Albuquerque Picks & Predictions — June 20, 2026

Pavel rates out at 64.13 and carries a 35% career win rate — the second-best in this field — making the 4 horse a logical place play behind the heavy favorite. Trainer David M. Gomez-Barraza has Pavel hooked up with Luis Martinez, and at 9/2 on the morning line there's legitimate place value here. If anything runs down Alamos, it figures to be a horse with this kind of win percentage.

Big Crush Bb is nearly a mirror image of Pavel in the ratings at 64.10 — essentially a dead heat for second-best in the field — and comes in with a 32% career win rate. Trainer Jose Ignacio DeHerrera puts Jorge Nieto-Saenz on board, and at 6/1 morning line there's a touch more value than the place pick. This one rounds out the exacta and trifecta tickets in a race where the top three are fairly obvious.

El Huarache Prieto rates second in the field at 77.91 with Oscar Andrade Jr. in the saddle for trainer Jose R. Gonzalez Jr. — a pairing worth noting given Andrade's activity throughout this card. The 9/2 morning line price offers fair value for a place ticket, and the gap between this one's rating and the show contenders is meaningful enough to feel confident about a top-two finish.

Kj Daddysgottheblues checks in at 77.43 — just a hair below El Huarache Prieto — and opens at 8/1 morning line, which creates real show and exotic value in a race where the top three are bunched tightly in ratings. Trainer Cervando Garcia Solis sends out Sergio Becerra Jr., and that jockey has been active and effective throughout this card. At 8/1, this one belongs in trifectas and potentially as a place overlay if the odds hold.

Quick Sizzlin Corona rates second in the field at 69.42 with Jesse Lee Levario in the irons for trainer Alex Garcia. The 7/2 morning line makes this one nearly co-favored, and a 11% career win rate in a 12-horse field is actually solid. At the shortest distance of the day, horses with clean gate speed and high ratings tend to sort themselves out fast — Quick Sizzlin Corona profiles as a natural place slot filler.

Infynite opens as the 3/1 morning line choice for the public, but our ratings have this one third at 63.37 — a slight disconnect that suggests a bit of public overconfidence. Trainer Paul Sedillo hands the reins to Oscar Andrade Jr., who is having a busy day at Albuquerque, and a 10% career win rate is modest but functional at this level. Use Infynite in the show slot and underneath in exactas given the firm market price.

Total Lunar Eclipse is a legitimate place-ticket surprise — a 76.88 rating that makes this one the third-best in the field, but the morning line opens at 10/1, suggesting the public is underestimating trainer Adam Archuleta's runner. Edgar S. Martinez takes the mount, and a 7% career win rate, while modest, is offset by the significant ratings advantage this horse holds over the lower half of the field. At 10/1, the place value here is outstanding.

Angels in the Clouds rates 68.59 and carries a 20% career win rate — a solid all-around profile for an allowance horse. Trainer Emilio Cadena Jr. puts Brian Cobos Barraza up at 7/2 on the morning line, making this one of the shorter prices in the field. The rating supports a board finish, and this one makes sense as the third leg of exacta and trifecta combinations behind Jmb Family Tradition.

Mr Jess Effort rates 79.14 — second in the field — and is the morning line co-favorite at 3/1 alongside the top end of the card. Trainer Marco A. Flores saddles Sergio Becerra Jr., and an 18% career win rate gives this one legitimate winning credentials beyond just ratings. If the pace gets honest in this 870-yard allowance, Mr Jess Effort has the profile to be finishing hard right behind our top pick.

Devons Cartel opens at 8/1 with a 72.91 rating — third in the field — and a 22% career win rate that actually outpaces both of the top two horses. Trainer Salvador R. Soto puts Jesse Lee Levario up, and Levario has been finding ways to get horses involved all day at Albuquerque. At 8/1, the show value here is strong and this one belongs in all trifecta combinations as a live threat at a generous price.

Blaze Regard comes with a 44% career win rate — the best in this field and one of the highest on the entire card — which demands attention even at a 59.61 rating. Trainer David Meridyth puts Jose Luis Enriquez up at 6/1 morning line, and that win percentage suggests this horse genuinely knows how to finish first when conditions are right. Even in a race where the top-rated runner figures to win, a 44% winner deserves a place slot at 6/1.

Jessie Boy rates 55.7 with an 11% career win rate, and trainer Jorge A. Morales-Flores sends this one out at 8/1 morning line with Jesse Lee Levario riding. The rating puts Jessie Boy solidly in the third tier of a 12-horse field, and at 8/1 there's legitimate show and exotic value for bettors looking to build trifectas around London Lights. A consistent performer at a price — exactly what the show slot is for.

Lovely Josie James rates 81.35 — second in the stakes field — and comes in with a remarkable 37% career win rate, the highest of any horse in Race 9. Trainer Ramon Mendoza puts Sergio Becerra Jr. on board at 7/2 morning line, and Becerra has been one of the go-to riders throughout today's card. A 37% winner who rates second in a stakes field at 7/2 is a genuine place play with upside toward the win.

Lyme Light opens at 10/1 morning line with a 62.38 rating — third in the field — and a 16% career win rate that is serviceable at the stakes level. Trainer James J. Gonzales III has two horses in this race, and Ricky Ramirez rides Lyme Light, giving the barn a strong two-pronged attack. At 10/1 in a stakes race, Lyme Light represents the kind of show-ticket value that can turn a modest ticket into a profitable day.

Hot Lil Seis is a near-carbon-copy of the top pick at 85.78 — just a fraction behind Unaware in our ratings — and opens as the 3/1 morning line choice, making this one the public's top pick even while our model slightly prefers the 4. Trainer Salvador R. Soto and jockey Gabriel Medrano are a well-connected barn-and-rider combination, and Hot Lil Seis carries a 10% career win rate even in maiden company, which tells you this horse has come close before. Expect a photo finish between these two to close the card.

Simpli Fli is a 20/1 morning line shot with a 62.29 rating — third in the field and a meaningful step above the rest of the 12-horse maiden field. Trainer Bernard B. Baca has Gabriel Medrano on board, and while Medrano also rides Hot Lil Seis, this is a different mount for a different race, and Simpli Fli's rating puts it in legitimate contention for a piece of the exotics. At 20/1 on the morning line, this is the value show play of the closing race — toss it in trifecta tickets and hope the public keeps sleeping on it.