Century Mile Picks & Predictions — May 16, 2026
Here's our expert breakdown of today's 8-race card at Century Mile. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 8 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.
Best Bets
Race 1
2026-05-16T21:45:00Derby · 350 yd · Dirt
Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Cervezas Fire looks standout with daylight to the rest.
Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 1. Career win rate of 33% shows consistency. Ridden by J. B. Botello, trained by William H. Leech. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 11.85 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races. 2 wins and placed in 3 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 3 of the last 4 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 3 of 4 of Sprint races. 1 wins and placed in 2 of 3 races at Century Mile. Has not raced in 224 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Horse won last time it raced. 10/03/2025. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance.
Rating board at 83.2. Ridden by Daniel Tavares. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.64 sec/furlong. 2 wins and placed in 5 of 7 races on Dirt tracks.
Rating board at 45.0 • 25% career wins. Ridden by Miguel Angel Lopez.
Race 2
2026-05-16T22:10:00Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt
Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Light Fast Feet looks standout with daylight to the rest.
Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 2. Ridden by N'Rico Prescod, trained by Ron Grieves. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.95 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 17% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. 7 wins and placed in 19 of 37 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 5 races. Has placed in 3 of 4 races at 5 1/2 fur. Jockey & Horse combo has a 17% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. Has not raced in 284 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Has WON 2 races in a row! Horse won last time it raced. 08/04/2025. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.
Race 3
2026-05-16T22:35:00Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt
Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Hazael looks standout with daylight to the rest.
Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.7 for Race 3. Ridden by Jose Mariano Asencio, trained by Tom Rycroft. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.99 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 53% of races. 1 wins and placed in 5 of 8 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 5 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 5 races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 53% of races. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 11.95 sec/furlong. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.
Rating board at 33.3. Ridden by Richard Henry. Has placed in 3 of 4 races at 5 1/2 fur. Has not raced in 202 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up.
Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.
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Good luck at Century Mile today! Remember to check back for live odds updates and follow us for real-time picks throughout the card. Subscribe to TrackWiz for full access to every race at every track.