Charles Town Picks & Predictions — August 6, 2026

Here's a Quarter shows the highest career win percentage in this race at 28%, which is a meaningful figure for a claimer going seven furlongs. A 75.14 TrackWiz rating and a 5/2 morning line position this horse as the likely second choice, and Moises Santaella has shown a strong book of rides on this card. The win rate alone signals a horse that knows how to finish, making this a confident place play.

City Taah sits at 3/1 on the morning line with a 73.77 rating and a 22% career win percentage — essentially on par with the place pick in terms of raw ability. Trainer Jeff C. Runco is a well-known name at Charles Town and keeps horses sharp, and Jahnxander Raspaldo gets the mount. At 3/1, City Taah has enough upside to win outright, but we're comfortable slotting this one in the show spot for exotics coverage.

New York Lights offers genuine overlay value at 8/1 morning line despite posting a 61.58 TrackWiz rating — second in the field. Trainer Marshall T. Campbell has a horse worth watching, and Jose Y. Diaz takes the mount. That morning line feels a bit wide for the second-best figure in the race, which is exactly the kind of discrepancy that makes for a solid place bet at value odds.

Princess Fortress at 4/1 with a 56.95 rating and Warren Ebow III aboard gives this horse a fighting chance for the show spot in a wide-open bottom half of the field. Kevin Boykins trains this filly, and an average speed figure of 52 puts her in the competitive range. She's the type of mare who might get passed by the top two but holds on for third in a field this thin on proven talent.

You Name Him goes at 7/2 on the morning line with a 55.83 rating and draws the 6-hole, which is a workable post in a seven-furlong sprint. Trainer John C. Carlisle sends this one out with Jahnxander Raspaldo, a jockey who's had a solid day of work on this card. With most of the field at similar speed numbers, You Name Him has the profile of a closer who might benefit if the pace gets hot early.

Golden Boss Man is the stablemate of the heavy favorite — both running for trainer Ronney W. Brown — and while a 53.33 rating puts this horse well below Saint Paddy's Day, the barn angle is worth noting. Nomar Arroyo Bueno takes the call, and an average speed figure of 51 is honest for a maiden at this level. Brown fields two sharp horses here, and Golden Boss Man could easily be third best on the day.

Defiant Giant sits second in our model at 64.48 with a 20% career win rate and goes at 9/2 — a fair price for a horse with legitimate class in this spot. Trainer Timothy Shanley and jockey Moises Santaella are a sharp combination who've shown up multiple times today, suggesting both have live mounts. Defiant Giant figures to be near the pace and could be a dangerous place horse if Hurricane Alert gets challenged hard.

Ridiculous is an interesting show play at 10/1 morning line with a 55.32 rating and a 16% career win rate — respectable numbers for a horse going off at double-digits. Fredy Peltroche rides for trainer Vanessa Peltroche, a family combination that often signals a tight-knit operation with a good read on the horse's condition. In a nine-horse field with pace potentially heating up, a closer like Ridiculous could sneak into the trifecta.

I'm Not Catty is a serious longshot play sneaking into the place spot at 10/1 morning line with a 76.88 TrackWiz rating — second in the field — and a remarkable 37% career win rate, the highest of any horse running tonight across all nine races. Trainer Ronney W. Brown has had live horses all night, and Nomar Arroyo Bueno gets yet another potentially undervalued mount. At double-digit morning line odds with numbers like these, this horse deserves serious attention in exactas.

Ozone is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 with a 25% career win rate and a solid 71.04 TrackWiz rating, which ranks third in this field. Trainer Mike E. Butts keeps this horse in the mix, and Anthony Mawing rides. While our model slots Ozone third, the public support is real and the underlying numbers justify it — this is a horse you can't leave out of your tickets despite the thin price.

Delightful Dixie is the 7/5 morning-line favorite with an 86.28 TrackWiz rating and a stellar 34% career win rate — suggesting a horse that consistently hits the board in higher-caliber spots. Trainer Joan A. Reynolds and jockey Abnel J. Bocachica are a well-regarded combination at this level. Though our model narrowly slots this one second, the win rate and public support mean Delightful Dixie is live to beat everyone.

Miss Menetes rounds out a fascinating top three at a 80.6 rating with a 30% career win rate — strong figures for a horse going at 7/2 on the morning line. Trainer David J. Rose sends this one out with Jeiron Barbosa, who's been active on today's card. The 30% win rate is the kind of number that says a horse competes hard every time, and in a tight three-way affair like this, Miss Menetes is an essential trifecta piece.

Paint the Alley goes at 3/1 on the morning line with a 79.42 rating and a 20% career win rate — both figures rank second in this nine-horse field. Trainer Analia R. Gomez saddles what looks like a well-prepared horse for Denis Vicente Araujo to ride. With a tight gap between the top three horses, Paint the Alley is dangerous enough to win outright and a near-certainty to factor in the exacta.

Candy Man Martin at 4/1 morning line might be the most straightforward show play on the card — a 68.39 TrackWiz rating slots this horse exactly where the price suggests, and Juan Mauricio Nunez picks up a mount for trainer Mike E. Butts. A 10% career win rate is modest, but in a deep claiming field like this, staying competitive is all that matters for the trifecta. The price and the placement work together here.