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Gulfstream Park Picks & Predictions — November 13, 2026

November 13, 20269 racesAll Gulfstream Park picks

Best bets at Gulfstream Park today

Race 18DorothyML 9/212:20 PM EST

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Dorothy is our best bet on the free side of today's card — she clocks in with the 2nd-fastest recent race speed in Race 1 (12.65 sec/furlong) and her jockey has posted a 26% win rate over the past year, hitting the board in two out of every three starts. At 9/2 on the morning line, there's genuine value here for a Maiden Claiming mile.

Now for the scene: Gulfstream is running wet today, with rain falling and temperatures sitting at a sticky 78°F. That moisture matters on a dirt track — look for horses that have shown they can handle a sealed or sloppy surface, and keep an eye on how early pace scenarios shift as footing gets unpredictable. Nine races are on the board, stretching from sprints to routes, all on the dirt.

The full card has plenty of intrigue beyond Race 1 — a 7/5 morning-line hammer in Race 4, a legit longshot angle in Race 8, and a couple of spots where our simulations are running well above the morning line. Let's get into it.

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Race 1

12:20 PM EST

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claimer going a mile and 70 yards on the dirt — the entire field is winless and all run styles are unproven, so this comes down to who shows up with the most consistent recent form. Dorothy holds a commanding rating advantage but Cathedral Sun and Positano Princess give her something to think about.

win8DorothyML 9/2

Dorothy is the clear top-rated horse in this field at 84.90, more than 27 points clear of the next runner, and she's cashed 57% of her career starts in the money. Her recent race speed ranks second in the field, and she's placed in 4 of 6 starts on the dirt surface — real concrete to hang your hat on in a maiden claimer where most of her rivals can't claim a single placing. Jockey Samy Camacho has a 26% win rate and 67% in-the-money rate over the past year, an elite pairing for this level. She won 24% of our 10,000 TrackWiz simulations, the highest in the field by a wide margin.

place9Cathedral SunML 5/2

Cathedral Sun brings the best recent race speed figure in the field — clocking 12.64 seconds per furlong — and has placed in both of her last two starts, the only horse in this field with a consistent in-the-money streak. Her 100% in-the-money rate is an eye-catcher, and she figures as the most likely horse to run Dorothy down late if the favorite finds any trouble. At 5/2 on the morning line she's close to fair value, but she's a solid place ticket anchor.

show3Positano PrincessML 5/1

Positano Princess is one of only three horses in this race with a recognizable positive angle — Paco Lopez, who has a 28% win rate and lands in the money 64% of the time, is a legitimate rider upgrade at this level. Her TrackWiz rating of 53.33 ranks third in the field, and while she's failed to place in her last two, the booking of Lopez for a Breen-trained shipper suggests connections expect a forward move. She's worth a spot in the exacta and trifecta underneath at 5/1.

We ran Race 1 10,000 times. Most wins:

8Dorothy24%
9Cathedral Sun17%
3Positano Princess12%

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Race 1 is where casual bettors can get involved without a subscription, and Dorothy is a sensible spot to start. The Maiden Claiming condition at a mile on Gulfstream's dirt means the field is relatively inexperienced, and speed advantages tend to hold up more cleanly in those situations. Dorothy's recent race speed ranks near the top of this field, and the jockey's strong in-the-money numbers give the connections real credibility. Our TrackWiz simulation puts her win probability at just under 25% — right in line with the 9/2 morning line, which means you're not laying a bad price to follow the top data.

With rain in the forecast all day, keep surface conditions in mind even on the free race. A wet Gulfstream dirt track can compact and play fast through early running, which may benefit horses with tactical early speed. Dorothy's profile fits that scenario reasonably well — worth noting as you build your ticket.

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

12:50 PM EST

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A short six-furlong dirt claimer with a clear one-two at the top of the ratings — R Delray and Adios Mate are virtually deadlocked — while the rest of the field trails by double digits. The morning line favorite has the pedigree of connections to close the deal, but Adios Mate is close enough to cause real trouble.

win8R DelrayML 9/5

R Delray is our top-rated horse here at 84.95 and brings the most imposing resume in the field: a 40% career win rate, 60% in the money, and the second-fastest recent race speed figure at 12.22 seconds per furlong. The jockey-trainer combination of Micah J. Husbands and Saffie A. Joseph, Jr. has posted a 26% win rate and 62% in-the-money rate together over the past year — that's one of the sharpest combos you'll find at Gulfstream. He won nearly 28% of our 10,000 TrackWiz simulations, the most of any horse in this sprint.

place3Adios MateML 9/2

Adios Mate is essentially co-top-rated at 84.90 and deserves to be treated as a near-equal threat. He's placed in 8 of 12 lifetime starts on dirt and ranks third in recent race speed at 12.28 sec/furlong — well within striking range of the top two. Jockey Leonel Reyes has a 21% win rate and 58% in-the-money clip over the past year, adding a credible rider to a horse who's already earned his way into the exacta conversation at 9/2.

show4ValderoML 5/2

Valdero is the most intriguing profile in the supporting cast — a 50% career win rate and 3 wins in 6 lifetime dirt starts gives him serious form credentials. He also ranks first in recent race speed at 12.13 sec/furlong, faster than either of the top two rated horses on that metric. The workout tab is a minor concern — he ranked fifth over the last month — but at 5/2 morning line, he's an obvious key in the trifecta.

We ran Race 2 10,000 times. Most wins:

8R Delray28%
4Valdero22%
3Adios Mate20%

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:22 PM EST

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Saffie Joseph saddles two in this maiden claimer sprint, and they dominate the ratings — R Kan't Miss and R Nashvegas are separated by less than half a point at the top of the board. The rest of the field is playing for the show spot, making this look like a two-horse race with an open third slot.

win8R Kan't MissML 5/2

R Kan't Miss tops the TrackWiz ratings at 58.69 and benefits from the powerful Saffie A. Joseph, Jr. barn, where the jockey-trainer combo of Rasheed Hughes and Joseph is hitting at 28% wins and 61% in the money over the past year. She carries a solid average speed figure of 55 — best among the top two — and has a higher career average speed than stablemate R Nashvegas. The concern is real: she's failed to place in her last three starts and has a perfect 0-for-3 record in sprint races. That's a flag worth noting, but the talent is here and she won 20% of our TrackWiz simulations.

place7R NashvegasML 2/1

R Nashvegas rates just a tick below her stablemate at 58.33 and ran the second-fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.62 sec/furlong. The Husbands-Joseph combo is elite at this meet, and R Nashvegas ran second in recent race speed — that's a real edge in a short sprint. She's failed to place in her one most recent start, but at 2/1 morning line she'll likely go off as the actual betting favorite, and she's too good to leave out of your tickets.

show1Daughter's LegacyML 4/1

Daughter's Legacy is worth including as the third piece of your exotic tickets at 4/1 — she's placed in half her career starts, ranks third in recent race speed at 12.63 sec/furlong, and trainer Victor Barboza, Jr. earns an 'A' grade. The workout numbers are a mild negative (ranked eighth over the past month), but her in-the-money history and legitimate speed figures make her the most logical horse to fill out the trifecta behind the Joseph duo.

We ran Race 3 10,000 times. Most wins:

7R Nashvegas22%
8R Kan't Miss20%
1Daughter's Legacy16%

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Race 4

2:00 PM EST

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Miss Magical dominates this claiming mile by any measure — a 17-point rating gap over the second horse is a rare kind of separation — but Mine Strike is lined up as the morning-line second choice despite ranking sixth on our model, which sets up some genuine exotics value underneath the chalk.

win3Miss MagicalML 7/5

Miss Magical is the most dominant single-race figure on the card today — a 89.42 TrackWiz rating that's 16+ points clear of Miss Valentina in second. She's placed in 8 of 11 lifetime dirt starts and has cashed in-the-money in four consecutive races, the kind of consistency that makes a chalk play palatable at 7/5. Her recent race speed ranks first in this field at 12.38 sec/furlong, and she won 35% of our 10,000 TrackWiz simulations — no other horse cleared 20%. Trainer Bobby S. Dibona earns a top 'A' grade, and while jockey Jonathan Ocasio grades 'C', the horse's raw form does most of the talking here.

place2Miss ValentinaML 9/2

Miss Valentina is a legitimate place threat at 9/2, ranking second in both our ratings (73.15) and in recent race speed (12.51 sec/furlong). She's placed in 4 of her last 6 starts and has 1 win in 6 lifetime dirt efforts — a consistent performer who figures to be right there at the finish. The claiming price bump from $10,000 to $16,000 is a concern worth flagging, but her form trend is positive enough to warrant a place ticket.

show1NipseyML 12/1

Nipsey at 12/1 is the value play for show and trifecta tickets — he's placed in 4 of his last 6 races, ranks third in recent race speed at 12.79 sec/furlong, and jockey Gaddiel A. Martinez has a 21% win rate and 54% in-the-money clip over the past year. The main knocks are the class jump from $10,000 to $16,000 and being listed as nearly two years older than the field average — legitimate concerns. But for a horse hitting the board nearly half the time recently, that 12/1 morning line screams value in the bottom of your tickets.

We ran Race 4 10,000 times. Most wins:

3Miss Magical35%
2Miss Valentina20%
6Mine Strike12%

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Race 5

2:32 PM EST

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

An eleven-horse claiming route with a clear top two — Role Play and Come On Poppi are separated by just five points at the top of the ratings — while Tinkatwo offers an interesting profile as the only horse with a perfect record at today's exact distance. This shapes up as a battle between form and class.

win4Role PlayML 7/2

Role Play tops our ratings at 86.35 and ranks third in recent race speed at 12.52 sec/furlong in a large, competitive field. She's placed in 5 of 8 lifetime dirt starts and Paco Lopez — who has a 28% win rate and lands in the money 64% of the time over the past year — takes the mount. She won 23% of our TrackWiz simulations, the highest in this field, and her connections are strong. No major concerns flag in her profile, which is itself a positive in a race where many runners carry baggage.

place5Come On PoppiML 6/1

Come On Poppi has quietly built the best recent form streak of anyone in this field — she's placed in three consecutive starts and has cashed in 4 of 5 lifetime dirt races with a 66% overall in-the-money rate. The slight concern is a 21-day turnaround when she apparently prefers 30 or more days of rest, so there's a small fitness question. That said, Leonel Reyes is a capable pilot at 21% wins and 58% in the money, and trainer Victor Barboza, Jr. is an 'A'-rated horseman. At 6/1 on the morning line, she offers real place value.

show2TinkatwoML 3/1

Tinkatwo is a fascinating show/trifecta play at 3/1 — she's gone 3-for-3 placing at today's exact distance of 1 mile and 70 yards, the only horse in this field with a perfect record here. She's also placed in 10 of 17 lifetime dirt starts, showing she handles the surface. The concerns — she's six years old and not using Lasix while most rivals are — are real, but that distance-specific record is too compelling to ignore in the exotics.

We ran Race 5 10,000 times. Most wins:

4Role Play23%
2Tinkatwo19%
5Come On Poppi18%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

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Race 6

3:04 PM EST

Maiden Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A maiden optional claimer going six furlongs on the dirt — American Reign holds the top rating but Khozan Ostra is perfect in-the-money so far and comes from the same dominant barn. The Saffie Joseph presence is felt twice in this field, putting serious pressure on the morning-line favorite from two different angles.

win4American ReignML 3/1

American Reign is our top-rated horse at 71.24 — nearly 13 points clear of the second horse — and has the best workout profile in the field, ranking first over the last month at 12.00 seconds per furlong. His recent race speed ranks second at 12.95 sec/furlong, and Paco Lopez (28% win rate, 64% in the money) is as strong a jockey booking as you'll find at Gulfstream. He won 25% of our 10,000 TrackWiz simulations, more than any other horse in this maiden sprint. At 3/1, there's value in a horse who's doing everything right on the work tab with top-tier connections.

place3Khozan OstraML 2/1

Khozan Ostra is 100% in-the-money in her career — a small sample, but she's never run a bad race — and comes from the Saffie A. Joseph barn where the Husbands-Joseph combo is hitting at 26% wins and 62% in the money. She also posted the fastest recent race speed in this field at 12.54 sec/furlong. At 2/1 she might be the most likely odds-on horse by post time, but the form and connections justify her short price, and she's the safest place ticket in the race.

show5Playful TeaseML 5/1

Playful Tease is worth your show or trifecta attention at 5/1 — she ranks third in workouts over the last month at 12.03 sec/furlong, sharing that figure with Howard Creek and trailing only American Reign among horses with published workout data. Trainer Michael Yates grades 'B-' and there's no race experience to evaluate, but the sharp workout numbers suggest she's ready to run a big debut. In a maiden race where debut runners are all you have to work with for several entrants, that workout rank matters.

We ran Race 6 10,000 times. Most wins:

4American Reign25%
3Khozan Ostra22%
5Playful Tease12%

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Race 7

3:36 PM EST

Starter Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The top-rated horse Chloe's Toy carries just a 5/2 morning line in a starter optional claiming sprint, but Happy Ride and My Perfect Lady are both legitimate contenders within striking range on the ratings. This figures to be a fast, competitive sprint with multiple horses capable of winning.

win5Chloe's ToyML 5/2

Chloe's Toy is the top-rated horse in this field at 87.81, ranking second in recent race speed at 11.53 sec/furlong — only the morning-line favorite Happy Ride is faster. She has 9 wins in 30 career dirt starts and a 64% in-the-money rate, which is elite-level consistency for a claiming horse. Diego A. Herrera is an 'A'-grade jockey with a 20% win rate and 55% in-the-money clip over the past year. She won 26% of our TrackWiz simulations — the most in the field — and while she's listed as six years old, her recent speed figures and dirt record suggest she's still running to form.

place4Happy RideML 2/1

Happy Ride has the fastest recent race speed figure in the entire field at 11.52 sec/furlong, which is a meaningful edge in a sprint where early fractions often decide the outcome. He's won 27% of his career starts and placed in 20 of 29 lifetime dirt races — a 69% hit rate on the surface. The concern is a slight layoff issue (28 days when he prefers 30+) and his age at seven years, but Sonny Leon has an 18% win rate and 59% in-the-money rate over the past year. He's a deserving second choice.

show1My Perfect LadyML 7/2

My Perfect Lady ranks third on our model at 77.10 and has placed in 4 of her last 6 starts with an impressive 60% overall in-the-money rate. She's won 4 of 8 lifetime dirt starts — a 50% career win rate on the surface — which is legitimately outstanding for this class of competition. Marcos Meneses grades 'A-' and brings a 21% win rate and 58% in-the-money clip. At 7/2 she's not a big overlay, but she's a sound third leg for your trifecta.

We ran Race 7 10,000 times. Most wins:

5Chloe's Toy26%
4Happy Ride22%
1My Perfect Lady19%

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Race 8

4:06 PM EST

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

An eleven-horse sprint claimer with Titans Edge holding a commanding ratings lead at 82.71 — but the story here is that he's taking a claiming price jump from $25,000 to $35,000, making his rivals' eagerness to claim him the real question. Braveness and White Bullet lurk as the most logical threats in a wide-open supporting cast.

win3Titans EdgeML 6/1

Titans Edge is the top-rated horse at 82.71 and posted the fastest recent race speed in this entire field at 11.67 seconds per furlong — a sharp figure for a 5.5-furlong sprint. He's placed in all three of his lifetime dirt starts and has cashed in-the-money in his last two races, showing a consistent upward trajectory. Trainer Donaldo Gonzalez earns a top 'A' grade, and the 50% career win rate is elite. The claiming price increase from $25,000 to $35,000 is the main flag — connections are either confident or exposing him. He won 17% of our TrackWiz simulations, the highest in this competitive field.

place5BravenessML 6/1

Braveness is a compelling place play at 6/1 — a 33% career win rate, 66% in-the-money, and she's placed in two of her last three starts showing current form. She ranked third in recent race speed at 11.71 sec/furlong, so she's not far off the pace of Titans Edge's figure. The concern is a substantial claiming jump from $12,500 to $35,000, but trainer Jose Francisco D'Angelo grades 'B+' and the horse clearly belongs on a speed figure basis. She won 13% of our simulations, second only to White Bullet among the supporting cast.

show8White BulletML 4/1

White Bullet comes in with strong recent form — 4 in-the-money finishes in his last 6 starts — and ranks second in recent race speed at 11.70 sec/furlong, essentially even with Braveness and not far behind Titans Edge. He's placed in 4 of 7 lifetime dirt starts and brings consistent recent figures to the table. At 4/1 he's a reasonable third leg, though the 'C'-grade jockey and trainer combo is a mild negative in a spot where connections matter.

We ran Race 8 10,000 times. Most wins:

3Titans Edge17%
8White Bullet13%
5Braveness13%

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Race 9

4:36 PM EST

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Geaux Amy dominates the TrackWiz ratings in this 1 1/16-mile dirt claimer — 17 points clear of Ton a Laughs in second — and brings an elite trainer and speed profile to back up the number. The rest of the field is legitimate but clearly playing second fiddle on paper.

win7Geaux AmyML 5/2

Geaux Amy is the standout at 87.81 — ranking first in both our ratings and recent race speed at 12.41 sec/furlong — and she backs that up with 7 wins from 25 lifetime dirt starts and a 48% in-the-money rate. Trainer Dante Zanelli earns the top 'A' grade and Edwin Gonzalez has posted a 24% win rate and 59% in-the-money clip over the past year — a strong partnership. She won 26% of our 10,000 TrackWiz simulations, the most of any horse in this field. At 5/2 on the morning line, she's a deserving favorite without being a price to avoid.

place2Ton a LaughsML 6/1

Ton a Laughs has quietly assembled the best recent form streak among the chasers — placed in 5 of his last 6 starts with a 61% career in-the-money rate and 2 wins from 15 lifetime dirt starts. He ranks third in recent race speed at 12.49 sec/furlong, putting him right in the conversation for a spot. The 'C'-grade connections are a negative, but at 6/1 on the morning line he offers meaningful place value for a horse who's been this consistent lately.

show5Das Ist Alles AllyML 9/2

Das Ist Alles Ally is the logical show/trifecta play — Paco Lopez takes the mount and brings that 28% win rate and 64% in-the-money clip, one of the best rider upgrades available today. She's posted 2 wins from 9 dirt starts and ranks second in recent race speed at 12.48 sec/furlong. The main concerns are a short 27-day turnaround when she apparently runs better with 30-plus days of rest, and so-so workout numbers (ranked sixth). But Lopez riding a mid-range closer at 9/2 in a spot where she figures to get a clean trip is worth your exotic attention.

We ran Race 9 10,000 times. Most wins:

7Geaux Amy26%
8Birdie Rose15%
2Ton a Laughs15%

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Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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Dorothy is the play in the free Race 1 — solid speed figures, a sharp jockey, and fair morning-line value. Beyond that, today's rain-soaked nine-race card at Gulfstream is loaded with angles worth digging into, from Miss Magical's dominant speed profile in Race 4 to the Titans Edge longshot spot in Race 8. For pace breakdowns, exotic strategies, and the full TrackWiz ratings across all nine races, subscribe for full-card access and make every race count.

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