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Belterra Park Picks & Predictions — July 17, 2026

July 17, 20268 racesAll Belterra Park picks

This card ran on July 17, 2026.

Best bets at Belterra Park, July 17, 2026

Race 13Miss ClarkeML 9/212:35 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 6 races are for members.

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It's a warm Friday afternoon at Belterra Park — partly cloudy skies and 86°F temperatures mean the dirt should be playing fast and the turf course figures to be firm and receptive. Eight races are on tap, and this card has plenty to dig into.

The headline is a stakes-heavy afternoon with four black-type events spread across both surfaces, including a pair of 5½-furlong dirt dashes and two turf routes going 1 1/16 miles. Speed figures will matter everywhere today, but pace scenario is going to be the real separator — especially in those shorter sprints where early position is everything.

Three races are open to all TrackWiz readers, and we've got a full-card breakdown locked in for subscribers. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:35 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

The morning line favorite isn't the TrackWiz top-rated horse in this 6-furlong allowance opener — there's a real pricing inefficiency to exploit, with two horses rated above 80 sitting at generous odds.

win3Miss ClarkeML 9/2

Miss Clarke carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 84.9 and comes in at a very playable 9/2 on the morning line — that's the kind of overlay we love. Rolando Aragon gets the call, and with an average speed figure of 55 matching the field's top end, she has the raw ability to outrun her odds. A 16% career win rate isn't flashy, but in an allowance spot where pace and positioning matter, her profile fits the distance well. Trainer Michael Evans II puts her in a spot where the rating advantage is significant, and we're not going to let 9/2 go to waste.

place5Code of ValorML 9/5

Code of Valor is the morning line favorite at 9/5 for a reason — trainer Frank Lucarelli sends her out with a solid 25% career win rate and a TrackWiz rating of 80.65 that confirms she belongs near the top of this field. Jockey Yarmarie L. Correa is a name you'll see throughout today's card, and that book of business speaks to her reliability in competitive spots. Even if Miss Clarke gets up to win, Code of Valor's speed figure and win percentage make her a strong candidate to hit the board.

show1Bermuda CayML 3/1

Bermuda Cay is impossible to ignore at 3/1 despite sitting third in our ratings — that 40% career win rate is the best in the field by a wide margin, and Jimmy Corrigan's horses tend to be well-prepared. She matches the field's top average speed figure at 55, and with Jane Elliott aboard, she has a capable pilot to get her placed. For exotic players, she's a must-use underneath.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

1:05 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claimer with a full field of winless horses, but two standouts at the top of the ratings separate themselves meaningfully from a muddled middle pack.

win7RosenvoldML 2/1

Rosenvold sits atop the TrackWiz ratings at 88.54 — the highest number in this entire field — and trainer Michael Evans II is having a strong book of business on this card. The 2/1 morning line reflects some market respect, but that rating gap over the rest of the field is significant enough to make her the most confident selection of the first two races. An average speed figure of 55 leads all runners in Race 2, and with Rolando Aragon guiding her, there's a reliable partnership in the irons.

place1Modern MissML 3/1

Modern Miss is basically a coin flip with Rosenvold at the top of the ratings — her 86.22 figure is only a couple ticks behind the top pick, and trainer Jerry Antonuik sends her out at 3/1 with Yarmarie L. Correa aboard. In a maiden field where no one has broken their maiden yet, that rating proximity makes her a legitimate threat to get up for a piece, even if she can't quite catch Rosenvold.

show3Luck of the DayML 9/2

Luck of the Day at 9/2 has a 61.94 TrackWiz rating that's notably clear of the lower half of this field, and trainer Yoni R. Orantes keeps her at a reasonable price. With Keyner Zonett in the irons and an average speed figure matching the field's middle cluster, she's a solid exotics piece in a race where third place could be messy to sort out.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Our three free-preview races give you a strong starting point for the afternoon. Miss Clarke opens the card in Race 1's six-furlong allowance at a 9/2 morning line — she's our top-rated play there and represents real value if the market doesn't compress her price too much at post time. Race 2 brings Rosenvold in the maiden claiming sprint, where he carries our highest free-race rating (88.54) and goes off as the 2/1 morning line favorite — a number that looks fair rather than generous, so watch for value in the exotics underneath him. Then in Race 3, Scioto stretches out to a mile in the allowance, where our models show her rating matching Miss Clarke's — suggesting the longer distance suits her profile and the pace scenario could set up perfectly for a presser.

One thing to watch across all three free races: the dirt surface figures to reward horses with early speed or at least the ability to track a fast pace without burning themselves out. Don't sleep on pace shape when building your tickets today.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:35 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi · Dirt

Two horses — Scioto and Sammy's Halo — have clearly separated themselves from the rest of this 1-mile allowance field on ratings, setting up what could be a two-horse battle with the rest running for the show spot.

win2SciotoML 9/2

Scioto checks multiple boxes here: an 84.9 TrackWiz rating, a 20% career win rate, and a trainer-jockey combination (Robert C. Cline/Yarmarie L. Correa) that carries plenty of credibility throughout today's card. The 9/2 morning line is fair value for a horse this strong on ratings, especially stretching to a mile where pace management matters and Correa is very capable of rating a horse off the pace. At a route trip, that experience edge is meaningful.

place5Sammy's HaloML 5/2

Sammy's Halo is the morning line second choice at 5/2, and a TrackWiz rating of 83.1 confirms that price is deserved. Erik Barbaran has a solid book of mounts today, and the 8% career win rate might seem modest — but in an allowance mile with a manageable pace scenario, closers tend to get their best shots. He's a natural place horse if Scioto does the work up front.

show1RingthatbellML 8/1

Ringthatbell is the longshot value angle in the show spot at 8/1 — a TrackWiz rating of 70.5 puts him clearly in the conversation for the board, and trainer Robert C. Cline is comfortable running horses at this level. For exotic players, the 8/1 morning line makes him a compelling third wheel in exactas and trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

2:05 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

The stakes go to the turf for 1 1/16 miles, and one horse's stats jump off the page — a 57% career win rate in a stakes field is the kind of number that makes you stop scrolling and take notice.

win7Rogues a PlottingML 2/1

Rogues a Plotting is the most dominant profile in today's entire stakes lineup — a 57% career win rate is genuinely elite for any level of competition, and a TrackWiz rating of 88.54 leads all seven entrants. The 2/1 morning line is on the short side, but when you back it up with an average speed figure of 54 and trainer Michael L. Rone sending him to the turf at 1 1/16 miles, the case is hard to argue with. Luis Raul Rivera is a capable pilot on this surface.

place2Valiant StrikeML 5/1

Valiant Strike brings a solid 83.33 rating and a 14% career win rate in what is a quality stakes spot — Robert C. Cline is a familiar name on this card and clearly fits horses well for this level. At 5/1 on the morning line, there's genuine value if Rogues a Plotting gets beat, and Victor R. Fernandez is a reliable hand for a turf route.

show1BosabrotherML 9/2

Bosabrother at 9/2 is a legitimate show play — a 22% career win rate is the second-highest in this stakes field, and trainer Jennifer Tooley keeps him competitive. His 70.72 TrackWiz rating suggests he won't embarrass himself in stakes company, and Jose A. Bracho can get him into position early in a 1 1/16-mile turf race where pace tends to be more controlled.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

2:35 PM EDT

Stakes · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A juvenile-flavored sprint stakes with several horses showing 100% win rates — these are likely lightly raced youngsters, and the handicapping comes down to who has the best raw ability and connections to take the step up.

win4Book ValueML 8/5

Book Value gets the nod as our top pick at 8/5, leading all starters with a 59 TrackWiz rating and an average speed figure of 55 that matches the field's best. Trainer Robert M. Gorham has three horses in this race, which signals major stable confidence in this spot, and Erik Barbaran is his jockey of choice — that's usually a telling selection when a barn loads up. The morning line favorite tag is earned, and the 100% career win rate keeps the pressure on the field to beat her.

place5Battle ReadyML 3/1

Battle Ready is Gorham's second string at 3/1, and a 56.67 TrackWiz rating with a 100% win rate and a 55 average speed figure makes her a natural place play — she could easily flip the result with her stablemate. Fernando Salazar Becerra gets the call, and in a race where the pace will be fast, having two Gorham runners means the barn controls the pace scenario.

show1Just a DotML 4/1

Just a Dot at 4/1 is the most interesting non-Gorham runner — a 55 TrackWiz rating and a 100% career win rate suggests she's done nothing wrong, and trainer Justin Radosevich puts her in here with Luis Antonio Gonzalez. If the Gorham trio beats each other up on the front end, Just a Dot could pick up the pieces for a piece of the exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

3:05 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

A large field of maidens heads to the turf sprint, and one horse's TrackWiz rating stands so far above the rest that this looks like a logical single in your multirace tickets.

win10Bishops CleeveML 3/1

Bishops Cleeve carries an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — the highest in Race 6 by a significant margin — and draws a 3/1 morning line that represents solid value given the advantage she holds. Trainer William E. Morey puts Yarmarie L. Correa in the irons, and Correa has been a constant presence in the better spots throughout today's card. Her average speed figure of 54 leads this turf maiden field, and on a 5-furlong turf sprint where pace can be tricky, her profile screams 'best horse in the race.'

place3GazarML 6/1

Gazar is an interesting place play at 6/1 — a 56.36 TrackWiz rating clears most of the middle pack, and the 54 average speed figure matches Bishops Cleeve at the top of the field. Trainer Jose M. Camejo sends her out with Santiago Gonzalez, and at double-digit-adjacent odds, she's a value piece in exactas underneath the top pick.

show8Mr. ZapperML 5/1

Mr. Zapper at 5/1 has a 53.33 TrackWiz rating that puts him solidly in the conversation for the show spot in a wide field like this. Trainer Robert B. Hess, Jr. is a reputable name, and John McKee keeps the ride straightforward. For trifecta players, Mr. Zapper is a reasonable third option in a race where the show could come from anywhere outside the top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

Race 7

3:35 PM EDT

Stakes · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The second dirt sprint stakes of the night is a tight affair at the top — the ratings cluster between 45 and 58, meaning there's no dominant single horse, and pace scenario and post position could decide this one.

win10Panda ListenML 5/2

Panda Listen tops our ratings at 57.5 and draws a 5/2 morning line with trainer Brendan P. Walsh — a nationally respected name who doesn't ship horses for fun. The connection to a high-profile barn in what is an otherwise local-leaning field is a meaningful edge, and Declan Cannon is a quality jockey capable of rating a horse in a sprint. The lack of an average speed figure suggests limited public form, which makes the price even more compelling if Walsh has been pointing her toward this.

place1Major RagerML 7/2

Major Rager is the morning line second choice at 7/2, and a 55.83 TrackWiz rating keeps him right in the hunt. Gabriel Saez — one of the more accomplished jockeys in this stakes field tonight — has the call for trainer Joe Sharp, another well-regarded national name. In a competitive sprint where no single horse is dominant, the Saez-Sharp combination adds a trainer-jockey angle that's hard to dismiss.

show6MotownsnojokeML 5/1

Motownsnojoke at 5/1 has a 53.33 TrackWiz rating and a 54 average speed figure that's competitive in this field. Trainer Justin Radosevich is comfortable in sprint stakes company, and David J. Haldar can keep him organized in a crowded early pace. For exotic players, 5/1 is a workable price for a horse who fits the pace profile in a short field.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 8

4:05 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

The closing turf stakes over 1 1/16 miles features a full field of experienced runners — the ratings are tightly bunched in the 70s and high 70s at the top, making this a legitimate battle and a nice card-closer for multi-race bettors.

win9LionisticML 8/1

Lionistic leads our ratings at 79.79 with a 33% career win rate — that's a strong record for stakes-level competition — and trainer Jeffrey A. Radosevich sends him out at 8/1 on the morning line, which is excellent value for the top-rated horse. Luis Raul Rivera is a capable hand on the turf, and an average speed figure of 54 matches the upper tier of this field. Closing races often favor horses with tactical speed and reliable connections, and Lionistic checks both boxes.

place10R U EnticedML 5/1

R U Enticed is a fascinating place play — a 50% career win rate is the best in the race by a wide margin, and a 79.49 TrackWiz rating makes him functionally a coin flip with Lionistic at the top. Trainer Thomas Drury, Jr. sends him out at 5/1 with John McKee in the irons, and when a horse wins half his career starts, you respect the talent even if the rating gap is slim.

show4GoosebumpsML 6/1

Goosebumps at 6/1 has a 75.51 TrackWiz rating that sits comfortably in the top half of this competitive field, and a 22% career win rate is respectable in stakes company. Trainer Timothy E. Hamm has multiple runners on this card today, and Rocco Bowen — one of the sharper jockeys on tonight's program — gets the mount. At 6/1, he's a quality show horse and a solid trifecta piece in the nightcap.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

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Bottom line: Belterra serves up a legit stakes-packed card today, and the conditions look favorable for fast times on both surfaces. Miss Clarke, Rosenvold, and Scioto headline the free picks — but the real money opportunities are lurking in those premium stakes races, especially with a price like Lionistic available in Race 8. Don't go in blind — grab the full analysis at /pricing and play with an edge.

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