Daily Picks

Fairmount Park Picks & Predictions — May 16, 2026

Saturday, May 16, 20268 racesFairmount Park

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 8-race card at Fairmount Park. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 8 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

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Race 1

2026-05-16T18:30:00

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Chasing Numbers looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win3Chasing NumbersML 4/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 77.4 for Race 1. Ridden by Ricardo Jaime, trained by Anthony Blea III. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.39 sec/furlong.

⚡ Longshot4Dominant CaitlinML 8/1

Rating board at 48.3. Ridden by Alexander Bendezu. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 32% win rate and finished in the money in 69% of races.

Race 2

2026-05-16T18:55:00

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Excellent Empire looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win3Excellent EmpireML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.2 for Race 2. Career win rate of 27% shows consistency. Ridden by Angel Ortega Stanley, trained by Mike Durham. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.32 sec/furlong. 3 wins and placed in 7 of 12 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 5 of 6 races at 5 1/2 fur. Claiming Price Decreased from $6250 to $4000.

place2One Putt RichieML 3/1

Rating board at 87.1. Ridden by Alexander Bendezu. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.35 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races.

show1Faithful RulerML 5/2

Rating board at 69.5. Ridden by Victor Santiago. 3 wins and placed in 10 of 15 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 3 of the last 4 races.

Race 3

2026-05-16T19:20:00

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Lucky Monica looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win3Lucky MonicaML 5/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 71.8 for Race 3. Ridden by Victor Santiago, trained by Scott Becker. Placed in 5 of 9 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races.

place5Jute BoxML 3/5

Rating board at 64.6. Ridden by Alexander Bendezu. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 32% win rate and finished in the money in 69% of races.

⚡ Longshot2I Got the MovesML 15/1

Rating board at 26.5. Ridden by Cory Orm. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.37 sec/furlong.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Instastar looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win1InstastarML 5/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.2 for Race 4. Ridden by Alexander Bendezu, trained by Ralph Martinez. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.64 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 28% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 6 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races.

place5RecauseML 3/1

Rating board at 70.9 • 33% career wins. Ridden by Javier Diego. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races.

⚡ Longshot4Ima Chunky MonkeyML 12/1

Rating board at 54.1. Ridden by Victor Santiago. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.59 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 8 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 5

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Young Mischief looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win6Young MischiefML 4/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.9 for Race 5. Ridden by Reynier Arrieta, trained by Eddie M. Essenpreis. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.86 sec/furlong. Claiming Price Decreased from $6250 to $5000.

place4Show Me the LightML 5/1

Rating board at 84.2. Ridden by Cory Orm. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 13.39 sec/furlong. Claiming Price Decreased from $10000 to $5000.

show3PremorML 8/1

Rating board at 55.7. Ridden by Javier Diego. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 13.43 sec/furlong. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 12.45 sec/furlong.

Race 6

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Arky Road looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win4Arky RoadML 8/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.1 for Race 6. Ridden by Alexander Bendezu, trained by Scott Becker. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.59 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 32% win rate and finished in the money in 69% of races. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place6W W StarML 2/1

Rating board at 87.0. Ridden by Victor Santiago. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.50 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 7 races on Dirt tracks.

⚡ Longshot2Tigersaurus RexML 20/1

Rating board at 42.1. Ridden by Angel Ortega Stanley. Claiming Price Decreased from $20000 to $10000.

Race 7

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Bernin Tune looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win6Bernin TuneML EVN

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 85.7 for Race 7. Ridden by Travis Wales, trained by Steve Manley. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.73 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 31% win rate and finished in the money in 71% of races. 2 wins and placed in 7 of 13 races on Dirt tracks.

place8Scotch No RocksML 8/1

Rating board at 79.8. Ridden by Javier Diego. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.45 sec/furlong. 6 wins and placed in 24 of 41 races on Dirt tracks.

show2RunningforcashML 5/1

Rating board at 73.9 • 23% career wins. Ridden by Ademar Santos. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races.

Race 8

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Stance looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win1StanceML 6/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 82.7 for Race 8. Ridden by Julio E. Felix, trained by John C. Wainwright. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.57 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 16 of 25 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. 1 wins and placed in 10 of 13 races at Fairmount Park. Has placed in 3 of 4 races at 5 1/2 fur. Ranked 3rd in workouts over last month at 12.15 sec/furlong.

⚡ Longshot3Tower Grove ParkML 10/1

Rating board at 42.7 • 25% career wins. Ridden by Alexander Bendezu. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 32% win rate and finished in the money in 69% of races.

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