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Belmont At The Big A Picks & Predictions — June 28, 2026

Sunday, June 28, 20269 racesBelmont At The Big A

Sunday racing at Belmont at the Big A comes with near-perfect conditions — partly cloudy skies and a comfortable 78°F means the turf should be riding firm and fast, and the dirt strip has no weather excuses for anyone finishing off the board. Nine races are on the menu today, split evenly between dirt and turf, with distances ranging from a quick 6-furlong sprint all the way out to a grind at 1⅛ miles.

The card has genuine variety. You've got maiden special weights for the unproven, a turf stakes for the elite sprinters, starter allowances for the battle-tested claimers moving up, and everything in between. Whether you're looking to cash a single-race win bet or construct a multi-race sequence, there's something here to work with.

TrackWiz has combed through the full field and flagged three free best bets to get you started — plus six premium breakdowns for subscribers who want the complete picture before they step to the window.

Best Bets

Race 1

5:10 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A wide-open turf claiming mile with a big ratings spread from top to bottom — the TrackWiz model identifies a clear top two but the 10-horse field creates plenty of exotic opportunity underneath.

win5Top of the TableML 9/2

Top of the Table draws the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 84.9 despite being listed at a generous 9/2 on the morning line — that's the kind of overlay angle we love in claiming company. Manuel Franco gets the call, and he's a rider who routinely maximizes turf routes at this level. The 15% career win rate looks modest on paper, but the rating advantage over this field is significant, and the mile on turf suits a horse of this profile.

place11That's FunnyML 9/5

That's Funny comes in as the morning-line favorite at 9/5 for trainer Ilkay Kantarmaci, and the 79.32 TrackWiz rating backs up that market confidence. With an 18% career win rate and Manuel Franco in the irons, this one has the tactical ability to sit close and grind. If Top of the Table falters, That's Funny is the likeliest beneficiary.

show6Miss LaoML 10/1

Miss Lao at 10/1 is the value anchor in our exotics here, rating out at 63.79 — a solid number in this field. Reylu Gutierrez is an underrated turf pilot and a 12% career win rate in a field this competitive isn't a dealbreaker. At double-digit odds, she's a worthwhile show/exotic inclusion if you're building a trifecta.

Race 2

5:48 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Dirt

A maiden special weight mile on the dirt where the TrackWiz model tilts decisively toward the top-rated longshot over the heavily bet morning-line favorite — this sets up as a classic overlay situation worth watching closely.

win1Into the UnknownML 5/1

Into the Unknown tops our ratings at 81.88 despite being installed at 5/1 on the morning line — a notable disconnect from the market, which has backed Close the Loop down to 4/5. Trainer Rachel Sells puts Christopher Elliott aboard, and in a maiden field where everyone is still seeking that first win, the rating edge matters. The one-mile distance on dirt gives experienced maidens who have been around the track a chance to show class.

place4Close the LoopML 4/5

Close the Loop is the heavy favorite for a reason — Chad C. Brown sending out a maiden at 4/5 with Manuel Franco up is a powerful trainer-jockey combo that commands respect. Brown's outfit wins with first-time starters and layoff horses at an elite clip, and a 60.0 rating with the top average speed figure (55) in the field keeps this one firmly in the picture.

show3My First DinahML 10/1

My First Dinah at 10/1 is our show play at a price — trainer Eduardo E. Jones puts Reylu Gutierrez up, and the 55.97 rating ranks third in the field. The avgSpeed of 52 is a touch lower than the top contenders, but in a maiden race where others may hit a wall, a closer profile at big odds makes sense for trifecta coverage.

Race 3

6:21 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Six furlongs of allowance optional claiming action on the dirt — the two highest-rated horses carry opposite morning-line prices, setting up a potential pace battle between front-runners who could set it up for a closer.

win4Acoustic AveML 9/2

Acoustic Ave is our top selection, rating out at 83.68 while posted at 9/2 — the second-highest morning-line price among the top three rated horses. Trainer Linda Rice has assembled a sharp operation and Ruben Silvera gets the mount. A 28% career win rate with an average speed of 55 puts this horse right in the thick of the pace scenario at six furlongs on dirt.

place1T KraftML 5/2

T Kraft is no slouch here — a 33% career win rate is the best win percentage among our top picks, and William Mott sending out a horse at 5/2 with Jose Lezcano means the connections believe they have a live one. The 81.73 rating is just a tick below Acoustic Ave, and the avgSpeed of 56 tops the field — this one figures to be prominent early and could simply take over.

show7El Grande OML 8/1

El Grande O at 8/1 is a legitimate value play with a 79.79 rating — third-best in the race. Manuel Franco is up for trainer Linda Rice, who also runs Acoustic Ave, meaning the barn has two bullets loaded. Franco won't be in the back of the pack, and the 55 avgSpeed keeps El Grande O in range of the pace. Nice trifecta filler at a price.

The first three races on the card make up today's free best bet package, and they cover real ground — a turf mile claiming opener, a dirt maiden special weight, and an allowance optional claiming sprint on the dirt. Top of the Table (R1, 9/2 morning line, TrackWiz rating 84.9) leads the way on the turf, while Into the Unknown (R2, 5/1) gives us a nice overlay angle in the maiden field — that morning line price suggests the market may be undervaluing the horse's upside. Rounding out the trio, Acoustic Ave (R3, 9/2) is our top play in the 6-furlong dirt sprint, a race where pace scenario and early position figure to be critical on this surface.

With firm turf and a dry dirt track today, horses that can settle close to a honest pace and finish strongly have a natural edge. All three free picks profile as closers or mid-pack stalkers — the kind of trip that plays well at the Big A when conditions are clean and the track isn't playing a pronounced speed bias.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:54 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A full field turf allowance going 1 1/16 miles with a pair of morning-line co-favorites and a lightly raced horse with the highest TrackWiz rating — the pace could get complicated with this many runners on the lawn.

win6Cosmic Candy GirlML 7/2

Cosmic Candy Girl tops the TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 and is postable at 7/2 — a horse that ranks first in the field while not being installed as the favorite is exactly the kind of edge we look for. Kendrick Carmouche gets the mount for trainer James T. Ryerson. With a 16% career win rate in what shapes as a pace-influenced turf route, this one rates as the class of the field and should benefit if the front end gets heated.

place5Considerate CityML 3/1

Considerate City brings a 73.87 rating and is backed down to 3/1 by the morning line — the market obviously respects this one's chances. Dylan Davis is aboard for James W. Ferraro, and in a route on the turf, a horse sitting comfortably off the pace can pounce late. The 53 avgSpeed is consistent with the field, and at 3/1, there's decent place value here.

show10TimiaML 2/1

Timia at 2/1 with Javier Castellano is the co-favorite that slots in as our show selection — the market pricing makes the win overlay less attractive but the place/show value is still there. A 72.22 rating and 10% career win rate reflect a horse that hits the board regularly without always winning, which is exactly what you want from a show pick. Castellano won't let this one go cold.

Race 5

7:27 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Turf

A sprawling 16-horse field in a six-furlong turf allowance — with this many runners on a short turf course, pace and position will be crucial, and our model finds value well off the morning-line chalk.

win3Disco StarML 6/1

Disco Star earns the top TrackWiz rating in a massive field at 82.71 while going off at 6/1 — that's a meaningful overlay in a race with this much public money likely to scatter. Edgard J. Zayas gets the mount for the Mark Casse barn, which has a well-documented record with turf sprinters. The avgSpeed of 56 is tied for the highest in the field, and in a sprint on grass, raw speed figures carry real weight.

place9DancingwithdestinyML 10/1

Dancingwithdestiny is a sneaky good pick at 10/1 — a 70.5 rating and 25% career win rate in a field this large is genuinely impressive. Julio A. Hernandez pilots this one for Michael Dini, and an avgSpeed of 57 is the best in the entire field. In a large-field turf sprint where chaos is likely near the rail, a horse with top speed figures who draws a workable post has a legitimate shot to hit the board.

show8Boston's PhinestML 4/1

Boston's Phinest at 4/1 completes our sequence with a 70.33 rating and Javier Castellano in the saddle — hard to dismiss the combination of a top-flight jockey and a horse that rates out this well. Bruce R. Brown's runner comes in with a 9% career win rate but that figure doesn't tell the full story in a field this wide. Castellano is one of the best tactical riders in the business and can find the right spot in a 16-horse field.

Race 6

8:00 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 1 1/8 mi · Dirt

A starter allowance going 1 1/8 miles on the dirt — the TrackWiz model separates the field dramatically at the top, and one horse stands well above the rest in terms of both rating and value.

win2Ez RollML 5/2

Ez Roll is our strongest play of the race with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the highest rating in this entire card through the first six races. Dylan Davis takes the mount for Raymond Handal, and a 19% career win rate in a starter allowance field suggests this horse has been competitive at a solid class level. At 5/2, the price is fair and the rating advantage is real — this is as confident as we get.

place9SenegalML 6/1

Senegal rates second-best in the field at 81.6 and is offered at 6/1 — that's a value disconnect our model flags immediately. Ricardo Santana Jr. is a top-tier rider who rarely gets on horses without a shot, and the 13% career win rate in a dirt route field is competitive. Thomas Morley's runner could sit just off the pace and come running late at a very playable price.

show5Indy RagsML 8/1

Indy Rags at 8/1 has our attention with a 71.31 rating and a sparkling 30% career win rate — the best win percentage of our three picks in this race. Kendrick Carmouche takes the mount for Michelle Giangiulio. The 51 avgSpeed is a bit lower than the top contenders, but a horse who wins nearly one-third of its career starts knows how to find the winner's circle, and at 8/1 the show price is very appealing.

Race 7

8:34 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A 12-horse maiden claiming turf route where every horse is searching for that first win — in these fields, small rating edges and jockey quality often separate the contenders from the pretenders.

win1RossbeighML 9/5

Rossbeigh tops our ratings at 58.67 and comes in as the 9/5 morning-line favorite — this is one of the rare cases where the public and our model agree. Manuel Franco gets the call for trainer Miguel Clement, a pairing that takes maiden turf routes seriously. With an avgSpeed of 54 and a consistent profile, Rossbeigh figures to be on the front end of the pace and make them all catch up.

place3Beau ChevalML 8/1

Beau Cheval at 8/1 is a legitimate value play here — a 54.59 rating puts this one clearly in the mix despite the double-digit morning line. Javier Castellano doesn't take mounts without believing he has a chance, and the 55 avgSpeed is the highest in the field among our picks. Trainer James Bentley Begg ships this one out looking for a solid effort, and a top-five speed figure with a Hall of Fame jockey should keep it competitive.

show9Big FrostyML 5/1

Big Frosty at 5/1 rounds out our picks with a 53.33 rating and Jose Lezcano up for trainer Steven Hampson. In a maiden claiming field on the turf, having a veteran jockey who knows how to steer a first-time winner is invaluable. The avgSpeed of 53 is in line with the field, and at a reasonable price point, this one makes solid trifecta sense.

Race 8

9:08 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Turf

A turf sprint stakes with a wide-open look on paper but a horse with the highest TrackWiz rating in the entire day's card sitting at a very reasonable price — this is a race where the model has real conviction.

win5SilsbeeML 7/2

Silsbee owns the top TrackWiz rating at 86.35 and comes in with an elite 42% career win rate — horses who win that often don't get that way by accident. Manuel Franco is up for the George Weaver barn, a trainer who excels with turf sprinters at this class level. The avgSpeed of 58 is the highest in the entire stakes field, and at 7/2, this is genuine best-bet territory.

place4With the AngelsML 4/1

With the Angels has the kind of number that stops you cold — a 70% career win rate posted right there in the program. Jose Lezcano rides for the Linda Rice barn, and a 75.27 TrackWiz rating confirms the horse is for real. At 4/1 in a stakes race, the place pool should offer solid value if the morning line holds, and you'd have to go out of your way to leave this one out of exactas.

show10Bam's Bliss KissML 2/1

Bam's Bliss Kiss at 2/1 is the morning-line second choice for Jorge Abreu, and the 42% career win rate ties Silsbee as the highest among horses with that level of experience. The 71.4 rating is solid, though it trails our top two picks by a meaningful margin. Slotting this one into the show spot is partly a hedging move — at 2/1, the win price isn't attractive, but the pedigree of a horse with a 42% win rate keeps it in frame for exactas and trifectas.

Race 9

9:44 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 1 1/8 mi · Dirt

The finale is a deeper-than-usual starter allowance going 1 1/8 miles on the dirt — an 11-horse field with three horses tightly bunched in the high-70s to low-80s rating range creates a compelling top-of-the-card battle.

win6TizmarkusML 6/1

Tizmarkus leads our ratings at 82.71 and comes in at a very fair 6/1 morning line — Jose Lezcano takes the mount for James W. Ferraro in what looks like a live longshot play at a solid price. With a 27% career win rate and an avgSpeed of 54, this horse has the combination of consistency and ability to handle a 1 1/8-mile dirt test. In a closer-profile scenario at a price, Tizmarkus is our top play to close out the card.

place5Trusty RustyML 7/2

Trusty Rusty at 7/2 is the morning-line second choice and Kendrick Carmouche takes the assignment for Robert B. Hess Jr. The 79.06 rating is second-best in the field, and the 54 avgSpeed matches up well at this distance. With a 10% career win rate this horse may not always break through, but it clearly knows how to compete — and Carmouche is exceptionally strong at pressing the pace in dirt routes.

show9PeekML 6/1

Peek at 6/1 rounds out our final race picks with a 75.72 rating and a 20% career win rate — strong numbers for a starter allowance field. Dalila A. Rivera pilots this one for Rudy R. Rodriguez, and while the 52 avgSpeed is a tick below the top two picks, Peek's overall profile suggests a horse capable of grinding out a share late. At 6/1, the show price is very appealing for a closer in a pace-heavy field.

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Bottom line: this is a well-rounded Sunday card with genuine betting opportunities from top to bottom. Our free picks — Top of the Table, Into the Unknown, and Acoustic Ave — give every reader a head start, and the conditions are as cooperative as you could ask for in late June. For the full nine-race breakdown, pace maps, and exotic strategies, subscribers have it all waiting. Good luck at the windows.

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