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Emerald Downs Picks & Predictions — May 16, 2026

Saturday, May 16, 20267 racesEmerald Downs

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 7-race card at Emerald Downs. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 7 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

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Race 1

2026-05-16T20:50:00

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Princess Amber looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win5Princess AmberML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 57.5 for Race 1. Ridden by Karlo Lopez, trained by David B. Martinez. Has placed in 1 of the last 1 races.

place4Smoothie RyderML 3/1

Rating board at 56.7. Ridden by Adrian Castellanos. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.65 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 52% of races.

show1Run On OmML 6/5

Rating board at 53.2. Ridden by Silvio Ruiz Amador. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 13.02 sec/furlong.

Race 2

2026-05-16T21:23:00

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Bert's Prospect looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win1Bert's ProspectML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 2. Ridden by Kevin Krigger, trained by Hon Cheung Jerry Kum. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.28 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races. Has not raced in 252 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up.

place5Hadlees HonorML 5/2

Rating board at 83.5. Ridden by Silvio Ruiz Amador. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.50 sec/furlong. 3 wins and placed in 12 of 18 races at Emerald Downs.

show3Brother ReidML 3/1

Rating board at 83.0. Ridden by Adrian Castellanos. For past year, Jockey has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 52% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 36% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races.

Race 3

2026-05-16T21:53:00

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Gentlemen's Club looks standout with daylight to the rest.

⚡ Longshot2Alpine SermonML 8/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 73.4 for Race 3. Ridden by Kevin Krigger, trained by Mary Tate. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.09 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Goin' South looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2Goin' SouthML 9/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.8 for Race 4. Ridden by Silvio Ruiz Amador, trained by Blaine D. Wright. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.98 sec/furlong. 2 wins and placed in 8 of 11 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 4 of the last 5 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 6 of 9 of Sprint races. 2 wins and placed in 6 of 8 races at Emerald Downs. Has not raced in 265 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place5Jimmy BML 5/1

Rating board at 81.5. Ridden by Frank T. Alvarado. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.94 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 3 races on Dirt tracks.

show3Horizon WildcatML 5/2

Rating board at 72.3. Ridden by Blake Nunnally. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.04 sec/furlong. 2 wins and placed in 6 of 12 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 5

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Real Good Magic looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win4Real Good MagicML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 5. Career win rate of 25% shows consistency. Ridden by Karlo Lopez, trained by Kendra S. Lyons. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.95 sec/furlong. 3 wins and placed in 7 of 10 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 3 of the last 4 races. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance.

place2UprightML 3/1

Rating board at 82.9. Ridden by Silvio Ruiz Amador. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.92 sec/furlong. 2 wins and placed in 8 of 16 races on Dirt tracks.

⚡ Longshot5Corn PopML 8/1

Rating board at 40.6. Ridden by Lenny A. Seecharan. 6 wins and placed in 27 of 48 races on Dirt tracks. 2 wins and placed in 8 of 10 races at Emerald Downs.

Race 6

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Elder Mack looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win1Elder MackML 5/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.2 for Race 6. Career win rate of 30% shows consistency. Ridden by Silvio Ruiz Amador, trained by Blaine D. Wright. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.85 sec/furlong. 3 wins and placed in 8 of 11 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 6 of 8 of Sprint races. 3 wins and placed in 8 of 11 races at Emerald Downs. Jockey & Horse combo has a 15% win rate and finished in the money in 46% of races. Has not raced in 259 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up.

⚡ Longshot3WhiskeyjackML 8/1

Rating board at 59.4. Ridden by Karlo Lopez. 3 wins and placed in 11 of 16 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races.

Race 7

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Delayed Not Denied looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win6Delayed Not DeniedML 4/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 82.0 for Race 7. Ridden by Silvio Ruiz Amador, trained by Steve Bullock. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.38 sec/furlong. Placed in 4 of 7 races on Dirt tracks. Has not raced in 252 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up.

place3Native EmpressML 3/1

Rating board at 56.7. Ridden by Kevin Krigger. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.60 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 57% of races.

show8Magic JewelML 9/2

Rating board at 54.2. Ridden by Kevin E. Orozco. Strong workout times during past month.

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