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Canterbury Park Picks & Predictions — July 2, 2026

July 2, 20268 racesAll Canterbury Park picks

This card ran on July 2, 2026.

Best bets at Canterbury Park, July 2, 2026

Race 11SuperonaML 9/56:10 PM EDT

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Happy Thursday at Canterbury Park, where eight races are on tap for the July 2nd card and the weather is about as good as it gets in Shakopee — partly cloudy skies and 87°F. Warm but manageable, and that dry heat should keep the dirt track playing fast and the turf firm enough for honest speed figures.

Today's card is a genuine mixed bag in the best way: the early races lean into Canterbury's quarter horse program with a pair of 300-yard sprints and a 250-yarder to kick things off, before the card shifts to longer thoroughbred routes on both dirt and turf. Eight races, two surfaces, and a full spectrum of conditions from Maiden all the way through Allowance. Plenty of angles to work.

Three races are free and open to all TrackWiz readers. The other five are part of our premium full-card breakdown — more on that below.

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Race 1

6:10 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden sprint at 300 yards where TrackWiz ratings separate the field clearly — Superona sits atop the board by a significant margin, but maiden quarter-horse dashes can flip on a gate break.

win1SuperonaML 9/5

Superona draws the rail in post 1 and carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 78.03 — a meaningful gap above the rest of this maiden field. Trainer Haley N. Hobbs has a second entry in the race, which tells you this barn is comfortable here and likely prepping horses in sequence. Fernando Fonseca-Soto gets the call, and the morning line of 9/5 reflects the public's confidence. In a 300-yard dash where every fraction matters, that ratings edge is hard to dismiss.

place4Eos Hey BuckoML 7/5

Eos Hey Bucko (4) opened as the 7/5 morning-line favorite, so the market is split at the top with Superona. Edward Ross Hardy sends this one out with Angel O. Ramirez aboard, a capable combination at this level. With a TrackWiz rating of 59.33, Eos Hey Bucko figures to break sharply and offer a strong place-ticket pairing with the top pick.

show2MeleysML 4/1

Meleys (2) is the third runner from trainer Haley N. Hobbs, rated 55.00 and going off at 4/1 on the morning line. Being from the same barn as the top pick isn't a coincidence — Hobbs clearly has this race targeted. Meleys rounds out a logical show play in exotics, especially if the top two runners run each other down.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

6:38 PM EDT

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

The morning line says Stel an Eagle, but TrackWiz analysis flips the script — This Eagle Can Rock owns the top rating in a 300-yard allowance that features a genuine pace clash at the break.

win1This Eagle Can RockML 6/1

This Eagle Can Rock (1) is sitting at 6/1 on the morning line yet leads all entrants with a TrackWiz rating of 82.71 — that's a significant disconnect between the public price and our model. What seals the value case is a 25% career win rate, meaning this horse has already proven it can get to the wire first. Trainer Tyler Stein and jockey Angel O. Ramirez team up from post 1, putting them in perfect position to dictate pace in a race that's decided in under 15 seconds.

place5Stel an EagleML 9/5

Stel an Eagle (5) is the 9/5 morning-line chalk and carries a gaudy 33% career win rate — the best in the field on that metric. Trainer Briannah McDaniel has this one primed, and Kody Kellenberger knows how to get horses out of the gate quickly. Even if our top pick beats her home, Stel an Eagle's consistency makes her a reliable place-ticket anchor.

show4Bp AprilML 8/1

Bp April (4) at 8/1 brings a modest 6% career win rate, but trainer Haley N. Hobbs is active on this card and clearly dialed in at Canterbury. With a TrackWiz rating of 51.13, she slots in just a tick above Stel an Eagle in the ratings — close enough that a clean break could land her in the money. Worth including in trifecta coverage as a live longer-priced show option.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

The free portion of today's card lives entirely in the quarter horse sprint zone — Races 1, 2, and 3 — and that's actually a clean, focused sample to work with. These short-format races are all about gate speed and reaction time, and on a warm, dry day with a fast dirt surface, horses that break cleanly should get every advantage. Our top pick in Race 1, Superona (9/5 morning line, TrackWiz rating 78.03), sets the baseline, but Race 2 is where casual bettors should pay attention: This Eagle Can Rock opens at 6/1 in an Allowance sprint and carries our highest rating of the free races at 82.71 — that's a meaningful gap from the morning line and a legitimate value spot worth circling. Race 3 gives us Thirty Four Below (9/5) with an 88.83 rating, the strongest number of any free-race pick on the card.

The through-line across all three? First-jump quickness matters enormously at 250 and 300 yards — there's no room to recover from a bad start. TrackWiz analysis weights that heavily in the ratings above, so trust the numbers when the distance is this short.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

7:06 PM EDT

Maiden · 250 yd · Dirt

Thirty Four Below dominates this maiden 250-yard sprint on paper, but Cyber Security and Kvnferrarigirl give it enough depth that the exotics could pay nicely with the right combination.

win1Thirty Four BelowML 9/5

Thirty Four Below (1) owns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 88.83 — head and shoulders above anyone else in the gate. Trainer Haley N. Hobbs is having a field day on this card, sending out multiple contenders, and Fernando Fonseca-Soto handles the riding duties from the rail. The 9/5 morning line is fair for a maiden sprint where a 23-point ratings gap over the second-best horse is about as clear an edge as you'll find.

place5Cyber SecurityML 8/5

Cyber Security (5) drew the 8/5 morning line, which makes her the public's pick to beat, and a 65.70 TrackWiz rating backs up that respect. Kelsi Harr rides for trainer Victor Hanson, and from post 5 she'll need a clean break to avoid traffic. If Thirty Four Below falters at all off the gate, Cyber Security is right there to steal the place spot.

show6KvnferrarigirlML 7/2

Kvnferrarigirl (6) is listed at 7/2 on the morning line and rates third in the field at 62.53 — tight enough to Cyber Security to make this a real show-position battle. John Jude gets the mount for trainer Mark M. Wilson, and the outside post in a short sprint can sometimes be a blessing if the inside horses get tangled early. Good show-ticket inclusion in trifecta wheels.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

7:36 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A maiden claiming sprint at 7 furlongs that splits cleanly into a top tier and the rest — Alltail and Not Today Boss rate dramatically above the field and this looks like a two-horse show for win consideration.

win4AlltailML 8/5

Alltail (4) sits atop this field with a TrackWiz rating of 89.12 — the highest mark in the race — while posting an average speed figure of 52. Trainer Edgar Espinoza puts Constantino Roman in the irons, a pairing worth watching, and the 8/5 morning line makes Alltail the slight public choice over a crowded top tier. At seven furlongs, pace scenario matters, and Alltail's ratings profile suggests a horse that can sustain speed over the added distance even at the maiden claiming level.

place5Not Today BossML 9/5

Not Today Boss (5) is right on Alltail's heels with an 80.80 rating and matching average speed figure of 52, yet opens at 9/5 on the morning line. Trainer Lynn Rarick sends this one out with John Jude aboard, and the identical speed figures to the top pick means this is genuinely close at the top. If there's any trouble for Alltail, Not Today Boss is ready to capitalize and should be on every place ticket.

show3Heavenly TacticML 2/1

Heavenly Tactic (3) at 2/1 actually posts the best average speed figure in the field at 53, which is worth noting even as the third pick. Trainer McLean Robertson is a familiar presence at Canterbury, and Carlos Joan Ulloa rides. If the pace up front between the top two sets them up for a collapse late, Heavenly Tactic has the speed numbers to swoosh past a tired winner.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 5

8:20 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A one-mile turf claiming race that shapes up as a true three-horse battle — Shotgun Runner's top rating clashes with Crew Dragon's strong speed figure advantage and Brit Blitz's solid win percentage for a race that could go several ways.

win3Shotgun RunnerML 2/1

Shotgun Runner (3) leads all entrants with a TrackWiz rating of 88.54 and pairs that with a 14% career win rate — one of the better marks in this field. Trainer Coty W. Rosin puts Eduardo Gallardo up from post 3, a clean draw on the turf that avoids early trouble. At 2/1 on the morning line, the price is fair, and the combination of top rating plus meaningful win percentage at this class level makes Shotgun Runner our strongest play on the card today.

place2Crew DragonML 9/5

Crew Dragon (2) opens as the 9/5 morning-line favorite despite a 4% career win rate — the price reflects connections and recent form rather than historical consistency. What stands out is an average speed figure of 55, the highest in the field, suggesting this horse finds another gear when the pace gets honest over a mile. Trainer Jose Silva, Jr. runs two horses in this race, and Crew Dragon is clearly the stable's main hope with Luis A. Fuentes in the irons.

show4Brit BlitzML 5/1

Brit Blitz (4) at 5/1 brings a 12% career win rate and a 54 average speed figure — numbers that put him right in the thick of the middle tier. Trainer Joel Berndt and Constantino Roman team up here, and from post 4 on the turf, Brit Blitz can draft in behind the pace and make a sustained move in the final quarter-mile. A value show play for exotic tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 6

8:36 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Make It Happen is a class act in this allowance field with a 25% career win rate to match the top TrackWiz rating, but Ye Ole Joker and Vali Vali Val make this a race where the exotics could be generous.

win3Make It HappenML 2/1

Make It Happen (3) checks every box — top TrackWiz rating of 88.54, a 25% career win rate that leads the field outright, and an average speed figure of 54 backed by consistent output. Trainer Tony Rengstorf sends Eduardo Gallardo out from post 3, a comfortable mid-pack draw at 5.5 furlongs. The 2/1 morning line is the shortest price of the top three picks in this race, and honestly, it's deserved — this horse has the résumé to back it up.

place2Ye Ole JokerML 9/5

Ye Ole Joker (2) comes in at 9/5 as the public's choice and backs it up with a 79.98 TrackWiz rating and a 14% career win rate. Trainer McLean Robertson has multiple runners on today's card, and Jose Riquelme handles the riding from post 2 — a terrific position to save ground in a sprint. Ye Ole Joker's slightly lower speed figure of 54 matches several others, so this race could come down to tactical placement, which favors the inside draw.

show1Vali Vali ValML 9/2

Vali Vali Val (1) at 9/2 brings a 70.14 rating and the highest average speed figure in the field at 55, plus a 14% career win rate. Trainer Tim P. Padilla and Constantino Roman from the rail could mean controlling pace or pressing it — either way, a horse with the top speed figure number that opens as a near-longshot at 9/2 warrants show consideration in the trifecta. If the favorites run into each other, Vali Vali Val is set up to collect a piece.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 7

9:06 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Turf

A one-mile turf maiden special weight where TrackWiz analysis upends the morning line — English Icon rates ahead of morning-line favorite Fleet Brotato, setting up a potential overlay situation at 9/2.

win4English IconML 9/2

English Icon (4) carries a TrackWiz rating of 84.90 — second only to Fleet Brotato in raw rating but positioned at 9/2 on the morning line, compared to the 2/1 chalk. Trainer Valorie Lund puts Luis A. Fuentes up from post 4, a clean draw that allows the horse to settle comfortably on a one-mile turf trip. For maiden special weight horses, which haven't proven themselves in a race yet, paying a premium for the 2/1 favorite when a horse rated nearly as highly is available at more than twice the price is tough to justify.

place2Fleet BrotatoML 2/1

Fleet Brotato (2) is the 2/1 morning-line favorite and owns a solid 80.43 TrackWiz rating to back that status up. Trainer Esteban Martinez sends this one out with Jermaine V. Bridgmohan, and post 2 on the turf is premium real estate. Even as our place pick rather than the top choice, Fleet Brotato is a very live horse and should be on every exacta ticket — the gap between our top two picks is narrow enough that a small pace advantage could flip the order.

show5Southgate GatorML 3/1

Southgate Gator (5) opens at 3/1 with a 60.06 rating and an average speed figure of 53 matching several others in the field. Trainer Michael E. Biehler sends Jose Riquelme out from post 5, where a turf horse can find a comfortable spot just off the leaders and pounce late on a one-turn mile. Third in the ratings and third on the morning line — the consistency there makes Southgate Gator a logical show play to round out the trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

9:36 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A seven-furlong dirt claiming race with a genuine upset angle — Vesper Chicks owns the top TrackWiz rating and leads on average speed figures, yet opens at 4/1 while the morning line loads up on horses rated significantly lower.

win6Vesper ChicksML 4/1

Vesper Chicks (6) is the standout play in this race with a TrackWiz rating of 85.62, the top mark in the field, and the highest average speed figure at 56 — a full point above most of the competition. Trainer Tim P. Padilla and jockey Alonso Quinonez team up here, and despite closing at 4/1 on the morning line, our analysis points to this horse as the clear class of the field. A 14% career win rate in claiming company is respectable, and at seven furlongs, the best speed figure tends to shine down the lane.

place3Our Best SongML 5/2

Our Best Song (3) makes a compelling place case with a 74.36 rating and the best career win rate in this field at 20%. Trainer Valorie Lund and Eduardo Gallardo have a credible shot from post 3 at 5/2 on the morning line, and matching average speed figures of 54 with most of the field means this race will likely be decided by late kick rather than early position. A horse who wins one in five career starts and has posted consistent speed figures belongs on place tickets.

show1Everything Bugs MeML 2/1

Everything Bugs Me (1) opens as the 2/1 morning-line favorite despite a lower TrackWiz rating of 63.20 than both our top picks — the market is perhaps overreacting to something in the recent past performance line. That said, a 14% career win rate and 54 average speed figure keep this horse very much in the mix for the show spot. Trainer McLean Robertson and Jermaine V. Bridgmohan from the rail could secure the lead early and force the rest to come get them, which in a 7-furlong dirt race is a real advantage.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

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Bottom line: This Eagle Can Rock at 6/1 in Race 2 is the standout value play in the free races, and Thirty Four Below enters Race 3 as the highest-rated free pick on the card. For the full picture across all eight races — pace projections, exotic plays, and our best bets in premium races — the complete TrackWiz breakdown is available to subscribers. Good luck out there, and may the gate break your way.

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