one of the angles you always circle on the program.

place12Let's Go BarbieML 6/1

Let's Go Barbie (No. 12) posts the best average speed figure in the entire field at 56 and carries a 64.44 TrackWiz rating — second only to Forget About You. Trainer Riley Mott books Alex Achard at 6/1 morning line, and in a wide-open maiden field like this, a horse with legitimate speed numbers is worth keying underneath in exactas and trifectas.

show9Strada Del SognoML 8/1

Strada Del Sogno (No. 9) comes in third on TrackWiz ratings at 57.81 and draws a respectable 8/1 morning line with Irving Moncada up for trainer Genevieve Londono. Her average speed figure of 53 is right in the mix, and at this price she offers solid trifecta value — the kind of horse who can finish quietly and pay nicely in a chaotic first-time-turf maiden field.

Race 6

8:51 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

The morning-line favorite and the TrackWiz top-rated horse tell two completely different stories in this maiden sprint — sharp bettors should pay close attention to that disconnect.

win8A Long Winters NapML 9/2

A Long Winters Nap (No. 8) owns a commanding 84.90 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this field by a wide margin — yet goes off at 9/2 on the morning line, well behind the 9/5 chalk. Trainer Robert E. Dobbs, Jr. and jockey Rodney A. Prescott team up here, and with a solid average speed figure of 54, this filly has the raw material to dominate. The gap between her rating and the rest of the field is significant enough that TrackWiz analysis strongly favors her as the win selection.

place1Nancy CML 9/5

Nancy C (No. 1) is the morning-line favorite at 9/5 and carries a 58.67 TrackWiz rating — solid, but nearly 26 points behind the top pick. Trainer Cipriano Contreras sends her out with Emmanuel Esquivel, and her 54 average speed figure ties several rivals. She's a reasonable place play given the public's confidence in her, but the ratings suggest she may be overbet at that short price.

show6Dreamy DrusoML 6/1

Dreamy Druso (No. 6) rounds out the show slot at 6/1 morning line with a 51.67 TrackWiz rating and a 53 average speed figure. Trainer Michelle L. Elliott keeps Jose Ramos Gutierrez in the irons, and while she sits in the middle of the pack on ratings, the 6/1 price gives you enough margin to include her in your trifecta tickets without breaking the bank.

Race 7

9:21 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

One horse dominates the TrackWiz ratings in this starter optional claiming turf mile, but the price won't be chalky — there's legitimate depth behind him that should keep the exotics interesting.

win3JazzoleML 9/2

Jazzole (No. 3) is the clear TrackWiz top selection at 84.90 — tied for the highest rating on the entire card in this spot — and the 40% career win rate is extraordinary, the best in the field by a wide margin. Trainer Genaro Garcia puts Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. in the irons at 9/2 morning line, which looks like value for a horse with that kind of win percentage. On a one-mile turf course, this is a horse who knows how to finish, and his 54 average speed figure is consistent with the upper tier of this field.

place4Henry the HankML 6/1

Henry the Hank (No. 4) brings a 59.36 TrackWiz rating — second in the field — and rates as the most logical place horse in this race. Mitchell Murrill picks up the mount for trainer Jonathan Nance at 6/1 morning line, and a 15% career win rate with that rating level suggests he's a reliable exacta partner who hits the board without necessarily winning.

show6MonumentaljusticeML 5/1

Monumentaljustice (No. 6) checks in at 54.03 on the TrackWiz scale with a 19% career win rate and a 54 average speed figure, giving him legitimate form numbers at a 5/1 price. Trainer Tomas Medina sends him out with Santo Sanjur, and on a turf course where pace scenarios can shuffle the deck, a consistent horse at this price is worth including deep in your trifecta.

Race 8

9:51 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

A six-furlong dirt allowance with two horses clearly separated from the pack — this looks like a match race at the top, with everyone else playing for show money.

win8Sharons BeachML 9/5

Sharons Beach (No. 8) tops the TrackWiz field at 88.83 and draws the morning-line favoritism at 9/5 — a deserved short price for the most complete profile in the race. Trainer Jonathan Thomas sends him out with Emmanuel Esquivel, and a 16% career win rate in allowance company combined with a 55 average speed figure gives him the foundation to back up the rating. In a race where the top two horses are clearly separated from the field, the 9/5 price may actually be acceptable value.

place6Tom Cat TuesdayML 7/2

Tom Cat Tuesday (No. 6) is only 5.75 points behind the top pick on TrackWiz ratings at 83.08 and is the horse most likely to make this a two-horse race. Trainer Genaro Garcia puts his best rider, Marcelino Pedroza Jr., in the irons at 7/2 morning line, and a 56 average speed figure matches the top horses in the field. If you're building exactas, the 1-2 combination of these two horses is the safest ticket on the night card.

show4King GeraldML 5/1

King Gerald (No. 4) sits third on TrackWiz ratings at 71.48 and carries a 25% career win rate — the joint-best in the field alongside a couple of other horses. Trainer Anthony J. Granitz gives the mount to Mitchell Murrill at 5/1 morning line, and a 56 average speed figure ties him with the top two picks. He's the clear third-best horse on paper and a logical show anchor for trifecta players.

Race 9

10:18 PM EDT

Trial · 350 yd · Dirt

The quarter horse trials kick off with a 350-yard dash where one standout brings a perfect record to the gate — in these short sprints, early speed and a clean break are everything.

win5Cyber BeachML 5/2

Cyber Beach (No. 5) carries a 100% career win rate — an eye-catching stat that TrackWiz analysis can't ignore — and draws a 5/2 morning line that reflects market confidence. Trainer Tim Eggleston, one of the more active quarter horse conditioners at this meet, saddles him with Luis Eduardo Luna Diaz. In a 350-yard trial, past performance at the win level is as reliable a signal as you'll find, and Cyber Beach's rating of 57.50 tops the field.

place3Cat Five KateML 3/1

Cat Five Kate (No. 3) is the second-rated horse in the field at 56.67 and draws a solid 3/1 morning line with Luz Daniel Martinez in the irons for trainer Anthony F. Cunningham. She's a few ticks behind Cyber Beach on the ratings scale, but in a trial where every horse is breaking new ground, her numbers make her the most logical exacta partner.

show1Keep On Rollin 123ML 7/2

Keep On Rollin 123 (No. 1) closes out the show slot with a 55.83 TrackWiz rating and a 7/2 morning line, making him the third-best-rated horse in the field by a small margin. Trainer Ricardo Martinez sends him out with Martin Munoz, and while no speed figure is on record, the ratings model gives him the edge over the rest of a wide-open trial field.

Race 10

10:45 PM EDT

Trial · 350 yd · Dirt

The second quarter horse trial of the night features two horses with perfect career records squaring off against a field of first-time runners — a battle of proven versus unknown.

win6Fabulous FreddieML 9/5

Fabulous Freddie (No. 6) posts a 100% career win rate and the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 58.67, earning the morning-line favoritism at 9/5. Trainer Anthony F. Cunningham books Luz Daniel Martinez for the 350-yard dash, and in a trial where experience and a proven record are premium currencies, Fabulous Freddie's combination of top rating and perfect record makes him the clear top selection.

place8Wyld Over CoronaML 5/2

Wyld Over Corona (No. 8) also brings a 100% career win rate into this trial and rates just behind the top pick at 57.50 on the TrackWiz scale. Trainer Tim Eggleston puts Luis Eduardo Luna Diaz in the irons at 5/2 morning line, making this effectively a match race between two unbeaten horses at the top of the field — a natural exacta combination.

show2Luna LuvgudML 5/1

Luna Luvgud (No. 2) is the only other horse in this field with a TrackWiz rating above 50 among those without a win record, checking in at 53.33 with a 5/1 morning line. Trainer Ron Raper sends out Cristian Penaloza, and in a trial where the top two horses may battle each other hard, a fresh runner at a fair price could sneak in for third.

Race 11

11:12 PM EDT

Trial · 350 yd · Dirt

The third trial of the night is the most wide-open of the bunch — no horse enters with a win on record, and the ratings are tightly clustered at the top, making this one a coin flip between the top three.

win2Tw Cowboy First DownML 2/1

Tw Cowboy First Down (No. 2) earns the top TrackWiz rating in this trial at 58.33 and draws the morning-line favoritism at 2/1 under Diego Villamil Bocanegra for trainer Natasha Perez. In a field where no horse has a prior win to reference, the ratings model becomes the most reliable tool available, and Tw Cowboy First Down's edge at the top of the field — combined with the morning-line consensus — makes him the straightforward top selection.

place9StreakinbyetheboysML 3/1

Streakinbyetheboys (No. 9) is rated second at 56.67 and goes at 3/1 morning line with Luis Eduardo Luna Diaz up for trainer Tim Eggleston. The Eggleston barn is clearly active throughout this trial card, and a horse rated within two points of the top pick in a tight field is the natural exacta partner — especially at a price that offers some return.

show6Thee WardenML 9/2

Thee Warden (No. 6) checks in third on TrackWiz ratings at 54.17 and is available at 9/2 morning line with Giovani Vazquez-Gomez in the irons for trainer Jessica A. Vazquez. In a trial where several horses are clustered in the 53-58 range, Thee Warden's slight ratings edge over the bottom half of the field makes him a worthwhile trifecta inclusion at a fair price.

Race 12

11:39 PM EDT

Trial · 350 yd · Dirt

The finale is a 350-yard trial to close out the night, and the TrackWiz ratings show a tight cluster at the top — any of the top three could come out of this and you wouldn't be shocked.

win2ScarcityML 5/2

Scarcity (No. 2) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 57.50 and draws a 5/2 morning line with Fernando Morin in the irons for trainer Claudio Barraza. The Barraza barn has multiple runners on this trial card, and the fact that Scarcity receives the top rating among them suggests internal confidence. In a 350-yard sprint where fractions of a second decide outcomes, having the highest-rated horse in your corner is as good a starting point as any.

place3Cv WarlockML 7/2

Cv Warlock (No. 3) is the second-rated horse at 55.83 and also runs for trainer Claudio Barraza — giving the barn a one-two punch in this trial. Edgar Diaz picks up the mount at 7/2 morning line, and with stablemate Scarcity drawing post two and Cv Warlock in post three, they could set up perfectly for a barn exacta if both break cleanly.

show9Rubys First KissML 4/1

Rubys First Kiss (No. 9) rounds out the show slot at a 55.00 TrackWiz rating and draws a 4/1 morning line with Luz Daniel Martinez aboard for trainer Anthony F. Cunningham. Cunningham has runners across several of tonight's trials, and Rubys First Kiss rates just a tick below the top two on paper — a reliable trifecta inclusion in a race where the top three horses are separated by less than three rating points.

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Thursday at Horseshoe Indianapolis shapes up as a card worth attacking from multiple angles. The free plays lead with Mictlan's high rating in Race 1 and the value target Calamity at 6/1 in Race 3. The premium slate has teeth too — Sharons Beach in Race 8 is the strongest top-line figure on the whole card and shouldn't be left off tickets. Full analysis, pace projections, and exotic breakdowns are all available to subscribers at TrackWiz Premium. Good luck out there — let's find some winners.

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