Daily Picks

Fair Meadows Picks & Predictions — June 20, 2026

Saturday, June 20, 202610 racesFair Meadows

Fair Meadows is open for business on a warm Saturday afternoon — 87°F, partly cloudy, and the kind of weather that keeps the track playing fast. Ten races are on the board today, all on dirt and all short-format quarter-horse style sprints ranging from 250 to 350 yards. If you blink, you might miss a finish, so let's get you locked in before the gates open.

The card has real variety — a pair of Futurities and Stakes action mixed in with maiden and allowance company — which means there are horses at very different stages of their careers all competing today. That creates opportunity for sharp bettors who know where to look. The highlight of the afternoon is the Race 2 Stakes at 350 yards, where Wf Manfredi draws plenty of early attention at 9/5 on the morning line.

Best Bets

Race 1

11:00 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 350 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claiming dash at 350 yards where two horses stand clearly above the rest on TrackWiz ratings, setting up a logical top-two with a value shot lurking underneath.

win2Livewires FrionaML 5/2

Livewires Friona tops our TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 — the highest mark in this field by more than two points — and comes in at a very fair 5/2 on the morning line. Trainer Matt Whitekiller saddles this one, and Cody Rodger Smith is a reliable hand for short maiden sprints like this. In a maiden field with zero career wins across the board, raw ratings carry significant weight, and Friona's edge here is hard to overlook. This is the horse we're anchoring our tickets to in Race 1.

place8Dtl Ramblin ManML 3/1

Dtl Ramblin Man checks in with an 85.30 TrackWiz rating — the second-best figure in the field — and lands at 3/1 on the morning line, which isn't a huge overlay but is fair for a horse with this kind of profile. Jonathan Dominguez gets the call, and he's been active on this card. If Livewires Friona gets first run and breaks clean, Ramblin Man looks like the most likely to chase her down or fill the exacta.

show4Cuz Sooner MagicML 8/1

Cuz Sooner Magic at 8/1 is our show-spot value play, rating out at 67.16 — a meaningful jump above the rest of the mid-pack horses in this field. Roman Cruz rides, and at those odds in an all-maiden short sprint, there's genuine trifecta upside here. The morning line price suggests the public may underestimate this one.

Race 2

11:25 PM EDT

Stakes · 350 yd · Dirt

This short-course stakes has a clear top-rated contender, but the morning line favorite isn't the same horse — creating a price discrepancy that makes this race worth playing.

win4Wf ManfrediML 9/5

Wf Manfredi is the standout here with an 88.83 TrackWiz rating, the best figure in this stakes field by a healthy margin, and he comes in at 9/5 on the morning line. Trainer Dee Keener has a 20% career win rate from Manfredi's connections, and Mario Delgado in the irons is a solid short-distance rider. What's particularly interesting is that despite the public making Dallas North Tollway the morning line favorite at 7/5, our numbers say Manfredi is clearly the top horse — that's where the real value sits in this race.

place6My Navajo SquawML 8/1

My Navajo Squaw is our place pick and arguably the most intriguing horse in the race at 8/1. She carries a 33% career win rate — the highest of any runner on the board — which is a legitimate attention-grabber even in a small stakes field. Trainer Matt Whitekiller also sends out the morning line chalk Dallas North Tollway, so the barn clearly knows this distance. Squaw's win percentage suggests she finds the winner's circle consistently, and at 8/1 she's a strong exotic play.

show5Dallas North TollwayML 7/5

Dallas North Tollway draws in as the 7/5 morning line choice and carries a 25% career win rate, but our 57.19 rating puts her third in this field behind Manfredi and Squaw. She's not a horse to build tickets around at those odds, but as a show safety valve under a short-priced morning line, she fits the profile. Trainer Whitekiller doubles up in this race, and Cody Rodger Smith handles the riding duties.

Race 3

11:50 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

A big 10-horse maiden claiming field at 300 yards with a single horse separating itself significantly on ratings — but the public hasn't caught on yet, creating a sweet spot on the program.

win10Bernal BreezeML 8/1

Bernal Breeze draws the 10 hole and sports a 79.79 TrackWiz rating — by far the top figure in this field, nearly 24 points clear of the next-best horse. That kind of separation in a maiden field is significant, and the 8/1 morning line price is a genuine overlay. Trainer Marco Adair Chavez-Gutierrez also saddles Bernal Belle in this same race, showing confidence in the barn's ability to navigate the condition. Ruben Castro gets the mount, and this looks like one of the stronger value wins on the card.

place4Jh SmithtosaML 10/1

Jh Smithtosa rates out at 56.40 and comes in at 10/1, making this one of the more appealing place values on the afternoon. Trainer Stacy Charette-Hill is a familiar name on this circuit, and Aram S. Martinez gives the horse a capable pilot in the short sprint. At double-digit odds for a horse that grades out second in the field, this one has real exotic appeal.

show2Jm Texas BulletproofML 8/1

Jm Texas Bulletproof checks in with a 48.33 rating — one of three horses in this field sharing that exact figure — but the 8/1 morning line and Roman Cruz in the irons give him a slight edge in the trifecta conversation. Trainer Dee Keener has multiple horses on this card and clearly knows the Fair Meadows conditions well. He's a reasonable bottom rung for trifecta construction in a field this competitive in the middle tier.

TrackWiz is giving every reader a free look at the first three races today. In Race 1, Livewires Friona checks in as our top-rated horse on the card's opening maiden claimer, carrying an 87.81 TrackWiz rating at a very workable 5/2 morning line — solid value for a horse we like. Race 2 is the Stakes highlight and Wf Manfredi profiles as the class of that field with an 88.83 rating, the highest of any top pick all day. Then in Race 3, keep an eye on Bernal Breeze — posted at 8/1 on the morning line with a 79.79 rating, this is the kind of horse that can go overlooked in short-format races where the public tends to overbet speed. On a warm, fast-playing afternoon at Fair Meadows, early pace is everything in these sprints, and our analysis on all three free races leans into that angle hard.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

12:15 AM EDT

Futurity · 330 yd · Dirt

A 330-yard futurity with a pronounced ratings gap — one horse sits head and shoulders above this field, but finding the right exotics combination behind him is where the money-making opportunity lies.

win8Amplified Kool 918ML 2/1

Amplified Kool 918 is the standout in this futurity with an 83.58 TrackWiz rating, more than 19 points clear of El Chismoso in second. The 2/1 morning line reflects some public respect, but our model gives him an even stronger edge than the odds suggest. Mario Delgado rides for trainer Dee Keener, who has multiple runners on this card and clearly has horses ready. In a field of first-time starters with no career win percentages on the board, having the highest raw rating by this margin is as strong a signal as you'll get.

place2El ChismosoML 6/1

El Chismoso rates second in this field at 64.02 and comes in at 6/1, giving him solid exotic value behind the top pick. Erik N. Esqueda takes the mount for trainer Randy Chavez, and in a futurity with so many question marks, El Chismoso's rating provides a reasonable cushion over the rest of the field. He's the right horse to use underneath Amplified Kool 918 in exactas.

show9Collective PowerML 3/1

Collective Power sits third on our ratings at 56.67 and is priced at 3/1 — a bit short for a show pick, but trainer Dee Keener runs this one alongside Amplified Kool 918, which is a notable barn angle. Roman Cruz rides and has been busy throughout this card. If the Keener barn saddles two of the top three finishers, it wouldn't be a shock, and Collective Power is the logical third piece in trifecta tickets.

Race 5

12:40 AM EDT

Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

A competitive 300-yard claiming sprint where the top two horses on ratings are separated by just 5 points and both carry legitimate form, setting up a potential pace duel from the outside posts.

win7Sm Eyesa Country ManML 5/2

Sm Eyesa Country Man tops this field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating and is the morning line second choice at 5/2. Roman Cruz has been one of the more active and productive riders on this card, and trainer Samuel E. Valdivia puts forward a horse with real competitive form. With a career win rate of 8% — modest but not unusual for a claiming horse that's been tested — the rating separation here is the key, and that number stands above the field.

place6Soar Eagle SoarML 3/1

Soar Eagle Soar checks in at an 82.45 rating and is third choice at 3/1 on the morning line, making her a logical place and exacta play. Gonzalo Gutierrez pilots for trainer Luz Chavira, and at an 11% career win rate, this is a horse that has found the winner's circle before. The back-to-back ratings of 87.81 and 82.45 suggest these two may separate themselves from the rest of the field in a short sprint.

show8Relentless FrostML 8/1

Relentless Frost comes in at 8/1 with a 78.25 TrackWiz rating — third in the field and a meaningful step above the horses clustered in the low 50s. Randy Vega rides for Jose E. Gamez, and with a 10% career win rate, there's competitive experience here. The price makes this an attractive show bet and a natural third horse in trifecta coverage.

Race 6

1:05 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

A 10-horse maiden field at 250 yards where the top horse carries a massive ratings lead, but a couple of mid-field horses offer intriguing value in the exotics beneath a likely short-priced winner.

win1Btd Royally FunML 2/1

Btd Royally Fun sits atop this field with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the highest number we see in any maiden race on today's card — and the 2/1 morning line reflects that respect. Jonathan Dominguez handles the riding duties for trainer Jose E. Gamez, who also has a runner in the allowance later today. In a maiden sprint at 250 yards where every horse is still looking for career win number one, a rating this far above the field is about as strong an indicator as we have. This is the best bet of the race.

place7Gray Boy SixML 8/1

Gray Boy Six brings a 75.88 rating and comes in at 8/1 — a significant overlay for the second-best horse in the field. Benjamin Mendez Jr. gets the mount for trainer Ramon Mendoza, and in a wide-open maiden sprint, the value gap between Gray Boy Six and the morning line price is hard to ignore. He's the right horse to use underneath the favorite in exactas.

show10Gg CoronadoML 4/1

Gg Coronado draws the 10 hole with a 71.46 rating and morning line odds of 4/1, making him the third-ranked horse on our figures. Randy Vega is a capable rider who has had multiple mounts today, and trainer Waylan Melton has the horse positioned in the right race. At 4/1, the show bet has limited return, but in trifecta construction he's the logical third piece behind the top two rated horses.

Race 7

1:30 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

Wide-open maiden claiming sprint at 250 yards where a lightly regarded morning line price conceals the top-rated horse, and the chalk could be caught by a closer with real upside.

win9Shez Painted MondayML 4/1

Shez Painted Monday is our top pick with an 85.62 TrackWiz rating — the best figure in this 10-horse field by more than 28 points — yet comes in at 4/1 on the morning line, which looks like a genuine overlay. Randy Vega rides for trainer Jose E. Gamez, who has been active on today's card. In maiden company at a short distance like 250 yards, having this kind of rating gap over the field is a strong signal, and the price makes it even more appealing.

place8Bp Charlie ChickML 5/2

Bp Charlie Chick rates out at 57.50 and is the morning line second choice at 5/2 — respectable for a maiden, though the TrackWiz gap to Shez Painted Monday is notable. Roman Cruz handles the riding for trainer Dee Keener, whose horses have shown up repeatedly on this card. Bp Charlie Chick is the right exacta play underneath our top selection.

show4Miss Lucys LooseML 8/1

Miss Lucys Loose comes in at 8/1 with a 50.08 rating — a modest but workable figure that's competitive enough in a field where most horses are clustered between 41 and 57. Erik N. Esqueda rides for trainer David E. Brown, and at those odds she offers real value as the third leg of a trifecta. In a race with limited separation in the middle tier, she's a reasonable include.

Race 8

1:55 AM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

A 10-horse maiden at 350 yards with tightly bunched ratings across five horses in the 60-76 range — but one horse sits clearly above them all, making this a top-and-under betting structure.

win8Fast Prize MansonML 4/1

Fast Prize Manson leads this field with an 85.62 TrackWiz rating and draws in at 4/1 — a fair price given the quality of the competition. Aram S. Martinez rides for trainer Valerie Torres, who also saddles Turbo Boost in Race 4. In a field where five horses rate within 11 points of each other, that rating edge matters, and Fast Prize Manson holds the clearest advantage. This looks like a confident win play.

place2Miss Jesse MayML 8/1

Miss Jesse May rates a tick above the mid-field cluster at 76.00 and comes in at 8/1, making her a quality exacta partner with our top pick. Cordarelton J. Benn takes the mount for trainer Gary K. Walker, who has been represented throughout today's card. At 8/1, there's genuine overlay here for the second-best-rated horse in the field — a strong place and exacta play.

show1Cayman LadyML 6/1

Cayman Lady sits at 74.99 on our ratings — just a sliver behind Miss Jesse May — and is priced at 6/1 on the morning line. Rolando Raudales rides for trainer Guillermo Valdivia, who has horses at multiple points on today's card. The near-identical ratings of Cayman Lady and Miss Jesse May mean either could fill the second spot, and using both underneath Fast Prize Manson in trifectas makes sense.

Race 9

2:20 AM EDT

Allowance · 330 yd · Dirt

This 330-yard allowance is one of the most form-filled races on the card, with several horses carrying real career win percentages — but the TrackWiz ratings point clearly to a top selection over a competitive field.

win9Candy FloodML 4/1

Candy Flood tops the allowance field with an 85.62 TrackWiz rating and comes in at 4/1 despite being the morning line third choice — an interesting discrepancy. Mario Delgado rides for trainer Dee Keener, whose horses have been prominent all day. A 12% career win rate is respectable in allowance company, and the rating lead over Sonic Candy is meaningful enough to anchor our ticket.

place8Sonic CandyML 3/1

Sonic Candy brings a 72.23 rating and the best career win percentage of our top three at 28% — that win rate is worth highlighting, as this horse clearly knows how to close races out. Roman Cruz handles the irons for trainer Jesus Ruben Ruiz, and at 3/1 on the morning line Sonic Candy is fairly priced. He's a natural fit as the exacta partner to Candy Flood.

show10Elegant Train BML 7/2

Elegant Train B comes in at 7/2 with a 59.28 rating and a 10% career win rate — modest figures, but in a wide-open allowance field he's the third-best rated horse and is priced to attract public money. Jimmy Dean Brooks rides for Eddie D. Willis, and as the outside horse in the 10 post, he'll need some racing room. Still, the rating and odds make him a workable third in trifecta plays.

Race 10

2:45 AM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

A 10-horse maiden at 350 yards to close the card, and it features one of the clearest top-to-bottom rating separations of the day — but the structure underneath the top pick is competitive enough to make the exotics worth attacking.

win10Eclipse 2024ML 3/1

Eclipse 2024 draws the outside 10 post but carries a 87.08 TrackWiz rating — the best figure in this field by nearly 30 points over the next closest contender, Hes a Daytripper. Roman Cruz gets the mount for trainer Julio Rascon-Almanza, and at 3/1 on the morning line the price is workable given that rating dominance. In a field of firsters and lightly experienced maidens, this kind of separation in our model is hard to fade. Eclipse 2024 is our strongest play to close the day.

place1Hes a DaytripperML 5/2

Hes a Daytripper comes in as the morning line favorite at 5/2 with a 57.50 TrackWiz rating — a significant step down from Eclipse 2024, but still clearly the second-best figure in the field. Cody Rodger Smith rides for trainer Stacey L. Capps, and the public's support as favorite suggests he may be better than the ratings alone indicate. He's the right exacta partner behind our top pick.

show4Sin Tacha Gotta GoML 8/1

Sin Tacha Gotta Go draws post 4 with a 50.19 rating and comes in at 8/1, giving her genuine overlay value as the third-best figure in this maiden field. Cordarelton J. Benn pilots for trainer Luz Chavira, who also runs Go Sin Tacha Go in Race 9, showing the barn is in good form today. At 8/1 with a competitive rating in a maiden sprint, she's a smart trifecta include to close out the card.

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Bottom line: today's Fair Meadows card is short, fast, and loaded with angles. Wf Manfredi in Race 2 is the marquee play of the afternoon, and Livewires Friona in Race 1 is a strong free-race best bet to kick off the card. If you want the full picture — pace scenarios, exotics breakdowns, and every pick from Race 4 through Race 10 — it's all waiting for subscribers. Check out TrackWiz's plans at /pricing and get in before the first race goes off. Good luck out there.

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