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Albuquerque Picks & Predictions — October 25, 2026

October 25, 20269 racesAll Albuquerque picks

This card ran on October 25, 2026.

Best bets at Albuquerque, October 25, 2026

Race 13Eye for an EyeML 5/23:30 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 7 races are for members.

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Albuquerque is running wet today. Rain has moved through the area and temps are sitting at 62°F, which means a sealed or sloppy dirt surface is very much in play for all nine races. That changes the calculus on speed figures, pace scenarios, and even post position advantages — so factor in surface bias before you commit a dollar.

Today's card is a diverse one: you've got sprints as short as 350 yards — classic Quarter Horse territory — all the way out to a 1¼-mile route in Race 4. We've got two Stakes races (Races 3 and 8), a pair of Allowances, a couple of Claimers, a Claiming Stakes, and a Maiden race to round things out. Nine races, plenty of angles, and a few spots where the morning line looks beatable.

TrackWiz has ratings on every horse in the field. The three free races (Races 1–3) are open to everyone, and our top picks there include Eye for an Eye, Punctual Thyme, and the Stakes headliner Marking Canyon. The remaining six races are unlocked for subscribers — and trust us, some of the most interesting value is hiding in that premium half of the card.

Best Bets

Race 1

3:30 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

A competitive allowance opener where two horses separate themselves from the field on ratings, but the morning line favorite isn't either of them — setting up a potential overlay situation at the windows.

win3Eye for an EyeML 5/2

Eye for an Eye owns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 87.81, and trainer Greg Green has two entries in this race — always worth noting when a conditioner doubles up, as it often signals confidence in at least one of them. The 5/2 morning line feels right for a horse whose rating towers over most of the field, and jockey Miguel A. Perez gets the call here over the barn's second entry. A 9% career win rate might look modest, but in a field this evenly matched on paper, the rating edge is the differentiator.

place2CandyscapeML 9/2

Candyscape brings a 33% career win rate into this spot — the best win percentage in the entire field by a wide margin — and that kind of consistency is exactly what you want underneath in exactas and place bets. The 83.21 TrackWiz rating slots in just behind our top pick, and trainer Bart G. Hone keeps this one competitive at 6 furlongs on dirt. At 9/2 on the morning line, there's mild value here for a horse whose win percentage suggests she finds the board more often than not.

show8Bad Boy OneML 8/1

Bad Boy One comes in with a 68.02 rating and a 12% career win rate, making him a legitimate third-best option in what is otherwise a pretty wide-open bottom half of the field. Jockey Sachin Parris gets the mount, and matching a 56 average speed figure with the top tier of this field gives this one a realistic shot at hitting the board. At 8/1, he's worth including in trifectas as the third leg behind our top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

3:55 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

Punctual Thyme looks like the class of a deep nine-horse allowance field, but the 9/2 morning line leaves some room for value — and a pair of 33% career winners lurking in the field makes the exotics interesting.

win6Punctual ThymeML 9/2

Punctual Thyme tops this field with an 84.9 TrackWiz rating and a 33% career win rate — that's one win in every three starts, which is elite-level consistency for this class. Trainer Joel H. Marr puts Luis Ramon Rodriguez in the irons, and the 9/2 morning line on a horse this accomplished at winning represents a fair price. Over 6 furlongs of dirt, a horse this reliable on paper deserves top billing, and the rating gap between Punctual Thyme and the rest of the field is meaningful.

place3Cash WaterfallML 5/2

Cash Waterfall is the Todd W. Fincher-trained entry drawing plenty of morning line support at 5/2, backed by a 76.49 rating that puts this one clearly in the top tier. Fincher is a respected conditioner, and having two horses in the same race (Risk Capital is the barn's second entry) with Cash Waterfall getting the shorter price tells you where the stable confidence lies. The place spot at 5/2 won't be a huge payout, but the reliability here is bankable.

show7Runaway ValentineML 12/1

Runaway Valentine is the longshot value angle in this race — a 12/1 morning line on a horse with a 33% career win rate is the kind of number that makes you look twice. Trainer Dallas J. Barton saddles a horse whose win consistency rivals the top picks in this race, and Aldo Arboleda is a capable jockey who can navigate a nine-horse field. At those odds, Runaway Valentine is a must-use in trifectas and a sneaky show bet with upside.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

The first three races set the tone nicely. Eye for an Eye (Race 1, 5/2 morning line) carries our highest TrackWiz rating among the free picks at 87.81 — that's a number that commands respect in a six-furlong Allowance. Punctual Thyme follows in Race 2 at 9/2, which is a morning line that might be offering a touch of value if the surface plays fair. Both sprints will be telling us a lot about how the rain-affected dirt is playing early in the card, so pay attention to where the winners are coming from — rail, middle, or wide.

The centerpiece of the free card is Race 3, a seven-furlong Stakes with Marking Canyon sitting at 2/1 on the morning line and a TrackWiz rating of 84.75. Stakes fields demand more scrutiny, especially on a wet track where pace can get messy and closers occasionally steal one. Watch the early fractions closely — seven furlongs on a damp Albuquerque strip can produce some erratic splits.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

4:20 PM EDT

Stakes · 7 fur · Dirt

The stakes card's most intriguing race features three horses bunched within four rating points at the top — this could come down to pace scenario and who gets the best trip around two turns.

win2Marking CanyonML 2/1

Marking Canyon draws the 2/1 morning line favorite tag and backs it up with an 84.75 TrackWiz rating and a strong 34% career win rate. Trainer Leroy A. Fincher sends out a horse that clearly knows how to win, and Aldo Arboleda — a jockey showing up multiple times on today's card — takes the mount. At seven furlongs in a stakes race, experience and consistency win out, and Marking Canyon has both.

place4Antonios MarkML 5/1

Antonios Mark is separated from our top pick by less than a full rating point at 84.17, and the 5/1 morning line is where the value lies in this race. Alfredo J. Juarez Jr. gets the call for trainer Richard D. Sedillo, and a 25% career win rate on a horse with a 56 average speed figure — the best raw speed number in this field — means this one has every tool to keep up in a stakes scenario. The place spot at 5/1 pays nicely if our top pick runs its race.

show3Holy HankML 4/1

Holy Hank rounds out the top three with an 81.36 rating and the highest career win rate in the field at 38% — a remarkable number that suggests this horse is a natural talent who hits the board at an elite clip. Trainer Simon J. Buechler puts Christian Ramos up, and the 4/1 morning line is short enough to suggest the market agrees. In a race this tight at the top, Holy Hank is as safe a show bet as you'll find on today's card.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

4:45 PM EDT

Claiming Stakes · 1 1/4 mi · Dirt

A claiming stakes going long — a mile and a quarter — where the top-rated horse opens at a fair price and three horses are bunched within 17 rating points, making the pace scenario over that route distance critical.

win7Kirby DerbyML 5/2

Kirby Derby carries the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 87.81 — the highest win-pick rating on the entire card through four races — and comes in at a workable 5/2 morning line. Trainer Sherry Armstrong puts Aldo Arboleda up, and a 21% career win rate gives this one a solid foundation for a claiming stakes slot. Over a mile and a quarter, stamina and class carry the day, and Kirby Derby's numbers suggest this one has both.

place5PleaseusetheportalML 9/2

Pleaseusetheportal is separated from our top pick by less than half a rating point at 79.84 — this is essentially a coin flip between two horses at the top. The 9/2 morning line offers legitimate value for a horse trained by Carlos C. Gonzalez who has shown the ability to grind out results. Miguel A. Perez gets the mount, and in a route race where the pace often sets up for closers, this one profiles as a horse who can finish.

show3Brock On ByML 3/1

Brock On By checks in at 79.74 on the TrackWiz scale — nearly identical to our place pick — and comes in at 3/1 on the morning line, which makes this a key trifecta piece. Trainer Jose A. Gonzalez puts Jose Miguel Vazquez up, and a 16% career win rate tells you this isn't a horse that stumbles around the track. Over a mile and a quarter, the early pace is everything, and Brock On By's numbers support a strong finishing effort.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 5

5:10 PM EDT

Claiming · 870 yd · Dirt

An 870-yard claiming sprint with a big field of ten, where speed figure data is limited for most entrants — making our TrackWiz ratings and career win percentages the primary handicapping tools.

win3Cash SnowML 3/1

Cash Snow leads this field with a 75.94 TrackWiz rating and an impressive 28% career win rate — nearly one win in every three starts is exceptional in a claiming field this deep. Christian Ramos gets the mount for trainer Andres Gonzalez, and the 3/1 morning line reflects that the market has already spotted this one. With limited speed figure data available across the field, the rating and win-rate combination makes Cash Snow the most trustworthy selection.

place9Hawkeyes CartelML 6/1

Hawkeyes Cartel checks in at a 71.99 rating and a 22% career win rate, pairing well underneath our top pick in exactas. Francisco Zamora takes the mount for trainer David M. Gomez-Barraza, and the 6/1 morning line offers genuine value for a horse whose rating puts it comfortably in the top third of this ten-horse field. In a big field sprint, finding a closer or mid-pack horse at 6/1 for the place is the kind of move that builds bankrolls.

show10Ultimate DecisionML 15/1

Ultimate Decision is a fascinating show-spot play at 15/1 — that's a generous price for a horse carrying a 69.58 TrackWiz rating and a 20% career win rate. Trainer Danny E. Martinez sends this one out with Gabriel Medrano up, and those career numbers suggest a horse that runs competitively far more often than the morning line implies. At 15/1, even a show finish pays well enough to make this a worthwhile inclusion in multi-race tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 6

5:35 PM EDT

Maiden · 400 yd · Dirt

A wide-open 400-yard maiden sprint featuring 12 first-time or maiden runners, where zero career wins across the board means we're leaning entirely on TrackWiz ratings and trainer patterns to find order in the chaos.

win2My Chocolate MartiniML 10/1

My Chocolate Martini tops this maiden field with a 74.65 TrackWiz rating — a meaningful gap over the second-rated horse — and at 10/1 on the morning line, this is our best value play of the night. Trainer Jorge Luis Sanchez Jr. puts Francisco Zamora up, and in a maiden race with this many unknowns, backing the horse with the strongest rating profile is the most defensible angle. The odds suggest the market hasn't caught up to the rating edge here, and that's exactly where opportunity lives.

place7ObsesssionML 8/1

Obsesssion slots in second on our ratings at 68.68 and draws the 8/1 morning line, making this another value-oriented selection in a race where the favorite (Dark Passion at 3/1) checks in with only a 44.86 rating. Trainer Richard D. Sedillo and jockey Juan Carlos Rivas team up here, and in a 12-horse maiden sprint, a horse rated this much higher than the public favorite is a genuine overlay. Keep this one in your exacta boxes.

show9Elmers Pretty GirlML 7/2

Elmers Pretty Girl is the market's second choice at 7/2 with a 55.83 rating, and while the morning line may make this look like the logical play, our analysis suggests the value is actually in the horses above this one on the ratings board. That said, trainer Rodolfo G. Valles puts Oscar Andrade Jr. up — a jockey who appears multiple times today and clearly has live action — and a 7/2 shot in a maiden sprint can absolutely hit the board. Worth including as a safety net in trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 7

6:00 PM EDT

Allowance · 400 yd · Dirt

A 12-horse allowance sprint at 400 yards where the top pick separates itself clearly on ratings, but three horses within a few points of each other create an intriguing battle for the minor spots.

win9Pick Your PourML 3/1

Pick Your Pour owns an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this field — and comes in at 3/1 on the morning line, which is a fair price for a horse this clearly superior on the numbers. Trainer Jacob Renteria hands the reins to Jacob Enriquez, and a 25% career win rate confirms this isn't a horse that flatters only on paper. In a 12-horse sprint, breaking cleanly is everything, and Pick Your Pour's rating edge is large enough to overcome a rough trip if needed.

place4Dads On a RollML 7/2

Dads On a Roll checks in at 80.3 on the TrackWiz scale and a 25% career win rate — matching our top pick in win percentage while sitting just 7 rating points back. Trainer Salvador R. Soto puts Noe Garcia Jr. up at 7/2 on the morning line, and this profile screams exacta key underneath the top pick. In a speed race over 400 yards, a horse this consistent with this kind of rating is dangerous to leave off your tickets.

show7TinteroML 6/1

Tintero brings an 80.06 rating and a 30% career win rate to a race where the morning line has this one at 6/1 — and that's a number worth exploiting. Trainer Jorge Luis Sanchez Jr. pairs with Christian Ramos, and a 30% career win percentage is elite by any standard in this class. The show slot at 6/1 is where the overlay lives, and Tintero is a must-use in trifectas given the combination of win consistency and generous morning line odds.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 8

6:25 PM EDT

Stakes · 350 yd · Dirt

Stakes action at 350 yards with an 11-horse field where the morning line favorite isn't the top-rated horse — our top pick opens at 6/1 while horses with lower ratings draw shorter prices, creating a potential overlay scenario.

win9Lovely Josie JamesML 6/1

Lovely Josie James tops this stakes field with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating and a 33% career win rate, yet opens at 6/1 on the morning line — that gap between rating and price is where value bets are born. Trainer Marc Anthony Ramirez sends this one out with Jose Enrique Ortiz up, and in a 350-yard sprint, every tenth of a second matters — but so does having the best horse on paper. The market appears to be overrating some shorter-priced horses here, and our analysis consistently lands on Lovely Josie James as the standout.

place6Jm Famous WynnML 3/1

Jm Famous Wynn is the morning line favorite at 3/1 with a 68.33 rating and a strong 31% career win rate — a horse the market clearly respects. Trainer Tony E. Sedillo puts Christian Ramos up, and Ramos has been busy on this card, which suggests the connections feel good about their chances. The place spot at 3/1 is where this one makes the most sense: reliable enough to hit the board, but potentially outgunned by our top pick's rating advantage.

show8Maka RoonML 10/1

Maka Roon is a legitimate show-spot value play at 10/1 with a 65.62 TrackWiz rating and a solid 25% career win rate. Trainer Mario Dominguez-Garcia keeps this one sharp with James A. Flores up, and in a stakes race with this much morning line chaos above, a 10/1 horse with a top-five rating in the field is easy money in trifectas. Don't let the odds fool you — the numbers here are real.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

Race 9

6:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 400 yd · Dirt

The finale is a 12-horse claiming sprint at 400 yards where our top pick owns an 82-point rating but opens at 6/1 — the kind of disconnect that makes the last race of the night worth sticking around for.

win6Noquit InhimML 6/1

Noquit Inhim leads this full field with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating — tied for the highest win-pick rating across all nine races tonight — and comes in at 6/1 on the morning line, which is a significant overlay for a horse this clearly superior on the numbers. Edgar S. Martinez gets the call for trainer Angel E. Dominguez, and while a 9% career win rate might raise eyebrows, in a race this packed with non-contenders, the rating tells the real story. At 6/1, this is one of the best value plays on the card.

place4Job CorpsML 7/2

Job Corps brings a 71.21 TrackWiz rating and draws 7/2 on the morning line — the market's top choice in this race despite our ratings favoring Noquit Inhim by more than 11 points. Trainer Roberto Fournier puts Cerapio Figueroa up, and a 9% career win rate means this horse has been in the mix competitively even if wins have been elusive. The place spot is the ideal role for Job Corps: likely good enough to finish second, but facing a ratings gap at the top.

show9High Kicking EagleML 9/2

High Kicking Eagle posts a 68.86 TrackWiz rating and opens at 9/2 on the morning line, giving trainer Bernadette Barrios and jockey Francisco Zamora a horse that closes out the top three in our ratings. A 3% career win rate is the one caveat here — this is a horse that runs competitively but doesn't close the deal often — making the show spot the most logical landing zone. In trifectas, this one rounds out our top three and is worth the inclusion at a price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

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Bottom line for today: the wet track is the story. Watch the early races closely for surface clues before sizing up your bets. Our top free plays are Eye for an Eye, Punctual Thyme, and Stakes contender Marking Canyon — all worth a hard look. For the full nine-race breakdown, pace projections, and exotic ticket strategies, the complete TrackWiz analysis is waiting for you at /pricing. Good luck out there, and may the mudders run true.

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