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Belmont At The Big A Picks & Predictions — June 14, 2026

June 14, 20269 racesAll Aqueduct picks

This card ran on June 14, 2026.

Best bets at Belmont At The Big A, June 14, 2026

Race 14River RideML 8/51:10 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 7 races are for members.

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Happy Flag Day from the Big A. Belmont Park is serving up a 9-race card on a beautiful Sunday afternoon — clear skies, 84°F, and turf conditions that should be playing fast and true. When the weather cooperates like this, speed figures tend to hold up and pace scenarios sharpen up considerably. It's a good day to be at the window.

The card is a nice mix — four turf routes, three dirt sprints and routes, and a pair of allowance-level races to keep things interesting beyond the everyday claiming action. We've got maiden special weights, claiming races at multiple levels, and a starter allowance that figures to draw some strong opinions. Plenty of angles to work through.

TrackWiz has full analysis on all 9 races. Races 1 through 3 are free for everyone — no subscription needed. Races 4 through 9 are part of our premium full-card breakdown, available to subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

1:10 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A maiden turf route with two clear TrackWiz rating standouts separating themselves from the field, while the morning-line favorite at 2/5 brings Chad Brown connections but hasn't run yet.

win4River RideML 8/5

River Ride checks nearly every box in our model, posting a TrackWiz rating of 86.66 — the second-highest in the field and a big jump above most of the competition. The Claude McGaughey III barn has long been a powerhouse with debut and lightly raced turf horses, and Jose Lezcano gives this horse a polished pilot who knows how to rate a runner at a mile and a sixteenth. With zero prior starts, the 8/5 morning line reflects genuine stable confidence, and that kind of support from a Hall of Fame conditioner is worth taking seriously.

place5Devilish GrinML 9/2

Devilish Grin is the only horse in this maiden field with any career win percentage to speak of — 12% is meaningful context — and the 84.9 TrackWiz rating is comfortably ahead of most of the field. Trainer Amelia J. Green has this one primed at 9/2, which represents real value given the raw rating suggests a runner capable of landing in the exacta.

show7Long Term MarketML 2/5

Long Term Market draws the 2/5 morning line, and the Chad Brown turf barn earns that kind of favoritism for good reason — Brown's operation consistently produces ready-to-fire turf debuts. The 60.0 TrackWiz rating is actually the third-lowest among our top selections, so we slot this one third in our analysis, but the pedigree and barn support make it a mandatory exotic inclusion.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

1:38 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A one-mile dirt allowance optional claiming that sets up as a two-horse battle at the top, with a significant gap between the top pair and the rest of the field.

win5Tough StreetML 2/1

Tough Street is the clear TrackWiz top choice here with an 88.54 rating — the highest in the field by a comfortable margin — and backs it up with a 26% career win rate, which is legitimately elite in this spot. Manuel Franco picks up the mount, and he's been among the most reliable riders at the Big A meet. Rob Atras tends to run his horses hard when they're fit, and the 2/1 morning line from the oddsmakers aligns perfectly with what our model is saying.

place4Fast and FriskyML 5/2

Fast and Frisky at 5/2 brings a strong 22% career win rate and a solid 61.73 TrackWiz rating that puts her clearly in the mix for the exacta. Richard E. Dutrow Jr. is a trainer who knows how to place a horse to win, and Ricardo Santana Jr. in the irons adds confidence — he's one of the sharper tactical riders on the circuit.

show1Carol TML 6/1

Carol T at 6/1 looks like a sneaky show inclusion — an 8% career win rate doesn't jump off the page, but the 56.62 TrackWiz rating is third-best in this field and the price is right for a horse with Edgard Zayas steering. She's a logical underneath horse in trifectas at a price that won't kill your ticket cost.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our three free races today cover a nice cross-section of the card. We kick things off on the turf with River Ride in Race 1 — a maiden special weight going 1 1/16 miles where our model has her rated at 86.66, right in line with her 8/5 morning line. Then we move to the main track for back-to-back dirt miles in Races 2 and 3, where Tough Street (88.54 rating, 2/1 ML) and Egyptian (89.12 rating, 8/5 ML) represent two of the strongest top-line ratings on the entire card.

The dirt should be playing consistently in this heat — keep an eye on how the early pace scenarios set up in Races 2 and 3, because a clear front-runner on a fast-playing track is a powerful angle. Egyptian carries the highest TrackWiz rating of the three free picks, and that number against a starter allowance field deserves your attention.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

2:06 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 1 mi · Dirt

A starter allowance on the dirt where the morning-line favorite and our top-rated horse are two different animals, setting up a fascinating clash at the top of the field.

win1EgyptianML 8/5

Egyptian lands atop our model with a 89.12 TrackWiz rating — highest in the field — and goes postward as the 8/5 morning line chalk. The Richard Dutrow Jr. barn has been firing, and Ruben Silvera gets the call on what looks like the most talented horse in the spot. The 8% career win rate might look modest at first glance, but in a starter allowance this is entirely typical of the class level, and the raw rating separation here is hard to ignore.

place7Come Full CircleML 2/1

Come Full Circle at 2/1 is the other major player, posting a 76.09 TrackWiz rating and drawing Manuel Franco — one of the meet's elite pilots. Joe Sharp is a trainer who ships horses ready, and at a mile on the dirt this one sets up as a natural bridge horse between the top pick and the field.

show5Drop Me a DimeML 15/1

Here's where it gets interesting: Drop Me a Dime is 15/1 on the morning line but carries a 33% career win rate — the highest in this field by a significant margin. That win rate at a double-digit price is a genuine longshot angle, and the 60.68 TrackWiz rating while modest is higher than several shorter-priced rivals. Trainer Joseph R. Lee placing a 33% winner in a spot like this at big odds warrants at least a trifecta presence.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

2:36 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Turf

A maiden claiming sprint on the turf where the George Weaver barn saddles two horses and our model has a clear standout, though the Todd Pletcher entry from the rail makes this more interesting than it looks.

win5Emerald EmberML 9/5

Emerald Ember sits atop our board with an 88.83 TrackWiz rating — the highest in the field — and shares a morning line of 9/5 that the oddsmakers clearly agree with. Notably, this is a George Weaver runner, and Weaver has long been sharp with maiden turf sprinters. An average speed figure of 57 ties for best in the race, and Dylan Davis has been riding with real purpose this meet.

place3ChannelviewML 5/2

Channelview is the other Weaver horse in the field, and the barn running two here at 5/2 and 9/5 is a strong stable confidence signal. The 79.16 TrackWiz rating is second-best in the race, and Manuel Franco takes the mount — when Franco is on the second-best horse in a race with a clear top pick, exacta boxes become very appealing.

show1FraudsterML 2/1

Fraudster breaks from the rail under Kendrick Carmouche for Todd Pletcher — a trainer whose name alone commands respect in maiden turf company. The 73.54 TrackWiz rating is third in the field, and a 57 average speed figure ties for best overall. At 2/1 morning line there's not much value to chase, but Pletcher's operation makes this a near-lock for at least a piece of the exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

3:07 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A full, contentious turf claiming mile with 11 runners and a wide-open pace scenario — the 2/5 morning-line favorite carries a surprisingly modest TrackWiz rating, creating real value opportunity in the middle of the board.

win11AntietamML 7/2

Antietam is our top selection at 7/2 despite a morning line that puts Valentinian at 2/5 — and that gap between the public's choice and our model is exactly where value hides. Antietam's 86.35 TrackWiz rating is the highest in the field, and trainer Linda Rice has a nose for placing horses in spots they can win. Jose Lezcano aboard a turf miler is a natural fit, and a 10% career win rate in a wide, competitive field is respectable.

place6Rules of the RoadML 6/1

Rules of the Road at 6/1 brings the standout career win rate among our top three at 25%, and the 74.92 TrackWiz rating is comfortably ahead of the mid-field pack. Manuel Franco in the saddle is a major plus, and trainer William Morey has quietly been putting horses in positions to fire at this level.

show7Hard CircleML 3/1

Hard Circle at 3/1 is the Michael Maker double-entry companion in this race, and Maker's barn is always dangerous on turf. The 72.37 TrackWiz rating is third-best overall, Dylan Davis gets the call, and at 3/1 this is the kind of horse you can comfortably slot into trifecta positions without overpaying.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

Race 6

3:39 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A six-furlong dirt claiming sprint where our top-rated horse at 7/2 offers genuine value against a 2/1 morning-line favorite that our model doesn't rate nearly as highly.

win4Trust IssuesML 7/2

Trust Issues is our top pick with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating — far and away the highest in the field — and at 7/2 represents legitimate value against the 2/1 favorite Big Hat Willie, whom our model rates significantly lower. A 22% career win rate is strong for a claiming sprinter, and the 55 average speed figure ties for best in the race. Ruben Silvera takes the mount for trainer Gregory Charlerie, and this is a spot where fading the public chalk has real merit.

place2Gunner BayML 9/2

Gunner Bay sits second in our ratings at 62.14 with a 20% career win rate and goes at 9/2 — a fair price for a horse with Dylan Davis up and Rudy Rodriguez conditions. Rodriguez knows the claiming ranks at this track well, and a horse rated this clearly second in the field at a morning line above even-money is a natural exacta play.

show3Art FairML 3/1

Art Fair at 3/1 for trainer Michael Miceli brings a 21% career win rate and a 58.26 TrackWiz rating that slots neatly third. Kendrick Carmouche is a savvy campaigner in these 6-furlong dirt sprints, and at 3/1 there's enough price to make Art Fair worth including in your trifecta coverage.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

4:11 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A seven-furlong dirt claiming race dominated by one horse in our model, though the field hides some intriguing win-rate angles and a pair of value horses worth watching underneath.

win6Moment's NoticeML 5/2

Moment's Notice is our strongest single-horse opinion of the second half of the card, posting an 87.81 TrackWiz rating while the rest of the field clusters well below 65. Manuel Franco takes the mount, and his ability to rate a horse through a seven-furlong trip is well established at this track. Trainer Ilkay Kantarmaci has this one correctly placed at 5/2, and while the 8% career win rate is modest, the raw rating differential here is commanding.

place2Good WillieML 8/1

Good Willie is an intriguing underneath option at 8/1 — a 33% career win rate is genuinely eye-catching and among the highest in this field, meaning this horse has proven it knows how to get to the wire first when conditions are right. Kendrick Carmouche riding for Michael Stidham is a combination worth tracking, and the 63.64 TrackWiz rating at a morning line of 8/1 looks like it has been underestimated by the oddsmakers.

show7CorvusML 6/1

Corvus at 6/1 rounds out our vertical tickets with a 53.99 TrackWiz rating and Edgard Zayas steering for Jose Jimenez — a barn that runs consistently honest horses at this level. The 5% career win rate is low, but in a spot where we're asking for show, this is a horse that can grind out a piece at a price that won't crush trifecta payouts.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 8

4:43 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Turf

A six-furlong turf allowance optional claiming with a genuine top-rated horse against a Chad Brown-trained morning-line favorite, making this the most intriguing value race on the card.

win1Delightful FlameML 5/2

Delightful Flame leads our model with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating and backs it up with a 28% career win rate — among the strongest in the field — and averages a 57 speed figure, tying for best in the race. Trainer David Duggan has this one going at 5/2, and Katie Davis gets the call. The separation between Delightful Flame and the Chad Brown morning-line favorite in our ratings is meaningful enough to make this a confident top selection.

place2I'm Mo JokeML 4/1

I'm Mo Joke at 4/1 for Joe Sharp brings a 20% career win rate and a 78.76 TrackWiz rating that ranks second in the field. The 57 average speed figure matches the best in the race, and Kendrick Carmouche has been very sharp in spots exactly like this — short turf sprints where positioning early is everything.

show6CapturingML 4/1

Capturing at 4/1 for Todd Pletcher gives you a 28% career win rate matching Delightful Flame's, with Ricardo Santana Jr. in the irons and a 74.73 TrackWiz rating that's comfortably third-best. Pletcher horses at the optional claiming level tend to run up to their figures, and at 4/1 this one fits neatly in your trifecta and exacta wheel.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 9

5:16 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/8 mi · Turf

The nightcap is a sprawling 13-horse turf claiming route — one of the biggest fields on the card — and our model identifies a clear top choice while the rest of the field bunches tightly enough to make the underneath spots genuinely competitive.

win2Ocean AtlantiqueML 2/1

Ocean Atlantique carries the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 88.54 and goes at 2/1 on the morning line — a fair price given the size of the field and the quality of the opposition. Manuel Franco gets the mount for Joe Sharp, a trainer who has been consistently sharp in turf route spots throughout the meet. The 14% career win rate in a 13-horse turf claiming field is solid, and nothing in this race rates close enough to give us pause.

place10Whittington ParkML 9/5

Whittington Park at 9/5 is the morning-line co-favorite and posts a 78.49 TrackWiz rating with a 22% career win rate — one of the stronger career numbers in this large field. Manuel Franco is listed here as well in the program, which is worth monitoring for jockey changes closer to post, but Rudy Rodriguez placing a 22% winner at this level commands respect.

show5ParosML 6/1

Paros at 6/1 is our show selection with a 76.5 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field — and a 28% career win rate that is among the highest in this entire race. Trainer Gustavo Rodriguez has Kendrick Carmouche up, and at 6/1 in a 13-horse field, Paros is exactly the type of overlaid third option that can anchor trifecta and superfecta plays at a price that keeps tickets from going chalk.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 13 runners

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Bottom line: this is a very playable card. The weather is ideal, the turf should be consistent all afternoon, and we've got legitimate opinions from Race 1 all the way through Race 9. Start with Egyptian in Race 3 as the top-rated free pick of the day, then let the premium analysis take you the rest of the way. Full-card breakdowns, pace maps, and exotic wager tickets are waiting for subscribers — check out our plans at TrackWiz Premium and get in on the full card. Good luck out there.

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