Finger Lakes Picks & Predictions — June 29, 2026

Three Nines Fine (2) rates second in our model at 77.21 and is worth a place ticket at 3/1. Kevin Navarro rides for Jonathan B. Buckley, the same combination that fires on all cylinders throughout today's card. The 11% career win rate is the one cautionary note, but the speed figures suggest this horse is knocking on the door and due for a big effort.

Bald Kitten (6) is an interesting profile — a 67.34 rating and an average speed figure of 54 to match the top horses, but only a 6% career win rate tells you this horse has been a bridesmaid. Keiber J. Coa takes over for trainer Michael A. LeCesse, and jockey switches at this level sometimes spark a different result. At 5/1, Bald Kitten is a reasonable trifecta underlier if the race sets up with late speed.

King Solomon (3) is the most intriguing price on today's card at 10/1 with a 71.11 rating — the second-highest in this field — and a 52 average speed figure from trainer Ralph D'Alessandro and jockey J.M. Rohena. There's a real gap between King Solomon's rating and the rest of the field outside the top two, suggesting our model sees something the morning line doesn't. Maiden races are notoriously unpredictable, but a horse this well-rated at double digits is exactly the kind of value play that makes exotics worthwhile.

Army Proud (1) checks in at 62.82 on our ratings with a 5/1 price from the rail — a tactical advantage in a sprint where post position matters. Trainer Timothy P. Murphy and Michael A. Davila, Jr. combine for a horse that has a speed average of 51, which is workmanlike but not out of contention in a maiden field at Finger Lakes. As a show play or a three-deep trifecta inclusion, Army Proud offers solid value at the price.

Rockible (2) at 6/1 is one of the better value plays on the afternoon — a 76.38 rating that slots in comfortably second in this field, trained by Luis Gutierrez with Reylu Gutierrez aboard. The 12% career win rate is modest, but the speed figures and rating suggest this horse consistently runs competitive races. In a field where the top pick is the clear standout, Rockible is a natural exacta partner that could pay well at morning line odds.

Invaluable Will (1) at 4/1 with a 64-point rating is a reasonable show anchor from the inside post. Trainer Debra A. Breed and Emanuel De Diego put together a horse that has an average speed figure of 53 — middle of the pack in this field. With a 9% career win rate, this is a horse that tends to find trouble finishing first, but the rail position in a six-furlong race could mean clear early running, and a show ticket here could cash.

Free Dance (2) is the most physically interesting horse on paper in this race — an 82.14 rating combined with a 55 average speed figure, the highest in the field for Race 7. Trainer Chris J. Englehart, who also saddles Race 3's top pick Blamicker, brings this one out at 5/2. The 13% career win rate is the hesitation, but when a horse consistently runs fast figures without converting, the place slot is often where the value lives.

Burn Notice (1) brings a 30% career win rate into this spot — the highest in the field — which tells you this is a horse that knows how to finish races. Trainer Michael S. Ferraro (a different operation from M. Anthony Ferraro) deploys Reylu Gutierrez at 7/2, and while the 52 average speed figure is a tick below the top two, Burn Notice's win conversion rate demands respect. This is the kind of horse you want anchoring a show bet or filling out a trifecta.

Big Advantage (5) is the main rival at a 73.45 rating with a 28% career win rate — the highest in Race 8 — and trainer Paul W. Barrow clearly has a live barn today. Oscar Gomez takes the mount, and with a 54 average speed figure matching the top pick, Big Advantage has the raw ability to press Classiwest through the turn and outfinish any tiring rivals. At 3/1, this is a straightforward exacta play.

Tale of the Tail (6) is the second Barrow entry at 6/1 with a 62.59 rating and a 15% career win rate. Jeremias Flores rides, and while the rating falls a step below the top two, a trainer who enters two horses in the same sprint typically has a pace plan in mind — and the second entry often finds a ground-saving trip while the first absorbs pressure. In a race where both Barrow horses could be involved late, Tale of the Tail at 6/1 is a smart trifecta hedge.