Daily Picks

Finger Lakes Picks & Predictions — June 1, 2026

Monday, June 1, 20268 racesFinger Lakes

It's a beautiful Monday at Finger Lakes — clear skies, 64 degrees, and a fast-figure dirt surface that should have horses running their best. Eight races are on the board today, and the TrackWiz analysis team has been through every line, every work, and every angle.

The card leans heavily toward sprint distances, with six of the eight races going six furlongs or shorter on the main track. That sets up a premium for early speed, so pace scenario is going to be a major factor all afternoon. When the rail is dry and the surface is playing fast, horses that can get a clean trip near the front tend to hold on — keep that in mind as you build your tickets.

Three races are open to all TrackWiz readers today, and our top-rated horse on the entire card is Intentious in Race 3, carrying an 88.83 rating into an Allowance sprint. That's the headliner, but there's plenty more to unpack across the full eight-race card.

Best Bets

Race 1

5:00 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The morning line favorite doesn't hold the top TrackWiz rating in this allowance optional claimer — two underrated horses lurk beneath the radar and the pace figures to be contested early.

win2ZeebearML 4/1

Zeebear draws our top rating at 80.73 despite going off at 4/1, which already signals some value here. With a 21% career win rate in what looks like a career-best effort cycle, trainer James Miller Pettine puts this one in a spot to fire. The 6-furlong dirt sprint is a distance profile that suits a horse carrying this kind of rating advantage, and Keiber J. Coa in the irons adds a live-rider angle worth noting.

place4East Coast GirlML 8/1

East Coast Girl at 8/1 on the morning line is the standout value in this field — her TrackWiz rating of 79.79 is second-best in the race yet she's being treated like a longshot. A 38% career win rate is legitimately elite for a horse priced this long, and trainer Katlynn Gutterson deserves credit for placing her in a spot where she can get a piece at a juicy price.

show6OusterML 5/1

Ouster rounds out the exotic ticket with a 68.51 rating and a career win percentage of 37% — one of the higher marks in the field. Kevin Navarro has shown he can navigate this Finger Lakes oval, and at 5/1 morning line there's enough juice here to make Ouster worth including in trifecta combinations underneath the top two.

Race 2

5:29 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A clear one-two punch emerges in this mile claimer on dirt, with the rest of the field fighting over the show spot in what projects to be a speed-favoring scenario.

win3Coach BaheML 2/1

Coach Bahe owns the field's top rating at 88.54 and is correctly installed as the 2/1 morning line favorite — trainer Jonathan B. Buckley keeps putting this horse in competitive spots, and Kevin Navarro is a strong pilot to have aboard. A 20% career win rate doesn't dazzle on paper, but the rating gap over the field is substantial enough that we're comfortable recommending this as a best bet.

place6October BlissML 5/2

October Bliss sits second in the field with a rating of 84.85 and goes off at 5/2, making this a logical play underneath Coach Bahe in exactas. Trainer Angel Jr Montanez gets a horse with a 14% career win rate to the gate at a distance — one mile on dirt — that could suit a closer who can sit just off the pace and pounce late.

show4Sox for DaughtersML 8/1

Sox for Daughters at 8/1 morning line is the value show play in this field. The TrackWiz rating of 63.21 is third in the race, and an 11% career win rate at claiming level is workable for an exotic hedge. Trainer Jacqueline Falk has the horse entered at a price that could attract attention late if the two top selections press each other hard up front.

Race 3

5:58 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

A short-priced standout looms over this allowance sprint, but a pair of capable stablemates from the same barn make the exotics interesting and the race shape worth watching.

win2IntentiousML 9/5

Intentious is our top pick and it's not particularly close — a TrackWiz rating of 88.83 is the best in this six-horse allowance field, and a 30% career win rate for a horse going off at 9/5 is exactly the kind of profile that justifies chalk. Trainer Jonathan B. Buckley and jockey Kevin Navarro are a combo worth trusting at Finger Lakes, and with an average speed figure of 55 tying for the field's best, the raw numbers back up the morning line.

place3Sweet AnniversaryML 4/1

Sweet Anniversary brings a 40% career win rate into this spot — actually the highest in the field — and her TrackWiz rating of 73.15 gives her a clear edge over the rest of the horses outside of Intentious. Trainer M. Anthony Ferraro knows this oval well, and Keiber J. Coa is a reliable hand at 4/1 morning line. If Intentious draws all the action, Sweet Anniversary could sneak into the exacta at a profitable number.

show6Fabulous FoxML 7/2

Fabulous Fox at 7/2 is the third leg of our suggested trifecta and brings a solid 66.75 rating to the table. Sharing the same barn as Sweet Anniversary under trainer M. Anthony Ferraro is worth noting — Ferraro has a clear feel for this field's dynamics. With an average speed of 54 and a 22% career win rate, Fabulous Fox profiles as a horse who can track pace and threaten in the stretch.

The three free races give you a solid cross-section of today's action. Zeebear (Race 1, 4/1 morning line) kicks off the card in an Allowance Optional Claiming sprint — a race condition that typically draws horses pointed toward a spot, which bodes well for a well-rated contender. Coach Bahe stretches out to a mile in Race 2 and earns an 88.54 rating as the morning-line favorite at 2/1; the route distance on a clear, fast track could suit a horse with a stamina edge. Then Intentious closes out the free slate in Race 3 at 9/5 — that near-even money price means the market agrees with our model, but an 88.83 rating in an Allowance field is worth respecting regardless of the chalk price.

A thread connecting all three free picks: each lands at the top of their respective fields on TrackWiz speed and class metrics, and all three races are contested on a dirt surface that should be playing quick today. If you're only playing a few races, these are the ones to start with.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:27 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

This six-furlong claiming sprint has a legitimate favorite hiding at 4/1 — the morning line underestimates the top-rated horse in the field, setting up a potential overlay situation.

win5Princess CairoML 4/1

Princess Cairo carries the field's highest TrackWiz rating at 85.62 while going postward at 4/1 — that's a value gap worth exploiting. Trainer Chris J. Englehart places horses well at this level, and Andre Shivnarine Worrie provides experienced handling in the irons. A 16% career win rate in claiming company isn't eye-popping, but paired with the top numerical profile in the field, we're comfortable making her our best bet.

place4Eros's GirlML 5/2

Eros's Girl at 5/2 is installed as the morning line choice, and while her 76.68 rating trails Princess Cairo's, the gap isn't enormous. Trainer M. Anthony Ferraro has a knack for this distance — six furlongs on dirt — and Luis E. Perez is a capable rider to have in this spot. She's a logical exacta partner and should be included on most tickets.

show2MambagigiML 3/1

Mambagigi rounds out our suggested trifecta with a 75.95 rating and the field's best career win percentage at 30%, which stands out noticeably in this claiming field. Trainer Chris J. Englehart runs two horses in this race, which can cut both ways, but Reylu Gutierrez aboard at 3/1 suggests connections believe in this one. With an average speed of 54 matching the leaders, she has the raw figures to be competitive.

Race 5

6:56 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claimer with a dozen horses, no career winners in sight, and two horses at the top of the ratings separated by less than a point — expect a close, unpredictable finish.

win4Im GunnaML 7/2

Im Gunna holds the field's top rating at 83.85 and goes off at 7/2 — a fair price given how much uncertainty surrounds a maiden field this large. The standout here is the average speed figure of 54, highest in the entire 12-horse field and a meaningful edge in a race where many rivals are posting 51s. Trainer Troy Smith and jockey Laird O. Bailey get a horse with the numbers to break through, and we're backing the figures.

place1Runaway RoscoeML 4/1

Runaway Roscoe is a razor-thin second in our ratings at 83.32 — essentially a coin flip with Im Gunna at the top — and at 4/1 morning line there's real value in including him on exotic tickets. Trainer Chris J. Englehart is a consistent presence at this meet, and Andre Shivnarine Worrie handles this one in the irons. In a large maiden field where pace can get chaotic, having two high-rated closers covered makes sense.

show5Not My TypeML 5/1

Not My Type at 5/1 holds a 61.21 rating, third-best in this field and a noticeable jump above the middle of the pack. Trainer Michael T. Sabine enters a horse that profiles as capable of tracking pace in a large field and making a move in the final furlong. Oscar Gomez is a live rider at this level, and at 5/1 the price is attractive enough to warrant show inclusion in multi-horse exotics.

Race 6

7:25 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

An eleven-horse maiden special weight at six furlongs shapes up as a wide-open debut-heavy affair, with the morning line undervaluing some of the higher-rated horses in the field.

win6Poppy's TicketML 4/1

Poppy's Ticket tops our TrackWiz ratings at 85.18 in what looks like a plus situation — trainer Chris J. Englehart is a name that keeps appearing on this card and for good reason, with solid placements all day. At 4/1 morning line the price is fair, and Andre Shivnarine Worrie provides a polished rider who can get a debut horse into position in the early going. With an average speed of 53 matching several rivals, Poppy's Ticket's rating advantage is what separates her from the field.

place9Senor PonchoML 6/1

Senor Poncho at 6/1 is our place selection with an 82.71 rating — just slightly beneath Poppy's Ticket but a significant edge over the rest of the field. Trainer Patrick Baratta sends this one out with Oscar Gomez in the irons, a rider who's been active throughout this card. At 6/1, this is the type of horse who could easily flip the exacta if Poppy's Ticket doesn't fire, and the value in the place pool makes him a must-use.

show4Kings DancerML 3/1

Kings Dancer is the morning line favorite at 3/1 but ranks third in our ratings at 78.63 — meaning the public is overvaluing him relative to the top two. That said, a third-best rating in an eleven-horse maiden field is still a real edge, and trainer Linda K. Dixon with Jose Ventura up is a combination worth respecting. He's the clear show play if the top two do finish first and second, and his average speed of 54 is the best in the entire field.

Race 7

7:54 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

One horse in this allowance sprint stands well above the rest — the question is whether the price collapses at the windows or if the secondaries offer any value around the standout.

win1Eddie MarieML 5/2

Eddie Marie is the class of this field and it isn't particularly close — an 87.81 TrackWiz rating with a 33% career win rate puts her in a category above her rivals. Trainer Jonathan B. Buckley and jockey Kevin Navarro are the meet's go-to combination, and at 5/2 morning line the price is fair for a horse with this kind of numerical separation. She goes in the irons of Navarro, who's ridden multiple strong figures on this card already.

place4Last GloryML 7/2

Last Glory at 7/2 is our place selection — a 62.32 rating and 12% career win rate are modest, but this Ralph D'Alessandro trainee has the profile of a horse who can sit second in an allowance sprint and not get swallowed up. Emanuel De Diego handles the riding duties and has shown capable form at this meet. With the rest of the field rating considerably lower, Last Glory doesn't need a career-best effort to earn a spot in the exacta.

show7Zhen LouML 8/1

Zhen Lou is our show play at 8/1 — a 53.71 rating makes him one of the mid-tier horses in the field, but at that price there's longshot value for exotic inclusion. Trainer Ralph D'Alessandro runs two horses in this race, which can sometimes split focus, but Keiber J. Coa is a sharp pick to have aboard a live outsider. A 17% career win rate isn't flashy, but Zhen Lou's average speed of 54 keeps pace with the top of the field and makes him a legitimate trifecta threat.

Race 8

8:23 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The finale is a compact 5.5-furlong claiming sprint where the top-rated horse is being let go at 4/1 — potential overlay alert to close the card.

win1NightmissioML 4/1

Nightmissio leads the field with a 85.62 TrackWiz rating and a 20% career win rate — strong credentials for a claiming closer at this short distance. Trainer Chris J. Englehart has been one of the meet's most reliable conditioners all card long, and J. M. Rohena in the irons is a sound choice. At 4/1 morning line, this is one of the better-priced top-rated horses on the card and makes a strong case as a best bet to close out the day.

place3ProfitabilityML 7/2

Profitability at 7/2 is our place play — a 73.68 rating is second-best in the field, and while a 5% career win rate is genuinely low, the TrackWiz figure suggests more ability than that number conveys. Trainer Rafael Jose Rohena and jockey Joel Cruz form a workmanlike combination for this level, and with an average speed of 54 matching the race's top figures, Profitability has the raw pace to be involved at the finish.

show2Henry's HopeML 9/2

Henry's Hope rounds out the trifecta ticket with a 69.6 rating and an average speed of 54 tying him with several field members at the top of the pace figures. A 11% career win rate in claiming company is modest, but Oscar Gomez is comfortable around this oval and trainer James S. Acquilano places horses in spots where they can get a piece. At 9/2 morning line, the show price should offer some value in a race where the top two selections could take money early.

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Bottom line for today at Finger Lakes: the fast, dry surface sets the table for speed-favoring performances, and our model has strong opinions at the top of several races. Intentious (Race 3) is the highest-rated horse on the free card, Coach Bahe (Race 2) is a confident play at the mile, and Zeebear (Race 1) gets the day started on solid footing. For Races 4 through 8 — including pace breakdowns, exotic strategies, and the full TrackWiz ratings on Princess Cairo, Im Gunna, Poppy's Ticket, Eddie Marie, and Nightmissio — head to /pricing and get your premium access locked in before post time. Good luck out there.

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