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Belterra Park Picks & Predictions — September 23, 2026

September 23, 20268 racesAll Belterra Park picks

This card ran on September 23, 2026.

Best bets at Belterra Park, September 23, 2026

Race 14Champagne On IceML 5/112:35 PM EDT

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Belterra Park is running eight races on a cloudy Wednesday afternoon with temperatures sitting right around 65°F — comfortable weather for both horses and horseplayers. The cool, overcast conditions should keep the dirt track playing honest, and with two turf sprints sprinkled into the card, there's plenty of variety to work with today.

The card leans heavily on claiming company, which means pace scenarios and class-level moves are going to be the story all afternoon. We've got three free race analyses for everyone, plus a full premium breakdown covering the back half of the card where things get really interesting. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:35 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

The morning line favorite gets overbet here, creating a real opportunity for the top-rated closer to steal the show at a mile on the dirt.

win4Champagne On IceML 5/1

Champagne On Ice tops our TrackWiz ratings at 84.17 — a clear edge in this claiming field — and comes in at a juicy 5/1 morning line despite that edge. Trainer Larry E. Smith sends her out with jockey Yarmarie L. Correa, a strong combination. The 15% career win rate is respectable for this level, and her profile screams class advantage over much of this field at a flat mile.

place2Wave SkipperML 2/1

Wave Skipper owns the top morning line at 2/1 and carries a solid 79.41 TrackWiz rating, making her a legitimate contender for the exacta. The 15% career win rate mirrors Champagne On Ice's, but the lower average speed figure suggests she may settle for second best here. John McKee gets the call and knows this track well — expect her to be in the mix at every call.

show1Spring SpinningML 7/2

Spring Spinning at 7/2 slots in nicely as a third option to anchor your trifecta. Her TrackWiz rating of 66.79 puts her solidly mid-pack, and Rafael Mojica, Jr. gives this barn a live rider. With dual Alvarez runners in the race, it's worth noting that trainer Yimi Alvarez could be playing a numbers game — Spring Spinning profiles as the better of the barn's two entries based on our ratings.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

1:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A dominant top-rated horse faces a thinly credentialed field, but the second choice brings enough quality to make the exacta interesting.

win4Bishops CleeveML 7/5

Bishops Cleeve is the standout of the entire card through the early going — a 89.42 TrackWiz rating towers over every other horse in this race. The 7/5 morning line reflects that dominance, and at 16% career wins, he's consistently competitive. With Santiago Gonzalez up and trainer William E. Morey sending him out sharp, this is the kind of horse you build your ticket around.

place5Paved in GoldML 8/5

Paved in Gold at 8/5 is the public's second choice, and TrackWiz agrees she belongs in the exacta at 64.12. Guillermo Rodriguez has the mount for trainer Nancy L. Adams, who knows how to place her horses. The 5% career win rate is modest, but in a race where the top horse figures to clear, second place is very much in play here.

show1Unusual ActivityML 4/1

Unusual Activity at 4/1 gives you a live show option with a 54.91 rating — enough to sneak into the trifecta in what is otherwise a thin field below the top two. The 4/1 price is workable for vertical exotics. Trainer Marcelino Salas keeps her spotted at a mile on the dirt, and Kevin J. Jimenez has shown patience on this oval.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Our free coverage kicks off with three races that each have a clear TrackWiz top pick worth knowing about. Champagne On Ice opens the card at 5/1 morning line in the first — that's an overlay price if our rating of 84.17 holds up under scrutiny. Race 2 is the one casual bettors will want to circle: Bishops Cleeve carries a 7/5 morning line and our highest rating among the free races at 89.42, making him the most straightforward play of the first half of the card. Then Race 3 flips us over to the turf for a 5-furlong sprint, where Chanticleer at 2/1 brings an 88.54 rating and figures to be ideally suited to the distance and surface.

With two dirt routes and a turf sprint covered in the free tier, you're getting a real cross-section of today's card before you spend a dime. The cooler temperatures should keep the turf firm and playing to speed — something to keep in mind when assessing Chanticleer's chances in Race 3.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:35 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

Five furlongs on the turf with a clear class standout, but a trio of legitimate challengers bunched in the ratings makes the underneath exotics genuinely enticing.

win7ChanticleerML 2/1

Chanticleer checks all the boxes at 88.54 on the TrackWiz scale — best in field by a meaningful margin — and the 56 average speed figure leads the entire field on this turf sprint. Trainer Anthony J. Granitz puts Guillermo Rodriguez up, and at 2/1 on the morning line, the price isn't fat but the credentials are real. A 9% career win rate may look modest, but speed figures and ratings tell the better story here.

place4FractureML 5/2

Fracture at 5/2 is the natural exacta partner with a 75.28 rating and a 54 average speed figure that keeps her in range of the top pick. Trainer Daniel Leitch sends her out with Yarmarie L. Correa, who has been among the busier jockeys on this card. At 10% career wins, she's competitive without being flashy — exactly the kind of place horse that pays a fair price.

show5PeripoliML 4/1

Peripoli rounds out the trifecta at 4/1, sitting at 71.57 on our scale and posting the highest average speed figure in the field at 55. The 12% career win rate is solid for a turf sprinter at this level. Trainer Timothy E. Hamm has her positioned to run, and Laureano Sosa can get her into a good spot off the break in a short five-furlong dash.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

2:05 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Kevin Fletcher saddles two runners in this allowance sprint, and his top one looks like a legit 2/1 shot — but the barn's second entry and a lightly-raced closer keep the underneath interesting.

win4City BlazeML 2/1

City Blaze posts an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — tied for the highest mark on the entire card today — and goes in at a sensible 2/1 for trainer Kevin Fletcher. Yarmarie L. Correa rides, and the 12% career win rate is backed by a 54 average speed figure, best in this field. At 5.5 furlongs on the dirt, pace will be fast and City Blaze figures to have enough early foot to grab a commanding position.

place7BeachglassML 5/2

Beachglass sits at 80.09 on our ratings and represents genuine value in the exacta at 5/2 on the morning line. Trainer Timothy E. Hamm sends Laureano Sosa up, and the 12% career win rate matches City Blaze's — this is a capable filly who just ran into a buzz saw. A strong pace from the top picks could set up a closing effort from Beachglass.

show6Moody RiverML 3/1

Moody River at 3/1 brings a 58.87 rating and a 54 average speed figure, putting her in range of the top two. Rafael Mojica, Jr. handles the riding duties for trainer Rebecca Johnston. The 8% career win rate is modest, but at a short sprint distance where pace matters enormously, she's a legitimate show hedge and could find herself in the thick of it late.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

2:35 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

This allowance optional claimer on the turf mile is a wide-open affair with ratings clustered tightly — no dominant standout, which makes underliers like the 8/1 shot particularly interesting.

win5Gigi's WorldML 3/1

Gigi's World leads our TrackWiz ratings in this field at 72.93 and goes as a co-morning-line choice at 3/1. Trainer Michael Evans II sends Rolando Aragon up on a horse that sports a 13% career win rate at a mile on the turf. The 53 average speed figure is right in the heart of this competitive pack, and her profile as a consistent type in this conditions race makes her the most reliable win option.

place1Here's the SpiderML 8/1

Here's the Spider at 8/1 is a legitimate value play for the exacta — an 18% career win rate is among the best in the field, and the 58.25 TrackWiz rating keeps her well within striking range. Trainer Edward Fernandez sends Gabriel Lagunes up, and at a mile on the turf, horses with winning habits tend to show up late in the running. The double-digit morning line feels a tick too high for her credentials.

show4Ask AmandaML 5/2

Ask Amanda at 5/2 carries a 22% career win rate — excellent for this class level — and a 57.99 rating that puts her squarely in contention for the trifecta. Trainer Jerry Antonuik has Jann N. Hernandez aboard, a reliable combination. She won't overpower this field, but her consistency and strong win percentage make her a safe show bet in a race where several horses could run into each other.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 6

3:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A top-rated horse sits on the outside of a wide-open claiming mile where double-digit win percentages are scattered throughout — pace could be fierce and the closer profile has real appeal.

win1GarrinchaML 5/2

Garrincha tops our TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 and comes in at a reasonable 5/2, which means the market is starting to catch up to what the numbers have been saying. A 20% career win rate is among the strongest on today's full card, and Guillermo Rodriguez has been reliable aboard horses of this caliber. Trainer Gerard Ochoa places this one at the right spot at a flat mile on the dirt.

place7Dynamite KarmaML 5/1

Dynamite Karma at 5/1 is a fascinating exacta option — she rates 83.61 on our scale and carries a 29% career win rate, a figure that demands respect. Trainer Leandro Moreno-Barban puts Yarmarie L. Correa up, a strong combination. She's priced more generously than her numbers suggest, which means value in the exacta if Garrincha wins as expected.

show5People ForceML 9/2

People Force at 9/2 brings a 74.34 rating and a 21% career win rate — both of which stand out in the lower half of this field. John McKee gets the mount for trainer Kenny Jansen, and the 52 average speed figure suggests she'll be running on late. At nearly 5/1, she's an attractive trifecta anchor and could easily outrun her position at the top of the stretch.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 7

3:35 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

A five-furlong turf sprint featuring a legitimate top pick at a fair price, but the real story is a pair of price horses lurking underneath with intriguing TrackWiz ratings that don't match their morning lines.

win6I'll Stop TalkingML 7/2

I'll Stop Talking leads the field with a 79.32 TrackWiz rating and the top average speed figure at 56 — a clear edge in a five-furlong turf sprint where early foot is everything. The 7/2 morning line is fair, and Brooke Bays rides for trainer Marianne Manning. A 11% career win rate is respectable in turf sprint company, and if she breaks cleanly and controls the early fractions, she's tough to catch.

place9GaleneML 12/1

Galene is the most interesting ticket in this race at 12/1 — she rates 73.96 on our scale despite drawing a massive double-digit morning line. Trainer Justin Wojczynski sends Yarmarie L. Correa up, and her 56 average speed figure ties I'll Stop Talking for best in field. A 7% career win rate looks low, but speed figure support at 12/1 screams value in the exacta and trifecta.

show8Girls Knicks NowML 15/1

Girls Knicks Now at 15/1 is a genuine longshot show dart — the 69.23 rating is genuinely mid-field, a number that doesn't scream 15/1 at all. Santiago Gonzalez takes the mount for trainer Charles Davis, Jr., and at five furlongs, post position and pace setup matter enormously. If she gets a ground-saving trip from post 8, the trifecta payout could be significant.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 8

4:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

The nightcap is a nine-horse claiming mile where the top pick sits at 6/1 despite our ratings strongly supporting her — making this the best potential value play of the entire card.

win7Race Day RebalML 6/1

Race Day Rebal at 6/1 is our TrackWiz top pick for the finale, and the 82.71 rating makes the morning line look generous. Trainer Nancy L. Adams has a knack for placing horses in spots where they can win, and Yarmarie L. Correa's presence in the irons provides a reliable hand. A 12% career win rate doesn't blow you away, but when the ratings gap this large, the price tells you where the real value lies.

place4PatronageML 9/2

Patronage checks in at 77.62 on our scale — second-best in this nine-horse field — and brings a 17% career win rate that suggests she hits the board with regularity. Trainer Esteban Gordillo sends Andres P. Ulloa up, and at 9/2, the exacta with Race Day Rebal has a very playable expected value. Her 53 average speed figure should keep her near the pace at a flat mile.

show2Royally BitterML 8/1

Royally Bitter at 8/1 is an appealing trifecta closer with a 67.52 rating and a standout 20% career win rate — the kind of horse that shows up on the board more than bettors expect at a price. Kevin J. Jimenez has the call for trainer Douglas W. Danner, and her 53 average speed figure is right in range of the top two picks. At 8/1 for a show bet, this is a smart ticket-rounding play in the nightcap.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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Bottom line: Bishops Cleeve is the most confident play on the free tier, Chanticleer is the best value on the turf side of things, and Race Day Rebal is a name to know if you're chasing a longshot score late in the card. For pace projections, exotic tickets, and the complete Race 4 through 8 analysis, the full breakdown is waiting for TrackWiz subscribers — check out our plans at /pricing if you want in on the whole card. Good luck out there.

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