Finger Lakes Picks & Predictions — November 4, 2026

Little Finch is coming off a win on October 14th and ranks first in recent race speed at 12.65 sec/furlong — that's a horse firing on all cylinders right now. The TrackWiz rating of 72.99 ranks second in this field, and jockey Keiber Coa has been outstanding over the past year with a 24% win rate and 69% in-the-money. With a career win rate of 33%, Little Finch is the kind of live runner who can steal this race if Purpose has any traffic issues.

Wayward Queen at 10/1 is worth a spot in your exotic tickets based on pure recent form — in the money in three straight races and four of the last six, plus a win the last time out at today's surface and distance combination. The TrackWiz rating of 58.44 isn't flashy, ranking third in the field, but the board-hitting consistency and the surface/distance win are hard to dismiss at double-digit odds. The jockey and trainer grades are modest (C and C), so this is a speculative play — but the form angles make Wayward Queen a logical trifecta fill.

Honorable Becky sits second in the TrackWiz ratings at 79.82 and has been remarkably consistent on dirt — 2 wins and placed in 8 of 11 starts on this surface. The jockey/trainer angle is solid with Flores posting a 17% win rate and 54% in-the-money over the past year, and trainer Richard Shaffer earns an A grade — the best trainer grade in this race. At 5/2 on the morning line, Honorable Becky is fairly priced as a place horse and anchors the bottom half of exactas well.

Cajun Hottie leads this entire field in recent race speed at 11.94 sec/furlong — that's a sharp figure — and owns a remarkable 75% in-the-money career mark, best in the race by a wide margin. The dirt record of 2 wins and placed in 10 of 12 starts is elite consistency, and jockey Worrie's 21% win rate over the past year makes this a connected horse to respect. At 4/1, there's real value in using Cajun Hottie as a show horse or underneath in trifectas.

Montauk Mystique at 7/2 morning line is the second-highest rated horse in this field at 70.79, and the Flores/Barrow combo continues to click at 20% wins and 58% in-the-money over the past year. The 45% in-the-money career figure is respectable. That said, there are legitimate concerns: Montauk Mystique is 0-for-3 at six furlongs, is 6 years old, and hasn't raced in 133 days. The layoff angle cuts both ways — connections may have this horse ready to fire fresh, but it's a speculative play that fits better as a place/show inclusion than a win single.

Back to Khali at 6/1 brings a compelling jockey-trainer angle worth noting — the Worrie/Englehart combo has hit at 27% wins and 60% in-the-money over the past year, one of the stronger stats you'll find anywhere on this card. The 68.83 TrackWiz rating ranks third in this race, and jockey Worrie's A grade makes this a live combination. The concerns are real though: Back to Khali hasn't placed in the last three starts and is 0-for-3 at six furlongs specifically. It's a show play with upside if the horse finally puts it together at this trip.

Maizey Blue ranks second in the ratings at 77.53 and leads this entire field in recent race speed at 12.67 sec/furlong — that's the kind of figure that keeps a horse competitive even when things don't go perfectly. The streak of hitting the board in five consecutive races is as consistent a form cycle as you'll find, backed by a dirt record of 2 wins and placed in 6 of 10 starts. With trainer Luis Gutierrez earning an A- grade and jockey Gutierrez posting B+ marks, this is a well-connected horse to stack directly beneath Jessica's Ride.

Flying Phoebe at 5/1 is an interesting show inclusion — the horse has placed in the last two starts and owns a solid dirt record of 2 wins and placed in 5 of 10. Jockey Joel Cruz's 17% win rate and the 41% in-the-money career figure suggest a horse that finds the board often enough to pay off as a show bet. The concern is the distance: Flying Phoebe is 0-for-3 at one mile specifically, so this is more of an exotic fill than a standalone win play.

Miss Stones is the most accomplished horse in this race by far — an extraordinary 47% career win rate and 69% in-the-money, with 11 wins in 22 dirt starts. The 20% win rate for the Gomez/Barrow combo over the past year is consistent, and three straight in-the-money finishes point to a horse in great form. The concern is a recent race speed figure that ranks eighth in this field at 12.61 sec/furlong, and at 6 years old the model flags age — but Miss Stones' sheer class and consistency make it a deserving place pick.

Timely Reward at 9/2 is a show play with legitimate merit — this horse has placed in five of the last six races, one of the best recent form streaks in this race. The dirt record of 5 wins and placed in 16 of 27 starts speaks to a durable, consistent performer, and jockey Alvarado has been in the money 50% of the time over the past year. At the price, Timely Reward is a natural trifecta anchor for a race where the top two are tough to separate.

Passioned is the second-highest rated horse in this race at 70.14 and brings a stellar trainer connection — the Coa/Ferraro combination has hit at a remarkable 31% wins and 76% in-the-money over the past year, one of the best combo stats on the entire card. The 28% career win rate and 56% in-the-money figure back that up, and 9 wins in 29 dirt starts shows genuine class on this surface. At 6/1 morning line, Passioned represents real value in exactas behind King's Leap.

Zatara at 9/2 ranks third in the TrackWiz ratings at 60.17 and owns solid dirt credentials — 4 wins and placed in 15 of 26 starts on this surface. The jockey angle is compelling: Andre Worrie earns an A grade and has posted a 21% win rate and 55% in-the-money over the past year. Recent race speed ranks third in this field at 12.46 sec/furlong, suggesting this horse can keep up with the pace. Zatara is a reasonable trifecta fill at a fair price.

Ring of the Rise ranks second in the TrackWiz ratings at 72.96 and leads this entire field in recent race speed at 12.36 sec/furlong — that's sharp, and it's the kind of figure that keeps a horse in front. Three consecutive in-the-money finishes and four of the last six in the money paint a picture of consistent, current form. With jockey Davila earning an A- grade, Ring of the Rise is a natural follow to La Dinamita in exactas and trifectas.

Fashionable Kitty at 4/1 is the third-rated horse in this field at 53.54 and has posted four in-the-money finishes over the last six races — a solid recent form cycle that makes this horse a reasonable exotics inclusion. Jockey Joel Cruz's 17% win rate and 52% in-the-money mark over the past year provide steady handling. The concern is a recent race speed figure that ranks near the bottom of the field at 13.28 sec/furlong, and a troubling 0-for-5 record at six furlongs specifically — this is a show play based on form trends, not on pure speed, so keep the investment modest.