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Belmont At The Big A Picks & Predictions — May 16, 2026

Saturday, May 16, 202611 racesBelmont At The Big A

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 11-race card at Belmont At The Big A. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 11 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

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Race 1

2026-05-16T17:10:00

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Factually Correct looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win1Factually CorrectML 4/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 85.6 for Race 1. Ridden by Ruben Silvera, trained by Fernando Abreu. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.47 sec/furlong. 5 wins and placed in 19 of 31 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has 4 wins and placed in 14 of 20 races at 6 fur. 2 wins and placed in 7 of 9 races at Belmont At The Big A. Jockey & Horse combo has a 14% win rate and finished in the money in 45% of races. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse won last time it raced. 04/24/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance.

⚡ Longshot6StewieML 10/1

Rating board at 72.1. Ridden by Dylan Davis. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.40 sec/furlong. 4 wins and placed in 16 of 27 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 2

2026-05-16T17:42:00

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Divine Intentions looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win4Divine IntentionsML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 2. Career win rate of 50% shows consistency. Ridden by Frankie Pennington, trained by J. Tyler Servis. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.32 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. 2 wins and placed in 4 of 5 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 5 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 4 of 5 of Sprint races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races.

place5Gena BML 7/2

Rating board at 80.4 • 33% career wins. Ridden by Kendrick Carmouche. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.09 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 53% of races.

show1Law SchoolML 4/1

Rating board at 70.9 • 22% career wins. Ridden by Jaime Rodriguez. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 28% win rate and finished in the money in 72% of races.

Race 3

2026-05-16T18:12:00

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Chardonnay Derby looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win5Chardonnay DerbyML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 3. Ridden by Jose Lezcano, trained by Linda Rice. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.31 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 28% win rate and finished in the money in 71% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 2 of the last 3 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 2 of 3 of Sprint races. Claiming Price Decreased from $25000 to $20000. Horse won last time it raced. 05/02/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance.

place8Will of a WomanneML 5/2

Rating board at 82.7. Ridden by Kendrick Carmouche. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.63 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 53% of races.

show1EleniML 6/1

Rating board at 58.6. Ridden by Edgard J. Zayas. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.61 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Sheer Will looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win10Sheer WillML 4/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 85.6 for Race 4. Ridden by Jose Lezcano, trained by Linda Rice. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 28% win rate and finished in the money in 71% of races. Has placed in the last 9 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Has 3 wins and placed in 5 of 7 races at 6 fur. Jockey & Horse combo has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 12.00 sec/furlong. Horse won last time it raced. 04/26/2026.

Race 5

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Sounds Like Fun looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2Sounds Like FunML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 5. Ridden by Edgard J. Zayas, trained by Panagiotis A. Synnefias. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.87 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races. Placed in 5 of 10 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 2 of the last 3 races. Placed in 2 of 2 races at Belmont At The Big A. Has placed in 2 of 3 races at 1 mi.

Race 6

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Brew Pub looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2Brew PubML 9/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.9 for Race 6. Ridden by Jaime Rodriguez, trained by Michelle Giangiulio. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.45 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. 6 wins and placed in 33 of 61 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Horse won last time it raced. 04/25/2026.

place4Prove WorthyML 3/1

Rating board at 81.9 • 25% career wins. Ridden by Edgard J. Zayas. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.64 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races.

show1High TideML 7/2

Rating board at 78.6. Ridden by Manuel Franco. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.49 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races.

Race 7

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Richies Love looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win12Richies LoveML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 7. Ridden by Jose Lezcano, trained by Michael Miceli. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 2 of 3 races at 6 fur. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 11.75 sec/furlong.

place9MykonosML 3/1

Rating board at 68.8. Ridden by Jose Lezcano. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.65 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races.

⚡ Longshot4War AnthemML 8/1

Rating board at 48.3. Ridden by Ruben Silvera.

Race 8

Maiden Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Addagirl Addie looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win8Addagirl AddieML 12/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 74.0 for Race 8. Ridden by Edgard J. Zayas, trained by Robbie G. Davis. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races.

place9Night JasmineML 5/2

Rating board at 73.6. Ridden by Dylan Davis. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.42 sec/furlong.

show11Hip Hop DancerML 3/1

Rating board at 66.3. Ridden by Dalila A. Rivera. Has placed in 2 of 3 at Medium Distance races.

Race 9

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Lotsa Trouble looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win6Lotsa TroubleML 9/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.9 for Race 9. Career win rate of 29% shows consistency. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Ilkay Kantarmaci. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.17 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. 5 wins and placed in 10 of 16 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 5 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races.

place8Shadow DragonML 4/1

Rating board at 80.3. Ridden by Jaime Rodriguez. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races. 5 wins and placed in 19 of 29 races on Dirt tracks.

show4Concorde SpiritML 7/2

Rating board at 71.0. Ridden by Kendrick Carmouche. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.52 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 53% of races.

Race 10

Allowance · 6 fur · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Wit Storm looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win1Wit StormML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 10. Ridden by Katie Davis, trained by Barclay Tagg. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.10 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 3 of the last 3 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 3 of 3 of Sprint races. Placed in 2 of 2 races at Belmont At The Big A. Ranked 3rd in workouts over last month at 12.13 sec/furlong. Horse won last time it raced. 02/15/2026.

place6Burning BridgesML 4/1

Rating board at 77.1 • 50% career wins. Ridden by Dylan Davis. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.49 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 3 races.

show9Stormy BirthdayML 6/1

Rating board at 60.0. Ridden by Javier Castellano. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 11.68 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 3 races.

Race 11

Maiden Special Weight · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Nowucme Nowudont looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win5Nowucme NowudontML 8/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 79.8 for Race 11. Ridden by Jose Lezcano, trained by Michael J. Maker. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.24 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 55% of races.

place11Twirling LadML 8/1

Rating board at 73.0. Ridden by Edgard J. Zayas. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races. Placed in 2 of 4 races on Turf tracks.

show3Leave MeML 6/1

Rating board at 67.9. Ridden by Dylan Davis. Has not raced in 136 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 11.75 sec/furlong.

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