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Gulfstream Park Picks & Predictions — August 10, 2026

August 10, 20268 racesAll Gulfstream Park picks

This card ran on August 10, 2026.

Best bets at Gulfstream Park, August 10, 2026

Race 11Lord HenryML 8/512:20 PM EDT

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It's a scorcher at Hallandale Beach today — clear skies and 90°F temps greet a full 8-race card at Gulfstream Park on August 10. The heat won't slow down the action, but it's worth keeping an eye on how horses handle the conditions, especially those breaking from tough post positions on the dirt where the surface can get notoriously deep and tiring late in the day.

The card spans both dirt and turf, stretching from a quick 5-furlong turf sprint all the way out to a mile and 70 yards on the main track. You've got maiden specials, a couple of claiming races, and the headliner — a 6-furlong dirt stakes in Race 6 featuring Sum of Success as the morning-line favorite at 7/5. Plenty of angles to work with from top to bottom.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:20 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

A maiden turf sprint where the morning-line favorite holds a clear ratings edge, but first-time starters from big barns make the outcome genuinely uncertain — expect a few surprises in this 7½-furlong opener.

win1Lord HenryML 8/5

Lord Henry tops the TrackWiz ratings at 59 and draws the rail under Edwin Gonzalez, a sharp tactical rider who can control positioning in a turf sprint. His average speed figure of 57 leads the field outright, giving him a measurable edge in raw ability. Trainer Joseph Orseno has a knack for presenting horses ready to run on debut, and at 8/5 on the morning line, the market agrees this one is a cut above.

place6Caribbean CometML 3/1

Caribbean Comet comes from the barn of Patrick Biancone, one of the most respected turf conditioners in the game, and that pedigree alone demands respect in a maiden turf spot. The 3/1 morning line reflects real confidence from the connections, and a TrackWiz rating of 56.67 slots her comfortably second in the field. Without an average speed figure on record she's a bit of a question mark, but Biancone horses tend to arrive fit and ready.

show4More Power to YouML 9/2

More Power to You gives trainer Mark Casse — a trainer with a strong maiden turf record at Gulfstream — a live runner at a workable 9/2 price. A TrackWiz rating of 54.17 puts him squarely in the middle of the field, and while his average speed figure of 52 is modest, Casse's ability to peak maiden runners fresh keeps him in the exotic conversation. Good value to include under the top two in exactas and trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

12:51 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

This maiden claiming dirt sprint looks top-heavy at the top, with two standout TrackWiz ratings separating themselves from the pack — but there's legitimate upside in the mid-field if the pace gets hot.

win6BundalayML 6/5

Bundalay is the clear top selection here, carrying a field-best TrackWiz rating of 89.71 — a significant gap over the rest — and gets the call of Edwin Gonzalez in the irons. At 6/5 on the morning line, this is a horse the market has zeroed in on, and the numbers back the hype. An average speed figure of 54 is right in line with the field, meaning Bundalay wins this with overall profile superiority rather than just raw speed.

place5Nenas StarML 5/1

Nenas Star is the most interesting horse in the race from a value standpoint, posting a TrackWiz rating of 81.35 — second in the field by a wide margin — yet sitting at 5/1 on the morning line. Jockey Heriberto Figueroa gets the call, and with an average speed of 55 that actually leads all runners, there's a legitimate argument Nenas Star could flip the script if Bundalay doesn't fire. At that price, she's a must-use underneath in your exotics.

show1Sweet TasteML 2/1

Sweet Taste opens at 2/1 and draws the rail under Leonel Reyes, giving her a tactical advantage in a short 5½-furlong sprint where early position matters. Her TrackWiz rating of 52.68 is well below the top two, but in a maiden claiming field, consistency counts — and her average speed of 54 ties Bundalay for second among horses with figures. She's a reasonable single-race hedge if you're looking to protect your tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

TrackWiz is unlocking the first three races for everyone today. Lord Henry draws our top nod in Race 1, a 7½-furlong maiden special weight on the turf — a distance that tends to sort out horses with a touch of class and a solid stamina base. On the dirt, Bundalay comes in with one of the strongest ratings on the entire card (89.71) for a 5½-furlong maiden claimer in Race 2, making that our most confident free play of the day. Workinclasskid rounds out the free trio in Race 3, a longer maiden claimer going a mile and 70 yards — a distance where pace scenario and trip luck matter a lot, and our analysis likes how this one sets up.

One thread connecting the free picks: in this heat, early pace on dirt can be punishing. Horses that can rate off the early fractions and close — or that simply have the most raw ability — tend to hold an edge. Keep that in mind as you watch the board in Races 2 and 3.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:22 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claiming route over a mile and 70 yards on dirt, with three horses clustered within striking distance of each other at the top of the ratings — pace scenario and ground-saving trips will be decisive.

win2WorkinclasskidML 2/1

Workinclasskid sits atop the TrackWiz ratings at 78.74 and goes postward as the 2/1 morning-line choice, a combination that rarely goes unnoticed. Diego Herrera rides for trainer Leon McKanas, and the pairing gets a horse with an average speed figure of 53 that matches up well in this field. At a mile-plus, horses that can settle and sustain are rewarded, and Workinclasskid's profile fits the distance profile well.

place5RudiML 10/1

Rudi is the big value angle in this race, carrying a strong TrackWiz rating of 76.88 — just a tick below the top pick — yet posted at 10/1 on the morning line by the oddsmakers. Trained by Antonio Sano, who sends runners to Gulfstream consistently ready to fire, Rudi has an average speed figure of 53 that keeps him competitive with the top two. That gap between his rating and his price is exactly the kind of overlay TrackWiz analysis is designed to uncover.

show1St Joe FuryML 8/1

St Joe Fury opens at 8/1 and brings a TrackWiz rating of 67.89, third-best in the field, under the care of trainer J. David Braddy. His average speed figure of 51 is a step below the leaders, but in a contentious maiden route with pace questions, a closer who saves ground could easily pick up the pieces. Pedro Pena is a capable handler for this distance and surface — worth including in trifecta coverage.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 4

1:56 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

The claiming mile features a compelling ratings inversion — the morning-line favorite isn't the top-rated horse — setting up a race where sharp bettors can find real value against the crowd's choice.

win4To JoeyML 5/2

To Joey is our top selection with the field's best TrackWiz rating of 87.81 and an impressive career win rate of 33% — by far the highest in this field and a standout number at the claiming level. He's posted at 5/2 on the morning line, which is the second choice behind Spirit of the Law, making him a legitimate overlay situation. Miguel Angel Vasquez rides, and an average speed figure of 52 is consistent with the rest of the field, meaning To Joey's edge comes from class and consistency rather than just raw speed.

place3Spirit of the LawML 7/5

Spirit of the Law draws the most attention from the morning line at 7/5, but a 6% career win rate on a limited base gives pause about whether that favoritism is fully warranted. Still, a TrackWiz rating of 71.3 and a field-best average speed figure of 54 mean she can't be dismissed — Leonel Reyes gives her a great shot to earn a piece. If To Joey fires at his best, the exacta pairing of 4-3 could pay nicely given how the public is likely to flip these two.

show5Noble PrinceML 9/2

Noble Prince at 9/2 offers a solid middle-of-the-card option with an 11% career win rate and a TrackWiz rating of 68.82 that slots him firmly third in the field. Pedro Pena takes the mount and has been riding confidently at this meet. With several horses in this field carrying uncertain form, Noble Prince's consistency makes him a reliable show ticket and a useful trifecta leg.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

2:27 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

A short five-furlong turf sprint for maiden claimers that has a legitimate pace question — with multiple speed figures bunched at the top, the horse who breaks fastest from the gate could control this from wire to wire.

win3Four CourtsML 3/1

Four Courts tops the TrackWiz board at 87.08 and opens at a very fair 3/1, presenting genuine value against a morning-line favorite who isn't even the top-rated runner. Jonathan Ocasio is an aggressive, tactical rider perfectly suited for a five-furlong turf dash where early position is everything. His average speed figure of 56 ties for the best in the field, giving him both the pace profile and the ratings edge to take this.

place4WheelhouseML 9/5

Wheelhouse is the morning-line favorite at 9/5 and carries a solid TrackWiz rating of 74.29 under trainer Saffie Joseph Jr., one of the most dangerous trainers on the Florida circuit with maiden turfers. At 54 on the average speed figure, she's a half-tick off the top tier but has the barn firepower to overcome that gap. If she breaks cleanly, she could make this a two-horse race with Four Courts — and at even money-ish, she's a comfortable place play.

show1Evil EmpireML 4/1

Evil Empire leads all horses in average speed at 56 and carries a respectable TrackWiz rating of 71.91, yet trainer Michael Lerman keeps her at 4/1 on the morning line. That's a horse with legitimate finishing ability who could sneak into the trifecta if the top two get tangled up in a pace duel over five furlongs. Leonel Reyes rides — he's been active and effective at this meet — making Evil Empire a smart show inclusion in your tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

2:58 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

A stakes sprint on dirt where nearly every horse in the field enters undefeated — this race is less about finding a capable runner and more about determining which of these perfect records holds up under stakes pressure.

win3Sum of SuccessML 7/5

Sum of Success heads into this stakes race with a 100% career win rate and the field's top TrackWiz rating of 59.33, making her the clear top choice in our analysis. Jonathan Ocasio gets the call for trainer Bobby Dibona, and with an average speed figure of 56 — strong for a six-furlong stakes sprint — she has the raw ability to back up her perfect record. At 7/5, the market has made her the prohibitive favorite, and the numbers support that confidence.

place5Spicy TacoML 7/2

Spicy Taco brings her own perfect record into the stakes box and opens at a juicy 7/2, giving bettors a chance to back a 100% winner at a price. TrackWiz rates her at 55.83, second in the field, and while we don't have an average speed figure on record, the undefeated résumé under trainer Luis Ramirez speaks for itself. Diego Herrera gets the mount and is comfortable rating a closer type in a sprint — if Spicy Taco runs her race, the exacta 3-5 could deliver solid returns.

show2American RoadsterML 4/1

American Roadster is also undefeated and comes at 4/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 55.00 and an average speed of 55. Trainer Joel Santiago has this filly ready for a stakes test, and with Leonel Reyes aboard, she has capable handling in what shapes up as a truly competitive sprint. Including her in trifectas is a sound play given she's just a fraction off the top two in ratings and brings a perfect record of her own.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 7

3:29 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 7 fur · Dirt

A maiden special weight sprint on dirt that hides its best horse behind a favorable morning line — the ratings gap between the top pick and the favorite is dramatic, and that's where the value lives today.

win5Hello Poochy LouML 4/1

Hello Poochy Lou is the standout of this race with a TrackWiz rating of 85.62 — a full 27 points clear of the morning-line favorite — and goes at 4/1, which represents outstanding value. Pedro Pena takes the mount for trainer Herbert Miller, and an average speed figure of 54 puts her comfortably in the top tier of this field. In a maiden special weight, that kind of ratings separation is rare and shouldn't be ignored.

place7Lady RockulaML 9/2

Lady Rockula rates second in the field at 78.34 and opens at 9/2, giving bettors a legitimate shot at a productive exacta with the win pick. Miguel Angel Vasquez, one of the more reliable riders at this meet, takes the mount for trainer Carlos David. Her average speed of 54 matches the win pick, suggesting she can keep pace and potentially mount a late run in a seven-furlong dirt sprint.

show1Forgotten AboutML 9/5

Forgotten About draws the public's eye as the 9/5 morning-line favorite, but a TrackWiz rating of 58.67 places her well below our top two selections. That said, Edwin Gonzalez is a savvy pilot who can steal ground from the rail in a two-turn sprint, and without an average speed figure on record, there's some mystery to her ceiling. She's a reasonable show ticket and an essential trifecta leg given the crowd money will likely push the exotic payouts down if she runs well.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

4:00 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

The nightcap is an allowance optional claiming turf mile that looks competitive on paper but has a clear two-horse battle brewing at the top — the separation between the top pair and the rest of the field is meaningful.

win2City MinuteML 3/1

City Minute tops our TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 and opens at a very fair 3/1 in a field where she's not even the morning-line choice — that's a meaningful overlay. Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. is one of the sharpest turf conditioners in the country, and his allowance turf runners at Gulfstream carry a strong win percentage. An average speed figure of 55 and a 16% career win rate round out a profile that warrants top billing.

place4CalatheaML 7/2

Calathea brings the field's best career win rate at 36% — a remarkable number at the allowance level — and carries a TrackWiz rating of 85.36 that slots her just behind City Minute. Edwin Gonzalez rides for trainer Murat Sancal, and with an average speed of 54 she has the sustained pace ability for a mile and a sixteenth on turf. At 7/2, she's attractively priced for a horse who wins more than a third of her starts.

show3Defiant LassML 5/2

Defiant Lass opens at 5/2 as the morning-line choice despite ranking third in our ratings at 78.22, which is an interesting disconnect worth noting. A 25% career win rate under trainer James Toner — a conditioner with a strong turf pedigree — keeps her very much in contention, and Miguel Angel Vasquez is an upgrade in the irons. She's a safe show play and a must-include in exacta and trifecta structures if you're playing the two horses above her.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

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Bottom line: Bundalay is the standout free play of the day with a rating north of 89, Sum of Success is the marquee name to watch in the Race 6 stakes, and the turf races offer some intriguing pace dynamics worth digging into. It's a solid Gulfstream card from top to bottom — subscribers have the full roadmap ready to go.

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