Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks & Predictions — June 17, 2026

Somnambulist rates second on the TrackWiz model at 71.47 and carries the support of trainer Kelsey Danner with Adam Beschizza in the saddle — a combination that should have this horse ready to run. The 4/1 morning line makes Somnambulist a solid place investment, especially in a maiden sprint where pace can collapse. This one fits perfectly as the place horse underneath Jr Miss Buttercup in exactas.

Deyemond is the morning line favorite at 5/2, trained by the well-regarded Brad H. Cox, and that barn connection alone demands respect in a maiden race. The TrackWiz rating of 57.5 is middle of the pack, but Cox maidens often outrun their numbers first time out, and Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. is a live rider. As a show hedge, Deyemond's connections give this horse the pedigree of a sneaky exacta and trifecta inclusion.

Tennesseehoneybee has a 26% career win rate and a TrackWiz rating of 64.43 — the second-highest in the field — making this runner the logical place threat if Night Kiss monopolizes the win slot. Fernando De La Cruz picks up the mount for trainer Sandino R. Hernandez, Jr., and from the rail post, a good break could set up a stalking trip. The 7/2 morning line on what is essentially the second-best horse in the race represents reasonable place value.

Arrasou holds a 26% career win rate matching Tennesseehoneybee and a TrackWiz rating of 54.78, rounding out the logical top three in this field. Trainer Randy Klopp has been active throughout today's card, and Irving Moncada's experience on a 6-furlong dirt track gives this horse a tactical edge. At 3/1, Arrasou is the natural show play and trifecta piece behind the two higher-rated contenders.

Ferrous posts a 55.83 TrackWiz rating just a hair below Agate, making these two virtually inseparable on the model. Trainer Rodolphe Brisset is a name that commands attention in turf routes — a barn that excels on the grass — and Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. is a capable partner at 7½ furlongs. The 7/2 morning line is fair, and Ferrous fits naturally as the place horse in a race where the top two are nearly even on ratings.

Camping Siete rates third on our model at 53.33 and draws a middle post from which Javier Padron-Barcenas can find a comfortable position in what figures to be a slowly-run maiden turf race. The 5/1 morning line offers genuine value for a horse sitting just off the top two in the ratings. In a turf maiden where pace is unpredictable, the show spot belongs to a horse that can sit off the lead and pick up the pieces, which fits Camping Siete's profile.

Scripted Love is an intriguing place play at 8/1 morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 64.65 — second-best in the field by a solid margin. Trainer Paul McEntee and jockey Danny Sheehy team up, and in a route race on dirt, experience in the conditioning of a longer trip can be a real differentiator. The 8/1 morning line versus second-ranked status on the model is exactly the kind of overlay that makes exotic wagers worthwhile.

Uncles Lil Trophy rates 56.67 on the TrackWiz model and is the morning line favorite at 3/1, which means the public is higher on this horse than our analysis. Trainer Tim Eggleston and jockey Andres P. Ulloa make for a competent pairing at a mile and 70 yards, and the 54 average speed figure is among the better figures in the field. Whether or not the public's affection is warranted, the show slot is a reasonable use of this runner in trifecta construction.

Inclined rates 72.16 on the TrackWiz model and is installed as the 5/2 morning line choice, meaning the market agrees this horse belongs near the top. Trainer Michael E. Lauer sends him out with Evin A. Roman, and a 13% career win rate in allowance turf company is respectable. As the 'public pick' in this spot, Inclined is a natural place inclusion and pairs well with Oscar D in exacta combinations.

Lookout Kid rates 69.84 on the model — third-best in the field — and draws Adam Beschizza for trainer John L. Langemeier, a combination that should handle the 1 1/16-mile turf trip comfortably. The 9/2 morning line is workable for a show play, and a 16% career win rate means this horse competes, even if it doesn't often win. In an allowance field where the top three ratings are within 10 points of each other, Lookout Kid is a legitimate trifecta piece.

Royal Justice holds a 77.04 TrackWiz rating and brings a strong 33% career win rate to this allowance optional claiming spot — the same win rate as Louder Than Words, making this horse a genuine threat to run second at minimum. Fernando De La Cruz picks up the ride for trainer Aaron M. West, who also saddles Watcher in the same race. At 7/2, Royal Justice is a value place play and natural exacta partner with the top pick.

Watcher sits just below Royal Justice with a 75.16 TrackWiz rating and a 27% career win rate, making the West barn a real presence in the top three with two horses. Luis Contreras gets the mount, and from the 2-post, this horse can stalk the early pace and pounce in a field that figures to be competitive deep into the stretch. The 9/2 morning line makes Watcher an attractive show play and trifecta anchor.

Midnight Cowboy 123 rates a very close second at 84.13 — just 1.5 points behind John D on the TrackWiz model — and is actually the morning line favorite at 7/2 with Rolando Del Rio Pina aboard for trainer Tim Eggleston. Eggleston is having a big night with multiple runners across the card, and Midnight Cowboy 123 is clearly one of his primary weapons in Race 9. The near-identical ratings to the win pick make an exacta box of these two a logical and efficient wager.

Rating board at 71.7. Ridden by Francisco Quintero. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 11.78 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 2 of 3 races at Horseshoe Indianapolis.