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Albuquerque Picks & Predictions — September 6, 2026

September 6, 202610 racesAll Albuquerque picks

Happy Sunday from Albuquerque, where the high desert sun is doing its thing — 87°F under partly cloudy skies and a fast, dry dirt surface that should have speed figures flying all afternoon. Ten races on the card, ranging from short 300-yard dashes to a long 870-yard maiden opener, so there's plenty of variety to keep things interesting from gate one to the final flash of the photo light.

The marquee draw today is Race 9, a Derby at 440 yards that has our TrackWiz model buzzing around Gf Shes Sinful at a very workable 5/2 morning line. But there's also a pair of Stakes races in Races 6 and 7 sandwiched around an Allowance sprint, so the middle of the card is where serious multi-race players will want to zero in. Ten races, plenty of angles — let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

7:30 PM EDT

Maiden · 870 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden sprint at 870 yards where TrackWiz ratings reveal a massive gap at the top — one horse grades out well above the field, but maiden races at this distance can produce surprises from any post.

win4FanboyML 5/2

Fanboy is the clear class of this field on our ratings, posting an 87.81 — more than 37 points clear of the next-best contender. He's the only horse in the field showing a career win percentage (10%), which is significant in a field full of first-time winners. Trainer Jaime G. Aldavaz, Sr. puts Oscar Andrade, Jr. in the irons, a reliable combination for a horse expected to fire fresh. At 5/2 on the morning line, he's priced like a deserving favorite and the numbers back it up.

place3James Heza DynastyML 10/1

James Heza Dynasty is the most intriguing price in this race at 10/1 on the morning line, yet he grades out second-best overall with a 66.59 TrackWiz rating. Trainer Jaime Dominguez also saddles Goodbye Quickie in this field, so he has a good read on the competition. Jose Luis Enriquez takes the mount, and if Dynasty shows up anywhere close to his rating ceiling, he's a live longshot for the place.

show8Fancy PerryML 7/2

Fancy Perry checks in with a 50.45 rating and draws the 8-hole with Larry Marquez up for trainer Angel A. Pardo. In a maiden race where half the field grades below 50, Perry's rating gives her a real edge for show money, and she's short enough at 7/2 to help anchor the bottom of any exacta or trifecta ticket.

Race 2

7:55 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 440 yd · Dirt

This Starter Optional Claiming sprint at 440 yards features a two-horse battle at the top of the ratings, with the rest of the field grading out significantly behind — pace and post position could be the tiebreaker.

win4Fabulous DashtinyML 9/2

Fabulous Dashtiny tops our ratings at 84.90 and brings an 18% career win rate to the table — respectable in this kind of field. Trainer Tony E. Sedillo hands the reins to Christian Ramos, a sharp combination in the short sprints. Posted at 9/2 on the morning line, Dashtiny offers genuine value relative to her rating, sitting just a tick above stablemate caliber in this Starter Optional Claiming format.

place1Easy OneML 5/2

Easy One is no slouch here with an 80.31 rating and an 11% career win percentage in what shapes up as a compact 7-horse field. James A. Flores takes the mount for trainer Jesus M. Verdugo, and from the rail, Easy One could get a ground-saving trip. At 5/2, she's the morning line co-favorite and figures to be right there at the wire.

show7Magical MarfaML 3/1

Magical Marfa at 3/1 on the morning line brings an 18% career win rate and a 74.39 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field by a comfortable margin. Jacob Enriquez rides for trainer Luis Daniel Iturralde, and the 3/1 price means there's still some return if she settles for third behind the top two. She's a natural fit for the show slot in exacta and trifecta construction.

Race 3

8:20 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 330 yd · Dirt

A full 12-horse maiden claiming field going 330 yards — short, chaotic, and hard to predict, but one horse stands well above the pack on our ratings while a pair of mid-range contenders battle for the runner-up spots.

win12SezagenuineknockoutML 9/2

Sezagenuineknockout draws the 12-hole and posts the field's top TrackWiz rating at 84.90, a significant edge in a race where most horses grade in the 20s and 30s. Trainer Juan Muniz, Jr. puts Christian Cardenas in the saddle — a jockey who knows how to break sharply over the short 330-yard trip. The morning line of 9/2 seems reasonable given the rating advantage, and in a wide-open maiden claiming race, that kind of edge at a fair price is exactly what we look for.

place10Mister MingoML 4/1

Mister Mingo grades out second in the field at 61.86 with Alfredo Sigala aboard for trainer Rene Saucedo. The 4/1 morning line is workable, and in a race this deep and unpredictable, a horse grading nearly 25 points clear of the third-best runner has a real shot to land in the exotics. Sigala is a capable hand over the short dirt strips at Albuquerque.

show3Legal SeparationML 3/1

Legal Separation posts a 60.60 rating and comes in at 3/1 on the morning line, making her one of the better-priced horses in the top tier of this field. Francisco Zamora gets the call for trainer Jacob Renteria, and at this short distance, clean breaks can mean everything. With solid ratings separation from the rest of the pack, she belongs on your show tickets and in the bottom of any trifecta combination.

We're opening the card to all readers on Races 1, 2, and 3 — and there's a clear thread running through these early free looks. On a warm, fast track like today's Albuquerque strip, early speed tends to be rewarded, and that favors our top picks in each of these openers. Fanboy (5/2 morning line, Race 1) headlines the free card with our highest rating among the trio at 87.81 — that's a number that stands out sharply in a maiden field going long at 870 yards. In Race 2, Fabulous Dashtiny draws our eye in the Starter Optional Claiming at 440 yards, and in Race 3, Sezagenuineknockout gets the nod in a 330-yard Maiden Claiming sprint where quickness out of the gate is everything.

The short-track bias is real at Albuquerque — in these sprint distances, a horse that can get to the front early and hold its shape through the wire has a significant structural edge. All three of our free picks fit that profile. Dig in.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

8:45 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

This maiden sprint at 350 yards features a crowded 12-horse field where the TrackWiz model finds one horse grading out well above the rest — but with all runners still seeking their first win, the pace scenario at this short distance makes any result possible.

win9Cyber StarrML 4/1

Cyber Starr earns the top rating in this field at 85.62, a substantial gap over second-place Ss Cartels Lioness at 68.54. Jose Enrique Ortiz takes the mount for trainer Omar Vargas, a pairing that carries some credibility in the maiden sprint ranks. At 4/1 on the morning line, the price isn't generous for the favorite, but when your rating stands nearly 17 points clear of the nearest rival, the edge speaks for itself.

place6Ss Cartels LionessML 9/2

Ss Cartels Lioness posts a 68.54 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the race — and comes in at 9/2 on the morning line. Luis Martinez gets the ride for trainer Manuel Rodolfo Rodriguez, and the 6-hole gives her room to settle into a clean trip. In a 12-horse maiden field, having clear rating separation from the bulk of the competition makes her a reliable place target.

show2Artic JewelsML 3/1

Artic Jewels rates third in the field at 56.67 and draws a favorable 2-hole with Jacob Enriquez up for trainer Clinton Crawford. The 3/1 morning line price is fair for a show play, and Crawford-Enriquez is a combination worth tracking at Albuquerque. She's a natural anchor for the bottom of an exotics ticket in what figures to be a muddled maiden affair.

Race 5

9:10 PM EDT

Maiden · 400 yd · Dirt

The 400-yard maiden sprint is absolutely loaded at the top, with three horses bunched tightly between 80 and 86 on our ratings — this one could come down to who gets the best break out of the gates.

win9Send the HeroML 4/1

Send the Hero edges out the top spot in this competitive field with a rating of 85.62, barely nosing ahead of First Corona Sunset (85.17) and Gold D (80.33). Trainer Jesus J Carrete puts Alfredo Sigala in the saddle, and Sigala has shown he can fire on command over the 400-yard strip. The 4/1 morning line offers a little wiggle room — not a great overlay, but a fair price on the top-rated horse in a tight field.

place7First Corona SunsetML 3/1

First Corona Sunset is virtually dead-even with the win pick at 85.17 on our ratings, yet morning line oddsmakers list her at 3/1. Trainer James J. Gonzales II goes with Joseph Belloc, Jr. in the irons, and the 7-hole outside draw could actually benefit a horse that might need a step or two to find her stride. In a three-way photo at the top of the ratings, she's as likely to hit the board as anyone.

show10Gold DML 5/1

Gold D is the third piece of the top-rated trio at 80.33, posting out of the 10-hole with Jacob Enriquez up for trainer Clinton Crawford. At 5/1 on the morning line, there's some value here relative to the show role she figures to contest. Crawford and Enriquez team up again — they also saddled Artic Jewels in Race 4 — which suggests a barn comfortable putting its horses in position to perform on this card.

Race 6

9:35 PM EDT

Stakes · 440 yd · Dirt

Stakes company at 440 yards and this field has legitimate experience — win percentages well above 50% dot the program, making it a quality race where career consistency could matter as much as raw ratings.

win9Jc SpeedingML 4/1

Jc Speeding leads all runners on our model at 85.62 and backs it up with a remarkable 50% career win rate — in stakes company, that kind of consistency is hard to dismiss. James A. Flores gets the mount for trainer Dee Keener, who also saddles Point Blank Range in this field, giving the barn a strong two-pronged presence. At 4/1 on the morning line, Jc Speeding is our top selection and the numbers justify the confidence.

place8Ajs WingmanML 6/1

Ajs Wingman rates second in the field at 77.08 and brings a 28% career win rate to stakes company — solid, if not elite. Ramiro Haro Garcia rides for trainer Jason L. Olmstead, who also has Relentless Wine in the race, so the connections have multiple views of this field. At 6/1 on the morning line, there's genuine value in Wingman for the place and exotics.

show4EnvestorML 3/1

Envestor posts a 74.78 rating and an eye-catching 55% career win rate — the second-highest in this field behind Point Blank Range's 62%. Ali Rivera takes the mount for trainer Zackary Stinebaugh, and at 3/1 on the morning line, Envestor is a deserving short-price contender. The win percentage suggests this horse knows how to compete at the elite level, making him a reliable exotics anchor.

Race 7

10:00 PM EDT

Stakes · 440 yd · Dirt

Another stakes sprint at 440 yards, this one featuring several horses with win rates above 40% — a quality field where the TrackWiz model finds a narrow edge at the top but three horses are separated by fewer than six points.

win8Wera CML 7/2

Wera C tops our ratings at 80.57 and carries a 41% career win rate in stakes company — a horse that clearly knows how to get it done. Jesus Rios Ayala gets the call for trainer Marco Adair Chavez-Gutierrez, and the 7/2 morning line makes her one of the more fairly priced horses on tonight's card relative to her model edge. When rating advantage and win rate both point the same direction, that's a signal worth following.

place1Ruse Ticle KnockoutML 8/1

Ruse Ticle Knockout is only 0.78 rating points behind the win pick at 79.79 and brings a 46% career win rate to the gate — actually higher than Wera C's. Edwin G. Escobedo rides for trainer Marc E. Jungers, and from the 1-hole, he'll be first out of the gate and could grab an early advantage in the 440. At 8/1 on the morning line, this is the sneaky value play of the race.

show10Full Moon DesireML 5/2

Full Moon Desire comes in at 74.96 on our ratings and sports a field-best 62% career win rate — the highest in this stakes field by a significant margin. Juan Pulido rides for trainer Heber Deyta-Melendez, and the 5/2 morning line makes her the chalk on the program. Even if she doesn't win outright, a horse with a 62% lifetime win rate rarely finishes worse than third in a competitive sprint.

Race 8

10:25 PM EDT

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

A deep 12-horse allowance field at 300 yards — the shortest sprint on tonight's card — where starts are essentially coin flips and our top-rated horse holds a meaningful edge over a wide-open second tier.

win9Marissa Fly FlyML 5/1

Marissa Fly Fly tops the field with an 84.17 TrackWiz rating in a race where the next-best runner grades out nearly nine points lower. Jose Luis Enriquez rides for trainer Arnulfo Cardenas, a combination making multiple appearances on tonight's card, which suggests a barn in good form. At 5/1 on the morning line, Marissa Fly Fly represents real value — the top-rated horse in a 12-horse field at more than fair odds.

place7Tempting ChadML 9/2

Tempting Chad rates 75.67 and comes in at 9/2 on the morning line, ranking second in the field with a 15% career win rate. Jacob Enriquez gets the mount for trainer Mario Dominguez-Garcia, and in a 12-horse field over the ultra-short 300-yard trip, finding the second-best horse in the race at a reasonable place price is exactly the kind of spot where exotics can pay.

show8Prizefighter VML 4/1

Prizefighter V grades out third in the field at 73.08 and brings a 28% career win rate — the highest among our top three selections in this race. Edgar S. Martinez rides for trainer Angeladrian Dominguez, and the 4/1 morning line offers decent value for a show play. A 28% career win percentage suggests he can fire on any given night, making him a solid candidate for the third spot.

Race 9

10:50 PM EDT

Derby · 440 yd · Dirt

The featured Derby at 440 yards brings out one of the strongest favorites on the card — a horse rated nearly 12 points clear of the field and backed by one of the best career win rates in the field — but at 5/2, the ticket price is real.

win8Gf Shes SinfulML 5/2

Gf Shes Sinful is the standout of the evening's Derby, posting a field-best 87.81 TrackWiz rating and a 66% career win rate that speaks volumes about her consistency at the elite level. Noe Garcia, Jr. takes the mount for trainer Wesley T. Giles, a pairing clearly pointed at this spot. At 5/2 on the morning line, she's not cheap, but when a horse has a 66% win rate and sits 12 points clear of the next runner on our model, the favorite price is earned.

place10Political TwistML 7/2

Political Twist is the most fascinating horse in this Derby, logging an 81% career win rate — the highest of any runner on tonight's entire card. Luis Martinez rides for trainer Manuel Rodolfo Rodriguez, and despite a 75.77 rating that ranks second in the field, that win percentage suggests he can absolutely pull off an upset. At 7/2 on the morning line, the place is almost a lock if he fires his best.

show6Midnite SmokinML 8/1

Midnite Smokin rates third in the Derby field at 69.96 and brings a 50% career win rate to the gate — another horse with a legitimate winning pedigree. Christian Cardenas rides for trainer Rodolfo G. Valles, who also saddles Cyber Blues in this race, giving the barn two shots at the board. At 8/1 on the morning line, Midnite Smokin is the value show play of the race for anyone looking to build a trifecta around the top two.

Race 10

11:15 PM EDT

Allowance · 400 yd · Dirt

Tonight's finale is a 12-horse allowance at 400 yards where one horse has separated himself sharply from a muddled middle tier — good spot to key a top selection and use the field underneath in multi-race wagers.

win9Racy 123ML 3/1

Racy 123 leads all runners in this finale with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — one of the higher marks on tonight's card — and comes in at 3/1 on the morning line. Jose Luis Enriquez rides for trainer Arnulfo Cardenas, a jockey-trainer combination that's appeared multiple times tonight, suggesting a barn in rhythm. The rating gap between Racy 123 and the rest of this field is meaningful, and the 3/1 price is acceptable for a horse with this kind of model separation.

place5AchyllesML 4/1

Achylles rates second in the field at 72.7 with a 16% career win rate, and Jacob Enriquez gets the call for trainer Clinton Crawford — a combo that's been productive throughout tonight's card. The 4/1 morning line gives you some return on the place, and with more than 14 rating points of separation between Achylles and the third-best horse, the spot to finish second seems well within reach.

show1Kiss and GoML 5/1

Kiss and Go rounds out our top three at 70.90 with a 12% career win rate, posting from the 1-hole with Jose Enrique Ortiz up for trainer Marc Anthony Ramirez. The 5/1 morning line offers solid show value in a 12-horse field where the bulk of the competition grades well below 55. A rail draw in a sprint can be an asset when a horse is quick out of the gate, and Kiss and Go has enough rating to hold on for the third spot.

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Bottom line: Albuquerque is serving up a loaded Sunday card with real wagering opportunities from the jump. Fanboy in Race 1 is our free-card standout, and Gf Shes Sinful in the Race 9 Derby is the name to circle on your program today. Want the full picture — pace scenarios, Stakes breakdowns, and multi-race ticket structures? It's all waiting for subscribers. Check out our plans at /pricing and make today count.

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