Daily Picks

Mountaineer Picks & Predictions — July 12, 2026

July 12, 20268 racesAll Mountaineer picks

This card ran on July 12, 2026.

Best bets at Mountaineer, July 12, 2026

Race 15Holy SaintML 3/17:00 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 6 races are for members.

A free account opens race 2 too. Premium opens all 8, with AI ratings on every runner and SmartBet, which splits one bet across the horses you like.

Join Free See plans · from $9.99

Rain is falling at Mountaineer today — 82°F and wet, which means that dirt surface is going to be something to watch all afternoon. A sloppy or muddy track can flip a race on its head, rewarding horses that love to run through the slop and punishing ones that need a firm footing beneath them. Keep that in mind as you work through the card.

We've got a full 8-race slate to dig into, and there's a nice mix here — a pair of turf routes, a couple of sprints on the dirt, and a Ratings Handicap in Race 8 to close things out. With the rain in play, those turf races (Races 2 and 3) bear close watching — if the turf gets soft or the stewards scratch those fields onto the main track, everything changes in a hurry.

TrackWiz analysis has identified strong plays across the card, starting with Holy Saint in Race 1, Soupersilverdollar in Race 2, and Flat Out Diamonds in Race 3 — all available free to every reader. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

7:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A short 5 1/2-furlong dirt sprint where two horses separate themselves on the ratings board, but a pair of overlooked mid-packers could make this trifecta tricky.

win5Holy SaintML 3/1

Holy Saint is the clear class of this field on TrackWiz ratings (87.08), and that 22% career win rate is the best in the race by a wide margin — nearly double the field average. Trainer Shane Spiess puts him out with Yuri Yaranga up, a combination that deserves respect in a sprint where getting away clean is half the battle. The slightly superior average speed figure of 53 gives him a small but real edge over most of the field, and at 3/1 on the morning line, this isn't a horse you need to apologize for backing.

place2Julie's FerrariML 2/1

Julie's Ferrari (84.83 rating) is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 and profiles as the main challenger to Holy Saint. Ricardo Barrios takes the mount for trainer Gary Welsh, and a 14% career win rate gives her honest credentials. If Holy Saint hits any traffic or gets away slow, Ferrari has the rating to capitalize and should be a strong place play in any ticket.

show1BodyslamML 5/2

Bodyslam opens at 5/2 with a solid 72.5 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field — and Bailey Weatherly gets the call under trainer Robert Scallan. The 11% career win rate is modest but respectable in a claiming sprint, and at that odds range, he's worth including in the bottom of trifectas as a deeper runner who could earn a piece if the top two tangle early.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

7:25 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A mile turf claiming test with a dominant ratings standout at the top and a pair of intriguing double-digit morning-line prices that could shake up the exotics.

win2SoupersilverdollarML 2/1

Soupersilverdollar posts the highest TrackWiz rating in the race at 88.54 — a significant gap over the rest of the field — and the connections of jockey Andrew Ramgeet and trainer Tina Ramgeet form a tight barn combination that often spells live action. The 2/1 morning line reflects the public's respect, and at a mile on turf, class tends to win out in the late stages. The 12% career win rate is modest, but the overall profile screams pace-to-wire threat.

place4Jedi's WayML 10/1

Here's where the value lives: Jedi's Way is 10/1 on the morning line but carries a 62.99 rating and a 19% career win rate — the second-best win percentage in the field. Kevin Gonzalez picks up the mount and that average speed figure of 53 ties for tops in the race. If Soupersilverdollar draws heat early on the turf, Jedi's Way has the late-running profile to grab a piece at a generous price.

show5Classic KingML 4/1

Classic King is 4/1 on the morning line with trainer-jockey being the same person — Alejandro Gomez — which often signals a horse the connections know well and are targeting. The 62.65 rating is competitive in this field, and a 13% career win rate is workmanlike. Slot him into your trifectas as the third wheel at a price that won't destroy your return.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

The first three races give us a solid foundation to build on. Holy Saint opens the day in a 5½-furlong dirt sprint — and if that track is indeed playing wet, pace scenario and early position are going to matter even more than usual. Short sprints on an off track tend to favor horses that can find a clean trip near the front. Soupersilverdollar is the morning-line favorite in Race 2's 1-mile turf claiming, but keep one eye on the weather — any surface switch dramatically reshapes that race. And in Race 3, Flat Out Diamonds draws our attention in the Allowance Optional Claiming on the turf at 7½ furlongs, where a 7/2 morning line offers a touch of value if the grass stays live.

All three free picks carry TrackWiz ratings in the mid-to-upper 80s, which signals genuine competitive edges, not just chalk plays. These are horses we like regardless of conditions — the rain just adds a layer of context worth monitoring throughout the afternoon.

Free with an account

Open the next race free

A free account opens the first 2 races at every track, and every race at our Track of the Day. No credit card needed.

Create a free account Sign in

Full Card Analysis

Race 3

7:50 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

A full field in a 7 1/2-furlong turf Allowance Optional Claiming, and the pace scenario looks complicated with multiple horses boasting win rates above 20% — this one could get messy up front.

win5Flat Out DiamondsML 7/2

Flat Out Diamonds is the standout on every metric that matters: an 86.35 TrackWiz rating, 30% career win rate (best in the field), and the sharpest average speed figure in the race at 54. Kevin Gonzalez gets the call for trainer Denis Cluley at 7/2 on the morning line, which is reasonable value given the credentials. In an allowance optional claiming grass route, that win rate and figure combo is hard to beat.

place9IneedyoubabeML 9/2

Ineedyoubabe jumps off the page with a 57% career win rate — an eye-popping number that dwarfs everyone else in this field. Luis Raul Rivera pilots the Anthony Farrior-trained runner at 9/2, and a 73.08 rating puts this horse firmly in the mix. If there's one horse in the race that knows how to find the winner's circle, it's this one, making a place ticket extremely palatable.

show8Lu's RedemptionML 3/1

Lu's Redemption sits at 3/1 on the morning line with a 70.77 rating and an average speed figure of 54 — tied for best in the race. Erik Barbaran rides for trainer Jay Bernardini, and at 12% career wins, there's a modest but real win threat here. The 3/1 price means this horse likely attracts heavy play, but including it in the show slot of trifectas makes solid sense given the raw speed numbers.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 4

8:15 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

A sprawling 14-horse maiden claiming field on the turf — all non-winners, making this the toughest puzzle on the card, but a few horses separate themselves on the TrackWiz ratings.

win6Sperry ChaletML 5/2

Sperry Chalet tops the TrackWiz ratings at 76.44 and gets the second-shortest morning-line price at 5/2, with Luis Negron piloting for trainer Kent Knudsen. In a maiden field where no horse has visited the winner's circle, ratings separation becomes critical, and Sperry Chalet's 76.44 is a clear step above the next tier. The average speed figure of 52 is competitive for this level, and the Knudsen barn appears to have the top two horses in the race, which suggests they're targeting this spot.

place11Pivot To The PowerML 4/1

Pivot To The Power (67.33 rating) goes at 4/1 for trainer Eric Reed and jockey Charle Oliveros, and that average speed figure of 53 is the best of any horse in this race. Reed is the kind of solid Mountaineer conditioner who doesn't waste starts, and in a maiden field, finding a horse with a pace edge late in the turf strip matters. The slight ratings gap behind Sperry Chalet suggests a place finish is a realistic ceiling here.

show1Fifth GearML 3/1

Fifth Gear (66.81 rating) closes the top-three on TrackWiz analysis and opens at 3/1 with Ricardo Barrios up for trainer Virginia Demczyk. The average speed figure of 51 is a tick below the top two picks, but in a chaotic 14-horse maiden field, having three horses rated within ten points of each other tightens the margins. Fifth Gear is a fine show play and a sensible inclusion in your trifecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 14 runners

Race 5

8:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Osprey arrives as a standout on paper in this 6-furlong dirt claiming race, but the pace scenario is honest with several speed horses in the field — it won't be a solo lead.

win7OspreyML 2/1

Osprey is the class of this field, posting an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the best by a significant margin — and going postward at 2/1 on the morning line with Luis Negron riding for trainer Juan Pablo Silva. A 17% career win rate is solid in claiming company, and with an average speed figure of 53 matching the pace horses, there's no reason to expect this horse to be caught flat. When the ratings gap is this pronounced in a claiming race, it often just wins.

place5VersatileML 6/1

Versatile (68.52 rating) presents a nice value angle at 6/1 on the morning line, with Yuri Yaranga up for trainer Shane Spiess — the same barn that has Holy Saint in Race 1. The 11% career win rate is unspectacular, but the rating puts Versatile well ahead of most of the field, and a 53 average speed figure suggests this horse can keep pace with the early movers. At 6/1, this is exactly the kind of underlay-free place play worth targeting.

show1Grey StreakML 3/1

Grey Streak opens at 3/1 with a 67.03 rating and an 18% career win rate — the best among the horses outside the top pick. Luis Alberto Batista takes the mount for trainer Jabdiel Castillo, and those credentials make Grey Streak a legitimate threat to factor. Include in trifectas as the third piece: 18% winners in the barn over a career is a real number, and the 53 average speed figure keeps this horse right in the pace mix.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

9:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 2 fur · Dirt

A rare 2-furlong dirt sprint — the shortest race on the card — and two horses are separated from the field on ratings, setting up a potentially thrilling photo-finish duel.

win4Determined LoveML 2/1

Determined Love tops the TrackWiz ratings at 88.14 and carries a massive 34% career win rate — the kind of number that tells you this horse simply knows how to finish in front. Luis Alberto Batista picks up the mount for trainer Dave Treharne, and at 2/1 on the morning line, the public agrees this is the one to beat. In a blink-and-you-miss-it 2-furlong dash, a high win rate and a top rating are the two things that matter most.

place3Miss NuckolsML 5/2

Miss Nuckols is razor-close behind at 87.81 rating and a 28% career win rate, going off at 5/2 with Ricardo Barrios — one of the stronger jockeys on the Mountaineer circuit. Trainer Claudie Marshall Godsey Jr. has this filly primed for a tight result, and frankly, with just a 0.33-point rating gap between the top two, Miss Nuckols could just as easily be the winner. She's absolutely live to place at a price that slightly underestimates her.

show5Can She ScootML 3/1

Can She Scoot (66.19 rating) is 3/1 on the morning line and brings a 22% career win rate for the Shane Spiess barn with Yuri Yaranga up — a combination that already has Versatile and Holy Saint going on this card. In a 2-furlong race with only six horses, the show spot is very gettable, and Can She Scoot's win rate suggests she can keep up with the best versions of herself. Don't leave her off your exacta or trifecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 7

9:30 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

An allowance sprint where the top TrackWiz rating is dominant, but the morning-line favorite (2/1) is NOT the top-rated horse, creating a sharp opportunity for informed bettors.

win1Mia's MyrigeML 5/2

Mia's Myrige tops the field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating despite going off at 5/2, not the 2/1 chalk — making her arguably the best value play on the card. Ricardo Barrios rides for trainer Virginia Demczyk, and a 16% career win rate over an allowance career is respectable. The average speed figure of 53 matches the top horses in the race, and in a 5 1/2-furlong dirt sprint, a fast-breaking horse with class and a sharp jockey usually gets it done.

place4FiammaML 5/1

Fiamma is an intriguing place play at 5/1 for trainer Juan Vazquez with Luis Negron in the irons, carrying a 25% career win rate — second-best in this race. The 66.79 rating puts Fiamma well ahead of the lower-rated horses in the field, and that win percentage shows she has the competitive experience to factor when things get tight late in a sprint. At 5/1, she's a comfortable place selection in exactas and trifectas.

show6I'm KiddingML 2/1

I'm Kidding opens as the 2/1 morning-line favorite despite a 62.7 rating — lower than both Mia's Myrige and Fiamma — suggesting the morning-line maker is giving trainer Juan Vazquez more credit than the numbers alone warrant. Michael Pagan rides, and a 6% career win rate is a flag worth noting. That said, in an allowance race, trainer intent matters, and Vazquez putting two horses in the race signals confidence. Show is the right slot here.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

9:55 PM EDT

Ratings Handicap · 1 mi · Dirt

A 13-horse ratings handicap going a mile on dirt — the biggest field of the night — with one clear top-rated standout and enough live longshots in the teens to make the exotics very interesting.

win12SaqeelML 2/1

Saqeel is the most dominant single-horse case of the night: an 88.54 TrackWiz rating in a field where the next-best horse (Boldness, 69.08) is nearly 20 points back. Luis Negron — who also rides Osprey in Race 5 — gets the mount for trainer Juan Pablo Silva, and a 17% career win rate over a solid sample is encouraging. At 2/1 on the morning line, the public has found him, but the rating gap is so wide that there's still value in confidently singling him in multi-race wagers.

place3BoldnessML 3/1

Boldness is the clear second on TrackWiz ratings at 69.08 and posts an 18% career win rate that is competitive in this field. Brandon Tapara rides for trainer Stephani Norris at 3/1 on the morning line, and with that rating buffer over the rest of a 13-horse field, a place finish feels like a reasonable expectation. In a deep handicap field, having a comfortable second-tier horse on your ticket is critical.

show6Ghost BikeML 8/1

Ghost Bike at 8/1 brings a 58.36 rating and a 15% career win rate for trainer Gerald Crawford with Michael Pagan in the saddle — sneaky credentials in a field where most of the double-digit morning-line horses trail on every metric. The 52 average speed figure is right in the middle of the pack, which in a mile race means this horse can track the pace and be there when others start to tire. At 8/1, this is a legitimate show play that could beef up your trifecta payout.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 13 runners

Premium Content

Get the Full Card Analysis

Unlock expert picks for every race, detailed speed figures, trainer angles, and our SmartBet recommendations.

View Plans Sign In

Eight races, a wet track, and three strong free plays to anchor your day — Holy Saint, Soupersilverdollar, and Flat Out Diamonds are the starting points. The full-card breakdown, pace projections, and exotic strategies for Races 4–8 are waiting for TrackWiz subscribers. Good luck out there — and watch that weather board.

← All Mountaineer picks & predictions