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Belterra Park Picks & Predictions — June 25, 2026

June 25, 20268 racesAll Belterra Park picks

This card ran on June 25, 2026.

Best bets at Belterra Park, June 25, 2026

Race 14WilltorunML 4/112:35 PM EDT

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It's a pleasant Thursday afternoon at Belterra Park — partly cloudy skies, 81°F, and eight races on the card to keep you busy. Conditions look cooperative for both the dirt and turf, which is good news because today's card splits nicely between the two surfaces, with a trio of one-mile turf routes tucked into the back half of the card.

The early races are sprint-heavy on the dirt — mostly claiming and maiden claiming fare — before the card shifts gears with a step up in class in Race 7, an allowance sprint that shapes up as one of the more competitive matchups of the afternoon. Eight races, a range of price points, and a few spots where the morning line looks beatable. Let's get into it.

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Race 1

12:35 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A tight three-horse battle at the top of the ratings separates this six-furlong dirt claimer from the rest of the field, with morning-line chalk Accona facing a pair of TrackWiz-rated rivals who grade out higher.

win4WilltorunML 4/1

Willtorun (4) earns the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 85.62, edging the morning-line favorite despite going off at 4/1 — that's your first overlay signal of the day. He posts the field's best average speed figure at 55 and carries an 18% career win rate that holds up respectably in this claiming company. Trainer Timothy E. Hamm sends him out at a price that doesn't reflect his numbers, and jockey Laureano Sosa figures to have him well-placed from post 4 in a short field. The pace scenario sets up nicely — if Free America and Go Collector trade early punches, Willtorun can sit just off the pace and pounce.

place1Go CollectorML 5/2

Go Collector (1) is the morning-line choice at 5/2 and backs it up with a 21% career win rate — best in the field — paired with an 84.48 TrackWiz rating. Yarmarie Correa is a reliable pilot who knows how to gun from the rail on a short six-furlong sprint, and the inside post could be a live advantage if the speed opens a lane early. He's a solid place ticket as value insurance in what figures to be a competitive finish.

show5Free AmericaML 3/1

Free America (5) matches Willtorun's 55 average speed figure and rates third in the field at 78.75, making her a legitimate show-ticket inclusion in exotics. The 3/1 morning line is fair but not exciting — her value here is as a closer or late-running type who fills out trifectas rather than tops them. Trainer William R. Helmbrecht puts her in a spot where she can run her race without pressure.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

1:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Be Kozy looms as a clear class standout on paper, but at 7/5 on the morning line, the real handicapping question is which of the two 83-plus-rated fillies can steal second and make the exotics worthwhile.

win3Be KozyML 7/5

Be Kozy (3) leads this field with a TrackWiz rating of 89.42 — more than five points clear of the next challenger — and posts the top average speed figure at 54. Trainer Larry E. Smith is a familiar name at Belterra Park, and pairing him with Yarmarie Correa in the irons gives this horse a sharp connections edge. Yes, the 7/5 morning line compresses the win-bet value, but the rating gap here is real and Be Kozy looks like the type of short price you accept when the number genuinely justifies it.

place1Sarah JaneML 2/1

Sarah Jane (1) sits at 2/1 on the morning line with an 83.80 TrackWiz rating and a solid 14% career win rate — the same mark as Be Kozy, interestingly enough. Victor Lebron draws the rail and should have options to either lead or press from the front, which in a six-furlong sprint can be a major positional advantage. She's the clear choice to fill the place slot if Be Kozy dominates, and her rating alone makes her dangerous enough that a wire-to-wire upset shouldn't be ruled out.

show5Artistic LaneyML 5/1

Artistic Laney (5) checks in at 83.57 on the TrackWiz scale — statistically nearly neck-and-neck with Sarah Jane — making her genuinely competitive for a 5/1 shot listed as the show pick. Gabriel Lagunes takes the call and she brings a 15% career win rate into a five-horse field where the top three are tightly bunched in the ratings. In trifecta plays, she's a must-use underneath given the price disparity between her rating and her odds.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Our free analysis covers Races 1 through 3 — all dirt sprints, all claiming or maiden claiming level. The pace scenarios set up similarly in each: expect contested early fractions and a premium on horses that can rate just off the speed. Willtorun (Race 1, 4/1 ML) and Bizy Dreamin (Race 3, 7/2 ML) both profile as the kind of closers who can pounce late when the front-runners start to hang.

The standout of the free card is Be Kozy in Race 2 — a 7/5 morning-line favorite who carries our highest TrackWiz rating of the free races at 89.42. Short price, yes, but the rating supports it. When a horse this sharp shows up in a straight claiming sprint at Belterra, you don't overthink it.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:35 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

No career wins in the entire field tells you everything — this five-and-a-half furlong maiden claimer on dirt is wide open, but two horses have separated themselves from the pack on TrackWiz ratings.

win4Bizy DreaminML 7/2

Bizy Dreamin (4) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 in a field where no horse has ever visited the winner's circle, which immediately makes the rating gap more meaningful. She goes off at 7/2 — a genuine overlay given she's rated more than a point and a half above Classic Tiramisu — and trainer Bruce Waltermire lands a capable rider in Rafael Mojica Jr. The average speed figure of 53 ties three others in the field, so it's the overall composite rating that does the work here. In wide-open maiden claimers, playing the top-rated horse at a fair price is exactly the right approach.

place5Classic TiramisuML 5/2

Classic Tiramisu (5) rates second in the field at 84.85 and also posts a 53 average speed figure, making her nearly interchangeable with the top pick on raw numbers. Gabriel Lagunes, a jockey who appears frequently throughout this card, takes the mount and knows the Belterra circuit well. At 5/2, she'll be heavily bet, but the solid rating makes her a lock for exotics — especially underneath Bizy Dreamin in exacta combinations.

show2E ComplicatoML 4/1

E Complicato (2) is the best of the rest here at 75.24 on the TrackWiz scale — a notable 10-point jump above the fourth-rated horse in the field. Trainer Charles A. Ciaio sends her out at 4/1, which represents real value if the top two stumble or get into traffic trouble. Oriel Chavez pilots from post 2, a workable draw in a short sprint where positioning through the first turn matters. Include her in trifecta bottoms as a price play.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 4

2:05 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

Eight maidens going a mile on the turf creates a wide-open puzzle, but TrackWiz analysis finds two horses who stand above the field in the ratings despite similar average speed figures across most of the group.

win2Modern MissML 4/1

Modern Miss (2) posts the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 85.62 — a number that stands out even more given the tight clustering of the pack. She goes at 4/1 on the morning line, which is genuine overlay territory for a horse who leads the field on our composite model. Trainer Jerry Antonuik puts Guillermo Rodriguez up, a jockey who has multiple mounts on this card and knows the Belterra turf course well. With a 53 average speed figure that matches several rivals, it's the rating gap that makes Modern Miss the clear top selection.

place4Kayleigh's KittenML 5/1

Kayleigh's Kitten (4) is the most intriguing horse on the turf all day — she posts the highest average speed figure in the field at 56, three points clear of the next-best horses. That kind of speed figure advantage on the grass, from post 4, is a meaningful edge in a maiden mile where pace can be honest. Trainer Jeffrey D. Jackson sends her out at 5/1 with Summer Pauly aboard, and at that price with the best raw speed figure in the race, she's a strong place-ticket play and an upset threat in the win spot.

show7ZivaML 6/1

Ziva (7) slots in at 71.76 on the TrackWiz scale — well back of the top two, but a clear third-best in a field that drops off sharply after her. Trainer Byron G. Hughes has her going at 6/1 with Yarmarie Correa in the saddle, a combination that's proven capable throughout today's card. In a wide-open maiden turf mile, using her in the show position of trifectas at that price is a sensible approach.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

2:35 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Alter Boy draws the lone 2/1 morning line in the field but is NOT the favorite — One for My Brother is bet down to 8/5 — setting up a classic clash between the TrackWiz top-rated horse and the public's money.

win3Alter BoyML 2/1

Alter Boy (3) leads this field with a TrackWiz rating of 88.54 and backs it up with a 25% career win rate — both marks putting him comfortably ahead of the competition on paper. He's the morning-line second choice at 2/1 despite our model grading him as the best horse in the race, which is exactly the kind of situation where TrackWiz analysis adds value. Guillermo Rodriguez is aboard for trainer Robert C. Cline, a solid combination at a fair price. The 53 average speed figure matches a couple of rivals, but the overall composite advantage is meaningful in a five-horse field.

place4One for My BrotherML 8/5

One for My Brother (4) is the 8/5 morning-line favorite and will be heavily supported, despite rating second in the field at 79.68. The 5% career win rate is a caution flag — a horse this bet-down with that win percentage historically underperforms at the windows — but the raw numbers still make him a legitimate place proposition. Yarmarie Correa takes the mount for trainer Eugene S. Vosler and figures to put him in position from post 4. He's worth including in exactas and place bets, just not necessarily on top.

show2Heavy HitterML 7/2

Heavy Hitter (2) is the show selection at 62.95 on the TrackWiz scale and draws post 2 for Gabriel Lagunes. The 7/2 morning line represents fair value for a show ticket in a race where the top two are well-separated from the pack. Trainer Haley Hester fills the exotic slots throughout this card and Heavy Hitter is the most logical third-place finisher in what looks like a chalky top-end race.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 6

3:05 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

Nine maidens on the turf at a mile is about as unpredictable as racing gets, but Ellada Fireball stands well clear of the field on TrackWiz ratings in a race where second and third could come from several horses in the 60-to-65 range.

win7Ellada FireballML 5/1

Ellada Fireball (7) leads this nine-horse maiden turf field by nearly 20 points at 84.17 on the TrackWiz scale — an unusually large gap in what's typically a muddled maiden race. The 5/1 morning line represents genuine value when you consider that rating edge, and Orlando Bocachica takes the mount for trainer Danny Werre. The 52 average speed figure is in line with the competitive cluster in this field, so it's the composite model doing the heavy lifting here. In a race this unpredictable, the horse with the biggest rating advantage is the most defensible win play.

place8DremscomtrubcseofuML 7/2

Dremscomtrubcseofu (8) checks in at 64.08 on the TrackWiz scale — second-best in the field — and draws a workable post 8 in a nine-horse turf mile where pace will develop naturally. John McKee is aboard for trainer Eric R. Reed, and the 7/2 morning line makes this horse the second choice with rational backing. A 52 average speed figure fits the competitive range of this group, and the rating advantage over Rocky World makes her a solid underneath play in trifectas.

show6Rocky WorldML 5/2

Rocky World (6) rates third in the field at 62.86 and goes at 5/2 as a well-backed contender for trainer Ed Moger Jr. with Summer Pauly in the irons. The 5/2 price is tighter than you'd want for a show pick, but the 62.86 rating is meaningfully clear of the rest of the field behind the top three. In a turf maiden where chaos is the norm, anchoring your exotic tickets with the top three rated horses is a reasonable defensive strategy.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 7

3:35 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

This six-furlong allowance features one of the card's most interesting sub-plots: Maximum Agenda carries a perfect 100% career win rate into the field, but TrackWiz rates him well below the top two horses — so how much weight do you give an unblemished record in a step-up spot?

win4BumpkinML 2/1

Bumpkin (4) leads the allowance field with a commanding 88.54 TrackWiz rating — more than 30 points clear of the third-ranked horse — and posts a 54 average speed figure tied with Mr. Redlegs for second-best in the race. The 2/1 morning line is fair and the 25% career win rate holds up well for an allowance-level horse. Guillermo Rodriguez gets the mount for trainer Shane Meyers, and in a race where only Bumpkin and Maximum Agenda rate as truly dangerous, post 4 is a clean, uncomplicated draw.

place5Maximum AgendaML 5/2

Maximum Agenda (5) enters with a 100% career win rate — he hasn't lost yet — which obviously demands respect regardless of what the model says. The 5/2 morning line reflects that perfect record, and trainer Aaron M. West has him ready with Oscar Villarreal in the saddle. The 57.50 TrackWiz rating trails Bumpkin significantly, but in allowance company, an unbeaten horse stepping up always carries an X-factor the numbers can't fully capture. He's the value play to finish right behind Bumpkin.

show1My TrooperML 4/1

My Trooper (1) slots in at 55.62 on the TrackWiz scale and brings a strong 28% career win rate — tied for the top mark in the field alongside Mr. Redlegs. Perry Wayne Ouzts takes the rail post for trainer Larry E. Smith, a trainer who has multiple horses firing on this card and clearly has his barn in form. The 4/1 price is fair for a show ticket, and in a race where the top two look set, My Trooper is the logical horse to complete trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 8

4:05 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A sprawling 13-horse maiden turf mile to close out the card — exactly the kind of race where TrackWiz ratings shine brightest, helping cut through the chaos of a massive field to identify the horses who genuinely separate from the pack.

win7Summer SoundsML 5/1

Summer Sounds (7) tops this 13-horse field at 82.93 on the TrackWiz scale, which is meaningful separation in a race with this many runners. Victor Lebron takes the mount for trainer Kelsey Danner, and the 5/1 morning line represents real value for the top-rated horse in the race — in a 13-horse field, that price can balloon even further at post time if the crowd scatters its money. The 51 average speed figure is toward the lower end of the field, but in a maiden turf mile where pace is often slow and positioning matters, the composite rating is the more reliable guide.

place1Noble CourtML 10/1

Noble Court (1) is a compelling value angle at 10/1 on the morning line — second-best rating in the field at 76.88, yet a double-digit price. Trainer Paul G. Overholt sends him from the rail with Guillermo Rodriguez, one of the most active jockeys on this card, and that rail draw in a 13-horse turf mile can be a live advantage if the pace sets up with traffic trouble outside. The 10/1 price makes him the best overlay in the race and a must-use in trifecta and superfecta combinations at minimum.

show3Dual CitizenML 6/1

Dual Citizen (3) checks in at 72.23 on the TrackWiz scale — third-best in the field — and goes at 6/1 with Rafael Mojica Jr. aboard for trainer Rebecca Johnston. The 52 average speed figure is competitive with the middle of this pack, and post 3 gives him clean early positioning in what will be a crowded turf mile. He rounds out a logical top-three sequence and is worth including in multi-horse exotic tickets at a fair price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 13 runners

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A solid eight-race card at Belterra with real opportunities across both surfaces. Our top free play is Be Kozy in Race 2, and Bumpkin in the Race 7 Allowance is the premium pick we're most confident in. For pace analysis, exotic breakdowns, and the full card, TrackWiz subscribers have everything they need. Good luck out there — and as always, bet smart.

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