Belterra Park Picks & Predictions — August 7, 2026

Workin the Room rates second in the field at 66.27 and posts a 54 average speed figure that matches the top horses in the race. Trainer Larry E. Smith sends her out with Guillermo Rodriguez aboard at 5/2 on the morning line — the second-lowest price in the field, which tells you the public has spotted this one too. She's a natural place ticket underneath Modern Miss and a key in exactas.

Vanessa's Wish rates 65.85 — nearly identical to Workin the Room — and her 54 average speed figure is equally strong. The difference between the second and third picks here is razor-thin on the numbers, which makes Vanessa's Wish an interesting show play at 3/1. Trainer Pablo Andrade has Cesar Diaz up, and with three horses bunched in the 54 speed figure range, the exacta and trifecta underneath Modern Miss could offer solid value.

Queen Ellen rates third in the field at 55.00 and is one of the more interesting horses in this race at 4/1 on the morning line. Trainer John Alexander Ortiz puts Luke Hoskins up, and on a maiden turf sprint where past performance can be thin, a horse sitting near the top of our model is a valuable place piece. She's our spot play underneath Chestnut Queen in the exacta.

Empress of Edo comes in at 53.33 on our model, just below Queen Ellen, and goes at 5/1 with Yarmarie L. Correa aboard for trainer Timothy E. Hamm — the same barn as our top pick. Stablemates in the same race can complicate things, but Empress of Edo's rating and reasonable morning line make her a legitimate show play. In a wide-open maiden turf sprint, sprinkling her into a trifecta box is a sensible move.

Fly Commander is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 but rates second in our model at 67.77 — a gap of about 19 points behind Freedom Empire. His average speed figure of 54 matches our top pick, and an 8% career win rate reflects consistency rather than dominance. Guillermo Rodriguez is a capable pilot, and if Freedom Empire fades or gets shuffled in traffic, Fly Commander has the profile to grab a piece.

Stay Frosty is worth a strong look as a show play and potential value dart at 10/1. His TrackWiz rating of 65.5 actually slots him third in the field — above the morning-line favorite's backing if you look purely at the numbers. Trainer Inocencio Quezada runs two horses in this race, which sometimes signals a barn rolling hot, and a 55 average speed figure is the highest in this field. At double-digit odds for a horse with real figures, he's exactly the type to dust for exotics.

Here's where this race gets really interesting: Divvy rates second in our model at 68.82 and carries a 25% career win rate — yet she's going postward at 10/1. That's a significant disconnect between our model and the morning line, and it's the kind of spot that can pay handsomely in exactas. Oscar Villarreal takes the mount for trainer Luis A. Jurado, and with a 54 average speed figure that matches our top pick, Divvy is our value play of the race.

Savannamarie rates third on our model at 60.96 and posts a 21% career win rate — well above average for this level. Trainer Nery Alvarez also runs Q Bond in this race, but Savannamarie is clearly the barn's better horse by rating. Cesar Diaz is in the irons at 5/1, and while she may not threaten Ziggzappa straight up, she has the profile to fill out the trifecta in a race where the second and third slots could open up.

I'm Him brings a 30% career win rate to this field — by far the highest win percentage of any horse in the race. Trainer Kevin Fletcher puts Guillermo Rodriguez up at 7/2, and his 74.02 TrackWiz rating slots him second in our model. A horse who has won nearly a third of his career starts doesn't need much to go right — if he's anywhere near his best, he's a major threat to hit the board and a logical exacta partner with National Story.

Chief Buckeye rates third in our model at 69.60 and shares a trainer with our top pick National Story — Ramon Salcedo doubles up here. His 22% career win rate is the second-best in the field, and at 12/1 on the morning line, he's a live longshot to hit the show spot. Frank Reyes is an experienced pilot, and in a 5½-furlong sprint where pace can get hot, a horse with those win numbers finishing from off the pace could sneak into the exotics.

Discombobulaator rates second in our model at 70.24 and brings a 21% career win rate that puts him among the more accomplished horses in this field. Santiago Gonzalez rides for trainer Eduardo Caramori at 7/2 — the second-lowest morning line in the race. His average speed figure of 53 and win percentage both support his chances of filling the place spot, and in an 11-horse field, a horse with a 21% career win rate deserves respect to run into the money.

Game Point rates third on our model at 60.49 and posts an 18% career win rate, matching Stolen Power for that mark but with a higher rating. Dylan Machado gets the call for trainer Matthew P. Sims at 6/1, and a 54 average speed figure gives him the back-end kick that suits a 1 1/16-mile turf race. In a deep allowance field where the top horses draw attention, Game Point at fair odds to show is a reasonable ticket filler in the trifecta.