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Great Meadow Picks & Predictions — October 24, 2026

October 24, 20267 racesAll Great Meadow picks

Great Meadow is putting on a show this Saturday. Seven races, all on the turf, under crisp October skies — 57°F and clear as a bell. Firm footing and good visibility make for ideal conditions to showcase some genuine stamina horses, and this card is loaded with distance tests that will sort the stayers from the pretenders.

We're talking about routes stretching all the way out to 3½ miles in Race 5 — that's a legitimate test of fitness and breeding. The distances across this card range from 2⅛ miles on the short end to 3½ miles at the top, so speed figures mean something a little different here. It's all about pace management, class, and who wants it most down the stretch.

Three races are open to everyone today, with full picks and analysis. Races 4 through 7 are part of our premium breakdown — including the two Stakes races and the Handicap where the real wagering value tends to hide.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:00 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 2 1/8 mi · Turf

A wide-open maiden special weight over 2 1/8 miles on the turf, where two high-rated runners carry similar TrackWiz scores into uncharted territory — making the top of this field beatable at generous prices.

win8AcademyML 10/1

Academy (No. 8) carries the field's highest TrackWiz rating at 76.88 — a tick above the morning-line favorite — and comes in with a 12% career win rate that, for a maiden, suggests a horse that has hit the board with regularity. Trainer Neil R. Morris puts him with jockey Graham Watters, a combination worth tracking at Great Meadow. At 10/1 on the morning line, this is a legitimate value play: the numbers say top of the field but the odds say mid-pack, which is exactly the kind of overlay we look for.

place2Iconic WalkML 5/2

Iconic Walk (No. 2) is the public's second choice at 5/2 and earns a 76.06 TrackWiz rating to back up that confidence. The zero career win percentage suggests some inconsistency, but a horse at this rating going off at 5/2 in a maiden field is clearly respected on form. If Academy fires, Iconic Walk has the profile to grab the place spot.

show1My Kinda GhaiyML 4/1

My Kinda Ghaiy (No. 1) checks in with a 69.1 rating and posts an average speed figure of 54 — solid baseline numbers for this distance. Trainer Barry Foley sends her out with Harrison Beswick at a 4/1 morning line, making her the third element in a potential exacta/trifecta sequence. As the morning-line third choice, she's a reliable anchor for exotic wagers.

Race 2

4:40 PM EDT

Allowance · 3 mi · Turf

Three horses separate themselves from the pack in this 3-mile turf allowance, setting up a likely three-way battle at the top — but the public's favorite may be beatable if the pace scenario sets up for a closer.

win6Quick MasterML 4/1

Quick Master (No. 6) edges the field with the top TrackWiz rating of 85.62 and a 25% career win rate that speaks to consistent class. Trainer Thomas Garner is a familiar name on this card and deploys Jamie Bargary in the irons — a rider who excels at handling long-distance setups. At 4/1, Quick Master offers real value given he's the highest-rated horse in the field.

place1Foxy WalkML 2/1

Foxy Walk (No. 1) is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 for good reason — an 84.12 rating and a 29% career win rate that leads the field outright. Trainer Leslie F. Young gives the call to Freddie Procter, and this horse's profile screams consistent performer. Even if Quick Master steals the win, Foxy Walk's numbers make a place finish highly likely.

show5AnzioML 6/1

Anzio (No. 5) slots in at 82.71, forming a tight cluster at the top of this field with the win and place picks. Sandra Webb sends her out at 6/1 — a price that reflects some uncertainty but not a horse without credentials. With a 16% career win rate and the third-best rating in the field, Anzio is a natural trifecta anchor at a price that pays.

Race 3

5:20 PM EDT

Allowance · 2 1/2 mi · Turf

The morning-line chalk in this 2 1/2-mile turf allowance doesn't own the best TrackWiz numbers — Investment Mandate lurks at 8/1 with a big rating and a strong win percentage, making this a race where the overlay beats the favorite.

win7Investment MandateML 8/1

Investment Mandate (No. 7) leads all starters with a 79.79 TrackWiz rating and backs it up with a standout 37% career win rate — the highest in this field. Trainer Leslie F. Young has him priced at 8/1, which is a significant gap between what the odds say and what the numbers say. Graham Watters gets the mount, and over 2 1/2 miles on the turf, a horse with this win percentage and top rating is the kind of value play that TrackWiz analysis is built to find.

place4FulmineoML 6/1

Fulmineo (No. 4) posts a 73.17 rating with an 18% career win rate, and trainer Julie Gomena sends him out with Stephen Mulqueen at 6/1. His position in the ratings — fourth overall but within a few points of the top — suggests a horse that can get into the superfecta conversation. He's a solid place anchor who might run better than his morning line implies.

show3Lynches KnockML 8/5

Lynches Knock (No. 3) is the public's favorite at 8/5 morning line with a 71.6 rating, but the zero career win percentage is worth noting — this horse has faced the starter without a victory on its record. Trainer Richard J. Hendriks puts Conor Tierney aboard, and the public price reflects a form line that shows promise without a breakthrough. A show finish is the floor expectation here, making it a reasonable exotic inclusion.

Our three free races today give you a solid cross-section of the card. In Race 1, Academy jumps out at us at 10/1 morning line — that's a price worth exploring in a Maiden Special Weight over 2⅛ miles where pace can be deceptive early. Race 2's Allowance over a full 3 miles is where Quick Master earned the top TrackWiz rating among the free races (85.62), and at 4/1 there's genuine value attached. Race 3 rounds out the complimentary card with Investment Mandate at 8/1 in another Allowance — a potential overlay if the pace scenario sets up the way we think it will.

One thing connecting all three free picks: they're all turf routers going long on a firm, fast day. Horses that can relax early and accelerate late are going to be rewarded. Keep an eye on how the early fractions develop — if the pace is honest, closers get a real shot. If it's a walk, the leaders could steal it wire-to-wire.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:00 PM EDT

Stakes · 2 1/8 mi · Turf

A nine-horse stakes field at 2 1/8 miles on the turf, with one horse clearly separating himself on the ratings sheet — but a wide-open underneath filled with live horses in the 8/1-to-10/1 range makes the exotics especially intriguing.

win2SiennoisML 3/1

Siennois (No. 2) dominates this field with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — the top mark by a wide margin — and a 33% career win rate that ranks among the best in the stakes. Trainer Keri Brion has him priced at 3/1, and Stephen Mulqueen gets the mount. In a stakes field where most rivals are in the 40-60 rating range, this is as close to a class standout as you'll find in stakes company.

place4Roja RedemptionML 10/1

Roja Redemption (No. 4) makes a compelling value case at 10/1 with a 62.26 rating and a 25% career win rate — both numbers that rank second in this field behind Siennois. Trainer Jack Fisher puts Jamie Bargary up, and if Siennois draws the heat of the pace scenario, Roja Redemption has the form to pick up the place slot at a very attractive price.

show6Rampoldi PlanML 8/1

Rampoldi Plan (No. 6) rates out at 58.75 with an 18% career win rate and goes postward at 8/1 under Stephen Mulqueen for trainer Keri Brion. Brion has two horses in this race, and having the same barn represented gives added confidence — if Siennois is the primary move, Rampoldi Plan could get a ground-saving trip and hit the board as the secondary barn entry.

Race 5

6:40 PM EDT

Stakes · 3 1/2 mi · Turf

A small but deep four-horse stakes at 3 1/2 miles — the longest race of the day — and there's a clear favorite who owns the best rating AND the highest career win percentage, though the price makes him a tough single.

win3Noah And The ArkML 4/5

Noah And The Ark (No. 3) is as dominant on paper as any horse on this card: an 87.28 TrackWiz rating combined with a field-best 35% career win rate makes him the legitimate chalk at 4/5. Trainer Todd McKenna sends him out with Harrison Beswick, and at 3 1/2 miles on the turf, stamina is paramount — this horse's record suggests he stays all day. At 4/5, you're not getting value, but the numbers genuinely support the short price.

place2Moonshine TimeML 6/1

Moonshine Time (No. 2) is the most interesting underneath play at 6/1, checking in with an 82.71 rating that makes her firmly second-best in this four-horse field. Trainer Keri Brion sends her out with Stephen Mulqueen, a partnership that gives plenty of confidence. If the pace is honest over 3 1/2 miles, Moonshine Time should be right there for the place at a price that pays.

show1Uco ValleyML 2/1

Uco Valley (No. 1) rounds out our top three at 82.07 — just a fraction behind Moonshine Time in the ratings — and carries a 21% career win rate into the gate under Freddie Procter for trainer Leslie F. Young. She's priced at 2/1, reflecting genuine respect from the morning line makers. In a four-horse field, show wagers are of limited value, but she's a natural component in any exacta or trifecta construction.

Race 6

7:20 PM EDT

Handicap · 2 1/2 mi · Turf

A wide-open ten-horse handicap at 2 1/2 miles where the top two horses are separated by less than a tenth of a point on the TrackWiz ratings — expect a competitive race top to bottom with solid value in the win pool.

win1StarforceML 8/1

Starforce (No. 1) leads all runners with a 79.79 TrackWiz rating and goes postward at 8/1 in the morning line — a clear overlay given his top-of-field numbers. Trainer Richard J. Hendriks sends him out with Conor Tierney, and despite an 8% career win rate, Starforce's overall rating suggests a horse whose best is as good as anyone in this field. At 8/1, this is exactly the kind of bet TrackWiz analysis is built to surface.

place5Tuddenham GreenML 4/1

Tuddenham Green (No. 5) is the morning-line second choice at 4/1 and comes in with a 79.70 rating — almost identical to Starforce — plus a strong 25% career win rate that leads the field. Trainer Jack Fisher puts Jamie Bargary in the irons, and with this win percentage at this distance, he's a legitimate threat to win outright and a near-lock for the place.

show3L'AvvocatoML 3/1

L'Avvocato (No. 3) posts a 74.24 rating with an 18% career win rate and goes at 3/1 as the morning-line favorite — or close to it. Trainer Katherine S. Neilson sends her out with Freddie Procter, and the public's confidence at 3/1 is understandable even if our numbers have a couple of horses rated above her. As a hedge in the exotic structure, she's a solid show play.

Race 7

7:50 PM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 2 1/8 mi · Turf

A sprawling 14-horse maiden optional claiming field at 2 1/8 miles on the turf — the biggest field of the day and one with sharp separation at the top, though a handful of mid-tier horses could complicate the exotics.

win13ShowpieceML 3/1

Showpiece (No. 13) comes in with the field's top TrackWiz rating of 87.08 and is priced at 3/1 on the morning line, making him the class of this large field. Trainer Thomas Garner deploys Evan Dwan, and with an 8% career win rate in maiden optional claiming company, the horse is knocking on the door. The combination of elite rating and reasonable morning-line price makes Showpiece the best bet on the ticket.

place12Hard Spun to RunML 4/1

Hard Spun to Run (No. 12) rates a tick below at 85.62 but owns a 9% career win rate and an average speed figure of 52 — respectable for this level. Trainer Katherine S. Neilson puts Paddy O'Hanlon aboard at 4/1, and in a 14-horse field, having the second-best rating and a credentialed trainer is a combination that fits neatly into the place hole.

show6City LeaderML 8/1

City Leader (No. 6) is an 8/1 morning-line shot with a 75.40 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field — and an 11% career win rate that shows he's been around the track. Trainer Todd McKenna hands the reins to Freddie Procter, giving the horse a capable pilot in a race where pace could get complicated with 14 runners. At 8/1, City Leader is the kind of show play that pays real money while still being backed by legitimate numbers.

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Great Meadow is serving up a rare all-turf, all-distance card today — the kind that rewards patience, homework, and a sharp eye for value. Our top free plays are Academy (R1, 10/1), Quick Master (R2, 4/1), and Investment Mandate (R3, 8/1). For the full card including the Stakes races, the Handicap, and our exotic wager breakdowns, premium analysis is waiting for you at /pricing. Good luck out there — let's cash some tickets.

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