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Albuquerque Picks & Predictions — September 18, 2026

12 racesAll Albuquerque picks

Trial day at Albuquerque — and if you love quarter horse racing, this is exactly the kind of card you circle on the calendar. All 12 races go 400 yards on the dirt, meaning every single heat is a blink-and-you-miss-it sprint where gate speed and raw ability are the only things that matter.

Conditions look near-perfect for fast times today. Partly cloudy skies and a comfortable 76°F should keep the surface consistent from the first race to the last — no heat-of-the-day track changes to worry about, which makes it a little easier to trust your figures across the full card.

With 12 trials on the slate, the name of the game is identifying which horses break cleanly and show the kind of early foot that translates to a finals berth. TrackWiz has rated every entrant, and there's some genuine separation at the top of the field worth paying attention to.

Best Bets

Race 1

Trial · 400 yd · Dirt

A nine-horse trial at 400 yards with a clear class separation at the top — Toppa the Moon's TrackWiz rating of 86+ stands well above the middle of the pack, but Bigg Twist lurks as a live threat with a 69-point rating and prior race experience.

win8Toppa the MoonML 7/2

Toppa the Moon (No. 8) enters as the most impressive number in the field with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating — nearly 17 points clear of the next-best contender. Trainer David M. Gomez-Barraza puts him out at 7/2 on the morning line, and a 40% career win rate tells you this horse knows how to cross the wire first. Oscar Andrade, Jr. gets the call in the irons, a solid rider for a short-field quarter-horse sprint where gate speed is everything.

place9Bigg TwistML 5/2

Bigg Twist (No. 9) is the logical place play at 5/2 on the morning line, carrying a 69.69 rating and a 28% career win mark — the only other horse in the field with a meaningful win percentage. Luis Martinez rides for trainer Manuel Rodolfo Rodriguez, and Bigg Twist's profile suggests a horse that competes hard and hits the board consistently.

show3Dahlias DestinyML 9/2

Dahlias Destiny (No. 3) checks in at a 63.02 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field by a comfortable margin — and trainer Tony E. Sedillo sends her out at a 9/2 morning line that represents fair value for show purposes. With Christian Ramos up, she's a reasonable exotic anchor in what could be a chalky tri.

Race 2

Trial · 400 yd · Dirt

Big Ted is the overwhelming class of this trial field, coming in with a 66% career win rate and a rating that towers over the rest — the real question is whether Thats Amoree or Sand and Sea can run him down for the minor spots.

win10Big TedML 9/5

Big Ted (No. 10) is simply in a different league here. A 86.55 TrackWiz rating and a 66% career win percentage make him about as reliable a win play as you'll find in these trials. Sergio Becerra, Jr. — one of the sharpest riders on this circuit — gets the mount for trainer Omar Vargas, and that combination at 9/5 on the morning line is worth backing despite the short price.

place4Thats AmoreeML 6/1

Thats Amoree (No. 4) is the most interesting place prospect at 6/1 on the morning line. An 82.71 rating and a 33% career win rate suggest she's talented enough to be competitive, and Noe Garcia, Jr. gives her a capable pilot for trainer Wesley T. Giles. If Big Ted stumbles out of the gate — however unlikely — Thats Amoree has the raw numbers to capitalize.

show2Sand and SeaML 7/2

Sand and Sea (No. 2) carries a 75.59 rating with a 20% career win mark, sitting third in the field on pure TrackWiz numbers. Joseph Belloc, Jr. handles the mount for trainer Rodolfo G. Valles, and at 7/2 she's a reasonable show ticket for bettors looking to round out their exotics in this trial.

Race 3

Trial · 400 yd · Dirt

Baby Daddy Cartel dominates this trial on paper with a 66% win rate and the field's highest rating, but Royal Pour Tf and Sheza Fast Flash offer genuine competition in the middle of the card.

win7Baby Daddy CartelML 9/5

Baby Daddy Cartel (No. 7) is the standout of Race 3 with an 88.83 TrackWiz rating — tops in the entire field — and an eye-catching 66% career win rate. Noe Garcia, Jr. pilots for Omar Vargas, a trainer-jockey combination that has shown up strong throughout this card. At 9/5 on the morning line, the price isn't generous, but the credentials back it up.

place8Royal Pour TfML 7/2

Royal Pour Tf (No. 8) earns the place slot with a solid 63.58 rating and a 33% career win percentage under trainer James J. Gonzales II. Joseph Belloc, Jr. rides, and at 7/2 morning line odds there's some legitimate value for a horse that profiles as a consistent money finisher in quarter-horse company.

show1Sheza Fast FlashML 8/1

Sheza Fast Flash (No. 1) posts the third-highest rating in the field at 60.04 for trainer Rodolfo G. Valles with Christian Cardenas up. She draws the rail, which in a 400-yard sprint is workable, and her number is clearly ahead of most of the competition lurking in the middle of this trial field.

Our three free races give you a solid foundation to build on today. Baby Daddy Cartel leads the way with the highest TrackWiz rating among the free picks at 88.83 — that's a meaningful edge in a 400-yard trial where fractions of a second separate the field. Big Ted (86.55) and Toppa the Moon (86.35) round out the free trio, both posting strong numbers and both carrying morning lines that suggest the public respects them without hammering them to unplayable odds.

In short-distance trials like these, we lean heavily toward horses with clean gate records and consistent early fractions. All three of today's free top picks grade out well in those areas, and with a neutral, fast-playing surface expected, there's no reason to overthink it — trust the figures and stay disciplined.

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Bottom line: this is a fun, fast card with legitimate opportunities in both the free and premium races. Baby Daddy Cartel is the marquee name to watch, but the full 12-race trial slate rewards preparation — and that's exactly what subscribers get. Grab the complete breakdown, lock in your tickets early, and enjoy trial day at Albuquerque.