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Gulfstream Park Picks & Predictions — September 13, 2026

September 13, 20269 racesAll Gulfstream Park picks

Happy Sunday from Hallandale Beach. Gulfstream Park saddles up a nine-race card this afternoon under partly cloudy skies and a humid 88°F — classic South Florida September, which means the turf course will be doing a lot of the heavy lifting today. Three of the nine races are contested on the grass, and with the ground holding firm, pace scenarios on the turf should be tight and tactical.

The dirt is fast and the sprints look sharp. We've got a card that blends maiden events, straight claimers, and a step-up allowance optional claimer on the turf in Race 7 — plenty of angles to work from bottom to top. TrackWiz ratings are locked in, and a few of our numbers are telling some interesting stories that the morning line isn't fully reflecting.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:20 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A maiden turf mile where TrackWiz ratings reveal a massive gap at the top — one horse stands out as a dominant class edge in an otherwise evenly matched field of first-timers and lightly raced runners.

win6MumbetML 2/1

Mumbet draws the morning-line favorite role at 2/1 for good reason, but our rating of 88.54 — nearly 31 points clear of the next-best horse in the field — is what really tells the story here. Trained by Heather Smullen, who also enters Sweetgreen, this is clearly the barn's main hope. Jonathan Ocasio gets the call, and with that kind of separation in our model, Mumbet is the horse to beat regardless of the tight morning-line odds.

place1Cathedral SunML 5/2

Cathedral Sun (5/2) is the second-highest rated horse in the field at 57.5 and draws the rail in a turf mile, which can be advantageous with a clean trip from the start. Diego A. Herrera gets the mount for trainer Jose Francisco D'Angelo, and at a price that overlaps with the favorite, Cathedral Sun represents a logical place anchor in exactas.

show7Ailsa's AngelML 4/1

Ailsa's Angel at 4/1 holds a rating of 55 and gives trainer Beau J. Chapman a live runner in a competitive maiden field. Without career speed figures in the data, this one is a bit of a wildcard, but the 4/1 morning line suggests she's drawn some attention and makes sense as a show hedge or third leg of a trifecta.

Race 2

4:52 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A six-furlong dirt claiming sprint with a clear top-rated contender posting the highest TrackWiz score, but a trio of horses within the 67-74 range sets up a real battle for second money — pace could be honest here.

win7Wine CandyML 9/5

Wine Candy tops our model at 88.83 — highest in this field by a comfortable margin — and sports a 20% career win rate, which is strong for this claiming level. The 9/5 morning line reflects the public's confidence, and with Leonel Reyes aboard and an average speed figure of 55, she should be running near the front in a sprint setting under trainer Sebastian Pulgarin.

place2Jimbo BaileyML 3/1

Jimbo Bailey (3/1) checks in at a rating of 74 under trainer Sal Santoro, and while the 10% career win rate is modest, his placement in the 3/1 slot suggests the morning-line makers see a live runner. Pedro Monterrey, Jr. takes the mount, and at six furlongs on dirt with a matching avg speed figure of 53, Jimbo Bailey has the profile of a horse who runs his race consistently and lands on the board.

show4Western ShaftML 9/2

Western Shaft (9/2) rates 70.88 and averages 54 in the speed figure column — right in the mix with the top half of this field. Trainer Daniel C. Hurtak sends him out with Miguel Angel Vasquez, a capable pairing, and at 9/2, there's real value if he pops underneath in a competitive sprint where the pace figures to be honest.

Race 3

5:22 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Tight at the top in this 5.5-furlong maiden claimer on dirt — four horses are clustered within a five-point rating range, meaning the pace scenario and post position could decide this one as much as raw ability.

win1Awesome NoahML 9/5

Awesome Noah opens at 9/5 and leads our ratings at 58.67, a slim but meaningful edge in a field where separating horses is tough. Trainer Jose Francisco D'Angelo has him sharp enough to draw the lowest morning line, and with an avg speed figure of 53 and Leonel Reyes in the irons, he has the profile to control or sit just off the pace in a short sprint. D'Angelo also enters Astrogem, but the numbers favor Awesome Noah as the barn's top gun.

place4AstrogemML 2/1

Astrogem (2/1) rates 58.33 — nearly identical to the top pick — and posts an average speed figure of 55, which is the best in this field. Trained by Jose Francisco D'Angelo alongside the race favorite, having two horses from the same barn at the top of the market can mean a tactical pace advantage for one of them. Yolber Torres picks up the mount, and that 55 speed figure has our attention as a potential closer or late-running threat.

show6Our WillowML 3/1

Our Willow (3/1) rates 56.67 for trainer Kathleen O'Connell and gets Diego A. Herrera, one of the more active riders at Gulfstream. No speed figure is listed, which signals a first-time or lightly raced profile, but the morning line and our model both put her squarely in the mix — she's a sensible trifecta inclusion at a price that returns decent value.

The first three races on the card are unlocked for everyone, and there's real meat on the bone. Mumbet opens the day on the turf going a mile in Race 1, drawing a 2/1 morning line that our 88.54 rating suggests is right in the neighborhood — this is a horse worth watching closely in the maiden claiming ranks. Race 2 shifts to the dirt for a six-furlong sprint, and Wine Candy sits atop our leaderboard with an 88.83 rating at 9/5 — one of the stronger free plays on the card. Race 3 is the pure maiden sprint at 5½ furlongs, where Awesome Noah holds the top spot. The dirt bias at Gulfstream historically favors horses that can grab a clean trip in these short sprints, so positioning out of the gate matters.

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Race 4

5:52 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

This 6.5-furlong dirt claimer is a premium-content race, and while the morning line spreads from 5/2 to 30/1, TrackWiz analysis uncovers a clear standout being underestimated by the morning line — plus a legitimate value horse near the bottom of the market.

win5Lady ChanceML 9/2

Lady Chance tops our model at 84.9 despite opening at 9/2 on the morning line — that's a notable gap between market price and our rating, and it's the kind of value angle that gets our attention. Trainer Ronald Coy sends her out with Leonel Reyes, and an average speed figure of 55 ties her for best in the field alongside Mithril. A 15% career win rate is respectable at this level, and at 9/2, the TrackWiz number says she's got a real shot to beat the chalk.

place3MithrilML 5/2

Mithril (5/2) rates 69.24 for trainer Beau J. Chapman, and that 55 average speed figure is as good as it gets in this field. Pedro Pena takes the mount, and a 15% career win rate is consistent with a horse that runs solid races at the claiming level. The 5/2 morning line makes her the co-favorite, and our model slots her in as the most logical place horse if Lady Chance is the controlling speed.

show8Cuddle the KittenML 7/2

Cuddle the Kitten at 7/2 offers the best career win rate in the field at 28% — that's a legitimately strong number for a claimer — and Diego A. Herrera takes the call for trainer Tareq Moubarak. The 63.91 rating and 53 avg speed figure keep her in the realistic conversation, and that career win percentage suggests she knows how to finish the job when conditions suit her.

Race 5

6:28 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Turf

A maiden special weight turf mile featuring a clear morning-line favorite with a speed figure edge, but a compact cluster of horses rated 51-59 means the race could unravel quickly if the chalk runs flat — no sure things here.

win5Jean LaffiteML 7/5

Jean Laffite opens at 7/5 and leads our model at 59.33, but what really separates him is an avg speed figure of 58 — six full points better than anyone else in this field and a significant edge on turf at a mile. Diego A. Herrera rides for trainer Ronald B. Spatz, and that speed figure advantage suggests Jean Laffite has already done something in the morning — or on the track — that this field hasn't matched. Back him, but stay alert for any late odds drift.

place2CiborioML 3/1

Ciborio (3/1) rates 58.37 and averages 54 in the speed column, making him the second-strongest figure horse in the race. Trainer Jose Francisco D'Angelo has been active on this card, and Leonel Reyes takes the mount. At 3/1, Ciborio is a natural exacta partner with the favorite and a sensible place bet if you want to take some risk off the table in an MSW turf field.

show3CoristineML 5/1

Coristine opens at 5/1 and rates 53.33 with a 53 avg speed figure for trainer Heather Smullen, who is already represented with multiple horses on this card. Miguel Angel Vasquez is up, and a morning line of 5/1 in an MSW field suggests she's a known quantity in the barn's eyes. She's a reasonable trifecta inclusion for players trying to build underneath the chalk.

Race 6

7:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A one-mile-plus dirt claimer with a fascinating morning-line inversion — our top-rated horse opens at 2/1 while the second choice on the morning line is actually rated lower, creating a pace and class puzzle worth sorting through carefully.

win5Melody FactorML 2/1

Melody Factor sits at the top of our model with an 88.54 rating — the highest score of any horse in this race — and opens as the 2/1 morning-line favorite, which is a nice alignment of market and model. Trainer Victor Barboza, Jr. sends out Samy Camacho for a 12% career win rate that leads the field among realistic contenders. The distance of a mile and 70 yards on dirt suits a horse that can sustain a pace, and our analysis makes Melody Factor the clear top choice.

place7OxarML 9/5

Oxar opens at 9/5 on the morning line — actually tighter odds than our win pick — and rates 73.85 for TrackWiz, a strong number that supports his market position. Trainer Jose Francisco D'Angelo and jockey Leonel Reyes are a familiar pairing on this card, and a 6% career win rate in a nine-horse field is worth noting. He's a legitimate contender who could easily outrun the win pick if the pace sets up favorably.

show3Hippy Hippy ShakeML 6/1

Hippy Hippy Shake (6/1) rates 70.56 for trainer Kathleen O'Connell and represents genuine value at that price given how close she sits to our place pick in the ratings. Diego A. Herrera is up, and an 8% career win rate is modest but workable in a field of nine. At 6/1, she's the kind of horse who can sneak onto the trifecta ticket and pay nicely.

Race 7

7:32 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

One of the more intriguing races on the card — an allowance optional claiming turf mile where the top TrackWiz pick is posting a massive career win rate and getting overlooked at 5/1 on the morning line, while a talented cluster of horses rated 73-82 makes the underneath exotic plays really compelling.

win1High LateenML 5/1

High Lateen is the value angle of this race — a career win rate of 66% is extraordinary at any level and speaks to a horse with a genuine winning habit. Our rating of 84.17 leads the field, and a 5/1 morning line for a horse this accomplished on the numbers is the kind of gap that jumps off the page. Diego A. Herrera rides for David Fawkes, and with an avg speed figure of 55, High Lateen has the tools to perform on Gulfstream's turf at a mile.

place6Redland RebelsML 5/2

Redland Rebels (5/2) is the morning-line second choice with a solid 82.49 TrackWiz rating and an avg speed figure of 55. Trainer Patrick L. Biancone is one of the most accomplished conditioners in South Florida, and J.G. Torrealba gets the mount. A 25% career win rate keeps Redland Rebels firmly in the mix, and at 5/2, this horse could easily be the one running through the wire in front.

show4QuizlerML 4/1

Quizler (4/1) rates 74.17 for trainer Beau J. Chapman with Pedro Pena up, and a 22% career win rate shows he's no stranger to the winner's circle. The 55 avg speed figure matches several top contenders, meaning the pace figure alone doesn't separate them — but at 4/1, Quizler slots naturally into trifecta tickets as the third wheel behind two higher-rated horses.

Race 8

8:04 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

The top-rated horse in this 6.5-furlong dirt claimer is also the morning-line favorite — but at 8/5, the value isn't in backing him outright; the real opportunity is using the trainer's two-horse barn entry to your advantage in exactas and trifectas.

win9RuleroftheuniverseML 8/5

Ruleroftheuniverse tops our model at 89.12 and opens at 8/5 — the tightest price on the board — for trainer Saffie A. Joseph, Jr., who is one of the most productive trainers in the country. Micah J. Husbands gets the mount, and a 14% career win rate with an avg speed figure of 54 supports the favorite's case in a nine-horse dirt sprint. Joseph also enters R Delray, which means pace setup and tactics could work in both horses' favor. This is a legitimate short-priced play.

place5R DelrayML 7/2

R Delray (7/2) is the stablemate from the Saffie Joseph barn and rates 71.35 — a strong number in its own right. A 25% career win rate is the best among the non-extreme longshots in this race, and an avg speed figure of 55 ties for top in the field. Having two horses from the same high-powered barn means one could easily get a ground-saving trip while the other draws the pace, making R Delray a natural exacta play underneath the favorite.

show7Tybee EchoML 8/1

Tybee Echo opens at 8/1 and rates 58.64 for trainer Jose Francisco D'Angelo, who has been active all day at Gulfstream. Yolber Torres is in the irons, and an 11% career win rate is respectable for a claimer. The 8/1 price makes Tybee Echo a worthwhile show bet or trifecta closer for players looking to boost their ticket payoffs without going too deep into longshot territory.

Race 9

8:35 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

The late turf mile at Gulfstream features one horse rated nearly 20 points clear of everyone else at a very appealing morning-line price — when model and market diverge this sharply, our analysis says take notice.

win5GetaholdayourselfML 8/5

Getaholdayourself tops our model at 89.12 — tied for the best single-race rating on the entire card — and yet opens at 8/5 on the morning line, which actually represents fair value given the magnitude of the rating gap. Trainer David Fawkes has been a consistent presence at Gulfstream, and Diego A. Herrera gets the call. A 12% career win rate and avg speed figure of 53 are solid baseline numbers, but it's the 89.12 rating that drives the conviction — no other horse in this field is within 20 points.

place2Souffle On FireML 9/2

Souffle On Fire (9/2) rates 68.85 for trainer Saffie A. Joseph, Jr. — one of the day's most active barn connections — and Samy Camacho picks up the mount. The 9% career win rate in a turf mile at the claiming level is workable, and at 9/2, there's genuine value if Getaholdayourself runs into any traffic trouble on a surface where things can get crowded. A strong place bet for exotic players.

show6Role PlayML 4/1

Role Play checks in at 65.39 on our model and opens at 4/1 for trainer Beau J. Chapman, who also has Quizler in Race 7. Pedro Pena is in the saddle, and an 11% career win rate combined with a 53 avg speed figure keeps Role Play right in the realistic mix. At 4/1, this is a sensible trifecta anchor who could sneak into the frame if the top two horses take each other on early.

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Today's best bets center on Wine Candy in Race 2 as the strongest free play on the card, while premium subscribers will want to pay close attention to Ruleroftheuniverse in Race 8 and the longshot value angle on High Lateen in Race 7. Nine races, warm South Florida sunshine, and plenty of opportunity — let's make it count. Full analysis for subscribers is live now.

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